Tag: General MMA betting

Georges St-Pierre vs. Carlos Condit Fight Prediction

UFC Welterweight Title Bout:  Georges St-Pierre vs. Carlos Condit Odds:  (-325 St-Pierre / +250 Condit ) Betting Pick:  St-Pierre Bet on this fight at Bovada In the main event of UFC 154, UFC Welterweight champion Georges “Rush” St. Pierre returns to action following a long injury layoff against Interim UFC Welterweight champion “The Natural Born Killer” […]

UFC Welterweight Title Bout:  Georges St-Pierre vs. Carlos Condit

Odds:  (-325 St-Pierre / +250 Condit )

Betting Pick:  St-Pierre

Bet on this fight at Bovada

In the main event of UFC 154, UFC Welterweight champion Georges “Rush” St. Pierre returns to action following a long injury layoff against Interim UFC Welterweight champion “The Natural Born Killer” Carlos Condit. St. Pierre has been out of action for nearly 18 months, and there are always questions about guys who have been away that long or suffered such severe injuries, but before he hurt his knee he was one of the dominant champions in the history of the sport. Condit is a very dangerous and well-rounded fighter in his own right, but I think this one is going to come down to whether or not St. Pierre’s knees will allow him to effectively change levels to work his trademark ground game and whether he will have enough gas in the tank to control a five-round fight.

Carlos Condit, who is riding a very impressive five-fight win streak, is one of the most versatile and dynamic fighters in the UFC Welterweight division. Condit is one of the division’s most prolific finishers, and is just as capable of putting fights away with powerful strikes as he is with slick submissions. Anywhere a fight plays out, Condit is a threat. There is very little question that Condit is the slicker boxer of these two. The question is whether or not he will be able to effectively establish a striking game in the face of St. Pierre’s aggressive wrestling. As good as Condit’s jiu-jitsu may be, I don’t see him winning this fight if he is forced to fight off his back underneath St. Pierre. BJ Penn looked lost in the fact of St. Pierre’s top game, and I don’t expect Condit to fare any better. If he wants to win this fight and remove the Interim in front of his title, he is going to have to find a way to do it on his feet.

Georges “Rush” St. Pierre is the greatest Welterweight in UFC History, and would be a unanimous choice for the pound for pound throne if it wasn’t for the existence of Anderson Silva. Early in his career, St. Pierre proved that he is a dynamic and exciting fighter who can outstrike or outgrapple his opponents with equal ease. Since suffering a fluke knockout loss to Matt Serra years ago, though, St. Pierre has turned into a one-man takedown machine, preferring to shoot early and often and grind out wins from top position. Some critics are less than enamored of the strategy, but no one in the sport employs it better than St. Pierre. The real questions for St. Pierre are what kind of shape he will be in and whether his knee injuries will affect his ability to rapidly change levels for takedowns.

Long layoff or no, this is St. Pierre’s fight to lose. Condit is a dangerous finisher, but if he has a weak point it is his wrestling, and that is going to prove fatal. I don’t see a way for Condit to prevent St. Pierre from securing takedowns, and “Rush” has proven time and again that once he has you on your back and is on top of you, he is not going to relent. Condit is tough, and St. Pierre is not necessarily a great finisher anymore, so this one should go the distance, but I think St. Pierre will control the action with his wrestling and earn a unanimous decision victory.

Prediction: GSP by Unanimous Decision.

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Mac Danzig vs. Takanori Gomi Prediction

UFC Lightweight Bout:  Takanori Gomi vs. Mac Danzig Odds: (+200 Gomi /-260 Danzig ) Betting Pick:  Danzig Bet on this fight at Bovada In a featured Lightweight matchup, former PRIDE champion “The Fireball Kid” Takanori Gomi will do battle with Mac Danzig, the winner of Season 6 of The Ultimate Fighter. Gomi was, at one […]

UFC Lightweight Bout:  Takanori Gomi vs. Mac Danzig

Odds: (+200 Gomi /-260 Danzig )

Betting Pick:  Danzig

Bet on this fight at Bovada

In a featured Lightweight matchup, former PRIDE champion “The Fireball Kid” Takanori Gomi will do battle with Mac Danzig, the winner of Season 6 of The Ultimate Fighter. Gomi was, at one time, the most feared Lightweight on the planet, but his best days are behind him. Still, he has dangerous punching power and underrated wrestling. Danzig, for his part, has a very well-rounded offense, but is prone to being overpowered and controlled. Both of these guys have dynamic skill sets, so this should be an exciting fight.

Mac Danzig, an Ultimate Fighter winner who has had an up and down career in the UFC, is nevertheless a very dangerous and versatile fighter who can finish fights with strikes and submissions. In terms of technique, he is as dangerous as any fighter in the Lightweight division. What holds Danzig back is that he is a long way from physically imposing and very frequently finds himself overpowered in his fights. He has a very solid chin, but his wrestling is subpar and his submission defense is porous. Against Gomi he will probably be the superior technical striker, but he will be at a disadvantage in terms of wrestling and punching power.

Takanori Gomi was once rightfully considered the most dangerous Lightweight on the planet. During his PRIDE heyday, he was a nightmare for opponents with his dominant punching power and underrated wrestling and top game. He still has very heavy hands and effective wrestling, but his technique is sort of wacky and not always very effective. He has an excellent chin, but his submission defense is so poor as to be almost non-existent. Against Danzig he will not want to utilize his wrestling, because Danzig is good enough off of his back that he can easily exploit that weakness. He is going to want to try to land hard and often if he wants a second consecutive win.

At this point, Gomi enters every fight with not much more than a puncher’s chance. He either knocks his opponent out or he loses. While he is a better wrestler than Danzig, if he tries to take Danzig down he is going to find himself submitted. On the feet, I think Danzig is quick enough and technical enough to exploit Gomi’s weird stance and awkward technique. Danzig by decision.

Prediction:  Mac Danzig by Unanimous Decision.

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Rich Franklin vs. Cung Le Fight Prediction

                    Middleweight Bout: Rich Franklin vs. Cung Le Odds:  (-315 Franklin /+245 Le ) Betting Pick:  Franklin Bet on this fight at Bovada In the main event of the evening, former UFC Middleweight champion Rich “Ace” Franklin will square off against former Strikeforce Middleweight champion Cung Le. […]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Middleweight Bout: Rich Franklin vs. Cung Le

Odds:  (-315 Franklin /+245 Le )

Betting Pick:  Franklin

Bet on this fight at Bovada

In the main event of the evening, former UFC Middleweight champion Rich “Ace” Franklin will square off against former Strikeforce Middleweight champion Cung Le. Both of these guys are experienced veterans with great striking who appear to be nearing the end of their careers. The likelihood of either guy impacting the title picture again is slim to none, but they are very evenly matched and have complementary skill sets, so this should make for an exciting fight between two guys more than willing to stand in front of each other and let their hands go.

Cung Le was, for years, one of Strikeforce’s biggest stars. A talented kickboxer with great takedowns and a penchant for flashy, effective kicks, Le was one of the most entertaining and effective Middleweights outside of the UFC. While he was not as active as many other long-time veterans, he has been around the sport for over six years, and is a very dangerous fighter offensively. Le is a threat to finish with his hands and feet, and anyone who tries to fight him in close runs the risk of being dumped on the mat in dramatic fashion. He isn’t a great ground fighter, but he has very unusual and effective takedowns and throws which allow him to neutralize his opponents when they try to clinch and protect themselves from his strikes. Against Franklin he is going to have to be careful not to overextend in the striking exchanges and leave his chin open, because Franklin throws hard punches and Le has been victimized by strikes before.

Rich “Ace” Franklin was the UFC’s biggest Middleweight star until he ran into the wrecking machine known as Anderson Silva. After suffering two crushing defeats at Silva’s hands, or knees to put it more accurately, Franklin seemed to lose some of his focus. He has spent the time since drifting back and forth between Middleweight, Light Heavyweight, and various catchweights. Still, Franklin is an extremely effective boxer with a very solid chin and great technique. He hits hard, but isn’t a one-punch kind of knockout artist. He relies more on accurate punching and solid hand speed to pile punishment on his opponents. Against Cung Le he is going to have to be wary of the unorthodox kicks. In a pure boxing match I think Franklin is the better fighter, but Le has a way of working those crazy kicks in when his opponents least expect them.

Ultimately, I think the edge here goes to Franklin. Le is a very dangerous striker, but he has had trouble dealing with other good strikers in the past. His only two career losses came at the hands of the two guys capable of giving as good as they took on their feet. I don’t think Le has enough left to knock out the notoriously durable Franklin, and I don’t think Franklin has the power to exploit Le’s somewhat suspect chin, but Franklin should have more than enough hand speed and technique to significantly outpoint Le. Franklin by unanimous decision.

Prediction:  Rich “Ace” Franklin by Unanimous Decision.

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UFC 154 Odds: Georges St-Pierre vs. Carlos Condit

On Saturday, November 17, 2012, UFC 154 will hit the air live from the Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec, Canada. In the main event, UFC Welterweight champion Georges “Rush” St. Pierre will look for a win in front of the hometown crowd against Interim UFC Welterweight champion “The Natural Born Killer” Carlos Condit. This is […]

On Saturday, November 17, 2012, UFC 154 will hit the air live from the Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec, Canada. In the main event, UFC Welterweight champion Georges “Rush” St. Pierre will look for a win in front of the hometown crowd against Interim UFC Welterweight champion “The Natural Born Killer” Carlos Condit. This is St. Pierre’s first appearance since April of 2011, and it remains to be seen how much his injuries have affected his performance. Condit is a dangerous, well-rounded opponent, so if St. Pierre wants to retain his UFC title, he is going to need to perform at his pre-injury level. Condit, for his part, is going to have to find a way to neutralize St. Pierre’s seemingly unstoppable takedown game, because no one in the UFC is going to win a fight with St. Pierre on top of them.

Main Card:

Georges St-Pierre vs. Carlos Condit

Bovada.Iv Odds

  • St-Pierre  (-375)
  • Condit      (+285)

Betonline.com Odds

  • St-Pierre  (-350)
  • Condit      (+290)

Martin Kampmann vs. Johny Hendricks

Bovada.Iv Odds

  • Kampmann  (+115)
  • Hendricks    (-145)

Betonline.com Odds

  • Kampmann  (+115)
  • Hendricks    (-135)

Tom Lawlor vs. Francis Carmont

Bovada.Iv Odds

  • Lawlor
  • Carm0nt

Betonline.com Odds

  • Lawlor
  • Carmont

Chad Griggs vs. Cyrille Diabate

Bovada.Iv Odds

  • Griggs
  • Diabate

Pablo Garza vs. Mark Hominick

Bovada.Iv Odds

  • Garza
  • Hominick

Preliminary Card:

Patrick Cote vs. Alessio Sakara

Bovada.Iv Odds

  • Cote
  • Sakara

Sam Stout vs. John Makdessi

Bovada.Iv Odds

  • Stout
  • Makdessi

Mark Bocek vs. Rafael dos Anjos

Bovada.Iv Odds

  • Bocek
  • dos Anjos

Antonio Carvalho vs. Rodrigo Damm

Bovada.Iv Odds

  • Carvalho
  • Damm

Ivan Menjivar vs. Azamat Gashimov

Bovada.Iv Odds

  • Menjivar
  • Gashimov

Stephen Thompson vs. Besam Yousef

Bovada.Iv Odds

  • Thompson
  • Yousef

Steven Siler vs. Darren Elkins

Bovada.Iv Odds

  • Siler
  • Elkins

In the semi-main event, Johny Hendricks will look to keep his impressive win streak alive against dangerous Danish kickboxer Martin “The Hitman” Kampmann. Hendricks is a tough guy with very heavy hands and a well-rounded game, but Kampmann is one of the most dangerous finishers in the UFC Welterweight division, both standing and on the ground. The rest of the card will feature a Middleweight bout between Francis Carmont and Tom Lawlor, a Heavyweight showdown pitting Cyrille Diabate against Chad Griggs, and a featherweight matchup featuring Mark “The Machine” Hominick facing Pablo “The Scarecrow” Garza.

Make sure to Check back with us closer to fight night as I will have updated UFC 154 Odds plus Fight Predictions.  And to add a little excitement to your fight night, you can bet on this fight at Bovada.Iv Odds.