Televised Fight Card
Lightweight bout: Evan Dunham vs Melvin Guillard
Should be an awesome fight. Dunham has more weapons and Guillard has been susceptible to being subbed. It seems though he has improved this tremendously since being RNC’d by both Joe Stevenson and Rich Clementi. However, Nate Diaz did sub him more recently. However, Guillard has shown ability to defend and his power is tremendous. Dunham is someone though who has shown to absorb an amazing amount of punishment and still be able to finish a fight/comeback. I think he is going to need that because Melvin has an extremely dangerous attack.
My best estimate is that Guillard will avoid the submission and win this fight and beat up Dunham bad. It will be a good fight though. Guillard is +170 on Intertops
Heavyweight bout: Matt Mitrione vs Tim Hague
I don’t really have an opinion on this other than I like the improvement I’m seeing in Mitrione. I will go with him.
Featherweight bout: Mark Hominick vs George Roop
The question will be is Hominick going to be able to get inside and work his hands? The lanky George Roop has great kicks and submissions. The height and reach is going to be a problem for Hominick. While Hominick is a grizzled veteran, Roop is no newbie, but he has gotten so much better in his last few fights. Like I said, Roop is going to give Hominick problems for sure. If you like taking underdogs, Roop here is decent.
Heavyweight bout: Pat Barry vs Joey Beltran
Barry needs a win. Why not bring in another stand up slugger in the Mexicutioner, Beltran? Beltran is a tough sob, really tough. I’ve seen him get his ass worked and then comeback and win. Barry has the tools to destroy heavyweight’s lower limbs. He has had some problems though such as broken hands.
I want Pat Barry to win, so I’ll say it. He is favored, if this line goes to even I like it better.
Lightweight bout: Cole Miller vs Matt Wiman
If Wiman doesn’t catch Miller’s chin, then Wiman is not likely taking a decision in this imo. I lean toward Miller winning. Close fight though.
Preliminary card (Facebook.com live stream)
Lightweight bout: Cody McKenzie vs Yves Edwards
Cody McKenzie is like the early Matt Hughes of 2011. A one trick pony, but he does it REALLY well. McKenzie has won his last 10 fights via his modified guillotine choke; not including the fights he won on TUF show.
Yves however is a extremely grizzled veteran and a master of jiu-jitsu. I’m going to guess, that Yves will win this fight. If by some miracle Cody submits Edwards with his guillotine again, I will be utterly blown away. However, I would take Cody here if the odds were right.
Welterweight bout: DaMarques Johnson vs Mike Guymon
I want Guymon to win.
Preliminary card
Featherweight bout: Mike Brown vs Rani Yahya
If you never have seen Yahya his fighting style is best described as Monkey. He will crawl on the guy and you cannot shake him off. However, Brown brings good jiujitsu skills himself with excellent boxing. Something Yahya lacks bigtime. Yahya doesn’t have a standup attack other than smother.
No picks for the fights below