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Ok, so I am an MMA betting junkie. I love the instant gratification of winning money in just a few seconds, as it occurs routinely during the furious exchange between two equally weighted, haymaker throwing men, both trained for a single purpose: to seek and destroy. It happens so fast, in some cases, that I can’t even keep up with the fights on my online sportsbook. By the time one fight finishes, the next fight is off the board.
I am always looking for an advantage in one or two fights per night, as I feel that several of the odds are miscalculated because of misguided public perception. But, if you are diligent with your research and disciplined with your approach, you can consistently find a fight or two on each card that are fairly easy to handicap.
Take the upcoming UFC on Fox which takes place May 5th
UFC ON FOX 3- LIGHTWEIGHT BOUT Barry vs. Johnson (5/5/12)
Matchup Odds
Jim Miller -210
Nate Diaz +175
UFC ON FOX 3- LIGHTWEIGHT BOUT Koscheck vs. Hendricks (5/5/12)
Matchup Odds
Josh Koscheck -125
Johny Hendricks -105
It appears to me that of the fights with early odds, Nate Diaz has the best chance to pull the upset. Lavar “Big” Johnson has been impressive, but his inexperience should prove to be too much to overcome vs. the explosive Pat Barry. Diaz, on the other hand, is seasoned enough to pull out a “W”, and his camp will have him ready. Beware Jim Miller….
Also, I see a lot of value in Josh Koscheck only laying -125. He is the better athlete, and has faced tougher competition throughout his career. Koscheck could get caught, as his opponent is dangerous, but I see him winning here 2 rounds to 1 for a unanimous decision. Add money to the bankroll by playing Koscheck on May 5th. Check back next week for a breakdown and best bets of the other fights on the UFC on Fox 3.