Mendes vs. McGregor: Latest Odds, Predictions and Pre-Fight Twitter Hype

Per Odds Shark, Chad “Money” Mendes is the underdog heading into his clash with “The Notorious” Conor McGregor at UFC 189 on Saturday. The most recent odds have McGregor as a 27-50 favorite. As a late replacement for Jose Aldo, it seems only natural th…

Per Odds Shark, Chad “Money” Mendes is the underdog heading into his clash with “The Notorious” Conor McGregor at UFC 189 on Saturday. The most recent odds have McGregor as a 27-50 favorite. As a late replacement for Jose Aldo, it seems only natural that Mendes would be an underdog.

Heading into the final hours of hype before the fight, there doesn’t seem to be much of a letdown of emotion. The pre-fight press conference wasn’t lacking fireworks. Mendes and McGregor delivered a seemingly unlimited amount of quotable one-liners.

The UFC Twitter account captured the best of the best:

Confidence doesn’t appear to be a problem for either man.

McGregor is clearly at his best on his feet. He does have a 100 percent takedown defense rating, per FightMetric, but he’s only faced five takedown attempts in the UFC. None of those five were attempted by a wrestler on Mendes‘ level.

Mendes is obviously at a height and reach disadvantage. He stands 5’6″ with a 66″ reach, while McGregor is 5’9″ and measures 74″ from armpit to knuckle.

However, Mendes has the speed and head movement to close the distance. Because of his opponent’s massive punching power, McGregor must be wary of the big right hand. It’s the punch that can stop anyone in the division—including McGregor.

Bleacher Report’s Riley Kontek thinks Mendes will stop McGregor:

I feel like a lot of people are going with McGregor here, but he just simply has not been tested by a wrestler, especially one of this caliber. Mendes is also not bad on the feet, but he needs to beat McGregor up early, or the Irishman will get comfortable and pick at him from a distance. 

It may not be a popular opinion, but I also expect Mendes to stop McGregor. If Money can take McGregor down early in the first round, it’ll set the tone of the bout. He’ll take away some of the Irishman’s confidence and get him on his heels—literally and figuratively.

After inflicting some notable damage, he’ll finish McGregor via ground-and-pound in the second round. The UFC will then be charged with finding a way to rebuild McGregor‘s invincible image.


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New Hall of Famers talk PEDs, their careers and who should be inducted next

Matt Hughes, Frank Trigg and Bas Rutten, along with Lori Blatnick, the wife of the late Jeff Blatnick, spoke about the changes in the sport, PED usage, and who should go into the Hall of Fame next.
Matt Hughes, who will become the first pers…

Matt Hughes, Frank Trigg and Bas Rutten, along with Lori Blatnick, the wife of the late Jeff Blatnick, spoke about the changes in the sport, PED usage, and who should go into the Hall of Fame next.

Matt Hughes, who will become the first person inducted into the UFC Hall of Fame a second time this weekend, and now works for the company in fighter relations, brought up a financial aspect of drug testing and fighters paychecks on Monday.

“I just had a fighters summit in Vegas and I told the fighters, the next time you get to the table and want a bigger payday, I want to remind you the cheaters have cost the UFC and you $4 million (for the new testing program went into effect on July 1),” he said. “That’s $4 million that will not be going to the fighters because of those cheaters. The reason we have these new rules are that people aren’t playing by the rules in the first place.”

Hughes started in the sport in 1998 and started with UFC a year later. He had a career that saw him win the welterweight championship twice. He made the comments on a press call to promote UFC’s 2015 Hall of Fame inductions this coming Saturday, hours before UFC 189.

Hughes was on the call with fellow 2015 inductees Frank Trigg and Bas Rutten, as well as Lori Blatnick, the wife of the another inductee, the late Jeff Blatnick. B.J. Penn, who is also being inducted, was not on the call.

Hughes was inducted into the Hall of Fame as a fighter in 2010. On Saturday, the April 16, 2005, welterweight title fight with Hughes vs. Trigg is being inducted Saturday in the legendary fight category. In a sense, you could argue he is the second, because while Forrest Griffin was inducted only once, he is considered a Hall of Famer both as a fighter and for his April 9, 2005, fight with Stephan Bonnar in the finale of the first season of The Ultimate Fighter. The irony is that even though UFC ran far fewer events, its first two Hall of Fame fights took place within a week of each other.

The subject of PEDs, and its role in the sport, past and present, was a key topic of discussion, particularly when a question was asked about the history of the sport and people who are considered all-time greats that perhaps shouldn’t be because part of their success was built on PED usage.

While nobody would name fighters in specific, when asked, with a comparison made to the Mark McGwire/Barry Bonds era in baseball, they all agreed there are those who would fit the bill.

“I think there were people in my era who people think are great who were cheating,” he said. “We did have drug testing, but I don’t think the drugs were as prevalent as they are now, and there aren’t the ways to get around the testing like nowadays.”

On the flip side, testing in many cases was nonexistent in that era. Even when done, it was in its infancy. For years, unless you fought in a few selected locations, like Las Vegas, there would be no PED testing at all. Before 2002, there were no penalties for usage of PEDs at all. Even when testing was done, it was only on the day of the fight, making it ridiculously easy to beat. And in many ways, if there was a pioneer era before regulation, and a modern era after, this coming Saturday, the first show since UFC contracted with USADA to handle significant drug testing, will be the first show of a third era.

Trigg feels the percentage of fighters using during their heyday was extremely high.

Trigg also brought up Jeff Blatnick, who won the gold medal in the 1984 Olympics before becoming an important figure in the early days of UFC, including naming the sport mixed martial arts and writing its first rulebook. He noted Blatnick won his medal beating a guy who was cheating.

“We always knew the other governments were supporting the guys,” said Trigg, whose UFC career was best known for that second fight with Hughes, the highlights of which get played as part of a video montage during nearly every UFC live event. “We got tested all the time (during his days as an Olympic hopeful in wrestling, before MMA). It was always random, and guys got caught pretty frequently. In my era of fighting, it’s rumored that 50 to 90 percent of the guys were on something. A lot of great guys were doing PEDs. The reality is in that era that testing was in place, but it wasn’t focused on like now. Starting on July 1st, it’s now a reality. Look at Gilbert Melendez, guys you’d never think of, Anderson Silva and Jon Jones had problems with drugs one way or the other. The reality is there were  people you’d never think about before when there wasn’t as much testing. We wrestled guys on drugs all the time.”

The UFC will also induct Rutten in the pioneer era, which is for fighters whose careers began before the unified rules were put in place in 2000. Penn will be inducted for the modern era, for those who stated their careers after 2000 but are at least 35 years old. Older active fighters are eligible. Blatnick will be put in as a contributor to the sport and Hughes vs. Trigg as a stand-alone fight. In UFC’s quest to make the Hall of Fame more legitimate, they have broken it down into categories and there will be one person or fight honored annually in each category for the next few years. The fight category also allows the company to make historical sense out of its induction of Bonnar, who was never a champion or top contender, but whose fight with  Griffin could be argued was the most important fight in UFC history, and was also among its most exciting. 

The induction ceremony will take place at the UFC Fan Expo, at 11 a.m. Pacific time at the Sands Expo and Convention Center in Las Vegas. It will also be streamed live on UFC Fight Pass.

When the subject of future inductees was brought up, the names mentioned across the board were Frank Shamrock, Don Frye and referee John McCarthy.

“It’s a hard one,” said Rutten, when asked who he thought should go in next. “Frank Shamrock, Don Frye, those two pop up for the pioneer section.  Modern era, I think they should have stopped fighting. I’m shooting a blank on that one.”

“As far as a pioneer, because he had so much to do with setting up the rules, John McCarthy at some point,” said Trigg. “I think a fighter should be retired. We shouldn’t have people in the Hall of Fame who are still competing. McCarthy is still a referee. Why Don Frye and Frank Shamrock aren’t in, that doesn’t make sense to me. Those were the guys I looked up to when I was starting.”

“I definitely agree with Frank and John for sure,” said Blatnick.

The UFC rules allow for fighters to be put in the Hall of Fame as long as they are past 35 years old. An issue with retiring is that many fighters in the Hall of Fame, such as Tito Ortiz, Bonnar, Ken Shamrock and Randy Couture at one point announced their retirements, and then came back. 

“I do think a modern fighter should be retired,” said Hughes, drawing from personal experience. “It put a lot of pressure on me when they put me in in 2010 when I still had fights to go. So that’s how I’m going to answer it.”

The Hughes-Trigg fight was a rematch of a championship fight two years earlier that Hughes won via choke. There was a lot of bad blood going into the rematch. Hughes looked down and out after an accidental low blow, and was caught in a choke.  Suddenly, like a scene from a movie, Hughes escaped the choke, picked Trigg up, ran across the Octagon and slammed him, and quickly finished with a choke.

For Hughes, this was just one of many fights in his career. He considers his biggest win as his second match with Penn, in 2006, where he avenged a 2004 loss,. At the time the two were considered as among the most talented pound-for-pound fighters in the world.

For Trigg, it’s a the second fight is something he can never escape, and considers a life changing moment in time. It already was the lasting memory of his career, and wit this honor, it will only become even more legendary.

“I don’t think about it until somebody brings it up, which is every day,” he said.

He noted whenever he meets people in his different walks of life, even when he’s doing stunt man work and meets actors, invariably someone will come up to him and ask about that fight.

“If I finish that choke or I knock him out, I’m a millionaire,” he said. Trigg believed that if he won the fight, he’d have retained the title several times, probably until the Georges St-Pierre era.

“My confidence increases,” he said. “My ego is bigger. I wouldn’t be the great champion Matt was, but I’d be pretty damn close. I went left. I didn’t go right. That’s how it is. It’s a part of history.”

Before the main card starts at almost every UFC event, unless there is a timing issue, there is a music video to the 1971 classic song Baba O’Riley by The Who, featuring a montage of the biggest stars and moments in UFC history. No matter how many clips and changed or added over the years, the slam and the Hughes celebration with his corner after the win always come cross as a highlight moment to almost every crowd.

“I don’t really watch any of my fights,” said Hughes. “I do like that soundtrack. That’s my favorite clip to watch, the only one I watch.”

Hughes says when it comes on the screen at the show, he watches it, but doesn’t focus so much on the running slam, but more on the faces of his cornermen, when he is running across the Octagon carrying Trigg.

“I’ve been in corners when the fighters lost,” said Hughes. “It’s hard when you’re in a corner and your guys is beat up and losing. They thought that I was going to lose and the fight was over. When I dumped him, it’s right in front of my corner. I watch that clip and I love that clip but I’m not watching me, I’m watching the four cornermen.”

“I leave the arena when that clip comes out,” Trigg joked. “I can’t even stand the song when it comes on the radio station. You’ll always catch me by the bar when that comes on.”

Both recognize that they were linked from the fight, and the link is going to be even stronger historically due to the induction. While Hughes said the animosity a decade ago was very real, it’s long gone today.

“Frank and I cross paths all the time when I’m in Las Vegas,” said Hughes. “We’re definitely friendly now. We’ve definitely matured. I know I’m retired. Frank is retired. We’ve got nothing to fight for. But it was very real back in the day. We were different then.”

“You’ve got to remember that he’s a Midwestern farmer, he hunts and fishes, and I’m an East Coast kid,” said Trigg. “We had two different mindsets. We were both super competitive, both super alpha males. We pushed each others buttons and tried to sell fights.”

Trigg noted there is also a different in the impact of fights and the time given to promote them was very different when the schedule wasn’t like it is now.

“Our feud lived up to the fight,” said Trigg. “We were rivals, and that’s what athletes are. It’s been ten years.”

Rutten noted that when he first heard about the UFC, shortly after it started in late 1993, it was something he didn’t want to be part of.

Rutten was a kickboxer who was signed by Pancrase in Japan, which started a form of MMA with a different rule set in 1993, just before UFC started. Ken Shamrock, who fought in Pancrase, was in the first UFC tournament.

“I didn’t think it was a healthy thing,” said Rutten about the original UFC. “I didn’t think it was a smart thing to do, when we saw (Gerard) Gordeau kicking the guy’s teeth out and no referee was allowed to stop the fight. I talked to Ken Shamrock in the dressing room when we fought on the same card. I wouldn’t do it. A lot of these crazy guys who will knock you out and then feel the need to hit you five more times after you’re knocked out. Those punches can ruin your life. If there’s a referee there, that’s a different story.”

That era of UFC ended quickly, as McCarthy, who started refereeing at the second UFC event, then told the organizers after that show that people that the results would be catastrophic if the referee wasn’t given the power to stop the fights. He insisted on it or he wouldn’t come back. He was persuasive enough that the rule was immediately changed.

Rutten only fought in UFC twice, but was heavyweight champion when he retired due to a number of injuries (although he came back once years later for a different promotion), Rutten is being inducted primarily for his Pancrase career, where he was one of the biggest stars of the 90s. Now more well known for being a commentator, a TV show host, an actor and for commercial endorsements, Rutten had nothing but good things to say about his experience in UFC before the Zuffa era.

“I had a great time,” he said. “Those guys (Semaphore Entertainment Group) were awesome. Anybody who puts you on the poster calling you “the world’s greatest marital artist,” they pushed me so much. I had a great time, no problem at all.”

Because he had only fought twice in UFC, he was shocked about his induction. The Rutten induction was to specifically show that they are going to honor entire careers. The idea is to make it a Hall of Fame for the sport itself.  But there’s also a marketing reason. Rutten’s career was mostly with Pancrase, and UFC has purchased the rights to the Pancrase tape library, so in a sense, owns its visual history.

Rutten said he never expected to be inducted into the UFC Hall of Fame as a fighter, but did think that he could get in at some point.

“Maybe in ten years, because of the contributions I’ve made to MMA in general, commentary, not only in the UFC, I thought maybe that would get me in.  That was my hope. I didn’t expect it at all now.

“A buddy told me that there are only nine guys in the Hall of Fame (actually there were 12 before this class gets inducted),” said Rutten. That’s so cool once you realize that.  It’s really cool.”

Brad Pickett frustrated by the ‘little pit-pat’ and ‘point-scoring game’ he found at flyweight

LAS VEGAS — The biggest underdog of UFC 189 may surprise you. While Brad Pickett had an admittedly rough detour at flyweight, the longtime stalwart of the bantamweight division’s top-10 figured a return home to his natural weight class would at least earn him a little more respect. That’s not the case though, and Pickett is baffled to see oddsmakers pin him as high as a 10-to-1 underdog against undefeated Brazilian prospect Thomas Almeida ahead of the pair’s main card match-up.

“It’s crazy,” Pickett told MMAFighting.com on Thursday. “It’s not exactly like I don’t punch hard and I’m not a well-rounded fighter. I was ranked No. 5 at bantamweight before I went down to flyweight.

“I think [people are writing me off]. Obviously. Everyone is seeing an 19-0 guy who’s finished like 14 fights. Of course he got a little bit of a hype train. So for me, last time I fought an undefeated prospect was Demetrious Johnson, and I beat him. Demetrious Johnson has gone on to do great things, so I think Thomas Almeida is young and he will go on the do great things. But I think it’s my time to humble him and give him a learning curve.”

Now that it’s behind him, Pickett admits his journey down to flyweight was little more than a “failed experiment.” The 36-year-old hopped divisions in the hopes that his 2010 win over Johnson would earn him a quick road to the 125-pound title, but the weight proved difficult to adapt to. After winning a decision over Neil Seery in his debut, Pickett looked sluggish in losing back-to-back fights over Ian McCall and Chico Camus, ultimately heading back up to 135 with a sour taste in his mouth from a style he found all too prevalent in the UFC’s lightest men’s division.

“At that weight class — no disrespect because some people do — but a lot of people don’t hit hard enough to finish people,” Pickett said. “You don’t see a lot of finishes at flyweight like you do with the heavyweight weights. It’s all about hitting and running, hitting and running. Hit and don’t get hit. It’s a point scoring system. How can you outpoint that guy in that round? For me, I just want to get involved in a fight. I don’t want to be chasing someone around the cage. Strike, then it’s ‘oh, come on.’ I’m getting peppered [while I’m chasing them], and not to sound disrespectful, but I never thought in a zillion years that any of them could knock me out with that little pit-pat.

“So that’s why I’d like to go back up a weight class and fight guys who would stand in front of me a little bit more and play my game. I don’t mind being the smaller guy this time. And like I said, the first opponent I got is Thomas Almeida, and he’s a guy who’s going to stand right in front of me, I’m not going to find it hard to hit him, and we’re going to throw down.”

If Pickett was looking for a dance partner who’d throw down with him, he definitely found his huckleberry in Almeida. The 23-year-old Brazilian has crafted a striking game within the famed walls of Chute Boxe Academy that well exceeds his years, and despite just fighting twice inside the UFC, Almeida has already developed a reputation as one of the most feared prospects to rise out of 135 in quite some time.

It’s a perfect storm for the perennially brawl-minded Pickett, and exactly the time of fight he’s looking for at this point in his career.

All five of Pickett’s most recent losses came against top-15 ranked foes, with four of them — McCall, Michael McDonald, Eddie Wineland, and Renan Barao — coming against men ranked in their division’s respective top-6. So any rumblings of his demise may be premature considering that kind of strength of schedule.

But Pickett is more honest than most fighters. He admits he sees the twilight of his career fast approaching, so rather than mount any sort of 13th hour run at glory, he’d rather stick around for his few final days and entertain fight fans with his violent sensibilities and a handful of willing adversaries willing to bite down on their mouthpieces and satisfy some bloodlust.

“That’s the thing. I’m not really interested in making another run,” Pickett acknowledged. “I just want exciting fights. So I’ve got [Almeida] as an exciting fight, but if I beat him, yeah, of course he’s a prospect, he’s ranked No. 14 in the weight class, so it’s not going to propel me into the top-10 or anything, I’m not going to be going ‘oh wow, I could get a title shot.’ So I understand. Once I win this one this weekend, I look at the next fight: which is a fight that excites me?

“I’m not worried about [the title picture].”

After spending more than a decade in the game, Pickett concedes it’s a bit bizarre to see himself playing the role of spoiler, tasked with stopping the hype train of a young buck. It’s a role he’s more than happy to play, though he’s not exactly naïve to the dire straits a third consecutive loss could put him in.

“It is (strange), because I’d always want to compete at the highest levels. In my eyes, when the UFC are done with me, probably I’ll pack up my gloves and that’s it,” Pickett said. “I don’t have desire to go out of UFC and try to get back in. No. Once the UFC is done, I think I’m done.

“But for me, obviously, I love my job. I love what I do, so I’m going to try to hang onto this as long as I possibly can. I know age is a concern for people, but for me age is just a number. It’s how your body feels, and I feel good.”

LAS VEGAS — The biggest underdog of UFC 189 may surprise you. While Brad Pickett had an admittedly rough detour at flyweight, the longtime stalwart of the bantamweight division’s top-10 figured a return home to his natural weight class would at least earn him a little more respect. That’s not the case though, and Pickett is baffled to see oddsmakers pin him as high as a 10-to-1 underdog against undefeated Brazilian prospect Thomas Almeida ahead of the pair’s main card match-up.

“It’s crazy,” Pickett told MMAFighting.com on Thursday. “It’s not exactly like I don’t punch hard and I’m not a well-rounded fighter. I was ranked No. 5 at bantamweight before I went down to flyweight.

“I think [people are writing me off]. Obviously. Everyone is seeing an 19-0 guy who’s finished like 14 fights. Of course he got a little bit of a hype train. So for me, last time I fought an undefeated prospect was Demetrious Johnson, and I beat him. Demetrious Johnson has gone on to do great things, so I think Thomas Almeida is young and he will go on the do great things. But I think it’s my time to humble him and give him a learning curve.”

Now that it’s behind him, Pickett admits his journey down to flyweight was little more than a “failed experiment.” The 36-year-old hopped divisions in the hopes that his 2010 win over Johnson would earn him a quick road to the 125-pound title, but the weight proved difficult to adapt to. After winning a decision over Neil Seery in his debut, Pickett looked sluggish in losing back-to-back fights over Ian McCall and Chico Camus, ultimately heading back up to 135 with a sour taste in his mouth from a style he found all too prevalent in the UFC’s lightest men’s division.

“At that weight class — no disrespect because some people do — but a lot of people don’t hit hard enough to finish people,” Pickett said. “You don’t see a lot of finishes at flyweight like you do with the heavyweight weights. It’s all about hitting and running, hitting and running. Hit and don’t get hit. It’s a point scoring system. How can you outpoint that guy in that round? For me, I just want to get involved in a fight. I don’t want to be chasing someone around the cage. Strike, then it’s ‘oh, come on.’ I’m getting peppered [while I’m chasing them], and not to sound disrespectful, but I never thought in a zillion years that any of them could knock me out with that little pit-pat.

“So that’s why I’d like to go back up a weight class and fight guys who would stand in front of me a little bit more and play my game. I don’t mind being the smaller guy this time. And like I said, the first opponent I got is Thomas Almeida, and he’s a guy who’s going to stand right in front of me, I’m not going to find it hard to hit him, and we’re going to throw down.”

If Pickett was looking for a dance partner who’d throw down with him, he definitely found his huckleberry in Almeida. The 23-year-old Brazilian has crafted a striking game within the famed walls of Chute Boxe Academy that well exceeds his years, and despite just fighting twice inside the UFC, Almeida has already developed a reputation as one of the most feared prospects to rise out of 135 in quite some time.

It’s a perfect storm for the perennially brawl-minded Pickett, and exactly the time of fight he’s looking for at this point in his career.

All five of Pickett’s most recent losses came against top-15 ranked foes, with four of them — McCall, Michael McDonald, Eddie Wineland, and Renan Barao — coming against men ranked in their division’s respective top-6. So any rumblings of his demise may be premature considering that kind of strength of schedule.

But Pickett is more honest than most fighters. He admits he sees the twilight of his career fast approaching, so rather than mount any sort of 13th hour run at glory, he’d rather stick around for his few final days and entertain fight fans with his violent sensibilities and a handful of willing adversaries willing to bite down on their mouthpieces and satisfy some bloodlust.

“That’s the thing. I’m not really interested in making another run,” Pickett acknowledged. “I just want exciting fights. So I’ve got [Almeida] as an exciting fight, but if I beat him, yeah, of course he’s a prospect, he’s ranked No. 14 in the weight class, so it’s not going to propel me into the top-10 or anything, I’m not going to be going ‘oh wow, I could get a title shot.’ So I understand. Once I win this one this weekend, I look at the next fight: which is a fight that excites me?

“I’m not worried about [the title picture].”

After spending more than a decade in the game, Pickett concedes it’s a bit bizarre to see himself playing the role of spoiler, tasked with stopping the hype train of a young buck. It’s a role he’s more than happy to play, though he’s not exactly naïve to the dire straits a third consecutive loss could put him in.

“It is (strange), because I’d always want to compete at the highest levels. In my eyes, when the UFC are done with me, probably I’ll pack up my gloves and that’s it,” Pickett said. “I don’t have desire to go out of UFC and try to get back in. No. Once the UFC is done, I think I’m done.

“But for me, obviously, I love my job. I love what I do, so I’m going to try to hang onto this as long as I possibly can. I know age is a concern for people, but for me age is just a number. It’s how your body feels, and I feel good.”

UFC 189: Fight Night Bonus Predictions for Mendes vs. McGregor Fight Card

Scoring a second-round knockout against a brash and talented fighter like Conor McGregor should be enough to win Chad Mendes a Performance of the Night bonus. McGregor is the real deal, but it’s easy to forget how dangerous Mendes can be.
After all, th…

Scoring a second-round knockout against a brash and talented fighter like Conor McGregor should be enough to win Chad Mendes a Performance of the Night bonus. McGregor is the real deal, but it’s easy to forget how dangerous Mendes can be.

After all, the only man to ever beat him is the man he’s replacing in the UFC 189 main event, Jose Aldo. Mendes‘ skill set will be a nightmare for McGregor. The 30-year-old from Hanford, CA is an explosive athlete with heavy hands and a world-class wrestler.

If you were trying to find a style that could give McGregor problems, Mendes‘ combination of athleticism and skills would be perfect. The only potential drawback is Mendes‘ height. He’s only 5’6″, and he’ll be giving up a three-inch height and reach advantage.

However, he does have excellent head movement and speed. Mendes will use both to close the distance, take McGregor down and finish him via ground and pound in the second round. If you were worried about the main event losing some steam without Aldo, take a look at the pre-fight press conference highlights.

The energy is still there:

Thomas Almeida Will Annihilate Brad Pickett

The second POTN bonus should be a close one between Cody Garbrandt—who should stop Henry Briones— and Tim Means. Yes,  I’m picking the Dirty Bird to submit “The Immortal” Matt Brown. However, rising superstar Thomas Almeida is likely to put on the most impressive striking clinic of the evening.

Brad Pickett is a tough veteran, but he’s 36 years old and set to face a 23-year-old whirlwind who will grow into the sport’s next superstar. At 19-0, with finishes in 95 percent of his fights, Almeida is already a force to be reckoned with—and he’s only getting better.

Bleacher Report’s Scott Harris summed up Almeida‘s rise and the predicted outcome of this fight perfectly:

If you did not know about Thomas Almeida before, you will know about him this Saturday around 11 p.m. The heavy-hitting, do-it-all Chute Boxe prodigy is coming for Brad Pickett’s soul, and he will have it.

Almeida is too fast and his striking game is too diversified for Pickett. Get ready for a systematic destruction to open up the main card.

 

Fight of the Night – Means vs. Brown

Brown is a FOTN magnet, but he usually wins the epic battles in which he competes. On Saturday, Means’ new-found confidence, striking prowess and submission skills will be the undoing of The Immortal. 

Brown has a tendency to be wild with his striking—especially once he’s been hit or going in for the stoppage himself. Against a crafty and skilled fighter like Means, that’ll put him in a tough situation.

Expect Means to mix in takedowns and straight punches to counter Brown’s power shots. Stopping Brown with strikes has proved near impossible, but if Means secures a choke on the ground, his long limbs will lead to Brown’s voluntary or technical submission.


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UFC fighters give Reebok gear mixed reviews heading into first weekend of deal

LAS VEGAS — Tim Means won’t be competing in a fashion show this weekend, but it’s still somewhat important to look the part of an MMA bad ass before the biggest UFC event of the year. Means didn’t feel like he was adequately able to do that…

LAS VEGAS — Tim Means won’t be competing in a fashion show this weekend, but it’s still somewhat important to look the part of an MMA bad ass before the biggest UFC event of the year. Means didn’t feel like he was adequately able to do that with the gear he was given by Reebok.

“I had a couple shirts that were skintight,” Means said. “I don’t know if you’ve seen my physique, but I don’t really pull off the muscle shirts real good.”

Means and many of his fellow fighters said the fit was not great on their Reebok clothing and that’s certainly a concern as the UFC heads into its first weekend as uniform partners with the apparel brand. Means will fight Matt Brown at UFC 189 on Saturday here at MGM Grand.

Angela Magana also said none of her clothes fit, and Jeremy Stephens had a similar experience.

“Everything was off,” Magana said. “Look how big this is. The waist is big. This [shirt] is really tight. I’m an athlete. You’d think they’d make it for athlete bodies, but I guess I’m a weird body type.”

The good news is that the UFC and Reebok have people on hand to tailor the duds on the spot, especially the stuff fighters will wear in the Octagon. Magana, who fights Michelle Waterson at The Ultimate Fighter 21 Finale on Sunday night, said she had the alterations made and everything was good after that.

“They told me to check my stuff and told me to see if it fit good, especially the fight day stuff,” said Michael Graves, who meets Vicente Lucque at the TUF Finale. “They want to make sure that everyone is comfortable so that they can compete.”

Graves and Cathal Pendred said all of their Reebok stuff fit perfectly. Waterson said the same, but she’s going to reserve judgment until fight night, because she isn’t sure how the clothes will feel when she’s actually fighting. Overall, though, she’s a fan of the Reebok deal.

“I’ve had so many wardrobe malfunctions over the years in fighting that it’s like I just had given up,” Waterson said. “I’d get a package in a few days before the fight with stuff and it’d be like, ‘Are you kidding me? I’m swimming in this.’ You just have to go with the flow and deal with things. It’s nice to have somebody there, ‘Oh, this is too tight, let me stitch it up for you.'”

The customization that Reebok promised at the unveiling press conference two weeks ago seems to be more about fit than design. Graves said that he requested shorter shorts — it makes it more comfortable for him to kick — and the UFC/Reebok uniform people complied.

Basically, as soon as a fighter arrives in the host city of the event they’ll receive a bag with a host of Reebok gear, from sneakers to t-shirts to workout pants to hoodies. The fighter will try on the stuff and if it doesn’t fit it can be altered on the spot with the fight night apparel taking first precedence, of course. Stephens was still waiting on some of his fight-week things to get back in the correct size.

“I didn’t really know what to expect, but I thought I was going to get a little bit more gear to cut weight in, a little bit more to display out there,” said Stephens, who fights Dennis Bermudez at UFC 189. “But I haven’t even gotten my right sizes yet, so I’m waiting to get my right sizes. They gave me mediums. I needed larges. Then the guy goes back and gets me more mediums, so I haven’t even gotten, like, my right sizes yet. But it is what it is. I’m not really worried about Reebok or whatever. I’m wearing the gear on fight night. That gear fits. That’s the only gear that matters.”

Another issue is with the design, which has been criticized by many people, including fighters. Bermudez was bummed that he didn’t get any input on the fighter kits. Jorge Masvidal is hoping they allow fighters at least some individuality.

“I don’t know how lenient they’ll be with the design making and stuff,” Masvidal said. “That’s what I want to get into. I wasn’t a huge fan of the design for my shirt.

“I posted a few pictures online and the fans weren’t too nice. They’ve been putting up pictures of me and like dudes racing bikes. They be telling me the only thing you’re missing is the helmet and shoes.”

What Masvidal does like is that he gets to represent Cuba, the country his father comes from, with the colors of the Cuban flag on his kit. Bermudez is thinking about doing the same thing for Puerto Rico and Magana is very excited about wearing Mexican colors.

“It makes my dad proud,” Masvidal said. “Me and my dad have an awesome relationship. Just because of life, he couldn’t be there for a lot of it, though we’ve always been like best friends.

“He gets real happy when he sees the flag on me. He’s like, ‘That’s my boy.’ It makes him even more crazy.”

For the most part, at this point in the week, all fighters care about is getting in there and getting their hand raised. Brown said he was indifferent about the Reebok deal; he just wants to see more swag.

“I wish they would give me more gear,” Brown said. “So Reebok, if you’re listening: I like your gear, maybe send me five or six boxes full. Big boxes.”

Gambler’s Gambit: ‘UFC 189: Mendes vs. McGregor’


(Yup, that pretty much nails it. via Urijah Faber’s Instagram)

By Santino DeFranco 

First, let me say, I’m no professional gambler, but who really is? What I am is a former professional fighter and a trainer of multiple UFC fighters, and I’ve recently (last few years—not, like, today’s my first time) started betting on fights. I’ve also been doing very well with my bets, so I thought I’d share them with you. So strap in for this, the inaugural edition of Gambler’s Gambit, or, Smart Fights to Not Lose Your Ass On at UFC 189.

The post Gambler’s Gambit: ‘UFC 189: Mendes vs. McGregor’ appeared first on Cagepotato.


(Yup, that pretty much nails it. via Urijah Faber’s Instagram)

By Santino DeFranco 

First, let me say, I’m no professional gambler, but who really is? What I am is a former professional fighter and a trainer of multiple UFC fighters, and I’ve recently (last few years—not, like, today’s my first time) started betting on fights. I’ve also been doing very well with my bets, so I thought I’d share them with you. So strap in for this, the inaugural edition of Gambler’s Gambit, or, Smart Fights to Not Lose Your Ass On at UFC 189.

Now, I certainly don’t advocate gambling your house or children’s diaper money, especially if you have an addictive personality, but if you’re responsible, let’s take a look at this UFC 189 card after I take you through a bit of my methodology. If you’re already chomping at the bit to see where to piss away your money, scroll down for my picks (and find some damn patience).

Now that all of the responsible people have left the building, we need to set some ground rules:

1. Not every fight should be bet on. Most fights have zero to offer in terms of ways to make money. Either, A: the odds are crap; or, B: the fights are too close to call.

2. Not every fight card has even one fight that is worth betting on, so don’t get shifty and start throwing money down out of boredom. Go spend that money that’s burning a hole in your pocket on something fun, something tangible, like gas for your broken down Jalopy or, as mentioned before, your children’s diapers.

3. Don’t bet odds. The odds are that way for a reason: for you to lose money. What I mean by that is don’t go, “So and so has a punchers chance, and for those odds it’s worth it.” No he doesn’t, and no it’s not.

4. Not all underdogs are good bets, not all favorites are bad bets, and frankly, quite often it’s the opposite. Hell, if you bet $100 on a fighter that’s -500 and won, you’d win $20. A 20% return is better than most mutual funds and stocks—but that doesn’t mean pull everything out of the market and become a professional gambler for the week until you lose it all.

5. You need to be okay losing the money you bet. I have done well lately, and if I were a line chart, I’d have an upward trend, but just like the stock market, I have bad days. You will too.

My Methodology (The Short Version):

The first thing I do is analyze the fights that interest me. I go through each fighter’s record and find similar opponent styles to his/her current match up and see how he/she fared. Then, I go through and watch tape of each fighter and see if they give any tells that make me think he has an advantage/disadvantage against opponent. Then I pick my winner. The pick is the important part, though. I try to only bet on fights that I’m certain of the winner. So, none of this, “I think Robbie Lawler has a 51-49% chance of beating Macdonald.” To me, that’s no good, and that’s how you lose money.

The Picks:
(All odds listed are from Bovada the day of publication and may change)

Remember, these are “American” odds, so if the odds are -250, that means you’d have to wager $250 to win $100 (plus you’re money back, of course). If the odds are +250, that means you’d have to wager $100 to earn $250.

The Locks:

Matt “The Immortal” Brown (-190) vs. Tim “Dirty Bird” Means (+155)

The Bet: Brown

Why: Brown is just too damn tough these days. Means is a scrappy fighter, but Brown is hanging with the elite in the division lately. Though Brown doesn’t seem to be able to get that elusive victory over the top 3, he’s not fighting one of them here, and he comes out the victor. I’m surprised the odds aren’t more heavily favored in Brown’s direction, and because of the odds being so good, this is a fight to throw down some cash without much worry of it disappearing.

Dennis “The Menace” Bermudez (-210) vs. Jeremy “Lil’ Heathen” Stephens (+170)

The Bet: Bermudez

Why: I think Bermudez will know his role against Stephens and stick to a wrestling gameplan and get the decision, as long as he doesn’t find himself on the painful end of a hadouken uppercut.

The Good Risks:

Rory “The Red King” Macdonald (-185) vs. Robbie “Ruthless” Lawler (+150)

The Bet: Lawler

Why: I think Rory is talented, but he may be a perpetual bridesmaid. I think he really wants to win this fight and is going to come out very aggressively, which will be his downfall. Rory beats people that he can outstrike and that he can dictate whether the fight stays standing or on the ground. He may very well be able to take Lawler down, but can he keep him there? I don’t think so, nor will he outstrike Lawler.

Brandon “Rukus” Thatch (-185) vs. Gunnar “Gunni” Nelson (+150)

The Bet: Nelson

Why: I think this fight goes similar to the Benson/Thatch fight. Now, I know Gunnar doesn’t have Benson’s takedowns or power/speed/explosiveness, but he’s bigger than Benson and I think Gunnar will be able to weather the early storm of Thatch.

The Long-Shot Bet:

Alex “Dominican Nightmare” Garcia (-400) vs. Mike “Quick” Swick (+300)

The Bet: Swick

Why: Now, this is the riskiest bet of all. I think Swick has every skill set to beat Garcia, especially given his body type and fighting style (Garcia lost to Seth Baczynski and Neil Magny—both built just like Swick). The question mark on this one goes after: What the hell kind of Mike Swick are we going to see after a 3 year layoff and what has Thailand done to him? If Swick comes back with any semblance of his former self, he wins this easily. If not, Garcia is going to punch his two chins off.

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