Jose Aldo vs. Frankie Edgar
Aldo can win in many more ways and probably will, but with these odds, and Edgar’s ability to overcome, endurance, and experience. I’m going with Edgar just based on those probabilities + the odds.
Rashad Evans vs. Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
Once again. The odds here are juicy for little Nog. Rashad is much faster, but the wrestling of Evans is likely going to be negated as he won’t want to go to the ground with little Nog. Once again, Rashad should win a decision, but, with the odds so skewed, Nog has a puncher’s and submitter’s chance.
Alistair Overeem vs. Antonio Silva
Overeem is in the UFC and if you never saw him fight before because you are UFC focused, he is a pretty intimidating fighter who destroys pretty much anyone he faces post 2009ish. The odds are heavily skewed here, but Silva is a blackbelt. If Overeem gets on his back, Silva, should have a distinct advantage. He is slightly bigger. Overeem isn’t particularly fast, he is just big and technical. Silva, is less technical, but has that ground and top game, plus fair leg kicks.
I like Silva here in the upset due to the heavy odds skew.
Jon Fitch vs. Demian Maia
Although favored I don’t see Maia beating Fitch. Unless Hendricks unlocked the glass jaw code on Fitch and he is now able to be KO’d easily.
Joseph Benavidez vs. Ian McCall
Going with the underdog again. Ian McCall can hang with the faster Mighty Mouse, he should be fine against Benavidez. McCall will have the chip on his shoulder too.
Evan Dunham vs. Gleison Tibau
Too close to call depending on how Tibau shows up. I have Dunham in decision.
Tyron Woodley vs. Jay Hieron
Another upset here, I’ve got Hieron taking the upset with experience, better punching. Wrestling is probably better for Woodley, but Hieron is right there in that department.
Jacob Volkmann vs. Bobby Green
I’m avoiding this fight, because I tend to lean with Volkmann almost no matter what, but odds skewed too much.
Yves Edwards vs. Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Edwards. In one of the other favored picks, I like Yves on a roll here.
Dustin Kimura vs. Chico Camus
Pass
Edwin Figueroa vs. Francisco Rivera
Pass