UFC Fight Night 86 Predictions: Main Card Staff Picks

UFC Fight Night 86 will air on Sunday, April 10. The event kicks off at 10:30 a.m. ET, making the main card (2 p.m. ET) a rare weekend matinee. Another rarity: The Octagon travels to Croatia for the first time in UFC history.
The event features a …

UFC Fight Night 86 will air on Sunday, April 10. The event kicks off at 10:30 a.m. ET, making the main card (2 p.m. ET) a rare weekend matinee. Another rarity: The Octagon travels to Croatia for the first time in UFC history.

The event features a standard pack of 13 fights, six of those going on the main card. The afternoon’s headliner is a heavyweight contest between former champion Junior dos Santos and rising challenger Ben Rothwell. That bout is just one of three heavyweight contests on the main card.

The full main card looks like this:

  • Ben Rothwell vs. Junior dos Santos
  • Derrick Lewis vs. Gabriel Gonzaga
  • Francis Ngannou vs. Curtis Blaydes
  • Timothy Johnson vs. Marcin Tybura
  • Igor Pokrajac vs. Jan Blachowicz
  • Maryna Moroz  vs. Cristina Stanciu

Though, imminent title implications are light, the Fight Night 86 main card features a bevy of young talent and competitive matchups to add a dash of excitement to your Sunday afternoon. 

In preparation of the event, the Bleacher Report MMA picks team is here to supply you with our thoughts on each main-card matchup. Back as usual, it’s Scott “Home Run” Harris, Slugging Sydnie Jones, Nathan “Sacrifice Bunt” McCarter, Steven “The Slider” Rondina and Craig “Crash” Amos.

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The Beaten Path: 5 Top MMA Prospects to Watch in April

April is the cruelest month. Unless you like MMA prospects.
If that be the case, then you’re about to break into full bloom or something. After a fairly slow March, MMA is busting out of the soil in April as the lights in the college gyms go dark.
That…

April is the cruelest month. Unless you like MMA prospects.

If that be the case, then you’re about to break into full bloom or something. After a fairly slow March, MMA is busting out of the soil in April as the lights in the college gyms go dark.

That means a fresh wave of up-and-coming fighters to check out. Here at The Beaten Path, we have our fingers on this particular pulse. For three years now, we’ve been covering MMA prospects, and we know a good month when we see it.

This is such a month that has blue chippers abound. If you’ve been with us before, then you know the drill: There are no UFC fighters allowed on this list—with Bellator, WSOF and One Championship competitors allowed only sparingly.

What follows are the vital statistics, viewing coordinates and information capsules on the five top prospects in action this month. Let us now “spring” into it.

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Bleacher Report MMA Rankings for April 2016

March started out hot but cooled considerably down the stretch. The first weekend saw Conor McGregor lose suddenly and shockingly to Nate Diaz at UFC 196, immediately after Miesha Tate threw a biting curveball to promoters and fans alike by taking…

March started out hot but cooled considerably down the stretch. The first weekend saw Conor McGregor lose suddenly and shockingly to Nate Diaz at UFC 196, immediately after Miesha Tate threw a biting curveball to promoters and fans alike by taking the UFC women’s bantamweight title from Holly Holm.

Things mellowed, but there was still plenty of action in the cage. Mark Hunt added another clip to his highlight reel, Neil Magny scored an impressive comeback win over Hector Lombard, and WSOF champs Justin Gaethje and David Branch defended their titles. Things were no less hectic out of the cage, either, with numerous big fights announced and far, far too many getting scrapped.

As per usual, Bleacher Report MMA is here to bring you a new batch of rankings alongside a breakdown of the month’s action and analysis of the biggest stories of each division.

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B/R MMA Waxes Poetic over Its Favorite Rematches of All Time

A good rematch is something special, but it doesn’t come with a set formula for being great and/or memorable.
Take UFC 200 for example. The promotion just booked two rematches in the form of Nate Diaz versus Conor McGregor and Jose Aldo versus Frankie …

A good rematch is something special, but it doesn’t come with a set formula for being great and/or memorable.

Take UFC 200 for example. The promotion just booked two rematches in the form of Nate Diaz versus Conor McGregor and Jose Aldo versus Frankie Edgar. Both rematches are very different animals.

The first is an immediate rematch that’s being booked because the first fight was a high-action affair between two marketable fighters. Oh and because it sold a ridiculous amount of PPV’s and they’re banking that the rematch will too. 

The second is a rematch of Aldo and Edgar’s 2013 title fight which saw then champ Aldo edging out Edgar in a close decision. This booking has more to do with the state of affairs in the featherweight division.

The aforementioned McGregor, the champ, is holding the featherweight division up with his obsession to get back his loss to Diaz. So Aldo and Edgar will fight for the interim belt. Either McGregor will face the winner in a few months, or, if he vacates his belt, the winner will be promoted to the outright champ. 

Reaction to Diaz versus McGregor was met with mixed reviews by fans. A vocal majority wanted to see McGregor versus Edgar in a featherweight title fight. And nobody was specifically clamoring for Aldo versus Edgar, but it makes sense given the circumstances.

Perhaps the fights will be letdowns. Or they may deliver in ways we couldn’t have expected and become part of MMA lore. 


Some rematches are memorable because of the storylines.

A good story can give a fight deeper meaning and more anticipation leading into the bout. A rematch can also be special because the action on display captures our attention in a way that makes us take pause. Whatever it may be, rematches play a pivotal role in combat sports.

Rematches can connect with fans on a more personal level than any singular fight can. There is a deeper engagement involved that generates excitement.

Fighters can build their legacies through rematches and trilogies.

When two peers step inside the cage or ring to do battle on multiple occasions, there is a sense that magic is happening. Sometimes, that magic is realized through a back-and-forth battle or occasionally through an individual performance that stands by itself.

Over the years, MMA has given us many outstanding rematches. Picking our favorites was no easy task. After careful consideration, here are the favorite rematches of the Bleacher Report MMA staff.

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UFC in New York: The Top Fights the UFC Could Book for Its NYC Debut at MSG

Common sense had UFC 200 as the crown jewel of the 2016 fight calendar.
But a late-inning curveball, flung from the state of New York, looks to have common sense swing and miss. On March 22, the New York State Assembly, at long last, lifted the s…

Common sense had UFC 200 as the crown jewel of the 2016 fight calendar.

But a late-inning curveball, flung from the state of New York, looks to have common sense swing and miss. On March 22, the New York State Assembly, at long last, lifted the state’s 19-year ban on mixed martial arts. 

And with that, the UFC is poised to put on what will by all accounts be the grandest event in company history. UFC CEO Lorenzo Fertitta spoke on the significance of this moment, via media conference call, just after the vote went through. 

He said, per Fox Sports:

I think it’s going to be an epic moment for the sport and for our company. Obviously, right now all of our focus is on trying to put together the matches for UFC 200, but when we go to New York and we eventually debut at Madison Square Garden, me and Dana (White) and the rest of the team are going to be very focused on delivering for the fans. We’re going to put together the best available matches that we can. You’d have the biggest names that we can possibly put on, the biggest names that are available at the time. Believe me, we want to knock it out of the park and we want to deliver to New York in a big way. It’s going to be massive and when you do massive events it takes time, it takes runway, it’s going to be a tremendous amount of promotion, a ton of marketing assets, we’re going to have to book the fights that make sense for there, it’s going to be big. I think the fourth quarter is a good target for us. A realistic target for us.

So, first things first. The UFC will fill out the fight card for UFC 200 before planning the first event for New York, which will take place in the legendary Madison Square Garden. Only two fights have been confirmed for the main card of UFC 200, with strong speculation that the main event will feature a rematch between Nate Diaz and Conor McGregor.

Earlier, we predicted what the pay-per-view portion of UFC 200 might look like. Take it with a grain of salt, as the UFC’s matchmaking strategy is anything if not unpredictable. So, prognosticating the PPV portion of an event that doesn’t even have a date yet, although Fertitta mentioned the UFC is targeting the fourth quarter, is like attempting to nail your Sweet 16 bracket picks. 

As a result, we’ll refrain from locking in 10 fighters for the five fights that make up a main card. Instead, we’ll list the biggest fights the UFC could book if the stars align. Given that the event likely won’t take place for at least six to eight months, just about every option is on the table, barring unforeseen injuries. 

We should point out that not every fight on this list will end up on the card. It’s just too much goodness to cram onto one card, even if the most historic event since UFC 1. That said, Fertitta, White and the rest of the company brass will be hugely motivated for this event go down in the annals of sports history. So what they actually decide on is going to be a treat to see. 

 

Conor McGregor vs. Frankie Edgar: Featherweight Title Fight

This may not be the biggest fight on the list, but we’ll start with the man of the hour.

Currently, the talk of the town is that the UFC is close to booking a rematch between Diaz and McGregor for the aforementioned UFC 200. With UFC 200 taking place in July, and the first UFC event in New York taking place in October or November, that will give McGregor a three- to four-month turnaround whether he wins or loses to Diaz.

In practical terms, a win or a loss to Diaz doesn’t affect McGregor as far as moving back down and defending his featherweight belt for the first time. But there would obviously be more interest from casual fans if he came into this fight having avenged his loss.

Edgar (5’6″, 155 lbs), albeit a much smaller fighter physically, would be a difficult out.

His combination of speed and footwork, volume boxing and pressure wrestling would likely push McGregor into uncharted waters. We saw what Chad Mendes, a similar fighter in some ways to Edgar, was able to do versus the Irishman on just one week’s notice. And in Mendes next fight, Edgar went out and absolutely clocked him in the first round even though he was fully prepared this time

It was Edgar’s fifth straight win, since falling short versus then champ Jose Aldo back in 2013. Edgar and his team have been blasting McGregor every chance they get for what they perceive as the champ ducking him. Edgar’s manager, Ali Abdelaziz, recently slammed him on Instagram.

From a traditional fight-booking standpoint, McGregor vs. Edgar makes all the sense in the world. But McGregor operates by his own rules, and he’ll continue to book fights for himself that serve his agenda. Whether or not Edgar eventually factors into his plans remains to be seen.

 

Conor McGregor vs. TBD: A Fight in the “Moneyweight” Division 

McGregor may decide that he’s done with featherweight and is just holding onto the belt he took from Aldo until the UFC decides to strip him of it. Whether the company would do that is a whole separate story. For McGregor, holding onto the belt is both great window dressing and a great “Plan B” should things go south in the heavier weight classes. 

After his win over Mendes at UFC 189, his own coach, John Kavanagh, said he didn’t want his star pupil to make the drastic weight cut down to 145 pounds again. UFC President Dana White said so during an appearance on Fox Sports 1 (via MMA Junkie).

There have been a glut of side-by-side photos of McGregor on the Internet, comparing what he looks like following a weight cut to make 145 pounds to what he looked like in the lead-up to his fight with Nate Diaz, contested at 170 pounds, where he didn’t have to cut a single pound.

Assuming that McGregor will actually go back and defend his featherweight belt any time soon (or at all for that matter) is foolish. Especially if he does rematch Diaz at 170 pounds again and his mind and body simply won’t allow him to make such a drastic cut again. 

If McGregor beats Diaz in a rematch, he would have a lot more options to work with.

He could bark for a welterweight title fight versus Robbie Lawler. He could easily call for a lightweight title fight versus Rafael Dos Anjos (Dos Anjos, not Diaz, was McGregor‘s original opponent at UFC 196, but Dos Anjos pulled out less than two weeks before the fight after suffering a foot injury.) He could pretty much ask for any fight under the sun and likely get it. 

If McGregor loses for a second time to Diaz, then things would get more (or less) interesting.

Diaz is a good fighter but not an elite one. He’s fought for the lightweight title twice in his career, coming up short on both occasions. He had a failed run in the UFC welterweight division earlier in his career. He’s currently ranked as the No. 5 lightweight in the division.

There’s no shame in McGregor losing to Diaz—it’s just that he’s losing to a non-champ. If McGregor lost and refused to go back and defend his featherweight belt, he’d then mostly likely become just another fighter in the lightweight division who’s looking to establish himself. 

 

Miesha Tate vs. Ronda Rousey 3: Woman’s Bantamweight Title Fight

Rousey>Tate>Holly Holm>Rousey is the current iteration of the formula lines in the woman’s 135-pound division.

Tate has already lost twice to Rousey, once back in Strikeforce and then again in the UFC in 2013. Holm came along and ran through Rousey like a matador. Tate waited and waited before finally grabbing a hold of Holm, dragging her down to the ground and choking her out with 90 seconds left in their title fight in March. 

So, where does the formula go from here? Booking Rousey vs. Tate 3 is too golden of a ticket for the UFC to not cash in on. While not a guarantee by any stretch, Rousey has a better chance of reclaiming the title from Tate than Holm. And Rousey wearing gold is best for the UFC’s bottom line.

If Rousey does beat Tate for a third time, then the UFC has a Rousey vs. Holm rematch back in its line of sight. Two back-to-back megafights in a row. And if Tate should foil that plan by thwarting Rousey, the UFC has a decent backup in Tate vs. Holm 2.

It just wouldn’t be right if the biggest crossover star in the history of the sport wasn’t competing in the biggest media market in the history of mankind. This feels like as close to a slam dunk as it gets for the UFC’s debut show in New York City. 

 

The Return of GSP

Some folks think former welterweight champ Georges St-Pierre might show up at UFC 200. In our UFC 200 predictions piece, we put that chance at 25 percent. We wish we were feeling more confident. GSP on UFC 200 makes all the sense in the world since he helped anchor UFC 100 alongside Brock Lesnar

But if St-Pierre is seriously thinking about making a comeback, then being on the UFC’s debut in New York City easily trumps UFC 200he’d be a part of history. 

There would be so shortage of potential options for GSP, should he decide to come back.

A superfight with former middleweight champ Anderson Silva, while years past its expiration date, would still be a huge happening. He could also make a run at getting his belt back by directly going after sitting champ Lawler

Or he could target the winner of Diaz vs. McGregor. Perhaps that would be the most tantalizing option. GSP‘s head coach, Firas Zahabi, said on The MMA Hour (via MMA Mania) both McGregor and Diaz blew a huge opportunity by not calling out St-Pierre, who was sitting cageside for their fight. 

GSP has not stepped inside the Octagon since his November 2013 split-decision win over Johny Hendricks. After the fight, he decided to step away from the sport, and ever since, pundits and fans have speculated on if and when he’d return. GSP has a sense of history. If he were to ever come back, he’s not going to get a better opportunity to make a grand re-entrance than at MSG.

 

Jon Jones vs. Anthony Johnson: Light Heavyweight Title Fight 

Jon Jones is a native New Yorker. That alone would make him a good candidate to fight on the UFC’s first event in the Empire State. And if he’s able to recapture gold versus Daniel Cormier in their rematch at UFC 197 on April 23, adding Jones to the fight card seems like an obvious move. 

In fact, even if Cormier ends up beating Jones in their second go-around, it would not be out of the question to book the trilogy for Madison Square Garden. While Rousey and McGregor may be more popular than Jones, he’s the best fighter on the planet. Not having him on New York City’s fight event would actually just be wrong.

 

Chris Weidman vs. Luke Rockhold 3 (Middleweight Title Fight) or vs. Michael Bisping 

Like Jones, Chris Weidman hails from New York. He dropped his middleweight title to Californian Luke Rockhold in the fall of 2015. The two are set to rematch at UFC 199 in June. If Weidman should win and get his belt back, it would set up a trilogy bout for New York City. 

If he loses, it would still make sense for Weidman to compete on New York City’s first fight card.

That’s where Michael Bisping would fill in nicely. The British-born fighter and Weidman have never fought, and Bisping would make a marketable foe for the crestfallen New Yorker. If for whatever reason Bisping isn’t available, the UFC could tab someone such as Vitor Belfort or Lyoto Machida. (Either matchup would constitute a rematch.)

 

CM Punk vs. TBD

In our UFC 200 predictions, we put down CM Punk vs. Mickey Gall as being highly likely. Highly likely now stands at “10 percent,” according to Punk himself. When talking with Ariel Helwani on Monday’s MMA Hour (warning: NSFW language)Punk went into great detail about his recent injury woes that’s left him not knowing when he’ll actually make his promotional debut.

He did, however, express his interest the MSG card stating, “In my mind, that card at [Madison Square] Garden [in November] would be a nice second fight, but I don’t know how realistic that is, because again, I don’t want to say things that people are going to be taking to heart.”

A nice “second fight” at MSG? It looks like we’ll have to wait and see when and where his first fight lands. But for now, it appears highly likely that it won’t be taking place at UFC 200. 

Sorry, haters.


What are the chances that the UFC books the likes of McGregor, Rousey, St-Pierre and Jones all on one fight card? Next to impossible, right? 

The UFC has only held three title fights on the same event once in company history (UFC 33). Most top-flight PPVs only boast two title fights. Even the record-breaking UFC 100 featured only two: Brock Lesnar vs. Frank Mir 2 and St-Pierre vs. Thiago Alves.

But if there were ever a time the UFC would go back to three, or an inconceivable four, title fights on the same card, its first event in New York City at MSG would be the one. 

Read more MMA news on BleacherReport.com

UFC 200: Predicting What the PPV Portion of the Fight Card Will Look Like

UFC 100, the most purchased pay-per-view in the fight promotion’s history, took place just under seven years ago.
It was headlined by the most marketable heavyweight to date, Brock Lesnar, in a rematch with the man who ruined his promotional debut at U…

UFC 100, the most purchased pay-per-view in the fight promotion’s history, took place just under seven years ago.

It was headlined by the most marketable heavyweight to date, Brock Lesnar, in a rematch with the man who ruined his promotional debut at UFC 81, Frank Mir. The co-main event featured perhaps the most likable champ in company history, Georges St-Pierre, taking on then-top contender Thiago Alves. The third fight pitted the All-American Dan Henderson opposite British spitfire Michael Bisping. Even Jon Jones was on the card, lurking on the prelims, in only his third UFC fight. 

In more than three months, UFC 200 will go down. Given the grandeur of UFC 100, it’s only natural the brass will want to go even bigger for its bicentennial pay-per-view event. 

So what will headline the fight card? How will they fill out the rest of the main card?

Let’s roll up our sleeves and speculate as to how things will shake out.

We’ll start with which top fighters won’t be available (because they are already booked in a fight on an upcoming event), then list the options that are already set in stone or being rumored, and finish up by looking at top options that are still in play.

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