UFC Bantamweight Bout: Urijah Faber vs. Scott Jorgensen
Odds: ( -450 Faber / +325 Jorgensen )
Betting Pick: Faber
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In the main event of UFC’s Ultimate Fighter 17 Finale, former WEC poster boy Urijah Faber will square off against tough-as-nails veteran Scott Jorgensen in a Bantamweight showdown. Faber was once the most feared 145 pound fighter in the world, but he hasn’t looked like his old self lately. Still, he is a very dangerous fighter with solid wrestling, good hands, and a wealth of experience, so if Jorgensen wants to pull off the upset he is going to have his hands full.
Scott “Young Guns” Jorgensen is a tough, durable veteran who has acquitted himself well against top-level competition for years. He’s a skilled grappler with dangerous submission skills and solid wrestling, and his boxing is decent but lacks power. He can hold his own in a boxing match, but I don’t think standing and trying to trade with the more-explosive Faber is really his best option. Faber is extremely versatile and a threat to finish everywhere, so if Jorgensen wants a win here he is going to need to move from range to range well, scoring his points where he can and never allowing Faber to get comfortable.
Since his glory days atop the WEC, Urijah Faber has lost a step or two. Consistent losses to championship-caliber competition have made it clear that the days of Faber as a top dog are over, but he is the perfect gatekeeper for a quickly-growing division. Faber has only lost to guys who were at the top of their divisions at the time, and can still consistently dominate mid-level competition.
In the end, unfortunately for him, Scott Jorgensen is mid-level competition. He’s not threatening enough in any one area to impose his will on a veteran like Faber, and if he tries to employ a versatile gameplan, he will find himself getting outfought standing and on the ground by a superior fighter with more experience. I don’t see a way for Jorgensen to avoid getting controlled and outscored. Faber by unanimous decision.
Prediction: “The California Kid” Urijah Faber by Unanimous Decision.
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