Aori Qileng

Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Aori Qileng will kick off the historic UFC 306 event hosted at The Sphere in Las, Vegas Nevada, on September 14. Let’s take a closer look at the preliminary matchups including betting odds.

UFC 306

Noche UFC will host the bantamweight showdown between these two athletes. Both are looking to break into he top rankings of this competitive division.

Raul Rosas Jr

Raul Rosas Jr., at just 19 years old, is currently the youngest fighter on the UFC roster. He enters this fight with an impressive professional record of 9 wins and 1 loss, with 3 of those wins coming in the UFC. Rosas Jr. has shown a penchant for finishing fights early, with his last two victories coming in the first round. His most recent fight was a second-round submission win over Ricky Turcios in June 2024.

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Aori Qileng is a 31-year-old fighter from China with significantly more experience. He boasts a professional record of 25 wins, 10 losses, and 1 no-contest. Qileng has been in the UFC since April 2021 and has amassed a record of 3 wins, 3 losses, and 1 no contest within the promotion.

Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Aori Qileng

In terms of physical attributes, Raul Rosas Jr. stands at 175 cm tall with a reach of 1.7 meters, while Qileng is slightly shorter at 170 cm with a reach of 1.76 meters. When it comes to fighting stats, Qileng has a slight edge in striking accuracy, and takedown accuracy, while Rosas Jr. has better takedown defense.

For Rosas Jr., it’s an opportunity to continue his meteoric rise in the UFC and potentially position himself for bigger fights in the bantamweight division. At his young age, every victory brings him closer to title contention. For Qileng, this fight is a chance to get back in the win column after his last bout ended in a no-contest due to an accidental groin kick.

Raul Rosas Jr. is the heavy favorite in this matchup against Aori Qileng. The fractional odds of 1/7 for Rosas Jr. indicate that for every $7 bet, you would win $1 in profit if he wins. This translates to an implied probability of about 87.5% that Rosas Jr. will win the fight.

On the other hand, Qileng is the clear underdog with fractional odds of 9/2. This means that for every $2 bet on Qileng, you would win $9 in profit if he pulls off the upset. These odds give Qileng an implied probability of about 18.2% to win.

His odds have moved from -350 to -800, indicating that the betting market has become even more confident in his chances as the fight approaches. For Qileng, his underdog status has grown, with his odds lengthening from +285 to +500. This means a $100 bet on Qileng would now pay out $500 in profit if he wins, up from $285 earlier.

Overall, these odds suggest that bookmakers and bettors view this as a very lopsided matchup, with Rosas Jr. expected to win handily at UFC 306.

These are the UFC 306 best bets, a betting preview for the upcoming UFC event hosted at The Sphere in Las Vegas. Headlining this fight card will be Sean O’Malley looking to defend his bantamweight title against the dangerous wrestler Merab Dvalishvili, and Alexa Grasso will face Valentina Shevchenko once again.

UFC 306 Best Bets

Let’s take a closer look at the betting odds for UFC 306, looking for solid favorites and live underdogs. These are the best UFC 306 picks.

Sean O’Malley vs Merab Dvalishvili

The main event will see “Suga” Sean O’Malley in his second title defense against the relentless wrestler Georgia’s Dvalishvili. O’Malley captured the title with an impressive knockout over the training partner of Dvalishvili then-champion Aljamain Sterling. Next, he defended his title, avenging a prior loss, in a dominant performance against Marlon “Chito” Vera.

“The Machine” is a fitting nickname for the Georgian-born wrestler Merab Dvalishvili. He is an aggressive wrestler who constantly pushes his opponents with takedowns and does not slow down over five rounds. With his wrestling acumen, he has cut through the stacked bantamweight division with impressive wins over Olympic wrestler Henry Cejudo, Muay Thai strikers Petr Yan & Jose Aldo, and a win over contender Marlon Moraes, among others.

It’s easy to see why Merab Dvalishvili is the betting favorite going into this fight. Against Russia’s Yan, over five rounds, Dvalishvili attempted a whopping 49 takedowns with nearly 150 significant strikes landed, attempting an incredible 400 total strikes. In his three-round fight against Olympic Gold Medal Wrestler, and former UFC champion, Henry Cejudo “The Machine” out-wrestled his opponent and had more control time plus out-landed his opponents by a factor greater than two.

Despite being the champion Sean O’Malley will be an underdog going into this match. The ruthless wrestling of the Georgian will likely be too much for the US-born fighter. “Suga” has not had to face many wrestlers in his UFC career. Typically, to avoid takedowns, O’Malley keeps his distance and looks to land punches from range. He is a sniper he packs power over all five rounds. While Dvalishvili is a safe pick, O’Malley is a live underdog.

Alexa Grasso vs Valentina Shevchenko

The co-main event of UFC 306 will see Alexa Grasso and Valentina Shevchenko face off against each other for a third time. The two just coached TUF against one another. “Bullet” Shevchenko was the long-reigning division queen having defended her title in an impressive seven bouts.

In their first meeting, Mexico’s Grasso was able to capture the division title by countering Shevchenko’s spinning backkick with a takedown and submitting her. In their second meeting, the two athletes fought to a split draw so Grasso retained the title, during a Mexican Independence Day celebration.

Given how close and well-matched these two are, the betting odds are even going into this matchup. It is too close to call for a winner and the odds are not leaning any which way. It makes it too hard to pick. Grasso has a mixed style of boxing and grappling while Shevchenko is primarily a Muay Thai striker.

Alexa Grasso faces off with Valentina Shevchenko ahead of The Ultimate Fighter 32 this summer

Raul Rosas Jr. vs Aori Qileng

At just the age of 19, Raul Rosas Jr. has put together an impressive 4-1 record thus far in the UFC. He is a hot prospect who has been booked against “The Mongolian Murderer” Aori Qileng who is 3-3 1 NC in the UFC. Overall in MMA, Qileng is a veteran with a 25-11 record.

Raul Rosas Jr. is still a developing fighter with sharp skills who is improving in between fights. Going into his UFC 306 matchup, Rosas Jr. is a betting favorite, and for good reason. The young athlete will likely earn a win and is a fairly safe bet.

Ignacio Bahamondes vs Manuel Torres

Ignacio Bahamondes vs Manuel Torres is one of the more interesting fights on UFC 306 once we look at the odds. “La Jaula” Bahamondes is a dangerous striker with some impressive head-kick knockout wins. “El Loco” Manuel Torres is on a six-fight win streak winning all of his fights by first-round stoppage, by KO/TKO, or submission.

Torres is a dangerous fighter who is in a rush to finish his opponents, nearly all of his wins have come by way of submission to KO/TKO. He will pose problems on the feet for Bahamondes, who is the more popular fighter. Bahamondes is the favorite going in but Torres might be a good pick if you’re looking for a live underdog.

UFC 306 is booked for September 14 live from Las Vegas.

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Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Aori Qileng – Betting Odds and Preview