Bold Predictions for UFC 171: Who Will Be the New Welterweight Kingpin?

The post-Georges St-Pierre era begins in earnest on Saturday night, when Johny Hendricks and Robbie Lawler scrap for the vacant welterweight title at UFC 171.
In addition to learning who will shepherd the 170-pound championship into this uncertain futu…

The post-Georges St-Pierre era begins in earnest on Saturday night, when Johny Hendricks and Robbie Lawler scrap for the vacant welterweight title at UFC 171.

In addition to learning who will shepherd the 170-pound championship into this uncertain future, MMA fans stand a good chance of discovering the identity of the new No. 1 contender as well.

The winner of Carlos Condit vs. Tyron Woodley has the inside track to face the winner of Hendricks vs. Lawler sometime this summer, but Hector Lombard vs. Jake Shields could also produce a legitimate title challenger.

If ever there was a time to be bold in the welterweight division, it’s now.

In keeping with that spirit, Bleacher Report MMA lead writers Chad Dundas (that’s me) and Jonathan Snowden are here to provide their bold predictions for UFC 171.

Begin the slideshow and face the future with clear eyes…

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UFC 171’s Robbie Lawler Says He’s Finally Ready to Live Up to the Hype

Robbie Lawler, circa 2001, was a fight promoter’s dream. Raw-boned, corn-fed and lily white, the 19-year-old Iowan prodigy appeared to be cut from granite as he laid waste to Saburo Kawakatsu at a long-forgotten extravaganza in Hawaii. 
The w…

Robbie Lawler, circa 2001, was a fight promoter’s dream. Raw-boned, corn-fed and lily white, the 19-year-old Iowan prodigy appeared to be cut from granite as he laid waste to Saburo Kawakatsu at a long-forgotten extravaganza in Hawaii. 

The world wasn’t watching Shogun Fights, but that wasn’t important, at least not for Lawler. One man who mattered was in the front row watching the laser light show and world-class fighters—Dana White, in his first year as UFC president and looking to reinvent the fight game.

White, on his way toward becoming one of America’s most iconic fight promoters, knew what he wanted. And he wanted Lawler, going so far as to compare a kid in his fourth professional fight to the fearsome boxer Mike Tyson, signing him to a UFC contract in what he called “a Christmas present to myself.

At the time fans had a bit of fun with that piece of hyperbole. Though not yet bald and bombastic, White was already developing a reputation as an emotional and compelling interview. This, it was thought, was just an early example of Dana being Dana.  

White saw Lawler as a star in the making and did everything in his power to make that happen. Against fellow Midwestern bangers, Lawler excelled. He knocked the potential right out of fellow prospect Aaron Riley at UFC 37 and just a month later knocked out Steve Berger at UFC 37.5, becoming the first fighter to compete on cable television, hand-selected by White for Fox Sports’ The Best Damn Sports Show Period.

Training at Pat Miletich‘s famed gym in Bettendorf, Iowa, Lawler was put to the test daily in practice sessions with world champions like Jens Pulver and Matt Hughes. Under Miletich‘s guidance, Lawler, a southpaw, developed a stiff right hand and the killer instinct you needed to simply survive in an environment that saw plenty of fighters slink off in the middle of the night, unable to face the prospect of another day at practice. 

“Pat was one of the first guys who could do it all, grapple, wrestle and strike. I just tried to take after him and work on all aspects,” Lawler said. Like all Miletich fighters of that era, he remembers his days in the gym fondly. 

“More than anything, he put us in situations where we made each other better. Jeremy Horn brought a lot to the table. Matt Hughes brought a lot to the table. Lots of guys you never heard of. He made it a grind. It wasn’t easy. If you stuck around for more than a month, that was definitely saying something. Just the mental toughness you get from training in a gym like that was huge.”

The memories come floating to the surface easily. Horn’s patient guidance and pursuit of martial knowledge. Being trash-talked and rag-dolled by Hughes for two solid years, never once yielding or giving up. And being put in with heavyweights when fighters his own size wanted no part of sparring with the fearsome youngster who swung every punch like it was his last.

“When Pat first started fighting there really weren’t that many weight classes. He fought a bunch of heavyweights when he first started so it just didn’t seem odd to me,” Lawler said. “I lifted weights and was strong. I was a tough kid, willing to get after it and I thought I hit just as hard if not harder. And I didn’t have to sit in front of a big guy and let him punch me. It’s not a tough man’s game.”

Lawler, ultimately, wasn’t ready emotionally or athletically to live up to the expectations that he would be Miletich‘s next breakout star. Fighting, at the top level at least, is about more than competing in the cage. There are responsibilities to the promoter and the fans that Lawler says he just wasn’t ready for at the time.

A media nightmare, he quickly developed a reputation as one of the toughest interviews in the sport. Even UFC matchmaker Joe Silva, a genius at drawing out amazing soundbites for the UFC’s pay-per-view soundbites, couldn’t break through Lawler‘s stone wall. 

“I was young,” he explains. “I’m older now.”

In the cage, too, he struggled. Although the right hook and ability to regain his feet after a takedown were already staples of his game, he wasn’t quite sophisticated or patient enough to deliver his best weapons against really good fighters. After that quick start, he bombed out of the UFC in 2004, becoming an MMA ronin, drifting from promotion to promotion, never quite living up to his promise. 

Was it too much too soon? Did White’s high expectations go to a young fighter’s head, stifling growth and development? After all, if you’re already Tyson-esque, what more is there to learn? 

Lawler says it wasn’t so. The once-brash young man, now a brash older man, told Bleacher Report that White didn’t say anything he wasn’t already thinking.

“It really didn’t matter what he said. In my head, even before I started the sport, I was going to be the best ever,” Lawler said. “I was going to knock everyone out. So it didn’t really matter what he said. I already had a belief in myself that I have what it takes to get the job done. That’s why I’ve kept fighting for as long as I have. I always felt I was capable of so much more than I’ve shown. And I’m getting better every day.”

Thirteen years and 29 fights later, White’s then-comical proclamation suddenly doesn’t seem so funny. Now days away from his 32nd birthday, Lawler is fighting for UFC gold for the very first time, perhaps redeeming one of White’s rare missteps in the process. When he meets Johny Hendricks for the UFC welterweight title Saturday in Dallas, Texas, Lawler will finally have a chance to achieve what many thought was his destiny.

Through the years, through stops in Japan, Hawaii, Elite XC and finally Strikeforce, Lawler never gave up hope. While contemporaries and teammates slowly dropped from the MMA scene, he still believed. 

“Stubborn is not giving up and coming back every day when stuff is rough and not easy. I guess I want to be stubborn,Lawler said. “I’m a grinder. You just wake up every day and get after it. I was banged up here and there. There was a time it felt like I just couldn’t get healthy. But I kept learning. It would have been easy to give up and do something else. It would have been easy to give up. To say ‘This is hard. Maybe I shouldn’t do this anymore.’ What I thought was ‘I’m in it. And I’m going to stay in it until I can’t do it anymore.’ Everything I’ve been through, it’s just made me a stronger individual, plain and simple.”

Training today at American Top Team, 1,400 miles and a world away from his Midwestern roots, Lawler brings a slice of home with him, flying in longtime boxing coach Matt Pena to help him fine-tune his game alongside Top Team’s Ricardo Liborio, “Conan” Silveira and Kami Barzini.

It’s a relationship Lawler resisted for some time, despite pleas from manager Monte Cox to give a change of scenery a chance. Eventually Lawler relented and admits he’s a better fighter for it.

“The (Josh) Koscheck fight came up and I was like ‘Man, this is a big fight. I should probably go down there.’ I spent three weeks down there and it worked out well,” he said. “The trainers are great. If I didn’t feel like they wanted me there, I wouldn’t have gone there. But I heard it a few times from my manager, that they really wanted me down there and were asking about me.

“I’m excited to go train every day. I’m excited to be back in the UFC. Fighting on the big stage. And I’m with a really good team. The fighters are awesome and they push me hard. There’s a hundred guys down there and they’re all really good. Even the guys no one has heard of. And the coaches are awesome. Put all those things together, with my mentality and I believe great things are in store for me.”

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UFC 171: Bleacher Report Main Card Staff Predictions

For the first time in almost six years, the UFC will crown a new welterweight champion at UFC 171, with Johny Hendricks and Robbie Lawler facing off to determine who will succeed Georges St-Pierre.
In addition to the main event, we can look forward to …

For the first time in almost six years, the UFC will crown a new welterweight champion at UFC 171, with Johny Hendricks and Robbie Lawler facing off to determine who will succeed Georges St-Pierre.

In addition to the main event, we can look forward to witnessing Carlos Condit take on Tyron Woodley in a bout that is likely to determine the next No. 1 contender at 170 pounds. Also on the card are Diego Sanchez vs. Myles Jury and Jake Shields vs. Hector Lombard.

All in all, there’s plenty to look forward to.

As usual, the Bleacher Report main-card prediction team is on hand to guide you through Saturday night’s event. Read on for thoughts from Scott Harris, Riley Kontek, Sean Smith, Craig Amos and me, James MacDonald.

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UFC 171: Hector Lombard Is the Man with the Most to Gain

Plenty is being made of the welterweight potpourri hitting Dallas this weekend at UFC 171. If anyone’s ever heard of you and you can weigh 170 pounds while an athletic commissioner assesses you in your skivvies, it seems like you managed to find yourse…

Plenty is being made of the welterweight potpourri hitting Dallas this weekend at UFC 171. If anyone’s ever heard of you and you can weigh 170 pounds while an athletic commissioner assesses you in your skivvies, it seems like you managed to find yourself a dance partner this Saturday.

Johny Hendricks and Robbie Lawler will do battle for the vacant welterweight title.

Carlos Condit and Tyron Woodley will slug it out moments before them, each with an eye on being the first to test the newly crowned champion down the line.

Jake Shields will try to remind people that he’s actually pretty good when he fights Hector Lombard.

That’s half of the top 12 guys at welterweight all in action, including the top three. And it’s Lombard who’s the man to watch, because it’s Lombard who has the most to gain.

Gasp!

The shock of that statement is palpable, the stunned silence broken only by the droves of expert analysts clacking at their keyboards to explain why it’s the dumbest thing they’ve ever heard.

Except it’s true.

The thing about this welterweight Wild West is that everyone else has already arrived. Lombard is a snake in the grass, one explosive right hand away from bursting back to the front of MMA‘s collective consciousness.

Hendricks and Lawler are both there already. They’re in the title fight. Sure they can become champion with a win, but it’s less of a jump for them than for others in the division simply on circumstance.

Condit hasn’t been more than a fight or two away from a title shot for nearly four years. He’s exciting and entertaining, and people love him for his propensity to spill plasma so they get their money’s worth. Another crack at gold is almost expected for him, so what he gains in victory is relatively little.

Woodley might be the closest to Lombard for potential gains, but he’s also apparently been told that he could be next for a title shot if he beats Condit. That makes him less of an out-of-nowhere proposition, and he also went from getting badly KO’d by Nate Marquardt to being in the UFC title picture in under two years. That’s a win in itself no matter how the Condit bout ends up, really.

Shields should be getting right with the idea that he’s the new Jon Fitch. He just goes out there and wins fights, but he’s not doing it via head kick, so he’s going to be overlooked. Hell, a guy he beat in Woodley is higher on the card and getting all sorts of hype because his two UFC wins happened violently. Shields has plenty to gain, but he’ll never get it because the promotion simply doesn’t think he’s worth it.

That leaves Hector Lombard.

Mean, nasty Hector Lombard who many thought was among the best middleweights in the world as recently as 2012.

Hector Lombard who’s 2-2 in the UFC but who looked absolutely terrifying in his welterweight debut, effortlessly demolishing Nate Marquardt in 108 seconds.

You don’t think the UFC wants that guy on a marquee? The guy who was a proven killer for years and who has had impressive spurts in the Octagon already? The guy it’s paying buckets of money because it had to buy him out from under Bellator?

Of course it does, and if he beats Shields explosively, you can bet he’ll rocket up the rankings and be on the fast track to title talk.

Sometimes what a man has to gain is as much about his own circumstances as it is about the circumstances of those around him. Going into UFC 171, everyone is ahead of Lombard in some way, shape or form. The other fighters are either ranked higher, closer to the title, in a bigger fight or fighting with higher stakes—perhaps even a combination of those things.

He’s lurking on the periphery, though, waiting to jump the queue by showing up the right way at the right time. Others are looking to do the same on Saturday night, but it’s Hector Lombard who’ll gain the most if he does.

Follow me on Twitter @matthewjryder!

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UFC 171: Weigh-In Results and Updates

UFC 171 hits Dallas for fight week, and for the first time since 2008, someone other than Georges St-Pierre will hold the UFC Welterweight Championship.
The vacant title is up for grabs between No. 1-ranked Johny Hendricks and No. 3-ranked Robbie Lawle…

UFC 171 hits Dallas for fight week, and for the first time since 2008, someone other than Georges St-Pierre will hold the UFC Welterweight Championship.

The vacant title is up for grabs between No. 1-ranked Johny Hendricks and No. 3-ranked Robbie Lawler in the main event, but there are two other high-profile welterweight bouts on the card as well. No. 2-ranked Carlos Condit battles No. 11-ranked Tyron Woodley, and No. 6-ranked Jake Shields squares off against No. 12-ranked Hector Lombard.

The 13-fight card will become official Friday afternoon, when the fighters officially weigh-in for the event. Bleacher Report will have full coverage of the weigh-ins at 5 p.m. ET.

 

UFC 171 Fight Card

  • UFC Welterweight Championship: Johny Hendricks (170) vs. Robbie Lawler (170)
  • Carlos Condit (170.5) vs. Tyron Woodley (170)
  • Diego Sanchez (155) vs. Myles Jury (156)
  • Jake Shields (171) vs. Hector Lombard (170)
  • Ovince St. Preux (205) vs. Nikita Krylov (205)
  • Kelvin Gastelum (171) vs. Rick Story (170.5)
  • Raquel Pennington (135.5) vs. Jessica Andrade (135)
  • Dennis Bermudez (146) vs. Jimy Hettes (145.5)
  • Sean Spencer (170) vs. Alex Garcia (170.5)
  • Renee Forte (157) vs. Frank Trevino (155)
  • Will Campuzano (125.5) vs. Justin Scoggins (125)
  • Robert McDaniel (184.5) vs. Sean Strickland (185)
  • Daniel Pineda (145) vs. Robert Whiteford (145)

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UFC 171: Johny Hendricks and the Fighters with the Most to Lose

UFC 171 is set to become one of the most significant mixed martial arts events of 2014. The pay-per-view will feature two former world champions in Carlos Condit and Jake Shields. Both are vying for the top spot in their division, and the former is fac…

UFC 171 is set to become one of the most significant mixed martial arts events of 2014. The pay-per-view will feature two former world champions in Carlos Condit and Jake Shields. Both are vying for the top spot in their division, and the former is facing a possible title shot opportunity with a victory on Saturday night.

In addition, Ultimate Fighter winner Diego Sanchez will battle to remain relevant within the lightweight division, and Johny Hendricks will see his second opportunity to capture the UFC welterweight title.

UFC 171, taking place at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, will represent a defining moment in the careers of the four aforementioned fighters. A loss for any of these combatants will represent a significant step backward and hurt their chances of reasserting themselves in their respective and extremely stacked divisions.

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