Congrats To Evan Dunham and Congrats To Me

Evan Dunham submitted Efrain Escudero which will be ruled as an arm bar, but it was starting to look like Aoki’s recent shoulder joint twist. Dunham was a 2-1+ dog.
Once Evan Dunham weathered Escudero’s storm, his reach and variety of ways to win, and skillset took over.

Evan Dunham submitted Efrain Escudero which will be ruled as an arm bar, but it was starting to look like Aoki’s recent shoulder joint twist. Dunham was a 2-1+ dog.

Once Evan Dunham weathered Escudero’s storm, his reach and variety of ways to win, and skillset took over.

WEC Henderson vs Varner Picks Go 3-0

I picked those 3 fights 3-0 not exactly a guarantee other than the Mike Brown fight.
The Varner, Henderson fight started getting skewed towards Varner and was favored pre-fight as well. I liked Henderson the whole way and he won in the way he always wins. Tires a mother out and then slips in a […]

I picked those 3 fights 3-0 not exactly a guarantee other than the Mike Brown fight.

The Varner, Henderson fight started getting skewed towards Varner and was favored pre-fight as well. I liked Henderson the whole way and he won in the way he always wins. Tires a mother out and then slips in a submission.

Get ready for UFC Fight Night.

WEC Varner vs Henderson Predictions

January 10th people. If you have Versus you can watch this one free.
Jamie Varner vs Ben Henderson
So excited for this fight. I picked Ben Henderson to beat Donald Cerrone a great striker and ground guy and that fight gave Henderson, a relative unknown, the interim belt. Now Varner and Henderson fight to make it undisputed. […]

January 10th people. If you have Versus you can watch this one free.

Jamie Varner vs Ben Henderson

So excited for this fight. I picked Ben Henderson to beat Donald Cerrone a great striker and ground guy and that fight gave Henderson, a relative unknown, the interim belt. Now Varner and Henderson fight to make it undisputed. Varner has had alot of injury issues in 2009 and the reason why the fight is pushed to this weekend.

Varner is a very well rounded fighter with a sharp standup game that gave Rob McCullough a TKO sandwich. Henderson is a crafty slick tough guy who will tire you out and pull out a win when you are about to vomit. He does it all the time.

I don’t know if there is enough edge here to take Henderson, even though I think he is going to win. Well I take that back. I want him to win. I’m biased this fight so I will avoid making a pick.

BETUS has Varner @ -145 and Henderson @ +115

Urijah Faber vs Raphael Assuncao

Assuncao doesn’t possess the stand up firepower to put Faber out. Maybe on the ground though something could happen as Assuncao is good there. I think Urijah Faber will win, but with these ridiculous odds its an avoid.

With these odds, Assuncao is almost worth a play here in a hope he catches Faber in an arm bar or something.

BETUS has Faber @ -400 and Assuncao @ +300

Mike Brown vs Anthony Morrison

Mike Brown is on the comeback trail after being demolished by Jose Aldo. Considering that Morrison has lost to Micah Miller, Jim Miller, and the majority of his losses have been due to submission, you have to think American Top Team stud Mike Brown can give Morrison problems all over that cage.

Therefore, Mike Brown to win, but the odds are ridiculous.

BETUS has Brown @ -800 and Morrison @ +500

UFC Fight Night Predictions

Grey Maynard vs Nate Diaz
Grey Maynard gets to take revenge on Nate Diaz for the guillotine that cost Grey the prize on The Ultimate Fighter show.
Maynard is no longer the pure wrestler that could fall into submissions. Maynard is no longer the guy that didn’t have a stand up game. Maynard is a complete fighter […]

Grey Maynard vs Nate Diaz

Grey Maynard gets to take revenge on Nate Diaz for the guillotine that cost Grey the prize on The Ultimate Fighter show.

Maynard is no longer the pure wrestler that could fall into submissions. Maynard is no longer the guy that didn’t have a stand up game. Maynard is a complete fighter and despite how much I like the Diaz brother’s fighting style and what they bring to the cage everytime. I think Maynard’s completeness here gives him a serious edge.

Diaz could potentially get tagged up badly on the feet. On the ground, Diaz will have an advantage as long as he doesn’t get balled up tightly and get punched in the face when in an awkward position.

Maynard has to watch out for the triangle and diverse neck choke options Diaz has.

I like Grey Maynard to win. Bodog has Grey Maynard @ -295

Efrain Escudero vs Evan Dunham

Both are undefeated. Escudero has been impressive with his last two fights, 1 being a sick knockout. I think this fight is different. Evan Dunham has probably the slight edge in competition faced. He recently beat Marcus Aurelio who was fighting on short notice. Dunham looked good though in that fight. He will have a reach advantage in this fight.

I like Evan Dunham to win. Bodog has Evan Dunham @ +220

Tom Lawlor vs Aaron Simpson

Tom Lawlor beat Aaron Simpson’s training partner, CB Dollaway in their last fight. A fight that I picked Dollaway to win. Lawlor literally caught CB in a guillotine in the opening seconds and was choked unconscious inside 30 seconds. It ain’t happening again. Simpson has a good stand up game and is very tough.

I like Aaron Simpson to win. Bodog has Aaron Simpson @ -260

Amir Sadollah vs Brad Blackburn

Amir’s knees may be a problem for Blackburn, but Blackburn likes the fight on the mat controlling the clock just like any wrestler would. I would give Sadollah a distinct advantage on the feet here. Throw in his ability to snag two deep armbars on wrestler CB Dollaway, I think you have a hard time not thinking Sadollah will win this one.

I like Amir Sadollah to win. BetUS has Amir Sadollah @ -160

Chris Leben vs Jay Silva

Avoid.

Fields Dynamite K-1 DREAM New Year’s Eve Predictions

MMA Rules Fights
Alistair Overeem (31-11-0) vs Kazuyuki Fujita (15-8-0)
No chance. Fujita will be a punching bag for Overeem.
Minowaman (43-30-8) vs Sokoudjou (7-5-0)
DREAM Super Hulk Grand Prix 2009 Final
I’m going to be shocked if Sokoudjou loses this one. Minowaman has literally built his reputation on taking on bigger fighters, but who has he beaten really?
Gary Goodridge […]

MMA Rules Fights

Alistair Overeem (31-11-0) vs Kazuyuki Fujita (15-8-0)

No chance. Fujita will be a punching bag for Overeem.

Minowaman (43-30-8) vs Sokoudjou (7-5-0)

DREAM Super Hulk Grand Prix 2009 Final

I’m going to be shocked if Sokoudjou loses this one. Minowaman has literally built his reputation on taking on bigger fighters, but who has he beaten really?

Gary Goodridge vs Gegard Mousasi

No chance, for Goodridge here. If the fight stands which is where Goodridge will have his best chance of winning, Mousasi will pick him apart.

Melvin Manhoef vs Kazuo Misaki

I think this fight could end up with Misaki winning. Manhoef is susceptible due to his overcommitment to “hay maker.”

Tatsuya Kawajiri (25-5-2) vs Kazunori Yokota (11-2-3)

Kawajiri here seems like where I lean.

Shinya Aoki (22-4-0) vs Mizuto Hirota (12-3-1)

Aoki.

Hidehiko Yoshida (8-7-1) vs Satoshi Ishii (0-0-0)

Two Olympic gold medal judokas with Yoshida having significant mma DREAM experience.

Norifumi “KID” Yamamoto (17-2-0) vs Masanori Kanehara (15-7-5)

Kanehara is walking into trouble in this fight. Kanehara won a close match against Omigawa, while Yamamoto is coming off an upset loss to Joe Warren, which I called.

Hayato “Mach” Sakurai (35-9-2) vs Akihiro Gono (30-15-7)

Great fight here. One I am most excited about.

Katsuyori Shibata (4-6-1) vs Hiroshi Izumi (0-1-0)

Avoid.

Hiroyuki Takaya (12-7-1) vs Michihiro Omigawa (8-8-1)

Avoid.

Hideo Tokoro (25-21-1) vs Marlon Sandro (15-1-0)

Tokoro has been in some battles and the guy never loses his lungs. He will need it against the hard hitting Sandro. Sandro.

K-1 Rules Fights

Masato vs Andy Souwer

Andy Souwer has beaten Masato before. I really like Souwer’s fighting style.
I like Souwer to win.

Yosuke Nishijima vs Ray Sefo

Sefo.

Hiroya vs Masaaki Noiri

Avoid.

Shota Shimada vs Katsuki Ishida

Avoid.

Ryuya Kusakabe vs Tsukasa Fuji

Avoid.

UFC 108 Predictions

UFC 108 takes place Sat, Jan 02, 2010
Rashad Evans vs Thiago Silva
It seems to me that the skillset of Evans is slightly better than Silva’s. This is a really even matchup, but like I said, slight edge to Evans.
Bodog has Evans @ -215 and Thiago Silva @ +175
Joe Lauzon vs Sam Stout
Sam Stout has shown […]

UFC 108 takes place Sat, Jan 02, 2010

Rashad Evans vs Thiago Silva

It seems to me that the skillset of Evans is slightly better than Silva’s. This is a really even matchup, but like I said, slight edge to Evans.

Bodog has Evans @ -215 and Thiago Silva @ +175

Joe Lauzon vs Sam Stout

Sam Stout has shown very much improved ground game in his fight against Matt Wiman and Rich Clementi two guys who like to smother their opponents and submit them. However, both fights Stout was able to take the fight to a decision. In this fight you have another smotherer in Joe Lauzon against a good striker Stout. You can look to the Jeremy Stephens vs Lauzon fight in Tampa earlier this year as a possible outcome to this fight.

Jeremy had alot of shots on Lauzon that put him in danger, but Joe weathered the storm in a smart fashion avoiding every bomb and eventually secured a great armbar. Same game plan here for Lauzon. Avoid the strikes on the feet and when the fight gets to the ground pancake the guy and control the fight. Lauzon will control the fight on the ground he has excellent skills there and are underrated. Stout is probably a better striker in terms of boxer, but less lethal than Stephens. So if Stout keeps this thing in a boxing match style fight, Stout can win this one.

I like Lauzon here to control the fight on the ground. Who knows if he finds the submission or not.

Bodog has Joe “J-Lau” Lauzon @ -295 and Sam “Hands of Stone” Stout @ +235

Junior “Cigano” dos Santos vs Gilbert “The Hurricane” Yvel

Both of these guys are great stand up strikers. dos Santos is the boxer and Yvel is the kickboxer. Yvel has loads of fight experience and has had suspect cardio and ground game against Josh Barnett semi-recently.
dos Santos train with Nogueira’s, but we have never seen his ground game in the cage.

It seems likely that Junior dos Santos should win based on his previous fights, but dos Santo’s strengths are Yvel’s. When you have two equals here in one area, and possibly Yvel gets the edge in the striking department to begin with, the dog bet seems logical. Therefore, Yvel.

Bodog has Junior “Cigano” dos Santos @ -285 and Gilbert “The Hurricane” Yvel +225

Martin Kampmann vs Jacob “Christmas” Volkmann

Kampmann is coming off a loss to Paul Daley and Volkmann is coming off a loss to Paulo Thiago. I was impressed with Volkmann’s submission defense and Volkmann kept that fight interesting and put Thiago in danger a few times. Volkmann is likely to be a punching bag in this fight, but on the ground, Volkmann I think has a strong edge.

If the odds get really skewed here, I would take Volkmann, but they are not, so Kampmann is where I’d be.

Bodog has Martin “The Hitman” Kampmann @ -225 and Jacob “Christmas” Volkmann @ +180

Vladimir “The Janitor” Matyushenko vs Steve “The Robot” Cantwell

Vladimir has looked boring, imo, in most of his fights. He has great top control and can pummel fighters into submission. His standup is not great and he is going up against a really good striker in Cantwell.

I think this is a very interesting play with Cantwell the much younger fighter as the underdog.

Vladimir “The Janitor” Matyushenko @ -200 and Steve “The Robot” Cantwell @ +160

Mike “Quicksand” Pyle vs Jake Ellenberger

This fight is set at even and I like Jake Ellenberger to win.

Bodog has Ellenberger @ -115 and Pyle @ -115

Cole “Magrino” Miller vs Dan “The Upgrade” Lauzon

Both Lauzon brothers are fighting on the same card here. Cole Miller’s strengths are his length and reach as well as the ground game. Lauzon probably wants to be on top of Miller dishing out GnP which is where he as at home winning several fights via TKO. Lauzon is a jiu-jitsu specialist as well as Miller. So I’m not looking for any submissions here. Miller actually likes fighting off his back, and Lauzon is the better finisher on top that Miller is.

Seems simple to me. Dan “The Upgrade” Lauzon giving both brothers a victory, “making history,” and something Mike Goldberg will able to get excited about all night. This might be my favorite play on the card.

Bodog has Miller @ -165 and Lauzon @ +135

Mark Munoz vs Ryan Jensen

Munoz simple.

Bodog has Munoz @ -340 and Jensen @ +260