UFC on FOX 30 Preview, Predictions & Analysis

Who are you picking to win at tomorrow’s UFC on FOX 30?

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UFC on FOX 30 equals can’t-miss TV.

The UFC returns to FOX this weekend (July 28, 2018) with one of the best main card offerings since signing their TV deal with the network back in 2011.

The Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, Alberta, Canada will host this weekend’s event that will feature three former UFC champions on the main card. Former UFC lightweight champion Eddie  Alvarez will rematch “The Diamond” Dustin Poirier in the evening’s main event.

Former longtime featherweight king Jose Aldo will take on surging veteran Jeremy Stephens in the co-main event. Former strawweight champ Joanna J?drzejczyk will fight Tecia Torres, while Olivier Aubin-Mercier will meet Alexander Hernandez in a pivotal lightweight showdown.

Let us take a deeper look at the four-fight main card:

MMA Junkie / USA Today Sports

Eddie Alvarez vs. Dustin Poirier

If we learned anything from the first time these two collided back at UFC 211, it is that neither of these guys has an ounce of quit in them.

At 34 years old, Alvarez may not be the fighter that was once considered the best lightweight outside of the UFC. That being said, “The Underground King” has had something of a career resurgence as of late and looks to continue his path back to the lightweight title against Poirier.

“The Diamond,” however, has different ideas. The 29-year-old Poirier is riding a three-fight win streak and looks to make it four straight against the former champ at UFC FOX 30. The Lafayette, Louisiana, native has turned a lot of heads in his rise to the top of the lightweight division and looks to continue his ascent to the title against Alvarez.

This one should be a war like their first match-up was, with tons of damage being landed on both sides. In the end, I think Poirier rides his recent momentum to a hard-fought victory.

Prediction: Dustin Poirier def. Eddie Alvarez via split decision

Jose Aldo vs Jeremy Stephens

Jose Aldo is the questioned GOAT of the featherweight division. The Brazilian held the UFC title for over four years, a feat that is almost unheard of in MMA.

Be that as it may, Aldo has been in some wars during his tenure as champ, and although he is only 31 years old, his body has accumulated far more wear and tear than his age would lead you to believe.

Stephens, on the other hand, is 32 years old and has experienced a second-half resurgence of his career that few fighters ever see. “Lil Heathen” will look to make it four straight wins against Aldo and in so doing setting himself up for a title shot in the near future.

This is another fight that could be a striking war. Stephens appears to have a lot more confidence and momentum at this point in his career, and we just don’t know what Aldo has left after three knockout losses in his last four fights.

Prediction: Jeremy Stephens def. Jose Aldo via round one KO

Joanna J?drzejczyk vs. Tecia Torres

Thought to be by far the best strawweight fighter in the world during her decorated run as champion, Jedrzejczyk is on a quest to redeem herself and win back the 115-pound strap.

If J?drzejczyk is to get a third match-up with current division champion Rose Namajunas she must first get past a “Tiny Tornado”. Torres enters UFC FOX 30 on a one-fight skid. However, she believes that an impressive victory over J?drzejczyk will put her right back in title contention.

Be that as it may, this should be Jedrzejczyk’s fight to lose. She owns a decided advantage over Torres on the feet – and over most of the women dcompeting in the strawweight division – so expect her to outwork Torres on her way to a clear-cut decision win.

Prediction: Joanna J?drzejczyk def. Tecia Torres via unanimous decision

Dennis Schneidler-USA TODAY Sports

Alexander Hernandez vs. Olivier Aubin-Mercier

Hernandez made quick work Beneil Dariush in his debut at UFC 222, finishing the veteran in just 42 seconds. “The Great” boasts a 9-1 record, and he is riding a seven-fight win streak. At just 25 years old the future looks bright for this Texas native.

Olivier Aubin-Mercier is tasked with derailing the young fighter’s hype train at UFC FOX 30. “The Quebec Kid” has won seven of his last eight fights and a win over Hernandez could cement his place in the top 10 of the lightweight division.

This one is a bit of a classic striker vs. grappler match-up, with Aubin-Mercier obviously attempting to clinch and get the fight to the ground while Hernandez will be looking to strike and score the KO. I think the massively powerful “Great” will be able to impose his gameplan more effectively.

Prediction: Alexander Hernandez def. Olivier Aubin-Mercier via round one TKO

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Joanna Jedrzejczyk Promises To Return ‘Stronger & Sooner Than You Think’

After losing her women’s strawweight title by brutal knockout at UFC 217, former champion Joanna Jedrzejczyk vows she will come back stronger than ever. Jedrzejczyk succumbed to a brutal barrage first-round punches to Rose Namajunas on Saturday night after being the most dominant female champion since Ronda Rousey. Many considered her to be one of if […]

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After losing her women’s strawweight title by brutal knockout at UFC 217, former champion Joanna Jedrzejczyk vows she will come back stronger than ever.

Jedrzejczyk succumbed to a brutal barrage first-round punches to Rose Namajunas on Saturday night after being the most dominant female champion since Ronda Rousey. Many considered her to be one of if not the best champion on the UFC roster prior to her loss to Namajunas.

The former champ took to Instagram to express her desire to return to the cage as quickly as possible:

Jedrzejczyk had taken the belt from Carla Esparza at UFC 185 and had a firm grasp over the division ever since. But in one of those crazy MMA moments, three UFC belts changed hands at UFC 217, and the Polish national was one of those champions who lost on Saturday.

The knockout loss was her first professional defeat in mixed martial arts, as the former champion was dropped twice before the referee stopped the fight three minutes into the first round in a massive upset victory for Namajunas.

Do you expect Jedrzejczyk to regain her belt? Or will this loss have larger psychological implications for the former champ?

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Six Disturbing Reasons No One Seems To Care About UFC 217

Back when Georges St-Pierre was welterweight champion of the world, he was a proven box office and pay-per-view draw, especially when it came to the Canadian MMA market. But heading into his middleweight title bout versus Michael Bisping in the main event of November 4’s UFC 217 after four years of semi-retirement, it has begun to […]

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Back when Georges St-Pierre was welterweight champion of the world, he was a proven box office and pay-per-view draw, especially when it came to the Canadian MMA market.

But heading into his middleweight title bout versus Michael Bisping in the main event of November 4’s UFC 217 after four years of semi-retirement, it has begun to appear he might not be the draw he once was, the star new owners Endeavor (formerly WME-IMG) expect (or more so, need) him to be.

That and many more reasons behind it seem to be holding back UFC 217, which, with three high-level title fights, was thought to be quite possibly the UFC’s finest major offering of the year in terms of quality fights. Based on ticket sales and overall buzz in the MMA world, that just isn’t the case, and it’s coming at a time when the UFC needs a big PPV hit most.

Take a look at the six concerning reasons no one seems to care about UFC 217:

Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports

6. A Middleweight Title Fight No One Asked For

Fans certainly didn’t ask for St-Pierre to return at middleweight while getting an immediate title fight in doing so.

It goes without saying that Bisping’s fellow middleweights aren’t fans of the fight either. There were definitely better and more just options for the champion’s next fight, namely Yoel Romero and Ronaldo Souza, but new interim champ Robert Whittaker knocked them both off in April and July, respectively, only to suffer a serious knee injury while defeating Romero.

That worked out quite well for “The Count.” Bisping has taken it easy since winning the belt, defending the strap once against then No. 14-ranked Dan Henderson.

It may seem to fans that Bisping is hijacking the division with needless title defenses while managing to dodge the dangerous contenders in Whittaker, Romero, Souza, Rockhold, and Weidman.

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Breaking: Joanna J?drzejczyk To Defend Title Against Rose Namajunas At UFC 217

Joanna Jędrzejczyk’s Octagon return is set. The UFC strawweight champ is set to defend her title for a sixth time against the No. 3-ranked Rose Namajunas at UFC 217 live on pay-per-view (PPV) from Madison Square Garden in New York City on November 4, 2017. It joins a UFC middleweight championship bout between Georges St-Pierre […]

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Joanna J?drzejczyk’s Octagon return is set.

The UFC strawweight champ is set to defend her title for a sixth time against the No. 3-ranked Rose Namajunas at UFC 217 live on pay-per-view (PPV) from Madison Square Garden in New York City on November 4, 2017. It joins a UFC middleweight championship bout between Georges St-Pierre and Michael Bisping as well:

J?drzejczyk is currently undefeated in her mixed martial arts (MMA) career with a spotless record of 14-0. The Polish knockout artist has racked up wins over the likes of Claudia Gadelha (twice), Carla Esparza, Jessica Penne, Karolina Kowalkiewicz, Jessica Andrade, and many more. The 29-year-old champ continues to make a name for herself and build her case of being considered the most dominant female champion in MMA today.

Namajunas has only had nine professional MMA fights in her career, however, she has already solidified herself as one of the baddest women in the world at 115 pounds at just 25 years of age. “Thug” lost out on the opportunity to become the division’s innaugural champion back in December of 2014 when she lost to Carla Esparza, however, she bounced back with wins over Angela Hill, Paige VanZant, and Tecia Torres.

After suffering a split decision loss to Karolina Kowalkiewicz in July of last year, Namajunas earned her shot at the 115-pound title by defeating “The Karate Hottie” Michelle Waterson via second round submission this past April.

Now, “Thug” is hoping to pull off the upset when she takes on “Joanna Champion” at Madison Square Garden later this year, earning her first career UFC title.

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Claudia Gadelha: I’m The Best Fighter In This Division

Claudia Gadelha is flying high after her first round submission win over Karolina Kowalkiewicz last night (Sat. June 3, 2017). Gadelha is one of the most dominant 115-pound fighters on the UFC’s roster, as her only two losses in her mixed martial arts (MMA) career have come by the way of current strawweight champion Joanna Jedrzejczyk. Although […]

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Claudia Gadelha is flying high after her first round submission win over Karolina Kowalkiewicz last night (Sat. June 3, 2017).

Gadelha is one of the most dominant 115-pound fighters on the UFC’s roster, as her only two losses in her mixed martial arts (MMA) career have come by the way of current strawweight champion Joanna Jedrzejczyk. Although she has lost to Jedrzejczyk twice already, Gadelha still considers herself the best fighter in the division.

During the UFC 212 post-fight press conference, Gadelha stated that she knows there are still some areas she needs to improve on before she can become champion of the world (quotes via MMA Fighting):

“I consider myself the best fighter in the division,” Gadelha said. “But I think a few things are missing that I needed to do to perform well inside of the Octagon. And that’s why I decided to change everything in my life. It has not been easy to leave my comfort zone. Ten years living in Rio, I went abroad alone, nobody there. Training with different trainers.

“It’s very, very tough, but I got to a point in my career where I felt I needed to improve and to become the fighter that I wanted to be, and that I desired to be.”

Jason Silva for USA TODAY Sports

Gadelha has no issues speaking about her two losses to Jedrzejczyk, however, she only believes that one of those defeats was legitimate:

“It doesn’t bother me at all to talk about that,” she said. “We’re in a sport where you can win and you can lose at anytime. Of course, we always want positive results, but we can’t always get that.

“And about my two defeats to Joanna, I only believe there is one. There’s two on paper, but if you were to analyze the fight, I did not lose that first fight to her. The second fight I really did lose, but if you were to look technically at it, I have better technique, and better MMA technique. I’m not a better striker, but I’m a better MMA fighter than Joanna. But I trained incorrectly to fight with her.”

As for what exactly went wrong in her training for Jedrzejczyk, Gadelha stated that she ‘killed’ her body during her preparation for the title bout:

“I killed myself,” she said. “I trained for 17 weeks in my camp, killing my body. I was destroyed, I couldn’t even stand up. I was killing my body. I’m that kind of Brazilian. I never give up, and I always give my best at all times. And sometimes giving your best is not the right thing. You have to follow the recipe or it’s not going to come out right. That’s exactly what I did in the second fight against Joanna.

“How do I see myself in the division today, I believe I’ve got the No. 1 ranking, at least on paper. Joanna is the champion. I have all the tools to beat her, but I needed to do what I did to reinvent myself, to be able to improve and to find what was missing in my game, as far as my cardio, my patience.”

Jason Silva for USA TODAY Sports

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Joanna Jedrzejczyk: I’m On Another Level Now

Joanna Jedrzejczyk is the most dominant female champion in mixed martial arts (MMA) today, and at the rate she’s progressing, she’s on track to possibly becoming the best of all time. In the co-main event of last night’s (Sat. May 13, 2017) UFC 211 pay-per-view (PPV) from Dallas, Jedrzejczyk took home a lopsided unanimous decision win

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Joanna Jedrzejczyk is the most dominant female champion in mixed martial arts (MMA) today, and at the rate she’s progressing, she’s on track to possibly becoming the best of all time.

In the co-main event of last night’s (Sat. May 13, 2017) UFC 211 pay-per-view (PPV) from Dallas, Jedrzejczyk took home a lopsided unanimous decision win over No. 3-ranked Jessica Andrade for her fifth consecutive 115-pound title defense. “Joanna Champion” put on one of the best performances of her career, as it marked her second fight training under newly-joined coaches at American Top Team.

During the post-fight press conference, Jedrzejczy stated that she believes her performance against her Brazilian counterpart was the best of her career, and the work she has been putting in over at American Top Team is a large part of it (quotes via MMA Fighting):

“Yes, I think so, even if I’m getting older,” Jedrzejczyk said at the UFC 211 post-fight conference. “I feel this fire, and I want to learn. Since I moved to American Top Team, I feel like I’m the bird that got to escape from its cage, if you know that meaning. I’m very hard on myself everyday, you can ask my coaches, and after a good training session, I’m not happy because I know I can do better or change something to do better, you know? That’s why I keep on defending this belt.”

Jedrzejczy is still undefeated in her MMA career with 14 straight wins. She defeated inaugural strawweight champion Carla Esparza via second round TKO to win the title before taking out the likes of Jessica Penne, Valerie Letourneau, Claudia Gadelha, Karolina Kowalkiewicz, and now Andrade to defend her title.

Photo by Jerome Miron for USA TODAY Sports

It’s expected that Jedrzejczy’s next challenger will be No. 4-ranked Rose Namajunas, but regardless if that’s the case or now, the Polish knockout artist remains prepared to take on any and all challengers who threaten her reign as queen at 115 pounds:

“Before my last fight at Madison Square Garden, I only had six, seven weeks to work with my new coaches and team,” Jedrzejczyk said. “It wasn’t enough, but I think we still put on great work. This time we definitely had more time, and I’m very happy. I feel like I stepped on a different level and I’m looking forward to it. I (will) go on vacations for a few days to fly back to Poland to spend some time with my family, but I can’t wait to get back to ATT and put in work again with my team.

“I don’t know who’s going to be my next opponent right now,” Jedrzejczyk added. “I’m happy about this fight and I’m looking forward to spend some time with my fiancé and my family. I will have some vacations, and after that, I will think about my next fight. I don’t care who’s my next opponent, I will put on great work and defend this title for a sixth time.”

Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Image Credit: Jerome Miron for USA TODAY Sports

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