Author: moneybags

UFC On Fox Velasquez vs Dos Santos

Live on Fox and Fox Sports November 12th 2011. The first live free UFC fight on a major network television broadcast. Heavyweight Championship bout: Cain Velasquez vs. Junior Dos Santos The two best heavyweight boxers we’ve ever seen in MMA. Don’t even say Ray Mercer or James Tony, those guys don’t box in MMA. They

Live on Fox and Fox Sports November 12th 2011. The first live free UFC fight on a major network television broadcast.

Heavyweight Championship bout: Cain Velasquez vs. Junior Dos Santos

The two best heavyweight boxers we’ve ever seen in MMA. Don’t even say Ray Mercer or James Tony, those guys don’t box in MMA. They swing.

As good as Dos Santos boxing is, its probably better, Velasquez is going to take him down and nullify it.

I lean towards Velasquez in this one, but Dos Santos is only an uppercut away from ending it.

Preliminary card (Fox Deportes)

Lightweight bout: Clay Guida vs. Ben Henderson

Ben Henderson, if you go back through MMA Betting Picks website…way back, he was one of my undiscovered rising stars back when he fought in the MFC and walked out with his glasses on. Its incredible that the guy can’t see well without them and he has hair in his way most of the time.

This fight literally is the battle of hair.

Between Guida’s locks and Henderson’s expect a lot of swinging and a hair a flying.

From a strict comparables, I think Henderson has this fight on reach, size, overall striking. Henderson’s length is going to give Guida problems all night and he will be scoring. Guida has to get this fight to the ground to win. I don’t see it happening.

Guida is a crowd favorite so expect the lines to be tighter than they should be. I like Henderson in this fight. I also like this one going beyond 2-2.5 rounds.

Featherweight bout: Dustin Poirier vs. Pablo Garza

Poirier

Preliminary card (Facebook and FoxSports.com)

Featherweight bout: Cub Swanson vs. Ricardo Lamas

Cub Swanson

Welterweight bout: DaMarques Johnson vs. Clay Harvison

DaMarques Johnson – more experience – more ways to win – longer reach.

Bantamweight bout: Norifumi Yamamoto vs. Darren Uyenoyama

Kid Yamamoto

Featherweight bout: Mackens Semerzier vs. Robert Peralta

lean towards Mackens

Bantamweight bout: Alex Caceres vs. Cole Escovedo

More than 2 rounds.

Middleweight bout: Mike Pierce vs. Paul Bradley

Mike Pierce is up there on my favorite fighters to watch and bet with. He is excellent everywhere on the ground, but his special skill is stifling the takedown then making the opponent pay for attempting it.
Depending on the odds, this is probably an excellent bet.

Light Heavyweight bout: Aaron Rosa vs. Matt Lucas

pass

UFC 138 Betting

UFC 138 is in Birmingham, England and will be broadcast tape delay on Spike TV in the USA and live in Canada via Sportsnet. This card is showcase promo card for the Junior Dos Santos, Cain Velasquez fight coming on Fox Nov 12th 2011 just 7 days away from this event. Expect massive promo throughout

UFC 138 is in Birmingham, England and will be broadcast tape delay on Spike TV in the USA and live in Canada via Sportsnet.

This card is showcase promo card for the Junior Dos Santos, Cain Velasquez fight coming on Fox Nov 12th 2011 just 7 days away from this event. Expect massive promo throughout the event.

Preliminary card Predictions

Bantamweight bout: Chris Cariaso vs. Vaughan Lee

Welterweight bout: Chris Cope vs. Che Mills

Chris Cope via decision

Heavyweight bout: Rob Broughton vs. Philip De Fries

pass

Featherweight bout: Michihiro Omigawa vs. Jason Young

Both have experience, obviously Omigawa has probably faced the more experienced fighters. Leaning towards Omigawa here.

Welterweight bout: John Maguire vs. Justin Edwards

Maguire

UFC 138 Main card Predictions

Light Heavyweight bout: Cyrille Diabaté vs. Anthony Perosh

Diabate

Lightweight bout: Terry Etim vs. Eddie Faaloloto

Etim

Welterweight bout: Thiago Alves vs. Papy Abedi

Alves

Bantamweight bout: Brad Pickett vs. Renan Barão

Middleweight bout: Chris Leben vs. Mark Muñoz

Tough to analyze. Both fighters like to trade and have sloppy boxing. However, they both swing for home runs. Leben has probably been through more wars and can take more abuse than what Mark has been through in his career. In a war of attrition I give advantage to Leben because he take more abuse. However, I can see Munoz wrestling Leben and capturing a decision.

If this stays on the feet and Leben can avoid being double legged, I think Leben will win. Leben’s wrestling is not bad either.

UFC 137 Recap – Two Legends Retire

Winners Nick Diaz really wore down BJ Penn the whole fight and beat him up in probably the worst beating BJ has ever taken. BJ Penn retired in the post fight interview. Love ya BJ ever since you KO’d Caol Uno and then ran out of the arena. Maholo! This was a great fight to

Winners

Nick Diaz really wore down BJ Penn the whole fight and beat him up in probably the worst beating BJ has ever taken. BJ Penn retired in the post fight interview. Love ya BJ ever since you KO’d Caol Uno and then ran out of the arena. Maholo! This was a great fight to watch and whenever it hits Unleashed make sure you catch it.

Roy Nelson wins and Mirko Cro Cop announced his retirement. Nelson didn’t have the best punching of the night, Cro Cop was better on his feet. It kind of annoyed me to see Roy not cutting the ring off. However, like I thought, Nelson’s belly would come into play as he got Cro Cop in a crucifix and pounded him out badly. However, Cro Cop survived the 2nd round as time expired – lucky for him. Then Roy got him against, got his back and pounded him out from above.

Kongo had to avoid a cagey Mittrione for the first round, but eventually connected with many more punches and took him down twice. In the third round Kongo was beating Mittrione up. One judge scored it 30-27 for Kongo.

George Roop got robbed against Hioki tonight imo. Hioki had takedowns and very little of anything else. In the third round it was all Roop who landed probably a 10-1 difference in strikes. If we had the 1/2 point scoring, he would have earned that half point. Hikoi won a split decision. I had Roop winning this fight on my score card and my bet.

Cerrone beat Siver rather easily connected with two head kicks, but finished a drunk Siver via RNC.

Brandon Vera got back on the horse with a win over Elliot Marshall.

Palaszewski KO’s Tyson Griffin – wow ever since his loss to Gomi his jaw has become glass it seems.

Jorgensen coasted to a victory over Curran. I knew this fight would go the distance and went for +2 1/2 rounds. Curran wasn’t catching anything on Joregensen and Jorgensen wasn’t going to knockout or stop Curran. However, the chance for a sub by Curran was always there. Its safer to do a round bet in this type of matchup.

I went 5 for 6 tonight in my personal.

UFC 137 GSP vs Condit

UFC 137 Main card Welterweight Championship: Georges St.Pierre vs Carlos Condit Condit is without a doubt the most dangerous opponent St. Pierre has fought yet, but I think GSP is going to win this fight easier than most people think. Condit is a guy who has fantastic armbars and devastating standup. What is probably going

UFC 137 Main card

Welterweight Championship: Georges St.Pierre vs Carlos Condit

Condit is without a doubt the most dangerous opponent St. Pierre has fought yet, but I think GSP is going to win this fight easier than most people think. Condit is a guy who has fantastic armbars and devastating standup. What is probably going to happen though is that GSP is going to confuse Condit with takedown fakeouts and overwhelm with a number of strikes. Then do late round takedowns and avoid the submission to secure the round. Condit wins if he gets lucky and catches GSP with punches. I don’t see a submission happening. GSP and his team are smart enough to never stay in the guard of Condit. If GSP controls from the half guard, Carlos is likely not going to get up the entire round.

GSP.

Welterweight bout: BJ Penn vs Nick Diaz

Nick Diaz. Did you think I wouldn’t pick him coming back to the UFC? Not like this fight is easy.

Heavyweight bout: Cheick Kongo vs Matt Mitrione

Mitrione is on a hot streak for sure, but I think Kongo is the more talented overall fighter. Unless it goes to the ground. Mitrione has better top control. Matt could GnP this one, while Kongo likes to win on the feet. I’m feeling Kongo here.

Heavyweight bout: Mirko Filipovi? vs Roy Nelson

I gotta go with Roy. He can take a tremendous amount of damage and put it on the other guy himself. Plus if it goes to the ground, his belly is a huge advantage.

Featherweight bout: Hatsu Hioki vs George Roop

Everytime I don’t pick this guy, he crushes his opponent. Roop.

Preliminary card (Spike TV)

Lightweight bout: Dennis Siver vs Donald Cerrone

Featherweight bout: Tyson Griffin vs Bart Palaszewski

Griffin. He will stay close to Bart all night and that is where Bart’s weaknesses are inside the grappling range. If Griffin stays on the inside he should win this one.

Preliminary card (Facebook)

Middleweight bout: Brad Tavares vs Dustin Jacoby

No pick, but Tavares has some power.

Bantamweight bout: Scott Jorgensen vs Jeff Curran

Glad to see Curran back in the UFC after a long stint outside. Jorgensen is that Guidaesque grinding wrestler and Curran has no problem fighting off his back. I can see Jorgensen taking a decision win here, but would be cool to see Curran pull off the sub.

Light Heavyweight bout: Brandon Vera vs Eliot Marshall

Vera easy.

Lightweight bout: Ramsey Nijem vs Danny Downes

Nijem

Middleweight bout: Chris Camozzi vs Francis Carmont

Camozzi seemed tough on the show.

UFC 136 Picks

Main card Lightweight Championship bout Frankie Edgar (c) vs Gray Maynard I always would pick Frank Edgar over opponents, but against Gray Maynard I think the last fight Gray just gassed himself out. I don’t expect that again. I’ve got Gray in this one. Featherweight Championship bout: José Aldo (c) vs Kenny Florian I want

Main card

Lightweight Championship bout Frankie Edgar (c) vs Gray Maynard

I always would pick Frank Edgar over opponents, but against Gray Maynard I think the last fight Gray just gassed himself out. I don’t expect that again. I’ve got Gray in this one.

Featherweight Championship bout: José Aldo (c) vs Kenny Florian

I want to pick Kenny Florian, but I can’t. Aldo faster, more technique, more dangerous.

Middleweight bout Chael Sonnen vs Brian Stann

Chael Sonnen. Expect takedown and grind down.

Lightweight bout Joe Lauzon vs Melvin Guillard

In the past Lauzon would be an easy pick here. However, Melvin Guillard has improved so much in the submission and submission defense. I think Guillard is going to be too much for Lauzon.

Featherweight bout Leonard Garcia vs Nam Phan

Nam Phan. A little more technique here might be the key to victory.

Preliminary card (Spike TV)

Middleweight bout: Demian Maia vs Jorge Santiago

I like the improvements Demian Maia has made to his standup game and the agressive stance he has taken. If it goes to the ground Maia is better there, but Santiago is no slouch. Standup probably goes to Santiago, but hes definitely more wild.

Lightweight bout Anthony Pettis vs Jeremy Stephens

Such a good fight. Both have great striking with Stephens being the bigger power puncher of the two. However, Jeremy is more wild. If it goes to the ground, Pettis, has a good advantage. On the feet I think its even, slight edge to Pettis, due to reach.

Preliminary card (Facebook)

Heavyweight bout Joey Beltran vs Stipe Miocic

I can take the Mexicutioner in the dark here.

Featherweight bout: Zhang Tie Quan vs Darren Elkins

Pass

Middleweight bout Aaron Simpson vs Eric Schafer

Interesting match. Two zombies that don’t stop coming forward despite taking damage. Schafer is not as good as doing damage as Simpson is. If it stays up I say Simpson.

Middleweight bout Steve Cantwell vs Mike Massenzio

Steve Cantwell. I don’t know what skills Massenzio has to beat Cantwell.