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UFC Vegas 31 Betting Preview

UFC Vegas 31 takes place this weekend behind closed doors at the APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. In the main event, we have an exciting match-up between the latest star to emerge from Dagestan, Islam Makhachev, and Thiago Moises. The lightweight duo was elevated to the top of the card after Max Holloway vs. Yair […]

Join LowKickMMA as we preview, predict, and hopefully win some money betting on the UFC Vegas 31 main event and a selection of its undercard fights. If you will be putting some money on the fights this coming weekend be sure to check out the best betting sites for MMA to ensure you always get the best odds.

Islam Makhachev vs. Thiago Moises

The UFC Vegas 31 main event is something of a mismatch according to the oddsmakers. You’ll have to bet really big to see any type of worthwhile return on the -600 favourite Islam Makhachev. The heir to Khabib Nurmagomedov’s throne is one of the brightest prospects in MMA. Many had expected him to be fighting an upper-echelon guy at this event but for one reason or another he ends up squaring off against the #14 ranked Thiago Moises. The +450 underdog can’t totally be written off in this fight after putting a three-fight win streak together. Ultimately, we just can’t bet against Makhachev. We think he’ll eventually force a stoppage and will be backing him to do so.

Marion Reneau vs. Miesha Tate

It’s great to see MMA legend Miesha Tate back to what she does best. The former Strikeforce and UFC champion has been out the game for five years but that hasn’t stopped the bookmakers making her the favourite against Marion Reneau. ‘Cupcake’ is -138 to get the win in her return. We’ll be backing her to do so. If she can’t get by her 44-year-old opponent, we don’t expect Tate will remain in MMA for more than one fight. If you fancy Reneau to spring the upset she’s priced at +110.

Jeremy Stephens vs. Mateusz Gamrot

Jeremy Stephens’ long overdue return to lightweight is finally upon us. The former featherweight contender is on a bad losing streak but has only fallen short against the best 145lb fighters in the UFC. He’ll enter his fight against Mateusz Gamrot as the +188 underdog. Gamrot is 1-1 in the UFC but has enjoyed great success outside of MMA’s premier promotion. The Polish fighter can consider himself unlucky to have been on the wrong side of a judges’ decision in his UFC debut. After taking things out of the judges’ hands last time out he’s bagged himself a big name. We are backing Gamrot to make good on his favourite tag and pick up a win at odds of -225.

Daniel Rodriguez vs. Preston Parsons

Daniel Rodriguez has looked brilliant lately and has picked up big wins over the likes of Mike Perry, Dwight Grant and Tim Means. He was due to face Abubakar Nurmagomedov before injury brought an end to that match-up. In steps Preston Parson for his UFC debut on short notice. For this reason, Rodriguez is a big favourite at -250. Parson is the -200 underdog and rightly so but will fancy his chances against Rodriguez who is never scared of a brawl. Ultimately, we’ll be backing ‘D-Rod’ to continue his run of fine form.

Who will you betting on at UFC Vegas 31?

Dustin Poirier vs. Conor McGregor III – UFC 264 Staff Predictions

The biggest event of the year is finally upon us. Dustin Poirier and Conor McGregor will face off for the third time at UFC 264 later this evening. Who’ll walk away with the decisive win? Let’s see what the LowKickMMA staff think. Jordan Ellis: I’ve been switching my pick on this fight on a daily […]

Jordan Ellis: I’ve been switching my pick on this fight on a daily basis for the last two weeks. For me, it’s tough to figure out what version of Conor McGregor will show up at UFC 264. I do believe that the best version of the former dual-weight champion wins this fight eight or nine times out of ten. Dustin Poirier is game, very talented, and based on recent form he is the best 155lb fighter in MMA. In my opinion, he is very beatable though. ‘The Diamond’ is very hittable too and that could be a recipe for disaster if the best version of McGregor shows up. I think ultimately, I’m stumping for McGregor but I won’t be surprised if I change my mind a couple of times again before the first bell sounds.

Prediction: Conor McGregor

Alex Lough: I think it’s been known for a while what the key is to get past McGregor: chop at his leg to take away his movement and his power. The thing was, most people were afraid to throw leg kicks in fear of getting caught with a left hand coming over the top in return. Poirier showed in their last fight that he has the right combination of head movement & chin to utilize those kicks without getting knocked out, and I expect more of the same in this fight. I just think Dustin is the more rounded fighter, and once he has Conor hobbled he can finish him with strikes or take him down for the submission/ground & pound. Given that he’s said he wants it, I’ll go with the former. Poirier by sub.

Prediction Dustin Poirier

Ryan MacCarthy: It’s a tough one. I’m not the most confident I’ve ever been in Conor going in. I believe if Dustin takes this to the championship rounds and even late 3rd, it will heavily favor him. His cardio is top of the line and will be hard to match for Conor as it gets taken into deeper waters. And let’s not forget about the crowd. If anyone in this sport will benefit from fighting in front of a crowd it’s Conor. I truly believe that it can make a difference for him to feed off that energy. That being said, Conor CAN win a 5 round war if need be, we’ve seen him do it vs Diaz and he is certainly capable. However, this one needs to be ended in the first 2 rounds for him and I believe that’s what will happen. I think exceptionally good in rematches. He’s proven it in that Nate one. He left his family and children at home and has been in camp without them for 8 weeks now. This is exactly what he needed to get his edge back, and I see it making a huge difference. I think he’s going to have the victory. I think he’s probably going to win in the second round by TKO, I see him clipping Dustin, wobbling him and sensing the finish. The biggest factor is going to be the calf/leg kicks. If Conor and his team can make the proper adjustments, check those, and even start attacking Dustin’s leg this could be a world of a difference-maker. They need to make a few tweaks, the first round in January was very competitive. We’ve seen Conor bounce back well after defeat. I think the Diaz bouts really show that and I think Conor proves a lot of doubters wrong.

Prediction: Conor McGregor

Eoin McKenna: This weekend, I expect both Poirier and McGregor to come into this fight with tactics that fairly differentiate from the last two bouts. McGregor will try and have a return to form in bringing back the movement and free flow stances he had learned from long-time friend and former training partner Ido Portal. I expect McGregor to have a less flat-footed approach and will instead opt for the spring step movement that helped him dismantle both Aldo and Alvarez. In saying that, I think that this approach will be too little too late. I truly believe after the last two bouts, that Poirier who has remained active in the division to have his number. Poirier is notorious for throwing that over right hand stepping in where he can then counter his opponent with his left. I expect Poirier to catch McGregor with a counter left and drop him and then for the fight to be finished by submission. I back Poirier to get the job done within 2 rounds by Rear-necked choke, whether the submission is initiated by McGregor being dropped or wrestled I am uncertain however my confidence remains in Poirier to get the job done inside 2.

Prediction: Dustin Poirier

Israel Adesanya vs. Marvin Vettori II – UFC 263 Staff Predictions

In the UFC 263 main event, Israel Adesanya will look to make the third defence of his middleweight title in a highly anticipated rematch against Marvin Vettori. Who’ll take home the 185lb strap? Let’s see what the LowKickMMA staff think. Jordan Ellis: I expect Israel Adesanya to finish this fight inside three rounds. I believe […]

Jordan Ellis: I expect Israel Adesanya to finish this fight inside three rounds. I believe ‘Stylebender’ has come on leaps and bounds since his first fight with Marvin Vettori. ‘The Italian Dream’ has progressed well too but not at the same pace. He’s very hittable and aggressive which I believe will make him vulnerable against the middleweight champion who’ll put him to sleep in the UFC 263 main event.

Prediction: Israel Adesanya

Keelin McNamara: I can only see one outcome in this fight, and that is Israel Adesanya sending a statement to the rest of the Middleweight division and laying the smackdown on Marvin Vettori. For my money, Vettori is FAR too emotional and invested in this fight, and I think Adesanya is going to pick him apart because of that. On the MMA Island podcast, I predicted a 2nd round knockout for “The Last Stylebender”, but a 1st round KO would not shock me either. Vettori is a very good wrestler, but I still haven’t seen any argument that justifies him being in this fighter over Derek Brunson. Also, he got hurt by a morally broken and physically tired Kevin Holland every time they were on the feet. With the array of weapons in his arsenal, one has to wonder what Adesanya is capable of doing to Vettori. 2nd round knockout to Israel Adesanya for me personally.

Prediction: Israel Adesanya

Maria Morales: Adesanya. Vettori has definitely earned the title shot, but I think that he’s so focussed on the split decision that he is going into the rematch truly underestimating the champ. The argument that he will win if he fights Adesanya the way that Blachowicz fought him is actually an insult to the light heavyweight champion and doesn’t account for the dangerous combination of skill and power that Blachowicz has. I remember not too long ago when a 13-0 contender named Paulo Costa was crashing his way to a title shot and, much like Vettori, aggressively told us all how he would destroy Adesanya. Well, we saw how that went and I do not believe it will be much different in this fight

Prediction: Israel Adesanya

Alex Lough: Adesanya is one of those fighters that has two modes: invigorating and infuriating. There is no in between. When he’s on (like he was against Whittaker and Costa) he looks like he has a legitimate claim to the GOAT throne. When he’s off (like he was against Romero and Blachowicz) you wonder how he ever got this far in the first place. Everything about Vettori’s style says he has the ability to frustrate and wear down Adesanya over the course of 5 rounds. But still, there’s something inside of me that feels like we’ll see another world class performance from ‘The Last Stylebender’. He’s just too talented to have two sub-par performances in a row. He’s always managed to bounce back and shut his critics up, and I predict we’ll see that happen again. Adesanya by KO.

Prediction: Israel Adesanya

Ross Markey: Out of all the opponents Israel Adesanya could face in his return to the middleweight division following a failed light heavyweight excursion in March — Marvin Vettori certainly has a real chip on his shoulder, maybe more so than any other challenger at 185lbs. Hoping to avenge an April 2018 loss to the defending champion during the pair’s initial rise through the middleweight ranks, the Trento native has managed to lodge five consecutive victories since. Scoring two successful takedowns against Adesanya back in 2018, Vettori can take some solace in the fact that Jan Blachowicz managed to flatten Adesanya to his back twice via takedowns back in March. However, closing the distance on Adesanya to reach for his legs or trunk is much easier said than done, given his countering ability which is second to none at middleweight. Adesanya to successfully defend via a late knockout.

Prediction: Israel Adesanya

Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Brandon Moreno II – UFC 263 Staff Predictions

In the UFC 263 co-main event, Deiveson Figueiredo and Brandon Moreno will rematch for the flyweight title. Who’ll take home the 125lb strap? Let’s see what the LowKickMMA staff think. Jordan Ellis: I’m a big fan of Brandon Moreno and have rooted for him since his days in The Ultimate Fighter. However, tonight I’m backing […]

In the UFC 263 co-main event, Deiveson Figueiredo and Brandon Moreno will rematch for the flyweight title. Who’ll take home the 125lb strap? Let’s see what the LowKickMMA staff think.

Jordan Ellis: I’m a big fan of Brandon Moreno and have rooted for him since his days in The Ultimate Fighter. However, tonight I’m backing against him. I feel over five rounds he will push Deiveson Figueiredo close once again but will ultimately fall short on the judges’ cards. Figueiredo is a crisp, accurate puncher. Moreno is as game as they come and always willing to eat a shot. I think this will be his downfall when the 25 minutes are all said and done.

Prediction: Deiveson Figueiredo

Keelin McNamara: This is such a genuinely intriguing fight. Their fight match-up was a bona fide Fight of The Year candidate, and the greatest flyweight fight of all time for me. Will this fight be a little cagier now that both fighters have gone 25 minutes against each other? I see two outcomes here: If Moreno can land a couple of takedowns early on, I can see him getting a decision at the end – he is FAST, and he changes levels really, really well. However, he is very heavy on his lead leg, and if “Deus De Guerra” can land some José Aldo-esque leg kicks to that lead leg, I could equally see Figueredo getting a decision or a late stoppage. Do not sleep on this fight.

Prediction: Deiveson Figueiredo

Maria Morales: This should be fight of the night, period. The style and speed with which both fight is nothing short of art in motion. Both men are coming into this bout with a point to prove, after they battled to a draw last December. However, I think Moreno will ink out the win. I believe that his superior takedown and striking defense will make the difference because I expect the champ to come out aggressive and possibly a bit less crisp. All of that said, I could completely have this backwards as honestly either one of them could win this war, lol.

Prediction: Brandon Moreno

Alex Lough: After their FOTY contender last time out, the UFC is hoping that lightning will strike twice with this matchup. Unfortunately, I don’t see that happening. Giving Moreno all due credit, he had the fight of his career last time out, and he still would have come up short if not for a point deduction. On top of that, Figueiredo spent the previous night in the hospital, so it’s highly unlikely that he was firing on all pistons. Will Moreno be able to look as good as he did last time? I don’t know, we’ve only seen him do it that one time. We’ve seen Figueiredo come out and look like an unstoppable beast a number of times. I’m going with the safer bet. Figueiredo by KO.

Prediction: Deiveson Figueiredo

Leon Edwards vs. Nate Diaz – UFC 263 Staff Predictions

Leon Edwards and Nate Diaz are set to make history at UFC 263 when they compete in the first-ever five-round fight that will not be for a title or in the main event slot. Who’ll emerge victorious from this epic main card fight? Let’s see what the LowKickMMA staff think. Jordan Ellis: As a fellow […]

Jordan Ellis: As a fellow Englishman I couldn’t be happier to finally see Leon Edwards getting the big fight he deserves. In my opinion he’s the man to really test Karmaru Usman’s grip on the welterweight strap. I expect Edwards to make a statement by stopping Diaz at UFC 263 to prove he is the number one contender at 170lbs.

Prediction: Leon Edwards

Keelin McNamara: Unfortunately for Nate, I can see the doctor getting involved in this one, similar to the UFC 244 main event against Jorge Masvidal. Nate’s scar tissue is pretty much non-existent at this point, and Leon’s kickboxing is elite – in those 7 minutes against Belal Muhammad, Leon was beating him up and landing at will. I can see something similar happening here. Unfortunately for Nate, I can see a doctor’s stoppage after 3 full rounds and before the beginning of the 4th.

Prediction: Leon Edwards

Maria Morales: It’s still crazy to me that this fight is not a main or co-main event. Anytime that Nate Diaz steps in the cage, you know two things will be true. The fans will be hyped and, whatever the outcome, Diaz will put on a show. However, there’s a reason that Leon Edwards is ranked as the #3 welterweight in the world. Edwards has quietly built a win streak which leaves most scratching their heads as to why he has yet to fight for the title. And he is dangerous. An accurate striker, he can also submit you if he chooses to go down to the ground. And I say chooses because he has great takedown defense, a skill that he will likely utilize the majority of this fight. Edwards would be foolish to choose to go to the ground with Diaz, a fighter that’s earned submissions in 57% of his victories. All that said, I believe that Leon Edwards will win the fight. I think that his power will be enough to cause the damage for a stoppage, though I don’t see him knocking Diaz out.

Prediction: Leon Edwards

Alex Lough: I really don’t see anyway Diaz wins this one. Edwards is an extremely technical and efficient striker who, as we saw in the Muhammad fight, has some power contrary to popular belief. The level of scar tissue Diaz has developed at this point in his career means he’s guaranteed to be cut open early, which means he’ll have trouble finding his range as blood flows into his eyes, and judges will almost always give the round to his opponent based on the amount of damage he received. I guess the UFC made this a 5 round fight in hopes that Diaz can take over late and make things interesting, but we have no reason to believe that Edwards will fade, or that the fight will last that long. Edwards by TKO.

Prediction: Leon Edwards

UFC 263 Main Card Betting Preview

UFC 263 takes place this weekend at at the Gila River Arena in Glendale, Arizona. The lucky fans who’ve snapped up tickets for the latest UFC pay-per-view event will have the pleasure of watching three two massive title fights and the return of MMA icon, Nate Diaz. In the main event Irsael Adesanya puts his […]

In the main event Irsael Adesanya puts his middleweight title on the line in a highly anticipated rematch against Marvin Vettori. The pair previously fought in 2018 and on that occasion, ‘Stylebender’ emerged victorious via split decision.

Before that, Deiveson Figueiredo and Brandon Moreno will re-run their exciting, Fight of the Year candidate when they squared off at UFC 256 in December. The pair threw down for five rounds at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas before the judges scored the fight a majority draw and Figueiredo retained his 125lb strap.

Join LowKickMMA as we preview and predict these two title fights and some of the other epic UFC 263 fights. Hopefully, we’ll win some big money come Saturday night. Otherwise, we’ll head to the top casino online to try our luck.

Israel Adesanya vs. Marvin Vettori

Israel Adesanya shot for the stars last time out but failed to dethrone light-heavyweight champion, Jan Blachowicz earlier this year. After the first loss of his MMA career, we are expecting a vintage performance from ‘Stylebender’ against Vettori. The -250 favourite should be able to handily deal with the +200 in the first few rounds in our opinion. We expect Adesanya to pick his shots and pound out ‘The Italian Dream’ inside three rounds to retain the 185lb title. If you bet on Adesanya to finish his opponent, you’ll increase your odds to +188.

Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Brandon Moreno

We are expecting much of the same as these two guys produced at UFC 256 late last year. Ultimately, we think Deiveson Figueiredo and Brandon Moreno will scrap it out for five full rounds. It’ll be another close fight be this time we expect Figueiredo to be named the winner. Figueiredo is the -225 favourite but don’t write off Moreno who is a sizeable +188 underdog despite his impressive performance last time out.

Leon Edwards vs. Nate Diaz

The people’s main event will see UFC fan favourite, Nate Diaz for the first time since falling short in his bid to become the inaugural BMF titlist. Top welterweight contender, Leon Edwards is the man who stands between Diaz and his return to the win column. We expect ‘Rocky’ to make a significant in this one. He’s a huge -550 favourite. The question is does he have what it takes to stop Diaz in this five-round non-title fight? Edwards will join a very elite list of fighters who’ve stopped Diaz. Your odds will dramatically improve should you bet on Edwards to do this +120. If you fancy Diaz to score the upsets he’s priced at +400.

Demian Maia vs. Belal Muhammad

An interesting fight between two ranked 170lb fighters takes place on the UFC 263 main card. BJJ wizard turned MMA title challenger, Demian Maia takes on streaking contender, Belal Muhammad. We are big fans of the Brazilian but cannot back him heading into this one. At 43-years-olds he’s almost certainly past his best and is rightfully the +188 underdog. Muhammad -225 favourite and the man we’ll be adding to our parlay this weekend.

Paul Craig vs. Jamahal Hill

Opening up the UFC main card we have a really exciting fight between light-heavyweight fighters Paul Craig and Jamahal Hill. The Scottish submission specialist is an underdog at odds of +250 despite being on a four-fight unbeaten streak. That tells you that the undefeated Hill is one of the most exciting prospects in the 205lb division. Last time out he stopped Ovince St Preux in the biggest fight of his career. We are prediciting he’ll do the same thing again as a -330, although betting on the stoppage will improve your odds to -125

Who will you be betting on at UFC 263?