These “Quick Breaks” are short breakdowns of upcoming fights. In a summed-up focus of strengths, weaknesses and variables; this will analyze what could happen in the fight and end with this writer’s prediction.
This Friday, UFC will be broadcasting their first event on FX. The event is being held in Nashville, Tenn., and will be headlined by two of the most talented lightweight fighters in the world.
In the blue corner, you have the challenger, Jim Miller. Miller is an excellent submission artist and a very hard man to put away. He is currently 20-3, with more than half of those wins coming by way of submission, and most noteworthy, has never been finished.
After a disappointing loss to No. 1 contender Benson Henderson, he will be looking to get back on track for a title shot. Jim Miller was on his way, and before his recent loss, was on a seven-fight winning streak.
In the red corner is the explosive Melvin Guillard. Guillard himself is looking to put himself back into the title picture, which he was prior to his most recent fight. Joe Lauzon stopped an over-excited and emotional Guillard early in the first round via a rear-naked choke, ending his five-fight winning streak. Now humbled by this experience, he is looking to become more focused and better than ever.
Melvin Guillard has the ability to explode on his opponents with strikes. He is currently 29-9-2(1), with 20 of them coming by KO/TKO. With a newfound knowledge of the dangers of carelessness, Guillard will be looking to prove to the fans that his last loss was just a mistake and will not be repeated.
It is very worthy to note that Guillard has nine losses, and only one of them came by decision. The others were all submissions. This, of course, is why Jim Miller is such a dangerous threat. Both fighters are the same weight, age and have the same reach, which does make it harder for “The Young Assassin” to have a distance striking advantage, but Miller is not know for his striking regardless.
In essence, and to put it simply, if it goes to the ground, Miller has the advantage. If it stays standing, Guillard is at home. In a division where there is a deep talent-pool and everyone is clamoring for the title shot, neither of these men can afford a second loss in a row. By the makings of this fight, one of them will be finished and knocked way down on the top contender list by the end of the night.
Prediction: Guillard wins via TKO about 3.30-5.00 minutes into the first round.
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