UFC 129: Randy Couture vs. Lyoto Machida Video

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St-Pierre vs. Shields Fight Information Page

Below I have put together all the UFC 129 Fight Information you will need to help with your betting decisions.  Look over all your fighters Predictions, odds, profile, and videos. 
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Below I have put together all the UFC 129 Fight Information you will need to help with your betting decisions.  Look over all your fighters Predictions, odds, profile, and videos. 

Fight Odds & Betting Lines

Calculator your winnings

UFC 128 Fight Card

Pats Expert Predictions

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UFC 129 Predictions, Analysis, and Preview

Here are my UFC 129 Fight Predictions.  I have put together full write ups for the Main Card and Quick Picks for the Prelims.   I see a few good UnderDog Picks on the Preliminary Card.   Be sure to Visit our Fight Information Page.
Georges St-Pierre  over Jake Shields via Unanimous Decision.

St-Pierre vs. Shields Prediction Page.

Jose Aldo over Mark […]

Here are my UFC 129 Fight Predictions.  I have put together full write ups for the Main Card and Quick Picks for the Prelims.   I see a few good UnderDog Picks on the Preliminary Card.   Be sure to Visit our Fight Information Page.

Georges St-Pierre  over Jake Shields via Unanimous Decision.

Jose Aldo over Mark Hominick via third round TKO.

Lyoto Machida over Randy Couture via Unanimous Decision.

Vladimir Matyushenko over Jason Brilz via Unanimous Decision.

Ben Henderson over Mark Bocek via Split Decision.

 

Preliminary Card Quick Picks

 

  • Nate Diaz over Rory MacDonald via second round armbar. Even Odds
  • John Makdessi over Kyle Watson via T/KO.
  • Jake Ellenberger over Sean Pierson via T/KO.
  • Pablo Garza over Yves Jabouin via submission. @+150 UnderDog
  • Charlie Valencia over Ivan Menjivar via unanimous decision. @+135 UnderDog
  • Claude Patrick over Daniel Roberts via unanimous decision.
  • Jason MacDonald over Ryan Jensen via unanimous decision. @+110 UnderDog

Georges St-Pierre vs. Jake Shields Prediction

UFC Welterweight Championship Bout: Georges St. Pierre  vs. Jake Shields
Odds:  (-500 St-Pierre / +300 Shields )
Betting Pick:   St-Pierre
Bet on this fight at  Bodog.com 
In the main event of the evening, UFC Welterweight champion Georges “Rush” St. Pierre puts his title and his #1 pound for pound ranking on the line against top contender and former […]

UFC Welterweight Championship Bout: Georges St. Pierre  vs. Jake Shields

Odds:  (-500 St-Pierre / +300 Shields )

Betting Pick:   St-Pierre

Bet on this fight at  Bodog.com 

In the main event of the evening, UFC Welterweight champion Georges “Rush” St. Pierre puts his title and his #1 pound for pound ranking on the line against top contender and former Strikeforce Middleweight champion Jake Shields. St. Pierre is widely regarded as the best fighter in the world, and for good reason, but Shields has a very dynamic skill set and one of the most dominant ground games in the sport, so this has all the makings of a classic matchup. Shields is going to have to find a way to neutralize St. Pierre’s dominant top game while also not getting handled in the striking, which is a tall order, but St. Pierre hasn’t had to deal with anyone on Shields’ level in the grappling department who is around his size, so this is going to be an extremely competitive fight.

Jake Shields has been one of the most dominant Welterweights and Middleweights outside of the UFC for years. He looked shaky in his UFC debut, a decision victory over Martin Kampmann, but that was likely a result of his first cut back to 170 in a while. Shields is not a particularly effective striker, but he does have decent defense on his feet. His wrestling is very solid, but he doesn’t have the same kind of dominant takedown game St. Pierre brings to the table. Where Shields really shines is in the submission game, where he is ridiculously effective, and at controlling position from the top once a fight hits the ground. His positioning, control, sweeps, escapes, and submission offense are the best in the world at 170 pounds without a doubt. As good as St. Pierre is on the ground, Shields is going to have to force this fight to the ground, even if it means pulling guard and trying to reverse position, which is not a particularly attractive option against a guy as good on top as St. Pierre is.

Georges St. Pierre is one of the most well-rounded and dominant champions in the history of the sport. He has very dynamic and effective striking, although since suffering an upset knockout loss to Matt Serra he has tended to rely much more heavily on his dominant wrestling and top control game. That may well change against Shields, though, since he will enjoy a massive advantage in the striking department. There is not a better or more effective wrestler than St. Pierre in the sport, despite his lack of an amateur wrestling background. If he has a hole in his game, it is that he overrates his own jiu-jitsu and tends to give up position searching for submissions he isn’t capable of securing, a fact that was glaringly obvious in his win over Dan Hardy. St. Pierre is going to want to play it safe if he wants to keep his dominant win streak alive, which means pressing his advantage on the feet, using his wrestling defensively to keep the fight standing, and being content with controlling top position on the ground and using his ground and pound to wear Shields down as opposed to getting too aggressive and relying too heavily on his jiu-jitsu, which is nowhere near as good as he thinks it is.

This is going to be an extremely difficult fight for Shields. St. Pierre is far quicker and more effective in the standup, and his wrestling is a lot better than Shields’ is, which means that unless Shields wants to try and clinch up and pull guard this fight is not going to the ground unless St. Pierre wants it to. If St. Pierre keeps this fight standing he will pick Shields apart with relative ease, but he clearly prefers to rely on his wrestling, even against dominant grapplers. That strategy worked against B.J. Penn, but against Shields he isn’t going to have the same size and strength advantage. If St. Pierre takes this fight to the ground he very well may be setting himself up to get swept or submitted. Greg Jackson, St. Pierre’s coach, is well known for his effective gameplans and for encouraging his fighters to fight safe, which in this case means keeping the fight standing as much as possible. I think St. Pierre is just too dominant a wrestler and too well-rounded for Shields to deal with. Shields is a tough guy and a great fighter, but I think St. Pierre is going to control him and bruise him up for five rounds en route to a unanimous decision victory.

Prediction:  Georges “Rush” St-Pierre via Unanimous Decision. 

To add  a little more excitement on fight night, you can bet on this fight at Bodog.com Odds.   Check out my review of Bodog here…

Jose Aldo vs. Mark Hominick Prediction

UFC Featherweight Championship bout:  Jose Aldo vs. Mark Hominick
Odds:  (-550 Aldo /+325 Hominick )
Betting Pick:  ALDO
Bet on this fight at Bodog.com
In the semi-main event, Featherweight phenom Jose Aldo makes his UFC debut as he tries to become the inaugural UFC Featherweight Champion against top contender Mark Hominick. Hominick is a very skilled and well-rounded fighter, […]

UFC Featherweight Championship bout:  Jose Aldo vs. Mark Hominick

Odds:  (-550 Aldo /+325 Hominick )

Betting Pick:  ALDO

Bet on this fight at Bodog.com

In the semi-main event, Featherweight phenom Jose Aldo makes his UFC debut as he tries to become the inaugural UFC Featherweight Champion against top contender Mark Hominick. Hominick is a very skilled and well-rounded fighter, but Aldo had WEC’s Featherweight division in a chokehold with his amazing mix of striking and defensive grappling, so Hominick is going to need to find a way to take Aldo off his game if he wants to avoid being the latest entry on Aldo’s ever-growing highlight reel.

Mark “The Machine” Hominick is undeniably one of the world’s better Featherweights, with a very effective and versatile offensive skill set. He is a very aggressive fighter who keeps up a relentless pace and mixes technical and powerful striking with very good submissions. He isn’t a dominant wrestler but he is definitely competent and has good takedown defense. The only real hole in his game is his submission defense, which is responsible for the majority of the losses in his career. Hominick can compete with anyone standing or on the ground, but against Aldo he will probably want to try to close the distance on the feet and work in the clinch or try to get this fight on the ground in order to neutralize Aldo’s dominant striking, especially his leg kicks.

Jose Aldo absolutely tore through WEC’s 145 pound division, completely overwhelming opponents with dominant striking. He has great punching with good accuracy, hand speed, and power to go along with some of the best kicks in the sport. He mixes his punching and leg kicks up very nicely, and that makes it difficult for opponents to defend either since he is so good at exploiting any hole he is given. His offensive ground game has not been displayed that much because he so easily outstrikes most of his opponents, but he has great takedown and submission defense and his ability to punish opponents’ legs tends to take a lot of effectiveness off their takedown attempts.

Jose Aldo has made pretty much everyone he has fought in the last few years look like an amateur, and I don’t see how Hominick is going to be any exception. To beat Aldo, it is going to take someone with good enough striking to hold him off on the feet and dominant enough wrestling to keep him grounded for the majority of the fight, and Hominick doesn’t have either. In a five round fight, I don’t think Hominick is going to be able to keep Aldo from chopping his legs out from under him in the early rounds and then jumping all over him once his movement is limited. Aldo will be able to keep this fight standing, and in the striking game he will demolish Hominick. Aldo by T/KO.

Prediction:  Jose Aldo via third round T/KO.

To add some more excitement on fight night, you can bet on this fight at Bodog.com Odds.   Check out my review of Bodog here…