Falling Action: Best and Worst of UFC 138

Filed under: UFCI don’t know if it was the tape-delay or the lack of big names on the card, but UFC 138 hardly felt like a genuine numbered event by the time it hit Spike TV on Saturday night.

It was more like a really good Fight Night event, complet…

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Renan BaraoI don’t know if it was the tape-delay or the lack of big names on the card, but UFC 138 hardly felt like a genuine numbered event by the time it hit Spike TV on Saturday night.

It was more like a really good Fight Night event, complete with the same few video game and credit report ads over and over and over again. At least now if I wake up in the middle of the night and realize I have sleepwalked to Wal-Mart to buy Assassin’s Creed, I’ll know who to blame.

But now that the paychecks and the concussions have been handed out and another one is in the books, let’s sort through the wreckage to find the biggest winners, losers, and everything in between.

Biggest Winner: Mark Munoz
It was the cut over Leben’s eye that stopped the fight, but it was Munoz’s pace and power that put it there. Every punch Munoz threw was a home run swing, and it’s hard not to wonder if his relentless pressure didn’t help to convince Leben that maybe it wasn’t a great idea to try and fight on through the mask of blood. If I had plasma obstructing my vision in one eye, I’m not sure I’d want to march back out into that hurricane again either. It’s a great victory for Munoz, but does he really think he’s ready for a title shot? He’s won four straight against an increasingly impressive list of victims, but it would be hard to put him ahead of guys like Chael Sonnen or the winner of the Michael Bisping-“Mayhem” Miller bout. At 33, I realize he doesn’t have years to wait around for his chance, but he needs at least one more high-profile win before he deserves a crack at the gold. If he continues to improve at his current pace, he might really be able to do something with the opportunity by then.

Biggest Loser: Chris Leben
Something about ending on a cut between rounds just doesn’t seem to fit with the Leben mystique. No matter how legitimate or necessary it was, that’s not how “The Crippler” is supposed to go out. He’s supposed to keep plodding forward, keep deflecting blows with his skull, keep tossing back haymakers of his own until someone is down and out. For him to get stopped by a cut and look almost grateful for it to be over, it just feels wrong. There were rumors of a disastrous weight cut for Leben, so maybe he was genuinely glad to get out of there. Whatever the cause, he’s now lost two of his last three, with the lone win coming against the guy who Dana White says should quit. When we talked last week and Leben expressed his belief that this was essentially a number one contender bout, I asked him how he’d feel if he never got a title shot in the UFC. What if he retired as the brawler who people loved to watch, but who never even got a close-up look at a belt? “You know what?” Leben said. “Actually I am fine with that. At this point in my career I want to fight epic fights and have great battles.” Saturday night in Birmingham was probably a battle he’d rather forget.

Just What the Little Guys Needed: Renan Barao and Brad Pickett
We hear plenty of griping about the lack of finishes in the lighter weight classes, but Barao and Pickett both showed up intent on damaging someone’s frontal lobe. When guys get into exchanging power shots like that, you know it will only be a matter of time until someone’s consciousness flickers. The beautiful knee from Barao turned out to be the difference-maker, and he did a great job of capitalizing on Pickett’s woozy state in order to sink in the choke. Before the bout, Pickett said he couldn’t tell just how good Barao was, since he hadn’t faced tough competition yet. That was a fair assessment at the time, but now we know: this kid is good. Pickett knows it too, just like he knows that maybe he should have been a little more worried about Barao’s stand-up game after all.

Most Overly Ambitious Debut: Papy Abedi
The story coming out of Joe Rogan and Mike Goldberg during the broadcast was that Abedi had turned down lesser names in order to make his UFC debut against veteran welterweight Thiago Alves. If that’s true, it should serve as one more reminder that hubris comes with a price in this business. Abedi was game enough, and he certainly wasn’t afraid of Alves. At least, not until a couple well-placed hooks had him doing the stanky leg. If you’re going to fight in the UFC, I suppose you’d better think of yourself as someone who’s capable of hanging with the best and the toughest, but does that mean you have to do it right away? Your first time in the Octagon might be difficult enough without a guy like Alves standing across from you. Sooner or later, you’ll have to fight guys like him, but why not wait and do it when you’re getting paid like a veteran rather than a rookie? Abedi showed everyone that he’s got guts. Next time, maybe he should work on showing them that he’s got brains, too.

Most Ado About Nothing: Thiago Alves‘ weight
With his history, it’s understandable for people to freak out when he shows up on the scales a pound heavy. This is the same guy who got within a half-pound of making weight for his rematch with Jon Fitch, but ultimately decided to pay Fitch 20 percent of his purse rather than jump back in the sauna. But Mike Dolce, Alves’ nutritionist, swears they didn’t have any trouble stripping off that last pound while still keeping Alves in prime condition this time. As good as he looked against Abedi, I believe it. He was calm, patient, and violently efficient. Most importantly, he didn’t look like he’d left his best stuff on the scale this time. Alves once told me (while we were sitting down to a great big lunch, appetizers and all) that the thing he hated most about fighting was the diet. He talked about a post-MMA life where he could eat whatever, whenever in the same wistful tones that insurance agents talk about retiring to play golf all day. It’s no wonder that weight has been a struggle for him, but with Dolce he finally seems to have that part of his life under control. Next area of emphasis for “The Pitbull”? Takedown defense.

Most Resilient: Anthony Perosh
What’s a 39-year-old Australian with a 12-6 career record doing riding a two-fight win streak in the UFC’s light heavyweight division? Beats me, but Perosh just won’t go away quietly. He still seems uncomfortable on his feet, and it’s incredibly hard to imagine that he and Jon Jones are even in the same weight class, much less fighting for the same organization. Still, Perosh has legitimately dangerous ground game, even if he lacks the wrestling skills to reliably get the fight there. Diabate all but took himself down early in the second, and that was all the opening Perosh needed. He’s every bit as patient and methodical on the mat as he is awkward and tentative on the feet. That was good enough for a win over Diabate, but how far can this middle-aged “Hippo” go with this relatively limited skill set? I have no idea, though he seems intent on finding out.

Quickest Comeback: Terry Etim
After more than a year and a half out of the cage, Etim’s return was over in just 17 seconds. Not only is that not enough time to knock off the ring rust, it’s not even enough time to work up a sweat. It was obvious right away that Etim and Eddie Faaloloto were simply not operating on the same level, so maybe it’s good that it ended so quickly. Any longer and things might have gotten very ugly for Faaloloto, who simply can’t be long for the UFC after that performance. It’s good to have Etim back, but can we please get a translator in there for his post-fight remarks? I listened closely and tried my best to pick out a few familiar words, but it was like trying to read something in a dream. Whatever language he was speaking, it was just familiar enough to be frustrating.

Most Perfunctory Win: Michihiro Omigawa
His decision victory over Jason Young wasn’t the prettiest or the most exciting fight you’ll ever see, but Omigawa needed that one in a bad way. He snapped his two-fight losing streak in the UFC and learned that not all judges are as blind as the ones who handed him a loss against Darren Elkins, so perhaps it was more of a psychological boost than anything else. Now that Omigawa finally has a UFC win under his belt, he needs to prove that he can do more than just barely edge one out. It’s great that he’s halted his slide, but it means the opponents will only get tougher.

 

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UFC 138: Michihiro Omigawa Beats Jason Young, Notches First UFC Win

Filed under: UFCMichihiro Omigawa finally has a win inside the Octagon.

Omigawa, who had a sensational run in Japan in 2009 and 2010, just hadn’t been able to turn it on in the UFC, losing his first four fights in the Octagon. But on Saturday at UFC 1…

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Omigawa beats Jason Young at UFC 138.Michihiro Omigawa finally has a win inside the Octagon.

Omigawa, who had a sensational run in Japan in 2009 and 2010, just hadn’t been able to turn it on in the UFC, losing his first four fights in the Octagon. But on Saturday at UFC 138, Omigawa finally got his first UFC win, beating Jason Young by unanimous decision at UFC 138.

All three judges scored the fight 29-28 for Omigawa, who struggled with Young’s stand-up in the first round but controlled the fight on the ground in rounds two and three.

“It’s really good to get my first win here,” Omigawa said afterward.



Young knocked Omigawa back with a body kick late in the first round and landed a couple of solid knees, and he deserved to win the round, although Young’s right eye was badly swollen at the end of the round, thanks to an accidental clash of heads.

Early in the second round Omigawa took Young down and got into side control, but Young did a great job of pushing Omigawa off and getting back to his feet. However, Omigawa then secured another takedown and stayed in side control for most of the rest of the round, a round Omigawa clearly won.

They traded strikes in a good stand-up exchange early in the third round, then went to the ground where Omigawa attempted a heel hook that Young was able to escape. But Omigawa once again got Young down and once again stayed in control for most of the round, and that was enough to win the third, and the fight.

 

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Gambling Addiction Enabler: UFC 138 Edition

ufc 138

Before we’ve even had time to clear out the cobwebs from UFC 137, this Saturday already promises to bring us more bone crushing action with UFC 138, featuring a showdown between middleweight sluggers Chris Leben and Mark Munoz. And since we will be treated to a free card this weekend, why not turn that extra cash…into more extra cash? Check out the betting lines below, courtesy of BestFightOdds, along with our advice, which should have already netted you some extra dough this month.

Before we’ve even had time to clear out the cobwebs from UFC 137, this Saturday already promises to bring us more bone crushing action with UFC 138, featuring a showdown between middleweight sluggers Chris Leben and Mark Munoz. And since we will be treated to a free card this weekend, why not turn that extra cash…into more extra cash? Check out the betting lines below, courtesy of BestFightOdds, along with our advice, which should have already netted you some extra dough this month.

Main Card
Mark Munoz (-265) vs. Chris Leben (+225)
Renan Barao (-135) vs. Brad Pickett (+115)
Thiago Alves (-345) vs. Papy Abedi (+285)
Terry Etim (-600) vs. Edward Faaloloto (+450)
Cyrille Diabate (-375) vs. Anthony Perosh (+285)

Undercard
Michihiro Omigawa (-340) vs. Jason Young (+250)
Philip De Fries (-135) vs. Rob Broughton (+100)
Che Mills (-225) vs. Chris Cope (+175)
Chris Cariaso (-175) vs. Vaughan Lee (+145)
Justin Edwards (-125) vs. John Macguire (-105)

The Main Event: Mark Munoz makes sense here as a pretty decent favorite; he has the kind of solid wrestling background that could easily grind out a decision over Leben, plus enough power in his hands to finish the fight, granted Leben shows up sick that night. Then again, it’s tough to bet against someone like “The Crippler,” who shows flashes of brilliance in each fight and absorbs punches like Turok absorbs power cores. And considering the fact that Demian Maia was able to rock Munoz on a couple of occasions, someone with Leben’s power could end this one quickly. But our gut says go with Munoz, who is too smart to try and stand with Leben for the entirety of the fight.

The Good Dogs: Though Renan Barao’s record is pretty immaculate, he hasn’t fought anyone near the caliber of Brad Pickett, who’s record includes wins over Ivan Menjivar and former bantamweight title challenger Demetrious Johnson. On the other hand, Pickett hasn’t fought in over a year, so your confidence in him really comes down to your belief in ring rust. But since Chael Sonnen recently proved that ring rust doesn’t exist, a bet on Pickett seems fair. Speaking of ring rust, isn’t it crazy that Terry Etim has been out for over a year with a broken rib? Good to see him back, because we had nearly forgotten how entertaining he is.

Another good dog on this card is that of Jason Young, who you may remember as the man who gave rising prospect Dustin Poirier all he could handle back at UFC 131. And although Michihiro Omigawa got completely screwed by the judges in his last fight with Darren Elkins, (at the same event, coincidentally) Young has the speed and boxing skills to put him in all kinds of trouble, and with those odds you stand to make a pretty penny when he does.

The Easy Bet: Thiago Alves. He’s fighting a UFC newbie in Papy Abedi, and for once it is an opponent who shouldn’t try, or be able to take him down for all three rounds. Expect fireworks in this one, with Alves getting the better of the exchanges en route to a second round stoppage.

Official CagePotato Parlay:  Munoz + Alves + Young with a side of Philip De Fries.

A 50 dollar bet nets you $491.20. God Damn! That’ll get you those autographed Brock Lesnar DeathClutch shorts you’ve been ogling over since we all forgot your birthday.

-Danga

The Cut List: Who’s in Desperate Need of a Win at UFC 138?

Filed under: UFCA UFC event in the U.K. means two things: 1) lots of griping from American fighters (and UFC executives) about the food, and 2) a card full of local blokes, European imports, and some other fighters just barely holding on to their UFC c…

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Thiago AlvesA UFC event in the U.K. means two things: 1) lots of griping from American fighters (and UFC executives) about the food, and 2) a card full of local blokes, European imports, and some other fighters just barely holding on to their UFC contracts.

That mix of desperation and nationalism often makes for memorable fights, but it also means that there are a few fighters on the UFC 138 lineup who are facing must-win scenarios.

Who are they, and what are their chances of staying on the UFC’s good side this Saturday night? For answers, we turn to the Cut List.

Thiago Alves (18-8, 10-5 UFC)
Who he’s facing: Papy Abedi
Why he’s in danger: Alves is another UFC welterweight who was on a tear until getting beat by Georges St-Pierre, after which he immediately fell on hard times. Including the loss to GSP at UFC 100, he’s lost three of his last four. His only recent win came against John Howard, who’s no longer with the organization. Alves seems to have finally conquered his weight issues, thanks to nutritionist Mike Dolce, but his last few performances in the cage have been fairly mediocre. Now he faces Octagon newcomer Abedi, who, while talented, seems like exactly the kind of fighter Alves should throttle. He’ll stand and trade, probably won’t shoot for a single takedown unless it’s out of desperation, and he’s relatively inexperienced, particularly at this level of MMA. So Alves should smash him, right? Probably, yeah. But if he slips up and manages to lose this fight (don’t act like it can’t happen), “The Pitbull” slides even further down ladder — maybe even all the way off of it.
Chances of getting cut: Very unlikely. You know how Dana White is always saying that he likes guys who “bring it”? That’s Alves. And here the UFC has found him an opponent who will stand and at least attempt to bring it right back. All Alves has to do is not screw it up.

Eddie Faaloloto (2-2, 0-1 UFC)
Who he’s facing: Terry Etim
Why he’s in danger: Faaloloto is winless under the Zuffa banner, having dropped back-to-back fights to Anthony Njokuani in the WEC and then Michael Johnson in the UFC. Now he has to fight in a Brit in Britain, and if he doesn’t see this as a fight for his job then he hasn’t been paying attention to the way the UFC does things. On paper, it seems like the plan is to give Etim a relatively easy opponent so he can impress his countrymen with a dominant win after an injury layoff. If that is indeed what happens, Faaloloto will almost certainly find himself off the roster. With as many good lightweights as there are in the UFC right now — not to mention all the talented, experienced 155ers who are still trying to get a look — there’d be no reason to keep a guy who’s a 2-3 fighter with no wins in the Octagon.
Chances of getting cut: Very good. Etim’s a heavy favorite to win the fight, and with good reason. If Faaloloto can’t pull out a minor miracle, he’s out of here.

Anthony Perosh (11-6, 1-3 UFC)
Who he’s facing: Cyrille Diabate
Why he’s in danger: Perosh can’t say that the UFC didn’t give him a chance. After an 0-2 bid back in 2006, the Aussie got back on the books by stepping up to fight Mirko “Cro Cop” Filipovic on short notice in Sydney. That didn’t go well, but he rebounded with his first UFC win thanks to a submission over Tom Blackledge, and against Diabate he even gets to fight someone his own age. But then, that’s kind of the problem. If Perosh can’t win this one (and oddsmakers don’t like his chances), what use does the UFC have for a 39-year-old light heavyweight who’s 1-4 in his career inside the Octagon? Perosh is a strong grappler, but guys like that don’t often fall under White’s “bring it” umbrella. You know who does? Lanky kickboxers like Diabate, who will likely eat Perosh up if the fight stays standing. Perosh has value for the UFC in Australia, but he’s not much of a draw elsewhere. In fact, this will only be his third pro fight away from his home country. The other two were both in Las Vegas for the UFC, and he lost them both.
Chances of getting cut: Very good. If Perosh can’t get Diabate down early and submit him, he’s in a lot of trouble. And sure, maybe Randy Couture could compete at the UFC level well into his 40s, but Perosh is no Couture.

Michihiro Omigawa (12-10-1, 0-4 UFC)
Who he’s facing: Jason Young
Why he’s in danger: Omigawa’s winless streak in the Octagon is comprised of two different stints with the UFC, but the current stay isn’t going much better than the previous one. The 35-year-old featherweight has dropped back-to-back decisions against Chad Mendes and Darren Elkins, though the latter seemed to be a case of judging incompetence. Still, if he can’t pick up a win soon he’ll start to look like yet another failed Japanese import who got to the UFC too late in his career to make an impact. He could still turn things around, of course, but it’s got to start here. Oddsmakers have him as a roughly 3-1 favorite over his British opponent, who is himself on somewhat shaky ground with an 0-1 start in the UFC. If Omigawa is going to finally get a win in the UFC, he might never get a better chance than this. He might never get another chance, period, if he doesn’t make the most of this opportunity. It’s now or never, and this is not a good time for a Japanese fighter to try and make a living back home.
Chances of getting cut: Moderate. If he loses he’s almost guaranteed to find himself out of a job, but this is a very winnable fight for Omigawa. The UFC would no doubt love to see him stick around long enough to help out with its Japanese invasion in 2012.

 

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VAC Commissioner Explains Judging to Justify Decision Win in Elkins Vs. Omigawa

As reported by SB Nation, Vancouver Athletic Commissioner, Jonathan Tweedale released the following statement in regard to the uproar over the Unanimous Decision win (scores: 29-28, 29-28, 30-27) awarded to Darren Elkins this past Saturday.

As reported by SB Nation, Vancouver Athletic Commissioner, Jonathan Tweedale released the following statement in regard to the uproar over the Unanimous Decision win (scores: 29-28, 29-28, 30-27) awarded to Darren Elkins this past Saturday at UFC 131 over Michihiro Omigawa.

“In the first round, Elkins backed Omigawa up with punches the entire round. He controlled the center of the cage. He was throwing a lot more shots, and landing more — and in combination. If there is any controversy as to the outcome of the fight it must be because of the second round. That was a very challenging round to score. An argument can be made in favour of either fighter. Elkins landed more punches. At one point, when Omigawa came forward, he was stopped dead in his tracks by Elkins’ combination punches, and at another point he was slightly buckled. Due to Omigawa’s unusual stance and balance, it was difficult to tell exactly whether he was rocked by some of these shots. However, you could see Omigawa’s leg bend, and the control shift to Elkins as he landed the combo, stopping Omigawa in his tracks, taking the center of the cage, and going on the attack again. These sequences, as well as the total effective strikes landed, could reasonably warrant awarding the round to Elkins. Elkins didn’t land many more than Omigawa, but he did land more. (The Fightmetric numbers agree.) As to the blood – it represents something, but a cut can be caused by a glancing blow and some fighters just cut more readily than others.

That’s a round about which reasonable people can disagree. Close rounds like Round 2 of Omigawa vs Elkins serve as useful examples for discussion, to assist in refining and evolving the community’s understanding of the scoring criteria, generally. And that is a good thing for the sport.”

Fight Metric has not released an indepth data report for the Elkins vs. Omigawa. UFC did award Omigawa his win bonus.

UFC 131 “Dos Santos vs. Carwin” Bonuses Announced

“Hands of Stone”? Yup, that sounds about right. (Pic: UFC.com)

There is so much to love about the UFC’s Fight Night Bonuses. Often times one of these rewards can double, triple, or even quadruple a fighter’s take home pay for the evening. They also serve as bounties for action, encouraging the knockouts, submissions, and exciting fights that we all enjoy. But I love them best for another reason altogether. They give Dana White the opportunity to do what he does best: wield his godlike power with impunity. That sword has two edges of course, one of which has cut us frequently, but when dolling out these bonuses we get to see the best of Dana White. There’s Dana the Vindictive, who snubbed Mir’s poor performance against Cro Cop by denying the night’s only KO a bonus; Dana the Fight Fan, who loves action packed bouts so much that sometimes he can’t bring himself to award only one “Fight of the Night” bonus; and Dana the Merciful, who sets right the grave injustices cast down from the judges table. It was this last Dana who reared his head last night, giving an “unofficial” bonus to Michihiro Omigawa, who lost a unanimous decision to Darren Elkins in the prelims. White felt that Omigawa clearly deserved the victory and awarded him his win bonus for his performance. This fight, particularly one judge scoring it 30-27 for Elkins, is sure to add more fuel to the firestorm that is MMA judging. And now, on to the $70k bonuses…

“Hands of Stone”? Yup, that sounds about right.  (Pic: UFC.com)

There is so much to love about the UFC’s Fight Night Bonuses. Often times one of these rewards can double, triple, or even quadruple a fighter’s take home pay for the evening. They also serve as bounties for action, encouraging the knockouts, submissions, and exciting fights that we all enjoy. But I love them best for another reason altogether. They give Dana White the opportunity to do what he does best: wield his godlike power with impunity. That sword has two edges of course, one of which has cut us frequently, but when dolling out these bonuses we get to see the best of Dana White. There’s Dana the Vindictive, who snubbed Mir’s poor performance against Cro Cop by denying the night’s only KO a bonus; Dana the Fight Fan, who loves action packed bouts so much that sometimes he can’t bring himself to award only one “Fight of the Night” bonus; and Dana the Merciful, who sets right the grave injustices cast down from the judges table. It was this last Dana who reared his head last night, giving an “unofficial” bonus to Michihiro Omigawa, who lost a unanimous decision to Darren Elkins in the prelims. White felt that Omigawa clearly deserved the victory and awarded him his win bonus for his performance. This fight, particularly one judge scoring it 30-27 for Elkins, is sure to add more fuel to the firestorm that is MMA judging. And now, on to the $70k bonuses…

Knock Out of the Night: Sam Stout picked up some spending cash and a highlight clip for the ages with his first-round knock out of Yves Edwards. The end came with both men exchanging punches; Edwards connected first with a decent right hook, but Stout landed a big left to the jaw that folded Yves forwarded as he slowly careened to the canvas. No follow up was needed, as the Thug Jitsu master was out cold.

Submission of the Night: Matt Serra student Chris Weidman extended his record to a perfect 6-0 with his first round submission over Jesse Bongfeldt. Weidman looked fluid on the ground as he transitioned around Bongfeldt with great control, but the end would come via the rare standing guillotine with only six seconds left in the first round.

Fight of the Night: Dave Herman and Jon Olav Einemo paired up in a back-and-forth heavyweight tilt that saw both men in trouble on more than one occasion. Herman battered Einemo with knees to drop him late in the second round and draw the TKO stoppage. The five years spent at Golden Glory didn’t show in Einemo’s stand-up. It was good news for him, though, as he would have lost to Carwin much faster and not picked up the additional $70k.