MMAFix Staff Picks: UFC 150

Benson Henderson (-210) vs. Frankie Edgar (+175) Emily Kapala: The Henderson Vs. Edgar fight is going to worth every PPV penny. While Henderson did take the belt from Edgar at their last meeting in the.

Benson Henderson (-210) vs. Frankie Edgar (+175)

Emily Kapala: The Henderson Vs. Edgar fight is going to worth every PPV penny. While Henderson did take the belt from Edgar at their last meeting in the octagon, I think the oddsmakers have it wrong by choosing Henderson as the favorite. While Henderson may have been the better fighter at the bout in Japan, Edgar is a better all around fighter. Not only will he win the fight, but he is the highest value bet. Frankie Edgar will be the regain his title as the lightweight champion of the world on Saturday night. Winner: Frankie Edgar

Alan Wells: I expect this fight to play out similarly to the first one. It will be close and Edgar will have his moments but Henderson is just a little better overall. Either way, this one is going five rounds and will be contested at a high level. And the odds are bettable either way. What more can you ask for? Winner: Ben Henderson

Elise Kapala: The main event is clearly a must see for MMA fans. Because Edgar lost the belt to Henderson, I believe he has the driving edge mentally, as well as physically, to get back his belt and regain the title of champion. I think Edgar will come out on top in this rematch. Winner: Frankie Edgar

Ryan Poli: I picked Henderson to win the first time, and even though I think Edgar should have won the fight, I’m picking Henderson again due to his skill in every aspect of the fight game. Henderson by decision. Winner: Ben Henderson

MMAFix PicK: Push (2-2)

Donald Cerrone (-350) vs. Melvin Guillard (+290)

Emily Kapala: With 7 fight of the night performances throughout his mixed martial arts career, you know a good brawl is going to happen when Cerrone is on the card. While Guillard has shown excellent skill thoughout his career, I see Cerrone winning with his Muay Thai kickboxing. With a win, he is on his way to be in the lightweight champion contendership once again. Winner: Donald Cerrone

Alan Wells: I expect this fight to be a replay of Cerrone’s previous fight against Jeremy Stephens. He’ll keep Guillard on the outside and pick him apart with combinations. The punches will land clean and set up huge leg kicks to finish. Cerrone will take this one convincingly but the odds make it not worth a bet. Winner: Donald Cerrone

Elise Kapala: The fight between Guillard and Cerrone is an interesting fight. They both have incredible knockout ability, so it should be very interesting. Although I think it will be a very close fight, I think that Cerrone will take the victory over Guillard. Winner: Donald Cerrone

Ryan Poli: Guillard has the power to end the fight at any time, but Cerrone has the technical advantage in the striking and a huge advantage in the ground game. Cerrone by Submission. Winner: Donald Cerrone

MMAFix Pick: Donald Cerrone (4-0)

UFC 150 Pre-Fight Analysis

Benson Henderson vs. Frankie Edgar Because of Frankie Edgar’s willingness to give immediate rematches to B.J. Penn and Gray Maynard, he gets one against Ben Henderson despite the long list of potential opponents waiting for.

Benson Henderson vs. Frankie Edgar

Because of Frankie Edgar’s willingness to give immediate rematches to B.J. Penn and Gray Maynard, he gets one against Ben Henderson despite the long list of potential opponents waiting for a title shot. But the first fight was entertaining enough that most fans are willing to tolerate the rest of the division being held hostage so that Edgar can get a second chance at Henderson.

We know who both of these fighters are at this point in their careers and the outcome of this fight will be determined solely on gameplan and execution. Neither fighter is significantly better than the other in any area and the key in fights like this is finding a way to create openings to score. This fight represents the future of MMA as two fighters who have high level skill sets in all areas fight for slight advantages through five close rounds. The only significant advantage gained by either fighter in the first fight was when Henderson landed an upkick at the end of the third round, which seems unlikely to be repeated. Both fighters have excellent striking with Edgar probably having a slight advantage in the boxing but Henderson having a slight advantage in the kicking game. Henderson also has the reach advantage but keeping Edgar on the outside has proved nearly impossible. Both are excellent wrestlers and frequently change levels to keep their opponents off balance. Once on the mat, both are capable of doing damage with ground and pound. But both are also excellent at getting back to their feet and neither fighter was able to maintain any significant ground control in the first fight.

This fight will likely play out similarly to the first fight with both fighters happy to engage on the feet but looking to mix in takedowns when the opportunity presents itself. Henderson proved to have a slight advantage in most positions in the first fight and one would expect that pattern to continue in this fight. Because of that, he comes in as a solid favorite at -210 with Edgar at +175. However, Henderson in no way dominated the first fight so a win for Edgar would not be a surprise. The first fight was won because Henderson took advantage of of a few small openings to outscore Edgar. If Edgar can tighten up those minor mistakes and instead create a few small openings of his own in this fight, he could easily reverse the outcome and regain his title. Whatever the outcome, this fight will be back and forth. Both fighters will win rounds and both will be successful at different points in the fight. The key will be whose execution is tighter and who was able to learn the most from the first fight. Henderson deserves to be the favorite but Edgar could easily walk away the champion. And if he does, the lightweight division will be even more convoluted than it already is.

Donald Cerrone vs. Melvin Guillard

If you’re an MMA fan, you’re excited about this fight. Donald Cerrone and Melvin Guillard are two of the most exciting fighters in the sport and only a glitch in the fabric of the universe could extinguish the fireworks these two are almost certain to light from the moment this fight begins.

Cerrone’s only loss since coming to the UFC was against Nate Diaz who is currently awaiting the winner of the headlining lightweight title fight between Frankie Edgar and Benson Henderson. He followed that loss with a dominant decision victory over Jeremy Stephens. Cerrone was never challenged in that fight and appeared to be sparring with Stephens by the third round. He destroyed Stephens leg with kicks and seemed to finish every combination with a baseball bat to Stephens’ thigh. He’ll be able to use the same strategy against Guillard who will be at a similar reach disadvantage and is also not a threat to take Cerrone to the mat. Cerrone has a clear grappling advantage in this fight and Greg Jackson will certainly be imploring his fighter to put Guillard on his back and work for a submission. Whether or not Cerrone listens will likely depend on whether or not he feels threatened by Guillard’s power.

Guillard was on the brink of a title shot before losing back to back fights via first round submission to Joe Lauzon and Jim Miller. And his performance last month against Fabricio Camoes was not impressive. He earned a bizarre unanimous decision victory with all three judges scoring the fight 30-27 despite the fact that Camoes clearly won the second round and the third round was incredibly close. Regardless, he will look to build on whatever momentum he gained from that fight in this fight against Cerrone. Guillard’s game is largely based on the power in his hands. If he finds his opponent’s chin, he usually wins but if he doesn’t, he struggles. He will be at a significant reach disadvantage in this fight and will need to use speed and movement to find his way inside and land combinations. He is capable of doing it but it will require a level of execution he hasn’t shown since leaving Jackson MMA for the Blackzillions.

Cerrone comes in as a significant favorite at -350 with Guillard getting +290. This fight will likely play out similarly to Cerrone’s previous fight against Jeremy Stephens. He will use his reach to keep Guillard at distance and pick him apart with combinations that end with destructive leg kicks. If Guillard has success closing the distance, look for Cerrone to take him down and work his submission game. And if Cerrone is only interested in winning, that is the more intelligent strategy. But he’s never been interested in simply winning the fight so look for him to make it a kickboxing match unless he feels threatened. But either way, this is likely to be a great lead in for the main event.

[VIDEO] UFC 150 Weigh Ins – Almost Everyone Makes Weight


(Come on, Melvin. Those glasses weigh at least 1.5 pounds on their own, you can figure this out)

The champion and challenger made weight but featured fighter Melvin Guillard did not. Guillard weighed in nearly two pounds over the non-title 156 pound lightweight limit for his fight against friend and former teammate Donald Cerrone.

After missing weight at today’s weigh in for UFC 150 in Denver, Colorado Guillard had two hours to try and make the weight. UFC President Dana White told MMA Fighting that Guillard would not attempt to take off the extra weight and that he would be forfeiting 10% of his purse. They report that Cerrone will get half of that 10% while the Colorado athletic commission will get the other half, for some reason.

All other UFC 150 fighters made weight and lightweight champion Benson Henderson and former champ Frankie Edgar are set for their immediate title rematch Saturday night in the main event. Check out the weigh-in video after the jump to witness all the intensity between the two for yourself.


(Come on, Melvin. Those glasses weigh at least 1.5 pounds on their own, you can figure this out)

The champion and challenger made weight but featured fighter Melvin Guillard did not. Guillard weighed in nearly two pounds over the non-title 156 pound lightweight limit for his fight against friend and former teammate Donald Cerrone.

After missing weight at today’s weigh in for UFC 150 in Denver, Colorado Guillard had two hours to try and make the weight. UFC President Dana White told MMA Fighting that Guillard would not attempt to take off the extra weight and that he would be forfeiting 10% of his purse. They report that Cerrone will get half of that 10% while the Colorado athletic commission will get the other half, for some reason.

All other UFC 150 fighters made weight and lightweight champion Benson Henderson and former champ Frankie Edgar are set for their immediate title rematch Saturday night in the main event. Check out the weigh-in video after the jump to witness all the intensity between the two for yourself.

Make sure to also check in tomorrow night for our live blogging of UFC 150 with blow-by-blow coverage of all the main-card action. Check MMA Fighting for full weigh-in results now.

Elias Cepeda

UFC 150: Defeating Cerrone Is Next Step on Melvin Guillard’s Road to the Top

Potential is a difficult thing to carry in mixed martial arts. Some fighters use it to bolster momentum toward the spotlight. When the eyes of the sport are watching, they rise to the occasion. Then there are others who crumble under the weight of expe…

Potential is a difficult thing to carry in mixed martial arts.

Some fighters use it to bolster momentum toward the spotlight. When the eyes of the sport are watching, they rise to the occasion. Then there are others who crumble under the weight of expectations.

UFC lightweight Melvin Guillard has experienced both sides of the coin. Over his 15 fights in the UFC, “The Young Assassin” has built an impressive highlight reel of devastating finishes. He has also found himself on the downside, as he’s come up short on several occasions.

Guillard possesses the talent to be one of the division’s best but it’s been a tale of “two steps forward, one step back” the entire way. He recently snapped a two-fight skid at UFC 148 in Las Vegas against Fabricio Camoes. In the fight Guillard displayed poise and patience as he worked out of several bad positions en route to the unanimous decision. The victory put Guillard back into the win column and he said he felt his work on the canvas was the biggest positive.

“If I took anything from my last fight it was that I was able to showcase my progression in the ground game,” Guillard told Bleacher Report. “I’ve been working on it for so long. I was a little upset I wasn’t able to finish my opponent. He was definitely tougher than he seemed. Every fight I go into I’m looking to finish and the fact that I couldn’t upset me a little bit.

The next step on his journey will come against former teammate at Jackon/Winkeljohn’s, Donald Cerrone, this weekend at UFC 150. Both men possess an exciting style and this clash is an early candidate for “Fight of the Night” honors. Where Cerrone has accuracy and a slick ground game, Guillard brings speed and put-away power. Guillard promises a war and is excited to throw down with his long-time friend.

“We match up very well,” Guillard said. “His style is tailor made for me. He is one of those guys who likes to come forward and I have a proven track record of knocking out guys who do that. I hit hard and he’s definitely tailor made for my style.

“Power is one of the biggest factors in any fight because if you hit a guy hard enough right out of the gate, it can change the entire dynamic of the fight. I pride myself on my power and speed as well as my ability to hit and not get hit back. I have my strong points and he has his.

“It’s going to be a war. I’m going to try to put him away. It’s not going to be an easy fight. It’s definitely going to be a tough fight and I’m excited about it. I’m mentally focused right now. My mind is on entertaining the fans and going in there and getting my job done.”

Just under a year ago Guillard was riding a five-fight win streak and within striking distance of a shot at the lightweight title. Everything appeared to be going exactly to plan until a shocking upset against Joe Lauzon at UFC 136 halted his momentum. It was a difficult loss for Guillard who appeared to be hitting his stride.

In his next outing he was submitted in the first round by Jim Miller and the defeat sent Guillard from possible contention to limbo in a highly competitive division. The fall from contention was difficult for Guillard. Back-to-back losses are never an easy thing to bounce back from and he expressed his displeasure with the media for adding extra pressure to the situation.

“I think the media puts an emphasis on everything,” Guillard said. “Sometimes it seems like you guys really have nothing better to do than stir up the pot. Every fight is going to be different. No fight is ever going to work out the way we plan it to. Sometimes there are going to be setbacks and other times the game plan is going to work out exactly the way we want it to. We have to be able to adjust in the middle of a fight and that can be difficult.

“I compare it to the military. They go in with a game plan and if something happens where they have to change things up in order to execute the kill, then that is what they have to do. People are not going to criticize a U.S. Army soldier because in those moments it is life or death. For us as fighters, it is our reputation on the line. You can lose a fight and not have a job. We fight to keep our jobs and people don’t realize the pressure which comes with that.”

With his feet back in the win column, a victory over Cerrone would serve to boost him back up the ladder. Guillard said he is certain this is what he plans to accomplish but isn’t quite sure of where that would put him in the bigger picture at 155 pounds.

“At this point I don’t know where I stand in this division because it is stacked with so much talent,” Guillard said. “The only thing I know that is important right now is to win. To me winning is everything. It makes everything better. It makes your life better and at this point I really don’t know where I stand. I just know I need to win.” 

Read more MMA news on BleacherReport.com

UFC 150 Preview: 5 Things to Watch for on Henderson vs. Edgar 2

Another day, another month and another UFC pay-per-view event.Luckily for us in the media—and perhaps your own wallet—there’s only one major UFC offering this month. After this one, we’re not due for another pay-per-view until the first wee…

Another day, another month and another UFC pay-per-view event.

Luckily for us in the media—and perhaps your own wallet—there’s only one major UFC offering this month. After this one, we’re not due for another pay-per-view until the first weekend in September when Jon Jones and Dan Henderson lock horns in Las Vegas.

There’s still plenty of mixed martial arts to be found in August, such as next weekend when Ronda Rousey returns to the Strikeforce cage. But in terms of the kinds of events you need to drop some cash for, August only has UFC 150 on the docket.

Another stroke of luck for us? This should turn out to be a pretty good card. Two of the fights—the main and co-main events—are almost guaranteed to deliver excitement. Of course, there have been plenty of times that I’ve typed those exact words, only to see a promising card under-deliver in fight action. But, I have a feeling this one’s going to be worth a watch.

Let’s take a look at five things to keep an eye on for UFC 150: Henderson vs. Edgar 2:

 

Is Frankie Edgar truly the king of rematches?

You know the statistics, and you know that the lightweight division has been in a near-constant standstill ever since Edgar captured the title from B.J. Penn back at UFC 112. Edgar defended the belt against Penn in a rematch, then went on to a draw with Gray Maynard that forced yet another rematch. And now, he’s going into yet another rematch, this time as the challenger against Benson Henderson.

There’s something to be said for the improvements Edgar made in his previous rematches with Penn and Maynard. The first fight against Penn was fairly close, but Edgar adjusted his game the second time around and cruised to an easy win. The first Maynard fight was obviously as close as it gets when it comes to MMA decisions, but Edgar adjusted his game yet again and finished Maynard in the rematch.

Is Edgar truly that great at applying in the rematch what he learned during the first tilt with his opponents? I’m not sure that’s the case. I think Edgar was simply a better fighter than Penn and Maynard, and that was borne out when he was given the extra rounds in the rematches. The more times we see opponents face each other, the more disparity we’re going to see between them. 

And unfortunately for Edgar, I believe Henderson is the better fighter, and I think you’re going to see that play out on Saturday night.

 

Can Benson Henderson score a signature finishing win?

During his run in the WEC, Henderson finished four of his six fights. He’s gone to a decision in four fights since making the leap over to the UFC.

I’d say that was due to a different level in competition, but we all know that’s not the case. A few of those WEC guys are doing quite well in the UFC, thank you very much. Granted, there’s a difference between Frankie Edgar or Clay Guida and someone like Shane Roller. But, as the UFC lightweight champ, Henderson should be expected to finish opponents on a regular basis. He just hasn’t done it yet.

Edgar is notoriously hard to finish, of course—witness both Maynard bouts for a perfect example of the Jersey native’s toughness—which means that scoring that big TKO or submission win on Saturday night is going to be a difficult task.

I’m not saying that Henderson can’t do it, because I wouldn’t be all that surprised if he did. But, I suspect Henderson will be focused on simply retaining his belt by any means necessary, and that’s fine.

 

Can Cerrone vs. Guillard possibly live up to expectations?

Two former training partners. Two dudes with a proclivity for standing and trading strikes. Cerrone vs. Guillard has all the makings of a classic. 

The fight has plenty of hype, but don’t be surprised if it’s not quite what you expect. Cerrone will want to avoid Guillard’s ridiculous hand speed and powerful punches, and if he’s smart, he’ll look to take advantage of Guillard’s weak submission defense. Cerrone enjoys putting on exciting fights and making that paper, but I think he also enjoys winning fights.

Don’t get me wrong; I still believe this will be an exciting fight. But, I’m not sure it’s going to be the three-round punchfest everyone seems to be expecting.

 

Will Jake Shields finally earn his second consecutive UFC win?

Since entering the UFC as the Strikeforce middleweight champ, Shields has yet to score two consecutive wins. Granted, he’s had some very tough fights during his run, against a murderer’s row of welterweight contenders. Well, except for Yoshihiro Akiyama, that is. But, he still hasn’t been able to pull off more than one win at a time.

He’ll look to change that on Saturday night. He’s moving back to middleweight, which means he’ll get all of the strength back that he had during his unbeaten run in Strikeforce. The welterweight cut was never easy for Shields, and it often sapped him of his energy during the last month of his training camp. That’s no longer the case.

Ed Herman isn’t an easy out, not by any stretch of the imagination. But, I’m looking for Shields to finally secure a start to a winning streak on Saturday night.

 

Who is Buddy Roberts, and how badly is he overmatched against Okami?

I don’t know much about Buddy Roberts. I doubt you do, either. And there’s a good reason for that.

Roberts is 12-2 in his MMA career, but all of those wins have come against opponents you’ve also never heard of. He beat Caio Magalhaes in his UFC debut back in June, but now, he’s taking a drastic step up in competition in facing Yushin Okami. 

This may be the single biggest step in the level of competition a UFC fighter has ever faced. Roberts is going from facing lower-level preliminary middleweights to standing across the cage from one of the best —and most physically-imposing—middleweights in the world.

This feels like one of those old WWF matches you’d watch on Saturday morning on a local syndicated station, where Hulk Hogan or another big wrestling star would face off against a local jobber you’ve never heard of. I’d never call Roberts or any other professional fighter a jobber—well, except perhaps, Sean Salmon—but this one certainly doesn’t bode well for Roberts.

It’s a way for Okami to score a rebound win after his loss to Tim Boetsch. Nothing more, and nothing less. 

Read more MMA news on BleacherReport.com

Gambling Addiction Enabler: UFC 150 Edition


(What part of Arizona are you from, Ben? Right near the beach…BOI!)

By Dan “Get Off Me” George

Fresh off a stellar UFC on FOX last week, the UFC will be looking to build on some much needed momentum heading into this weekend’s UFC 150 card, where Ben Henderson will look to defend his lightweight strap against the man he took it from, Frankie Edgar. Will Colorado’s ridiculously high altitude continue to plague fighter’s cardio as it did at UFC 135 and Fight Night: Florian vs. Lauzon? Possibly, but it’s going to take more than a shortness of breath to stop the Gambling Enabler from paying out, as we’ve landed in the money on our past two events. So join us for a fight-by-fight dissection of UFC 150 and an inside look at how to come away with a significantly fatter wallet. All odds, per usual, are courtesy of BestFightOdds.

Ken Stone (+100) vs Eric Perez (-120)

Perez is a submissions specialist as is 1-0 in the UFC with a submission via armbar. Ken “Keith” Stone has more UFC experience and has lost two tough bouts to Eddie Wineland and Scott Jorgensen but has since won two straight fights. He has yet to be submitted in his MMA career, so I believe Stone will have enough to fend off Perez’s submissions game and win this fight on the cards.


(What part of Arizona are you from, Ben? Right near the beach…BOI!)

By Dan “Get Off Me” George

Fresh off a stellar UFC on FOX last week, the UFC will be looking to build on some much needed momentum heading into this weekend’s UFC 150 card, where Ben Henderson will look to defend his lightweight strap against the man he took it from, Frankie Edgar. Will Colorado’s ridiculously high altitude continue to plague fighter’s cardio as it did at UFC 135 and Fight Night: Florian vs. Lauzon? Possibly, but it’s going to take more than a shortness of breath to stop the Gambling Enabler from paying out, as we’ve landed in the money on our past two events. So join us for a fight-by-fight dissection of UFC 150 and an inside look at how to come away with a significantly fatter wallet. All odds, per usual, are courtesy of BestFightOdds.

Ken Stone (+100) vs Eric Perez (-120)

Perez is a submissions specialist as is 1-0 in the UFC with a submission via armbar. Ken “Keith” Stone has more UFC experience and has lost two tough bouts to Eddie Wineland and Scott Jorgensen but has since won two straight fights. He has yet to be submitted in his MMA career, so I believe Stone will have enough to fend off Perez’s submissions game and win this fight on the cards.

Chico Camus (+160) vs. Dustin Pague (-185)

Chico is making his Octagon debut here and has the ability to grind out Pague in this fight. On the other hand, Pague is the type of fighter to fight his opponent’s fight, which this leads me to believe he may be upset by Camus. Pague is hovering around -200 favorite and I would not be willing to lay that price. I will look for the prop that this fight goes the distance.

Jared Hamman (-105) vs. Michael Kuiper (-115)

Michael Kuiper will be looking for his first win in his second attempt inside the octagon, but he may come out on the short end if Hamman is able to use his size advantage to control this fight. Hovering around pick’em odds, I would place my money on Hamman here. Hamman is only 30 and is a tested veteran in the UFC, I would go again with the prop this fight goes the distance as Kuiper will surely not give away another loss easily.

Eiji Mitsuoka (+320) vs. Nik Lentz (-390)

Nik Lentz NCAA div 1 wrestling should get the job done here. The prop that this fight goes the distance should also be explored. “The Carny “is coming off back to back losing efforts, but actually managed to put in a thrilling effort in his most recent FOTN-earning loss against Evan Dunham at UFC on FOX 2. That said, I believe Mitsuoka will not have an answer for Nik’s ground game and will be frustrated up until the end of this fight with Lentz’s wet blanket routine. Not a great value at 30 cents on the dollar, but Lentz will make it into my parlay.

Dennis Bermudez (-290)  vs. Tommy Hayden (+245)

Tommy Hayden had a tough go in his UFC debut and I think history will repeat itself again as Bermudez has simply fought on another level of competition than that of Hayden. Bermudez will most likely be looking to finish this fight and the line is under -300 which makes parlaying Dennis rather alluring. I do not see this fight going to the cards; a prop the fight does not go the distance may also be a profitable option.

Buddy Roberts (+480) vs. Yushin Okami (-570)

Last time Okami was a -600 favorite, things did not go so well for him. Granted, this time will surely be different, with Okami simply out powering the late replacement Roberts and coming out as the winner, but do you want to lay -600 on Okami? I don’t, because there’s nothing worse than having a parlay crushed by a -600 fighter losing (see Jay Glazer’s reaction to Tito Ortiz beating Ryan Bader from the dana vlogs).

Max Holloway (-110)vs. Justin Lawrence (+100)

Both fighter’s are coming off very impressive winning performances at the TUF 15 Finale; Holloway thoroughly dominated Pat Schilling and Lawrence broke out the highlight reel head kick KO on John Cofer for good measure. Pick’em odds on this fight are for good reason and I think this fight will be settled inside the distance. Holloway’s stand up is something special, even in a losing effort against Poirier he forced Dustin to take the fight to the ground because “The Diamond” did not like what he was seeing from Max on his feet. I think that the longer this fight goes, the better the chances are that Holloway will win. Not a parlay must, but good value on Holloway here.

Donald Cerrone (-295) vs Melvin Guillard (+265)

I like Guillard as the underdog in this fight. Having trained at Jackson’s with Cerrone leads me to believe that Melvin has the upper hand going into this fight, considering he knows what Cerrone has been up to while training with a camp that Cerrone know’s very little about in the meantime. Now 1-0 with the Blackzilian’s, Guillard showed us that he has finally learned some submission defense in his UFC 148 win over Fabricio Camoes. The question is: What else has Melvin learned that may surprise Cerrone in this fight? I am not counting Cerrone out completely, as this could easily look like Cerrone vs. Stephens with the longer fighter simply getting off first and winning the fight on the outside, but the plus money on Guillard is tempting and I will save some space for a long shot parlay with “The Young Assassin.” This fight may go the distance as well, not so much the high altitude effecting the fighters (as they are both used to training at high altitude), but simply the fact that they are so familiar with each other’s style that we may see a 15 minute chess match.

Jake Shields (-190) vs. Ed Herman (+175)

I want to say Shields and move on here, but Herman simply seems to be the perfect type of fighter to give Jake a ton of problems. Herman is a strong grappler and Jake is returning to MW for the first time here, so couple that with the fact that Herman may be able to deliver his own Hendo like right hand in this fight and we have all the makings for an upset. If Shields is able to get this fight to the ground, will he be able to keep Herman on his back or submit him? It all depends on how strong Jake is now and this is where I am unsure and unwilling to lay -200 on Jake. The fight should go the distance and this is where I will place my money, picking Shields these days is too risky.

Ben Henderson (-190) vs. Frankie Edgar (+175)

I like the bigger, stronger Bendo in this fight. Frankie may use all the footwork he wants and may stick Henderson with the jad for five rounds, but at the end of the day, Ben is simply going to remind us all why Edgar needs to drop down to 145 and start fighting guys his own size. I take nothing away from Frankie and I think he will be a top lightweight if he stays at 155, but Benson is the perfect mix between size and speed for Frankie, where prior opponents like Maynard had the power but lacked the speed to catch Frankie. As this fight goes into the later rounds, Benson should take control and get the win.

Parlay  1
Lentz-Bermudez-Henderson

Parlay 2
Lentz-Hamman-Stone-Henderson

*Parlay 3 (the degen special)
Holloway-Guillard-Henderson-Hamman-Bermudez

Props
-Lentz/Mitsuoka goes the distance
-Herman/Shields goes the distance
-Henderson/Edgar goes the distance
-Bermudez/Hayden does not go the distance

Bet what you feel comfortable with, higher on the parlays and lower on the props.

As an example, if you place $20 on parlay 1 and 2, with $5 on each prop you should be safe, as this was profitable on the past two GAE’s which is where you want to be.

Again, feel free to share hostility when/if these picks fall apart.

May the winners be yours!