This was a good season had lots of good matches and of course the usual drama. With Tito Ortiz pulling out of the final fight, Dana booted him off the show and Rich Franklin came in to coach the last fight. His fighter won and coincidentally Franklin beat Chuck in their match a few days ago.
Kris McCray vs Court McGee
My knowledge of these TUF fighters is so little its difficult to make predictions.
Kris McCray’s striking wasn’t that impressive, but his wrestling and throws were. Court McGee can do some severe damage on the ground and was fairly good at the submissions as well.
Both guys seemed equally tough, but if I had to decide between these two I’m picking Court McGhee.
Sportsbook.com has Court McGee -200 Kris McCray +160
Matt Hamill vs Keith Jardine
Hamill has more than enough skills to get Jardine to the ground. However, Hamill’s footwork is not good enough to avoid Jardine’s big leg kicks nor is his head movement.
However, if Hamill gets Jardine on the ground, Hamill has big power in that position and I think Jardine will likely be fighting from his back for the rest of that round. First Hamill has to get Jardine down there though and by the third round I’m predicting his legs are so battered that he won’t be able to get the takedown at all.
Therefore, due to strikes and activity, I like Keith Jardine in this fight.
Intertops has Keith Jardine +115 and Matt Hamill -150, while Sportsbook.com has Matt Hamill -150 Keith Jardine +120
Chris Leben vs Aaron Simpson
Hard puncher Leben taking on the great wrestler and all around tough guy, Aaron Simpson. Leben’s weakest part of his game is his ground game or at least was in his past. I haven’t seen him in awhile so maybe he has focused on that.
Simpson is just all around tough, but definitely takes big punishment in most of his fights like he did against Tom Lawlor. His head movement is not that good, but Simpson is good everywhere else. However, you have the KO power of Leben against a guy who doesn’t mind taking hits. Both of these fighters have very tough chins. I’d give the standup edge to Leben, but the speed advantage will clearly go to Simpson.
Intertops has Simpson as a -350 favorite with Leben at +250. I think Simpson is most likely to win as well, but with the odds, I think Leben is not that far off from catching Simpson with one of his hooks. I don’t want to pick one here.
Sportsbook.com has Aaron Simpson at -340 and Chris Leben at +260
Spencer Fisher vs Denis Siver
Intertops has Siver at +145 and Spencer Fisher at -185. I actually like Siver in this fight. Fisher isn’t likely to KO Siver, but Siver has the power to do some serious damage. Not to mention his wrestling is pretty good as well. I think he will be the bigger fighter in this match as well. I don’t know why, but I like Siver here. I normally pick him to lose and lost he has. This match has the potential to be fight of the night as Spencer always puts on a show and Siver has always been in every fight.
Sportsbook.com has Spencer Fisher at -175 and Dennis Siver at +145
Jamie Yager vs Rich Attonito
Rich Attonito. Too much ground skill for Yager.
Sportsbook.com has Jamie Yager -135 Rich Attonito +105
John Gunderson vs Mark Holst
Not familiar with Holst, however, Gunderson is good. I like Gunderson in the dark.
John Gunderson -285 Mark Holst +225
Brad Tavares vs Seth Baczynski
I like Baczynski here.
Sportsbook.com has Brad Tavares -240 Seth Baczynski +190
Kyle Noke vs Josh Bryant
I like Josh Bryant here.
Sportsbook.com has Kyle Noke -200 Josh Bryant +160
James Hammortree vs Chris Camozzi
I like Camozzi here.
Sportsbook.com has James Hammortree even Chris Camozzi -130
James McSweeney vs Travis Browne
Not familiar with Travis Browne, but I’m taking the British Kickboxer, McSweeney in the dark here.