UFC Welterweight bout: Martin Kampmann vs. Jake Ellenberger
Odds: (+175 Kampmann /-225 Ellenberger )
Betting Pick: Ellenberger
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In the main event of the evening, Jake “The Juggernaut” Ellenberger and Martin “Hitman” Kampmann will do battle in the Welterweight division. Kampmann, who had some success at Middleweight before dropping down, is one of the division’s most versatile fighters, but Ellenberger’s bruising striking and powerful wrestling have propelled him to a six fight win streak, including a first round destruction of former Strikeforce champion Jake Shields, so Kampmann is going to need a great performance here if he wants to make it three wins in a row.
Martin Kampmann is one of the most versatile fighters in the Welterweight division. A skilled kickboxer, Kampmann also has serviceable wrestling and a much underrated submission game. Kampmann is a very aggressive fighter both standing and on the ground. He is a prolific finisher and a very tough fighter as well. The only two weaknesses in Kampmann’s game are his chin, which can be exploited, and the fact that he has trouble dealing with very physical wrestlers. Unfortunately, Ellenberger is a very physical wrestler with enough power in his hands to exploit Kampmann’s chin, so Kampmann is going to have to pick his shots and try to establish a good range where he can utilize his superior footwork and technique to move in and out without leaving himself in danger.
Jake “The Juggernaut” Ellenberger is one of the toughest veterans in the Welterweight division. He is a very solid wrestler with good takedowns, good clinch control, and devastating ground and pound. In addition, he has very heavy-handed boxing and is good at getting in close, controlling position, and bruising his opponents on the inside. Ellenberger has lost only once in the last 4 years, a razor-thin split decision against interim champion Carlos Condit. The only way to stop Ellenberger is to either beat him to the punch consistently while moving away or to try and put him on his back. His wrestling and ability to use the clinch make both of those much more difficult to execute than they sound, though.
I don’t think this is a very favorable matchup for Kampmann. Kampmann is the more technical of the two, but he has problems dealing with aggressive, physical fighters who can control position, take a punch, and throw back hard. Unfortunately that is exactly the kind of fighter he is faced with. I think Ellenberger will physically control Kampmann, score points on the inside and with takedowns, and earn the unanimous decision victory.
Prediction: Jake Ellenberger by Unanimous Decision.
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