UFC Featherweight Bout: Mark Hominick vs. Eddie Yagin
Odds: (-550 Hominick / +375 Yagin )
Betting Pick: Hominick in a parlay
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In a very important bout for their respective careers, Mark “The Machine” Hominick will look to halt a two-fight losing streak against journeyman Eddie “The Filipino Phenom” Yagin. Yagin has a very solid 15-5 professional record, but he has fought a much, much lower level of competition than Hominick and this fight represents a huge step up for him. Hominick is currently on a disappointing two-fight skid, but the level of competition he has faced far outstrips Yagin’s and he is a much more complete fighter. Neither of these guys can afford to lose, being three fight losing streaks or dropping your first two UFC fights are not a good way to maintain employment.
Eddie Yagin has a nice 15-5 record as a professional, but his resume is full of smaller shows and low-level opponents. He has faced a few top fighters, including Rich Clementi and Vitor Ribeiro, but both of those guys beat him easily. Yagin is definitely well-rounded, and can hold his own standing and on the ground, but it’s hard to imagine his performance holding up any better against Hominick than it did against Rich Clementi. Yagin is a skilled fighter, but he might be in over his head at this level of competition.
Mark Hominick is a very versatile and effective veteran. While his 20-10 professional record may not look like much on paper, he has fought a very high level of competition and has hardly ever lost a fight that wasn’t against a world-class opponent. He can finish fights with strikes or submissions in equal measure. One thing he needs to be careful about is getting careless on the ground against Yagin. Hominick’s submission defense is notoriously poor, and Yagin does have pretty effective jiu-jitsu. I think Hominick has a lot of advantages in this fight, and if he can avoid getting careless and giving something away, he will be in a good position to win.
This is a very one-sided fight in my opinion. Hominick is a very exciting and dangerous Featherweight with two straight losses under his back, and Yagin is a perfect opponent to make it a good fight and get Hominick back in the win column. Yagin is a well-rounded guy with a lot of fights to his credit, so he will not be a total walkover, but Hominick is more effective in every area and has fought at a much higher level for years. I expect Hominick to control the action easily for a unanimous decision win. From a betting standpoint, avoid this one like the plague. Hominick is very nearly a sure thing, but considering the insanely one-sided line on this fight, there’s no reason to ever bet it. As for Yagin, even as a huge underdog, I don’t think he is a good bet either.
Prediction: Mark Hominick by Unanimous Decision.
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