UFC Seattle Odds: Best Betting Props, Parlays & Picks

UFC Seattle is live this weekend (Sat., Feb. 22, 2025), featuring Henry Cejudo vs. Song Yadong in the main event. Checkout the odds for that fight (and much more) right here!

UFC Seattle comes to us live this weekend (Sat., Feb., 22, 2025) from inside Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington. The ESPN+-streamed main event stars former Flyweight and Bantamweight champion, Henry Cejudo, taking on the top-ranked Song Yadong (No. 8). This is a Bantamweight bout, not the Flyweight contest Triple-C teased earlier this year.

The “Rain City” co-main event will feature Brendan Allen battling Anthony Hernandez. A Hernandez win could single him out as a dark horse title contender in the Middleweight division. Also on the main card we’ve got Jean Silva vs. Melsik Baghdasaryan, Alonzo Menifield vs. Julius Walker and Rob Font vs. Jean Matsumoto. Font had been scheduled to face former champion, Dominick Cruz, but the Dominator’s body wouldn’t co-operate (full details here).

UFC Seattle’s “Prelims” undercard includes some interesting tilts (some of which have been made at the last-minute). Among them we’ve got Andre Fili vs. Melquizael Costa, Ricky Simon vs. Javid Basharat and Ion Cutelaba vs. Ibo Aslan.

Let’s checkout the money lines on “Cejudo vs. Song” and all the other bouts on the card …

UFC Seattle Main Card Money Line Odds

Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Henry Cejudo (+235) vs. Song Yadong (-290)

It’s been tough for Cejudo since he announced his attempt at a career resurgence. The 38 year-old got back in the cage, after a three year hiatus, in 2023 and lost a split decision to then Bantamweight champion Aljamain Sterling. Last February he lost to Aljo’s best bud Merab Dvalishvili (setting The Machine up for his own title shot).

It’s not been all rosy for Song, either, lately. After splatting Marlon Moraes with an uppercut in 2022 (see it here), he’s gone 2-2 with high profile losses to Cory Sandhagen and Petr Yan and wins over Ricky Simon and Chris Gutierrez. The win over Simon was especially epic (see the fifth round technical knockout here).

This is going to be an uphill battle for the over the hill Cejudo. He’s ten years Song’s senior and he’s giving up four inches of height and three inches of reach. On fight night, Song will likely be considerably heavier than Cejudo, too.

Though he didn’t overly rely on them during his prime, Cejudo will likely look for takedowns against Song.

Since his return Cejudo has had to deal with two of the best wrestlers in the division. He more than held his own against Sterling, going three for eight on takedown attempts and stopping eleven of Sterling’s attempts. Against Dvalishvili things were more lopsided… as you’d expect given how Dvalishvili has blossomed since then. Dvalishvili took Cejudo down five times (on eleven attempts) and limited the Olympic champion to just one takedown of his own (on seven attempts).

Song has a very good 72 percent takedown defense. And this has been tested by some decent wrestlers. Though, Ricky Simon and Kyler Phillips are a far cry from what Cejudo could do at his best (and perhaps what he can do at this stage of his career, too).

I think Cejudo will be able to get Song down. I just don’t think he will be able to keep him down. I think Song will be able to drag Cejudo with him to the fence and get up when he needs to. He’s just so much bigger, stronger and more athletic than Cejudo is right now.

I don’t think Cejudo has the engine he once had, so I doubt he can win a fight spamming takedowns and relentlessly dragging Song down on repeat. I think he might spend a lot of energy to get Song down and then find himself demoralized and depleted when Song gets up and forces him to fight him on the feet again.

On the feet, I think Song will have too much speed and power for Cejudo.

I think this all shapes up to a decision win for Song. I think Cejudo will give a good account of himself, but ultimately prove he’s not good enough to hang with these kids. If that happens we might see him hang up the gloves again on Saturday night, maybe for good.

I like Song to the point that I’m tempted by the point spread. You can get Song -5.5 for -135. I think he’ll likely win a lopsided decision. This bet covers you if he gets the finish, but I fancy Cejudo’s chances of seeing the judges’ scorecards.

Song by decision is +120, which is a very tempting way of getting plus money on Song. You can up that a little by going for unanimous decision for odds of +150. More conservative options, if you think the fight goes long, includes Over 4.5 rounds for -188 and Fight to go the Distance at -165.

For my best bet I’ll take that decision bet, expecting Song to get it done, but I’d like to leave some wiggle room in case Cejudo is able to take a few rounds along the way.

Best bet: Song Yadong to win by decision (+120)

Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

Brendan Allen (+225) vs. Anthony Hernandez (-275)

Allen and Hernandez had very different experiences in the Octagon during their last fights.

Allen struggled with the striking and defensive wrestling of Middleweight du jour Nassourdine Imavov. Imavov thoroughly dominated their bout, thus setting up his big KO win over Israel Adesanya.

In Hernandez’s last fight, he basically committed felony assault on Michel Pereira, battering the Brazilian from the jump and finishing him (mercifully) part way through the fifth round (see that here). That followed Hernandez’s submission of Roman Kopylov (see it here) and beat down of Edmen Shahbazyan.

Both of these fighters can be relentless on their day. However, Hernandez’s relentlessness comes with violence. Allen has shown he can frustrate and smother opponents. But he doesn’t demoralize and hurt them like ‘Fluffy’ does.

I think Allen might struggle to take Hernandez down or get top position on him. For me, that means he’s going to spend a lot of time eating shots on both the feet and the ground.

He went 1-10 on takedowns against Imavov, who is not an elite takedown defender. Not only is Hernandez an elite anti-wrestler, but he’s also someone who makes you pay for takedown attempts. He has nasty front chokes and he’s great at squashing a shooter and then hurting them with ground-and-pound.

This is also a rematch, by the way. Hernandez beat Allen, via decision, for the vacant Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA) Middleweight title back in 2018. I don’t think that fight is worth reading too much into, though. Both men have developed and matured a lot since then. Even so, you’d rather be the winner of the past fight than the loser.

For all these reasons, it’s easy for me to see why Vegas has Hernandez as such a decent sized favorite.

You can get Hernandez -3.5 for -135. Hernandez via decision is +130, via submission is +300 and via KO/TKO/DQ is +450.

Allen +3.5 is +100 and that’s your best best if you fancy him in this fight.

Personally, I think Hernandez might get a finish. But I think there’s more chance this goes to a decision, with Allen being tough enough, and crafty enough, to keep himself out of prolonged moments of violent pressure. I’ll take the point spread on Fluffy.

Best bet: Anthony Hernandez -3.5 (-135)

Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

Rob Font (+150) vs. Jean Matsumoto (-180)

Reports of Font’s decline have been greatly exaggerated. Last time out he was expected to roll over and let Kyler Phillips waltz into the top ten at Bantamweight. However, the veteran did not oblige. He pasted Phillips on the feet, while a +350 underdog to earn his first win since his technical knockout win over Adrian Yanez (see that here). He lost to both Cory Sandhagen and Deiveson Figueiredo between those bouts.

He’s a slight underdog in this one against short(ish) notice replacement Jean Matsumoto. Matsumoto is undefeted (16-0) and is coming off a great fight with Brad Katona at UFC Vegas 99. Matsumoto showed off slick grappling and wrestling against the dogged Canadian and got the judges nod thanks to the power in his punches (a few of which really stung Katona).

This is a big step up for Matusmoto, who is only two fights into his post Contender Series UFC career. It might be too much, too soon.

I think we’re going to see a very energized and motivated Font here and, as we saw against Phillips, that can balance out the fact he’s closer to 40 than 35.

The 25-year-old Matsumoto might be able get past him (with his well rounded game and hard punches). But, I just can’t count out Font after what we saw the last time. Font will also have a three-inch reach advantage. Font’s boxing technique could make it feel like that reach is twice as long, though.

I think Matsumoto has some exciting potential. I’m just struggling to believe he’s at this level already in his career. I think a close fight with Font will go a long way to helping him unlock that potential, though.

Ultimately, I’m going for the veteran here to repeat what he did last time out.

Best bet: Rob Font moneyline (+130)

Photo by Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Jean Silva (-725) vs. Melsik Baghdasaryan (+450)

Along with Caio Borralho and Carlos Prates, Silva is one of the guys who really put The Fighting Nerds on the map last year. He started 2024 off with a technical knockout over Westin Wilson (see it here). He then KO’d Charles Jourdain with a beautifully-timed uppercut. That lead to a quick turnaround against Drew Dober, who he beat due to a gnarly cut.

Baghdasaryan hasn’t featured in UFC since a decision win over Tucker Lutz in 2023. To date, his most significant win is a stoppage against Collin Anglin (see it here) in his first fight post Contender Series (where he decisioned Dennis Buzukja).

Silva is a massive favorite thanks to his flashy 2024. I think he deserves to be the favorite, but those odds feel a little silly to me. Baghdasaryan isn’t a scrub and he’ll have some size over Silva.

Baghdasaryan lands an impressive 5.28 significant strikes a minute and absorbs just 3.06. Silva lands 5.37, but absorbs 4.43. Baghdasaryan also has an impressive 61 percent accuracy on significant strikes (versus Silva’s 52 percent).

I think Silva’s strikes are of a higher quality than Baghdasaryan, due to his hand speed and timing. But, I think this could be a competitive fight.

For betting I’m looking at the round total and assuming this thing will be over relatively quickly. Both Under 2.5 rounds and Method of Victory is TKO/KO/DQ are at -135. The under comes with less risk, though, so I’ll take that.

Best bet: Under 2.5 rounds (-135)

Photo by Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Alonzo Menifield (-225) vs. Julius Walker (+185)

Menifield has lost his last two, in devastating fashion. In August he was put away by the debuting Azamat Murzakanov (see it here). And in May he lasted just 12 seconds opposite Carlos Ulberg (see that here).

Those losses erased his winning streak that included victories over Dustin Jacoby, Jimmy Crute and Misha Cirkunov.

Walker, meanwhile, is undefeated (6-0) and he’s a rare straight-up signing to UFC. The 25-year-old comes to the Octagon fresh off the regional circuit, bypassing the usual Contender and TUF routes. In regional action he’s finished all of his fights on the ground with technical knockouts and a few submissions.

Here he is against UFC vet Bevon Lewis a few months ago:

Walker is a big Light Heavyweight. He stands 6’4” and has an 81 inch. That makes him much bigger, and longer, than Menifield.

With UFC giving Walker a main event slot (outside of the APEX) for his debut, they might think highly of him. I don’t think a 37 year-old Menifield is the kind of guy they want to serve a softball up to. Instead, this might be a potential showcase for Walker.

Menifield has decent takedown defense, so he might be able to keep this fight standing. If this is a straight up kickboxing match, he probably wins. Walker looks very raw on his feet. If Walker can take Menifield down, though, his athleticism might be tough for the aging veteran to handle.

The round total for this one is set at 1.5 rounds. The under is -135 and the over is +105. I think the under is probably the smarter play out of those options. For my best bet, I’m going with my assumption that both fighters’ path to victory involves a stoppage.

Best bet: Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ (-185)

UFC Seattle ‘Prelims’ Under Card Odds

Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC

Ion Cutelaba (+145) vs. Ibo Aslan (-175)

Aslan has impressed thus far in his UFC career. Last time out he blitzed through Raffael Cerqueira for a standing technical knockout finish (see it here). Before that, he KO’d Anton Turkaj (see that here).

Cutelaba beat Ivan Erslan in his last fight. That’s only his second win in his last six fights. He’s been stopped three times during that run.

Aslan looks like a monster, physically, and he’ll have a bit of a size advantage over Cutelaba. All the muscle on Aslan might be a detriment if he’s forced to carry it all for longer than a round, though. Cutelaba’s game-plan is likely based around testing that, while hoping to avoid Aslan’s big early power.

In his three UFC bouts so far, Aslan has clocked over 8.3 significant strikes per minute. That’s a wild number. He landed 28 significant shots in just 51 seconds against Cerqueira. He put 74 on Turkalj is less than three rounds. He certainly doesn’t seem to pace himself.

If that early offense doesn’t move Cutelaba, then we might see Aslan gas out hard.

If Cutelaba’s smart, he shoots a takedown off the first strike Aslan throws and then forces Aslan to carry him for five minutes. That’s a big if, though. Cutelaba’s not exactly a poster boy for Fight IQ.

The round total for this fight is set at 1.5 rounds, with Vegas thinking Aslan is capable of repeating the 51-second knockout he got last time out. I think the over is the play, though, with Cutelaba doing just enough to survive two rounds.

Best bet: Over 1.5 rounds (-105)

Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Andre Fili (+105) vs. Melquizael Costa (-125)

Fili came through a very fun fight with Cub Swanson last time out with both a win and a Fight of the Night bonus. That moved his UFC record to 12-10 1 NC and saw him bounce back from a first round TKO loss to Dan Ige (see it here).

Costa used his Brazilian jiu-jitsu to beat Shayilan Nuerdanbieke in his last fight, earning a third round submission. Prior to that he was a victim of Steve Garcia, losing by first round technical knockout (see it here).

Fili only has two submission losses on his long pro career. One was a guillotine choke from Max Holloway and the other was a triangle performed by Godofredo Pepey (remember him!?).

Fili’s got great takedown defense, so he might be able to avoid having to go to the ground with Costa altogether. If this stays standing, I fancy Fili to find a way to win.

The round total on this one is 2.5 rounds. I like the over there (-195), due to Fili’s toughness and his lack of finishes. Ultimately, though, I like the Fili moneyline, thinking he can avoid what Costa does best and use his range and striking to get him a decision win.

Best bet: Andre Fili moneyline (+105)

Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC

Mansur Abdul-Malik (-1150) vs. Nick Klein (+650)

Abdul-Malik looks like a heck of a prospect at Middleweight. In his proper UFC debut he dismantled Dusko Todorovic, lighting him up with scary ground and pound and finishing him with a knee (see the finish here).

Klein, meanwhile, was been signed off Contender Series, where he won by first round submission. He’s only 6-1 on his career despite being 29 years-old.

Abdul-Malik has looked like the real deal thus far. I think he will be too powerful for Klein and will probably be able to drag him down and show off his standing ground and pound, again.

With no value on Abdul-Malik’s moneyline, I’m looking at the over/under. And I think he’ll get this fight done quickly.

Best bet: Under 1.5 rounds (-210)

Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Ricky Simon (+220) vs. Javid Basharat (-270)

Basharat lost his undefeated record last time out, losing a decision to Aiemann Zahabi while a -900 favorite.

Simon, on the other hand, is mired in a terrible skid (0-3) after he was bested by Vinicius Oliveira in his last fight. There’s not much shame in that. Oliveira proved he’s rather good by going on to beat Said Nurmagomedov. Simon’s other losses are a decision to Mario Bautista and a TKO loss to Song Yadong. He was on a five fight winning streak prior to those losses.

He’s still just 32, but Simon’s relentless/grinding fight style seems to have slowed down a little over the last year or so.

I think this fight could look a bit like Simon vs. Oliveira, with Simon struggling to get the takedown against the bigger opponent (who has great balance) and then being forced to pay in the striking exchanges between those failed takedown attempts.

Best bet: Javid Basharat moneyline (-270)

Photo by Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Nursulton Ruziboev (-290) vs. Eric McConico (+235)

Ruziboev was one of the more obscure UFC headliners of 2024. He was given the main event slot opposite Joaquin Buckley at UFC St. Louis in May. He wasn’t really able to get much going against the aggressive and hard-hitting Buckley. After losing that Welterweight fight, Ruziboev has moved up to Middleweight for this bout.

McConico is making up the numbers at UFC Seattle. He was signed out of Tuff-N-Uff just so UFC could add another bout to this injury struck card. The 34 year-old McConico fought at Light Heavyweight in his last fight, though he has mostly fought at Middleweight.

Ruziboev isn’t much to write home about and his time as a sadistic size bully at Welterweight is over. Even so, it’s hard to pick against him when his opponent is completely untested at anything beyond the regional circuit.

The round total is set at 1.5 rounds. If that’s based on the idea that Ruziboev is going to run through McConico without issue, I think that’s a little presumptuous. I think Ruziboev will win, but I don’t think he’ll be overly impressive. I think this might go to a decision.

Best bet: Over 1.5 rounds (-110)

Photo by Ben Roberts Photo/Getty Images

Modestas Bukauskas (-320) vs. Raffael Cerqueira (+250)

Bukauskas put in a solid performance when he submitted Marcin Prachnio at UFC 304 last year. Prior to that he was KO’d by a Vitor Petrino right hook (see it here).

Cerqueira was blown away by Ibo Aslan in his promotional debut back in Oct. 2024.

Bukauskas has shown far more at this level than the older Cerqueira has.

Best bet: Modesta Bukauskas moneyline (-320)

Photo by Brian Lawless/PA Images via Getty Images

Austin Vanderford vs. Nikolay Veretennikov

Vanderford makes it to UFC as a short-notice booking along with Veretennikov.

Vanderford, most well known for his relationship with Power Slap’s Paige VanZant, is a Bellator veteran. He was stopped by Gegard Mousasi when he fought for the Middleweight title in 2022 (see it here). He was finished by Aaron Jeffrey later that same year, too. After two years off he returned last year and stopped Victor Romero at LFA 194.

Veretennikov lost a split decision to Danny Barlow in his UFC debut last summer.

This fight was just announced and, as such, there are no odds at this time of writing.

Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

UFC Seattle Long Shots

Here’s a couple of things that look interesting (on DraftKings) for this Saturday’s UFC Seattle card …

Three fight parlay: Song Yadong, Anthony Hernandez, Julius Walker (+417)

I’ve put two favorites and an underdog together for this modest parlay. I think Song will be too potent for Cejudo and Hernandez too violent for Allen. Julius Walker comes into this event with a lot of question marks, given his low level of prior competition. Alonzo Menifield is a tough veteran, but he’s also very wild and has been stopped on multiple occasions.

Anthony Hernandez to win in Round 3 (+750)

I think Anthony Hernandez has a chance to gate-crash the title picture at Middleweight. And don’t think he’s going to miss this opportunity to do so. After seeing what Imavov did, both defensively and offensively, against Allen, I don’t think Allen will stack up well against Hernandez. Allen is tough, but Hernandez can break down tough guys. He has finished his last four UFC fights. Those finishes have come in rounds five, two and three (on two occasions).

Melsik Baghdasaryan to win by KO/TKO/DQ in Round 1 (+2500)

Jean Silva is a very sexy name right now, thanks to his big wins last year and the branding around The Fighting Nerds. He’s a brawler, though. And I think he’s going to give Melsik Baghdasaryan a chance to touch his chin. Baghdasaryan has a decent amount of power, so I think there’s a chance he catches him cold. With those odds, it’s certainly worth a sprinkle for me!

Got something better than those? Well, don’t be stingy. Hit us with them in the comments.

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Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow coverage of the entire UFC Seattle card right here, starting with the ESPN+ “Prelims” matches online, which are scheduled to begin at 6 p.m. ET, before the main card start time at 9 p.m. ET (also on ESPN+).

To check out the latest and greatest UFC Seattle: “Cejudo vs. Song” news and notes be sure to hit up our comprehensive event archive right here.