Tag: MMA Betting

It’s been all BJ all the time the last couple of weeks here, as we ramped up to UFC 84 with a few detailed reports of his fights. Today marks the release of the career TPR Report for BJ Penn and we have an article up at Yahoo Sports with some really interesting information about BJ’s jiu-jitsu and the way he passes guard.

But don’t think we forgot about Sherk. While the majority of his fights have been in smaller organizations, and thus, do not have readily accessible video, we are doing the best we can to learn what we can about Sherk’s time in the UFC. The first product of that study is released today, a detailed report on his fight with Nick Diaz. This is one of those odd fights where all three judges agree precisely on the scoring, but the fan community is up in arms. As the stats show, the fight was extremely close, nearly a draw. What are the chances that Penn-Sherk is that close?

Source:Don't Forget About Sherk

The nice thing about a split decision is that it counts just the same as a unanimous decision, a knockout, or a submission. So when a rogue judge gives the fight to your opponent, at least the two correct judges can grant you the win you rightfully deserve. So for Kendall Grove, it’s all the same in practicality. It’s left to us, the fans, to debate and discuss what happened in the mind of the dissenting judge who gave the fight to Tanner.

We’ve released the stats for Grove vs. Tanner, and the results shouldn’t shock anyone but Al Lefkowitz. FightMetric sees all three rounds for Grove, with only the third round conceivably close enough to grant to Tanner. The first round goes to Grove, who outstruck Tanner 16-4. The second round was clearly in favor of Grove, and while the FightMetric system calls the round 10-9, it was pretty close to the threshold after which the round would be called 10-8, as two judges called it. The third round was scored 66-61 for Grove in terms of effectiveness, though after factoring in damage, the score goes up to 73-61. Giving that round to Tanner seems justified.

Source:Grove-Tanner and the Phantom Split Decision

In honor of Fedor’s first consequential fight in nearly three years, we’ll be devoting our coverage this week to the career of one of the sport’s all-time greats. We’ll be releasing new stats and analysis every day this week. Here’s the Fedor Week schedule:

Monday: Fedor Emelianenko vs. Semmy Schilt
Tuesday: Fedor Emelianenko vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira I
Wednesday: Fedor Emelianenko vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira III
Thursday: Fedor Emelianenko vs. Mirko “CroCop” Filipovic
Friday: Fedor Emelianenko Career TPR Report

Check out how Fedor fared in his first Pride fight and make sure to come back this week for more Fedor fun.

Source:It's Fedor Week!

In honor of Fedor’s first consequential fight in nearly three years, we’ll be devoting our coverage this week to the career of one of the sport’s all-time greats. We’ll be releasing new stats and analysis every day this week. Here’s the Fedor Week schedule:

Monday: Fedor Emelianenko vs. Semmy Schilt
Tuesday: Fedor Emelianenko vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira I
Wednesday: Fedor Emelianenko vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira III
Thursday: Fedor Emelianenko vs. Mirko “CroCop” Filipovic
Friday: Fedor Emelianenko Career TPR Report

Check out how Fedor fared in his first Pride fight and make sure to come back this week for more Fedor fun.

Source:It's Fedor Week!

After a nice break, we’ve come back and done the stats on the televised fights from UFC 85. Today we have the TPR Report and an updated career report for Matt Hughes reflecting his most recent fight.

Come back tomorrow for the full fight report on Thales Leites vs. Nate Marquardt.

Source:UFC 85 – Better Late than Never

Or at least that’s the conclusion one could draw from the report released today with stats from the fight between Quinton “Rampage” Jackson and Matt Lindland. The FightMetric system gives the fight to Lindland 29-28 for winning rounds one and three.

But that’s only half the story. The overall scores for the fight are 159-163, which falls within FightMetric’s four-point margin for error. That means the fight overall is a draw, which sounds more than reasonable. While Rampage landed more effective strikes, Lindland stayed busy on the ground and attempted five submissions.

What we’re learning over the course of the FightMetric project is that there probably should be many more draws in MMA than are actually called. In many cases, a controversial decision is controversial because the fight really was too close to call. But the ten-point must system makes fools of us all when judges refuse to call 10-10 rounds. Calling a round even carries the stigma of indecision, as if a better judge should have been able to spot the victor, even when there fairly shouldn’t be one.

Will this change anytime soon? Probably not. The reason seems clear: A close decision disappoints only the fans that thought the losing fighter won; a draw disappoints almost everyone.

Source:'Page Fought "The Law" and "The Law" Won