Tybura Vs. Spivac 2 Betting Odds, Prediction | UFC Betting Sites

UFC Fight Night: Tybura v Spivac — Photo by Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Heavyweight veterans Marcin Tybura vs. Sergey Spivac will square off for the second time TONIGHT (Sat., Aug. 10, 2024) at UFC Vegas 95 inside UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.

It’s been four years since the first fight between Tybura and Spivac. At the time, Spivac’s UFC career was just getting started, as he was 1-1 in the promotion. Meanwhile, Tybura had already climbed into the Top 10, but four losses in five fights saw the Polish athlete in need of a victory. He fought down the ladder against Spivac, giving the young “Polar Bear” a lesson in being a well-rounded Heavyweight.

Since then, Spivac has improved considerably to join the Top 10. Tybura is a mainstay of those ranks, consistent and tough enough to hang around despite occasional losses to the absolute top-tier of Heavyweight contenders.

Let’s take a closer look at the betting odds and strategic keys for each athlete:

UFC Fight Night: Gane v Spivac Ceremonial Weigh-in

Tybura Vs. Spivac 2 Betting Odds

Marcin Tybura victory: +142
Marcin Tybura via TKO/KO/DQ: +400
Marcin Tybura via submission: +1000
Marcin Tybura via decision: +400
Sergei Spivac victory: -170
Sergei Spivac via TKO/KO/DQ: +165
Sergei Spivac via submission: +300
Sergei Spivac via decision: +650
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

How Tybura Wins

Tybura is a longtime veteran of the Heavyweight division with a good mix of skills. His best assets are wrestling and top control, but he’s got a sneaky kicking game and solid conditioning as well.

In the first fight, Tybura was a step ahead. He was able to land the better shots on the feet, time Spivac’s charges forward, and control a good portion of the fight on the floor or in the clinch. As a result, Spivac started getting desperate, which resulted in more control time for the Polish fighter.

Likely, it’ll be a bit more competitive this time around. If he’s able to gain top position, however, Tybura can remain in the driver’s seat. Spivac is accustomed to throwing his opponents around in the clinch, but Tybura can hold his own there and probably still has a cardio advantage. If he once again forces a grueling wrestling match, there’s a good chance he can come out on top a second time.

How Spivac Wins

Spivac has improved quite a bit since 2020. Most notably, the grappler developed a solid jab, making him a more serious force on the feet. Regardless, the ground is still where he thrives, as Tybura is a dangerous finish with ground strikes and submissions alike. At 29 years of age, there’s still plenty of time for Spivac to keep improving and become a true contender.

The jab could really be the difference-maker here. In the first fight, Spivac ran onto takedowns multiple times, whereas now he has a weapon that should let him hang back and do damage. If he’s not starting wrestling exchanges from bad positions, keeping up with Tybura in the clinch will feel be a lot more manageable.

That doesn’t mean the Moldovan shouldn’t try to score his own takedowns, of course. In the first fight, he dove forward into takedowns rather than engaging with his clinch trip and throws in the open. A small strategic shift should really benefit him, as he’s the more likely of the two to do major damage if able to score the takedown.

Tybura vs. Spivac 2 Prediction

It’s not a great main event, but it will be an interesting gauge of Spivac’s progression.

I have to say that the Spivac of 2024 is far better than his 2020 equivalent. The rising contender is more confident and more rounded, two hugely important factors. At this point, it feels like a serious edge in athleticism and power is necessary to spark Spivac early and avoid his grappling — does that sound like Marcin Tybura to anyone?

When they first fought, it was Tybura was stayed a step ahead and thus was able to win the fight everywhere. Four years later, I’m expected the opposite, as Spivac’s jab lets him dictate exchanges and subsequently score the takedowns.

Prediction: Spivac via decision (+650)

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