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UFC 200 Betting Preview: Lesnar vs. Hunt Odds, Analysis, Trends

Love him or hate him, former heavyweight champion Brock Lesnar (5-3) will be a huge draw against Mark Hunt (12-10-1) in the co-main event at UFC 200 in Las Vegas on Saturday.
Despite not entering the Octagon in nearly five years, Lesnar is listed as on…

Love him or hate him, former heavyweight champion Brock Lesnar (5-3) will be a huge draw against Mark Hunt (12-10-1) in the co-main event at UFC 200 in Las Vegas on Saturday.

Despite not entering the Octagon in nearly five years, Lesnar is listed as only a small +140 underdog (bet $100 to win $140) at sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark.

The 38-year-old WWE star returned to the world of wrestling following his last loss to Alistair Overeem via first-round TKO at UFC 141 on December 30, 2011. He also suffered from diverticulitis, a digestive disease that played a role in his retirement from MMA.

Lesnar originally became the UFC heavyweight champion with a second-round TKO of Randy Couture at UFC 91 in 2008 and had the same result versus Frank Mir when they headlined UFC 100 the following year.

He defended the title one more time against Shane Carwin with a second-round submission victory via arm-triangle choke before falling to Cain Velasquez by first-round TKO at UFC 121 in October of 2010.

Hunt’s overall record is not much better, although he too has been a crowd favorite due to his heavy hands, which have led to nine knockout wins among his 12 overall. In fact, his last five fights have all been decided by KO or TKO, with him winning three of them.

Hunt’s first-round KO of Mir at UFC Fight Night 85 in Brisbane, Australia, on March 20 earned him a Performance of the Night bonus. The 42-year-old New Zealander’s last three losses have all come against opponents who have won the heavyweight title belt.

Despite being four years older and five inches shorter and giving up a sizable reach advantage (seven inches), Hunt is a -170 favorite (bet $170 to win $100), according to oddsmakers for UFC 200.

He has obviously been more active than Lesnar, with nine UFC bouts since Lesnar last fought in the organization. Knocking out bigger men has not been a problem for Hunt recently and probably will not be a problem here unless he gets caught with a surprise shot. Mir and Silva are both at least as tall as Lesnar, and they were dropped.

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UFC 200 Odds Preview: Aldo vs. Edgar Betting Lines, Analysis, Trends

The last time Frankie Edgar (20-4-1) squared off with Jose Aldo (25-2), they fought for the featherweight championship more than three years ago at UFC 156 in Las Vegas.
They will meet again on Saturday at UFC 200 with the interim title belt on the lin…

The last time Frankie Edgar (20-4-1) squared off with Jose Aldo (25-2), they fought for the featherweight championship more than three years ago at UFC 156 in Las Vegas.

They will meet again on Saturday at UFC 200 with the interim title belt on the line when Edgar attempts to hand the former champion Aldo his second consecutive loss as a slight -125 favorite (bet $125 to win $100) at sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark.

Aldo is a -105 underdog and lost his championship belt to Conor McGregor via a stunning 13-second knockout at UFC 194 last December 12. McGregor then focused on conquering other weight classes, eventually settling on a welterweight matchup with Nate Diaz before losing to him.

That cleared the way for Aldo and Edgar to fight for the interim belt and a chance to hand McGregor another loss in a title unification bout.

Until then, both men have their eyes on the prize and are focused on the task at hand.

Since losing to Aldo by unanimous decision in his featherweight debut, Edgar has won five in a row against some of the top contenders in the division. The former lightweight champ dropped down from 155 to 145 following back-to-back losses to Benson Henderson and has been one of the UFC’s most impressive fighters the last two years in defeating B.J. Penn, Cub Swanson, Urijah Faber and Chad Mendes.

Before falling to McGregor, Aldo had not lost in more than a decade, riding an 18-bout winning streak into that championship fight. He earned UD wins over Mendes and Ricardo Lamas following a fourth-round TKO victory against Chan Sung Jung after the first meeting with Edgar.

His previous loss came versus Luciano Azevedo via second-round rear-naked choke submission at Jungle Fight 5 back in November 2005.

The first fight between them was fairly close, with Aldo continuously frustrating Edgar with leg kicks and keeping his opponent from taking him to the ground. One of the judges scored it 48-47, with the other two going with 49-46.

Edgar would love to use his wrestling skills to get Aldo down at UFC 200, because the stand-up game favors the underdog.

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UFC 200 Odds Preview: Cormier vs. Jones Betting Lines, Analysis, Trends

A rematch that light heavyweight champion Daniel Cormier (17-1) has been thinking about for more than a year will finally take place in the main event at UFC 200 in Las Vegas on Saturday, as he battles interim champ Jon “Bones” Jones (22-1)…

Cormier was on the wrong end of a unanimous decision in favor of Jones the last time they met at UFC 182 in January 2015. This time, he’s listed as a +230 underdog (bet $100 to win $230) at sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark.

Jones is a -300 favorite (bet $300 to win $100). He was originally slated to meet Cormier at UFC 197 on April 23, but a foot injury for the latter prevented that from happening.

Instead, Jones faced Ovince Saint Preux in his return from a 15-month absence and earned a UD victory—his third in a row since scoring a TKO win over Chael Sonnen at UFC 159.

Jones defended the light heavyweight title eight times before he was stripped of the belt following a hit-and-run incident that took place in April 2015.

Cormier stepped up and won Jones’ belt with a dominant performance against Anthony “Rumble” Johnson via a third-round rear-naked choke submission at UFC 187. He then defended the title in an epic split-decision victory against Alexander Gustafsson at UFC 192 before waiting for Jones to return to the Octagon.

Cormier is probably still best known for winning the Strikeforce Heavyweight Grand Prix tournament as an injury replacement four years ago by beating Jeff Monson, Antonio Silva and Josh Barnett.

The two fighters could not be any more different stylistically and personality-wise, setting up one of the most highly anticipated rematches ever on the biggest UFC card of all-time at UFC 200.

A former Olympic-level wrestler, the 37-year-old Cormier crushed Johnson by taking him to the ground and punishing him. That was something he could not do versus the 28-year-old Jones the first time around.

Jones is a freakish athlete who has rarely been challenged. With Conor McGregor and Ronda Rousey both losing their air of invincibility with losses over the past year, Jones has become the face of the organization again.

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UFC Fight Night 90 Odds: Dos Anjos vs Alvarez Betting Preview, Analysis

The biggest week in the history of the UFC will get underway with Thursday’s Fight Night 90 card at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, as lightweight champion Rafael dos Anjos (25-7) meets former Bellator champ Eddie Alvarez (27-4) in the m…

Dos Anjos was originally supposed to fight Conor McGregor at UFC 196, but a broken foot kept that from happening. He is listed as a heavy -350 favorite (bet $350 to win $100) versus second-ranked Alvarez at sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark.

Alvarez, a +265 underdog (bet $100 to win $265) earned the title shot with a pair of split-decision wins over Gilbert Melendez and No. 7 Anthony Pettis, who fought him most recently on January 17 in Boston.

His previous UFC appearance before that resulted in a unanimous-decision loss to Donald Cerrone at UFC 178 in September 2014 after he earned a split-decision victory against Michael Chandler to take home the Bellator title belt for a second time a year earlier.

Meanwhile, dos Anjos is riding a five-bout winning streak and coming off a first-round TKO win over Cerrone last December 19 at UFC on Fox 17 in Orlando. Before that, he scored unanimous-decision victories against Pettis for the lightweight championship last March and Nate Diaz following knockouts of Benson Henderson and Jason High.

His lone loss since 2011 came at the hands of top-ranked contender Khabib Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision, and he has won three Performance of the Night bonuses in his past five outings.

The co-main event will be a featured heavyweight matchup between the struggling Roy “Big Country” Nelson (21-12) and rising Derrick Lewis (15-4, one no-contest). Nelson is a slight -130 favorite despite dropping five of his last seven, including three of four.

Big Country ended his three-bout losing streak with a unanimous-decision victory against Jared Rosholt at UFC Fight Night 82 on February 6 in one of the ugliest fights of the year. His previous two losses came by unanimous decision to Josh Barnett and Alistair Overeem after he was knocked out in the second round by Mark Hunt at UFC Fight Night 52 on September 20, 2014.

Lewis is a +100 underdog and has won three in a row via knockout following a second-round TKO loss to Shawn Jordan at UFC Fight Night 68 last June 6. He is 6-2 in the UFC, with his only other setback coming against Matt Mitrione by first-round KO at UFC Fight Night 50.

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UFC Fight Night 90 Odds: Dos Anjos vs Alvarez Betting Preview, Analysis

His lone loss since 2011 came at the hands of top-ranked contender Khabib Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision, and he has won three Performance of the Night bonuses in his past five outings.

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UFC 199 Betting Preview: Michael Bisping vs. Luke Rockhold Odds, Analysis

British contender Michael Bisping (28-7) has never fought for the UFC Middleweight Championship before, previously losing a pair of title-eliminator bouts to Dan Henderson and Chael Sonnen.
Bisping will finally get his opportunity Saturday at UFC 199 i…

British contender Michael Bisping (28-7) has never fought for the UFC Middleweight Championship before, previously losing a pair of title-eliminator bouts to Dan Henderson and Chael Sonnen.

Bisping will finally get his opportunity Saturday at UFC 199 in Los Angeles, where he meets champion Luke Rockhold (15-2) as a late injury replacement for former champ Chris Weidman. Bisping is now a monster plus-525 underdog (bet $100 to win $525) at sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark.

Rockhold is listed as much as a minus-900 betting favorite (bet $900 to win $100) after upsetting Weidman for the belt via fourth-round TKO at UFC 194 last December in Las Vegas.

The former Strikeforce middleweight champ has won five straight bouts and 14 of his last 15. The lone loss during that stretch came on a spinning heel kick by Vitor Belfort, which resulted in a first-round knockout a little more than three years ago.

Bisping’s last loss came against Rockhold by second-round guillotine choke in November 2014. Since then, The Count has won three in a row, including a key unanimous-decision victory over former UFC middleweight champ Anderson Silva in London on February 27. Their bout won Fight of the Night honors.

In the co-main event, bantamweight champ Dominick Cruz (21-1) will face nemesis Urijah Faber (33-8) in a rubber match for the title. Cruz is a heavy minus-525 favorite against Faber. The California Kid is a plus-410 underdog.

They have split two previous meetings. Faber took the first by guillotine choke at featherweight more than nine years ago in the WEC. Then Cruz won the rematch for the UFC Bantamweight Championship with a unanimous-decision victory at UFC 132 in July 2011.

Cruz and Faber were originally supposed to square off after they served as coaches on The Ultimate Fighter: Live in 2012. However, Cruz suffered a torn ACL and was unable to fight at the time. He then tore both of his ACLs along with his groin, before earning a split-decision win over former champ T.J. Dillashaw on January 17 to regain the belt.

Faber has won seven of his last nine, losing to Frankie Edgar at featherweight in May 2015 and Renan Barao for the bantamweight title at UFC 169 a year earlier.

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