UFC 119 Frank Mir vs Mirko Crocop

Frank Mir vs Mirko Crocop Mir in his post 2006 string of fights has only lost too the two mega heavyweights in the game, Brock Lesnar, and equally humongous Shane Carwin. Other than that he has snapped off wins against “smaller” fighters and has never lost back to back. The consensus on this matchup is […]

Frank Mir vs Mirko Crocop

Mir in his post 2006 string of fights has only lost too the two mega heavyweights in the game, Brock Lesnar, and equally humongous Shane Carwin. Other than that he has snapped off wins against “smaller” fighters and has never lost back to back. The consensus on this matchup is that the longer the fight goes on, Mir’s chances of winning start to fall off a cliff. Mirko on the other hand has looked rather rickety in his UFC fights EXCEPT against Pat Barry where he was stumbled a few times, but Crocop’s conditioning and wrestling ability saved him in that fight. Mir is a smart guy, he knows what to look out for, the high kicks, but CroCop has excellent right and left crosses. He throws them technically sound and I think could continue to be problems for Mir.

Betting against Mir in a back to back loss situation, with CroCop’s age and diminished speed, seems like a great edge to take Mir. You can see on the odds panel on the right side >>>> that 78% are picking Mir at BetUS. I’ve been bit picking the older fighter. Mir will not be out matched on the strength column in this fight and that is pretty much where he has had his problems. The fight with Brandon Vera does not count. He came back to the UFC an out of shape shlub for that one. Mir was in excellent shape against Kongo and his other recent fights.

Ryan Bader vs Antonio Rogerio Nogueira

Bader seems like he is too fast and too dangerous pretty much everywhere. I’m going with Bader in this match. Seems only 54% are picking Bader here at BetUS.

Matt Serra vs Chris Lytle

These two guys almost never get finished. You can almost bet that this will goto a decision. 5Dimes has those type of bets. In their last match, Serra won a razor close decision, some think it was Lytle, I didn’t. I saw it as a Serra win as was the The Ultimate Fight match which resurrected both their careers in the new UFC 2.0 era. The veterans show series was one of my favorites btw. As far as punching power goes they both have it. Based on technical skills Serra is probably the more difficult fighter to hit due to his compact size. Lytle swings wildly which is a benefit for Serra who can slide inside get a leg trip takedown and work his top game which isn’t as menacing as other fighters. The way Lytle needs to beat Serra is make him a target. Look at what GSP did. He put him in a corner so he could hit him. Like I said before Serra is hard to hit due to his size, but his ability to get up off the ground is not that amazing either. Lytle has actually shown better jiu-jitsu in the octagon over the years, but Serra is surely not going to be submitted, nor is Lytle. This leaves either a TKO or a decision which is why I think this one is going to the cards. I like both of these fighter’s personalities and can’t really decide, but you have to think Lytle here won’t lose 3 straight and is the current odds on favorite. I’m going to step out on a limb and say Serra will win because he is funnier.

Sean Sherk vs Evan Dunham

I’ve picked Dunham early on in upsets over Tyson Griffin and elsewhere. I don’t see any spot where Sherk wins this fight other than take downs. If this fight becomes one where Dunham can’t get a submission, can’t hit Sherk at all, and just gets taken down, then Dunham will lose. However, that is a lot of IFs. I see Dunham winning this one and the odds makers seem to agree. However, the majority of bettors at BetUS are taking Sherk >>>>>>.

Melvin Guillard vs Jeremy Stephens

This fight is split right down the middle its almost a pick em. If Melvin wasn’t training at Greg Jackson’s I would be taking Jeremy Stephens here. However, Guillard has always possessed an incredible potential, however, his ground skills and cardio have been two reasons for him not accelerating to a title shot. Stephens has been up and down, mostly up, but never able to breakthrough. My gut instinct is that Guillard will win this fight. However, I’m not going to pick a winner here and will sit back and just enjoy the match because its too close to call.

CB Dollaway vs Joe Doerkson

I see CB Dollaway and Doerkson’s last UFC opponent, Tom Lawlor, as very similar. Good wrestlers, decent ground, weird standup. Doerkson sort of pulled off a miracle in his last fight, but this is the way he fights. Starts off slow, drains the other guy, and then submits his opponent. This has been the formula for years. I can’t think its going to happen again, its just my feeling, despite the similarities between Dollaway and Lawlor (not to mention Lawlor beat Dolloway – expect a rematch of these two if Doerksen wins).
94% of bettors on BetUS are picking Doerksen here in the underdog role and I also see value here picking “El Dirte.”

Matt Mitrione vs Joey Beltran

Beltran has been doing this a lot longer than Mitrione, but Matt has more power. Beltran is going to be Mitrione’s first real MMA test as Mitrione has only fought two MMA newbies in Kimbo and Jones. However, in those two fights Mitrione showed improved skills. Lets not forget Mitrione’s chin on the TUF show was pretty damn impressive something Beltran will likely test here. I’m kind of surprised to see Beltran as an underdog here as this fight if anything should be even. Despite that I think the power, size, and chin will be too much for The Mexicutioner to overcome.

The Prelim Card

Thiago Tavares vs Pat Audinwood
Steve Lopez vs Waylon Lowe
TJ Grant vs Julio Paulino
Mark Hunt vs Sean McCorkle – the most interesting prelim match with K-1 and Dream fighter, maybe over the hill, Mark Hunt entering the octagon for the first time. I like Mark Hunt to win here, in the return to “UFC 5ish” match.

Gambling Addiction Enabler: UFC 119 Edition

After an unsuccessful stint in rehab, the Gambling Addiction Enabler has returned to do what it does best — make large, ill-advised wagers simply for the thrill of gambling. We’re not saying you should follow our betting advice, necessarily, bu…

UFC 119 poster Mir Cro Cop Nogueira Bader Indianapolis

After an unsuccessful stint in rehab, the Gambling Addiction Enabler has returned to do what it does best — make large, ill-advised wagers simply for the thrill of gambling. We’re not saying you should follow our betting advice, necessarily, but there are plenty of opportunities to beat the bookies at UFC 119, which goes down this Satuday in Indianapolis. The betting lines are below, courtesy of bestfightodds.com. If you can’t afford to waste real money, please hit up MMA FightPicker and throw down some virtual PotatoChips on the fights. And if you don’t know what these numbers mean, please read this first.

MAIN CARD
Frank Mir (-220) vs. Mirko "Cro Cop" Filipovic (+215)
Ryan Bader (-165) vs. Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (+155)
Chris Lytle (-125) vs. Matt Serra (+120)
Evan Dunham (-204) vs. Sean Sherk (+190)
Melvin Guillard (-150) vs. Jeremy Stephens (+140)

SPIKE TV PRELIMS
CB Dollaway (-295) vs. Joe Doerksen (+270)
Matt Mitrione (-140) vs. Joey Beltran (+136)

UNAIRED PRELIMS
Thiago Tavares (-290) vs. Pat Audinwood (+240)
Steve Lopez (-115) vs. Waylon Lowe (-115)
T.J. Grant (-150) vs. Julio Paulino (+145)
Mark Hunt (-215) vs. Sean McCorkle (+200)

And away we go…

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Video: Countdown to UFC 119: Mir vs. Cro Cop

(Video courtesy megavideo/UFC)
With Sonnengate taking the piss out of the fact that there’s a UFC event this weekend, a lot of us (myself included) forgot that he UFC 119 countdown show was on last night.
If you happened to miss it and you were looking…

(Video courtesy megavideo/UFC)

With Sonnengate taking the piss out of the fact that there’s a UFC event this weekend, a lot of us (myself included) forgot that he UFC 119 countdown show was on last night.

If you happened to miss it and you were looking for something to do at work today instead of finishing up putting the new cover sheets on your TPS reports, we got you covered. 

We won’t spoil it for you, but the first thing that becomes clear in the latest episode is that they have switched up the format which gives the show a David Fincher movie feel to it.

I’m a fan of the new style, but then again the frenetic pace and non-stop jittery transitions seem to mimic my ADHD-controlled thought pattens, so it could just be me.

A few notes on the show after the jump:

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CroCop Cleared to Fight Mir? Indiana Docs Will Be the Judge of That

(Right eye, hospital. Left eye … uh … hospital. PicProps: Sherdog)
While Dana White and Mirko CroCop didn’t totally get their stories straight over the weekend about the status of the fighter’s injured (or not injured) eyeball, both guy…


(Right eye, hospital. Left eye … uh … hospital. PicProps: Sherdog)

While Dana White and Mirko CroCop didn’t totally get their stories straight over the weekend about the status of the fighter’s injured (or not injured) eyeball, both guys voiced confidence that CroCop will be able to compete in his scheduled UFC 119 main event against Frank Mir on Saturday. Unfortunately, their opinions don’t really matter, as multiple media outlets remind us this week that CroCop will still face a medical exam by the Indiana Gaming Commission before he’s allowed to fight.

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CroCop Admits Something Bad Did Happen to His Eye, But Says It’s ‘Nothing Scary’

(Thanks to a traditional Croatian remedy, CroCop’s eye will be just fine. PicProps: Sportal.hr)
This week’s rumors that Mirko CroCop would withdraw from UFC 119 due to injury were indeed greatly exaggerated, but reports that the UFC and Pri…


(Thanks to a traditional Croatian remedy, CroCop’s eye will be just fine. PicProps: Sportal.hr)

This week’s rumors that Mirko CroCop would withdraw from UFC 119 due to injury were indeed greatly exaggerated, but reports that the UFC and Pride vet suffered a mishap in training contain at least a modicum of truth, according to the fighter himself. CroCop told the Croatian sports website Sportal.hr on Saturday that he did take a blow to the eyeball while making final preparations for his fight with Frank Mir next weekend, but assured everyone it’s not something we need to worry our pretty little heads over.

“I got hit in the eye, but nothing scary,” CroCop said, with thanks to MMABay (or somebody) for the translation. “This isn’t the first nor the last punch like that. It won’t stop me from traveling to fight, and to fight next Saturday against Frank Mir.”

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The WEC is Not Impressed With Donald Cerrone’s Loose Lips

(Listen, man. I’m gonna make this up to ya’. I won’t kill ya’ and I’ll be your date for my afterparty.)
In the future, like most major corporations, the UFC and WEC will likely hand out employee handbooks to new signees that list behavioural expectatio…


(Listen, man. I’m gonna make this up to ya’. I won’t kill ya’ and I’ll be your date for my afterparty.)

In the future, like most major corporations, the UFC and WEC will likely hand out employee handbooks to new signees that list behavioural expectations.
On the "DO" list will be things like:

"Hype a fight at all costs, no matter how uninteresting. You may call your opponent a bitch and mention that you want to hurt him if it helps to hype the fight."

and 

"Sit out a year if it means you will hold your place in line for the next title shot when the injured champion of your division returns."

On the "DON’T" list will be things like:

"Pull out of a fight due to injury and agree to appear in a movie, no matter how much you need the money and if that is the case, don’t talk about how poor you may be."

and 

"Mention in an interview that you want your opponent to die inside the Octagon or insinuate or proclaim that he is a homosexual."

Until they start handing out the manual, they are no doubt going to have to keep apologizing for not only the bad behavior, but also the stupid remarks made by their fighters like Frank Mir and Donald Cerrone.

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