UFC on Fox 9: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 Main Card Betting Odds and Predictions

It appears the UFC’s network television broadcasts on Fox have been designated as the official home of  the flyweight championship.
Oh. Excuse me. You probably aren’t familiar with the term “flyweight,” since not a shred of Fox’s marketing efforts…

It appears the UFC’s network television broadcasts on Fox have been designated as the official home of  the flyweight championship.

Oh. Excuse me. You probably aren’t familiar with the term “flyweight,” since not a shred of Fox’s marketing efforts towards Saturday night’s sublime tilt between Demetrious Johnson and Joseph Benavidez even mentions their own 125-pound championship belt. No kidding. You’ve seen the television commercials (likely 150 times or more), so you know that there’s nary a mention of the word flyweight. Johnson is simply the “world champion,” and viewers are left to wonder if perhaps Johnson is the heavyweight champion.

And I blame this entirely on Fox, by the way, because the UFC has zero trouble promoting the flyweight championship. Back before Jon Jones canceled Christmas and UFC 151 in one fell swoop, the original fight between Benavidez and Johnson was scheduled to headline UFC 152. It was to determine the first flyweight title, and the UFC had no problems billing it as such. But then Jones McGrinch canceled Christmas and his main event was moved to UFC 152, and the lighter-weight guys were moved a notch down the card.

Still, this is the third consecutive appearance on Fox for Johnson after defenses against John Dodson and John Moraga. Perhaps someday he’ll graduate back to pay-per-view. 

Or perhaps not, because he’s facing the toughest test he can possibly face in the flyweight division. 

As we tend to do during fight weeks, it’s time to take a look below the surface level for each of our four main card fights at UFC on Fox 9. This one is aimed at the degenerate gambler among you, but a word of warning: If the public odds (when translated to percentages) closely hew with my own, I tend to recommend that you stay away. 

This will not please those of you who want to throw your money down on every fight, but it’s the smart way to do the whole sports betting thing. If you don’t care about being smart and just enjoy the thrill of putting your hard-earned money on the line, you can either go with my winner picks or take a look at my new “Just For Fun (And Five Dollars) Parlay” on the final slide. 

Let’s get started.

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UFC on Fox 9: Johnson vs. Benavidez Live Streaming Weigh-in Video

At UFC on Fox 9, Demetrious Johnson will attempt to earn a third straight title defense on network television.
Having prevented John Dodson and John Moraga from stealing his strap, “Mighty Mouse” will now rematch Joseph Benavidez, whom he defeated…

At UFC on Fox 9, Demetrious Johnson will attempt to earn a third straight title defense on network television.

Having prevented John Dodson and John Moraga from stealing his strap, “Mighty Mouse” will now rematch Joseph Benavidez, whom he defeated in the inaugural flyweight championship matchup. Since losing to Johnson by split decision in their original meeting, Benavidez has picked up three straight victories.

In addition to the 125-pound main event, UFC on Fox 9 will feature a potential bantamweight title shot eliminator between Urijah Faber and Michael McDonald. Both men have had fairly recent shots at the 135-pound championship, but they have established themselves as the best in the division behind Dominick Cruz and interim champion Renan Barao.

The UFC on Fox 9 weigh-ins will be held Friday at 7 p.m. EST. At that time, live streaming video will be available on the above video player.

Below is the entire fight card for UFC on Fox 9, which will be hosted by Sacramento, Calif.

 

UFC on Fox 9 Main Card (8 p.m. ET on Fox)

  • Demetrious Johnson vs. Joseph Benavidez
  • Urijah Faber vs. Michael McDonald
  • Chad Mendes vs. Nik Lentz
  • Joe Lauzon vs. Mac Danzig

 

UFC on Fox 9 Prelims (5 p.m ET on Fox Sports 1)

  • Court McGee vs. Ryan LaFlare
  • Danny Castillo vs. Edson Barboza
  • Bobby Green vs. Pat Healy
  • Scott Jorgensen vs. Zach Makovsky
  • Sam Stout vs. Cody McKenzie
  • Abel Trujillo vs. Roger Bowling

 

UFC on Fox 9 Online Prelims (4:30 p.m ET on UFC.com)

  • Darren Uyenoyama vs. Alptekin Ozkilic

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UFC on Fox 9 Bold Predictions: Insiders on Ratings, Benavidez and More

The week prior to a UFC fight card is a magical time. The fighters, like flyweight champion Demetrious Johnson and his challenger Joseph Benavidez, prepare for two battles—one with the scale and the other with their opponent.
Fox’s production tea…

The week prior to a UFC fight card is a magical time. The fighters, like flyweight champion Demetrious Johnson and his challenger Joseph Benavidez, prepare for two battles—one with the scale and the other with their opponent.

Fox’s production team scurries to prepare for a fight of its own, one against chance and complacency, in pursuit of the perfect broadcast. 

On the internet, MMA journalists compete to see who can score the biggest interviews or provide the hottest take. Here at Bleacher Report, not only do we have the main eventers in the bag, but we’ve also got the most sizzling takes—and are willing to provide them on demand.

Even better?

Lead writers Chad Dundas and Jonathan Snowden go back and forth on the issues of the day, providing two takes for the price of one. And, if you disagree with one or both, you can always chime in and join the conversation. 

Who do you have in the main event? How will this card perform in the ratings? We know we aren’t the only ones with strong opinions. Let us know what you think in the comments below.

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Can You Kick a Flyweight’s Butt? UFC’s Top Little Guys on Their Biggest Battle

It’s hard for UFC flyweight champion Demetrious Johnson to stand out in a crowd. Challenger Joseph Benavidez, who will look to take Johnson’s title belt Saturday on Fox, has the same problem. Standing just a shade over 5 feet tall and weighing a m…

It’s hard for UFC flyweight champion Demetrious Johnson to stand out in a crowd. Challenger Joseph Benavidez, who will look to take Johnson’s title belt Saturday on Fox, has the same problem. Standing just a shade over 5 feet tall and weighing a mere 125 pounds, both are smaller than not just the average American man but the average woman, too.

Getting lost in the shuffle isn’t just a possibility. It’s a fact. The box office tells us so, and money, some say, never lies.

But why? Benavidez took a shot at answering what, for a pro fighter, can literally be a million-dollar question. Why haven’t UFC fans embraced smaller fighters, rewarding technique and style over brawn and brawling?

“The only issue is the names, the recognition and the popularity,” Benavidez said. “Because the division’s so new. There’s no lack of skill in the division at all. Our guys are just as good as any other division, they just aren’t as known. They haven’t been on TV as much. But there’s amazing talent at flyweight. It’s just time with these things, man.”

But is it?

That’s the question that lingers. Putting a finger on why smaller fighters—not just flyweights but bantamweights and featherweights as wellhave failed to thrive is hard, especially because custom and courtesy demand delicate words. It takes an amazingly dumb comment to get right to the heart of the matter, one conveniently provided courtesy of a friend’s friend.

“Forget it,” he said, making plans for Saturday night that didn’t include the UFC. “I’m not watching guys who weigh less than my 13-year-old sister.”

Disrespectful? Of course. Backwards? Maybe.

But like many questionable statements, there’s an essential element of truth too, a boiling down of flowery words and deeds to the essential elements. As anyone who has ever watched a UFC show at a sports bar can tell you, some MMA fans divide the world into two distinct categories—people they can beat up and people they can’t. And, believe it or not, they view professional fighters on the same spectrum.

When they judge Benavidez and Johnson, they find them wanting because of their size.

It’s a ridiculous conundrum for these professional athletes who have raised cage fighting to an art form. But it’s a real problem nonetheless, one I wanted to get their thoughts on. Were the two best flyweights in the world aware they had been dismissed by a collection of men with TapouT T-shirts barely covering their ample midsection? And, if so, did it bother them? 

“If some guy on the couch who’s twice as big as me thinks he could beat my butt, it doesn’t bother me,” Johnson said, though his words and tone suggested otherwise. “That’s fine. We can sign a waiver and make it totally legit. We can make it no rules or rules and figure it out. But I’m not out there to walk into Buffalo Wild Wings and let everybody know that I’m here and can kick everybody’s ass just because I’m flyweight champion. I try not to think like that.”

As anybody who has had the chance to work out with high-level flyweights can tell you, looks can be deceiving. Up close, Benavidez has legs like tree trunks, and when he gets top position on the ground, his 125 pounds can seem like an awfully heavy burden.

For a person with his level of skill, size just doesn’t matter. It would take a forklift to get him off. But not every fan is going to have the chance to put a UFC star to the test physically. Fans have to believe, in their hearts, that the toughest 125-pound fighter in the world could whoop them.  

“When they’re watching a heavyweight, they absolutely know that guy would kill them. You know a heavyweight can beat you up,” Benavidez said. “But I think people think when they’re bigger than you, ‘Oh, I would beat him up.’ In the back of their mind they, think maybe they could take us. They don’t realize we beat up bigger people all the time in practice. How do they think we become so technical and tough?”

Beyond the meathead demographic, flyweight fights impose a burden even on fans who want to give them a chance. Watching Benavidez and Johnson fight can be demanding. You’re forced to pay attention to carefully watch the subtleties that not every fan can appreciate.

Because the fights are more likely to go to a decision as fighters get smaller, a flyweight bout at a high level is often going to require 25 minutes of a fan’s undivided attention. In the age of iPhones, that’s a lot to ask. Things are moving quickly—often faster than the naked eye can follow.

“That’s how I’ve always trained. To always anticipate what an opponent’s going to be doing and to anticipate the body’s natural reaction. When people talk about me taking angles, changing elevation and doing all this other stuff? I don’t even realize I’m doing that. To me, it’s just my fighting style,” Johnson said, crediting coach Matt Hume. “When I spar him, something is always happening. Even when it seems like nothing is happening, he’s setting up his next move.”

Even the fighters can’t always keep up with the action, relying on instinct and rhythms carefully honed in training. Sometimes it’s action, sometimes reaction. For them, 25 minutes, when moving so quickly, can pass in the blink of an eye.

“When there’s a little bit of a lull in the action, you can analyze what’s going on,” Benavidez said. “You can think of a combo or a takedown you’re going to go for. When you get in an isolated position like a clinch, you can take a second to think.

“Other times? When they hit you or they shoot on you? After that, it’s pretty much instinct and everything you’ve trained. Sometimes things go so fast it’s just second nature. Especially in these fights. That was one fight where I looked back and think, ‘What the heck happened?'” 

In their first fight, the two went back and forth at speeds impossible to follow with the human eye. Watching a fight like this closely, one with so much happening every few seconds, can be mentally exhausting for a fan unaccustomed to this style. The champion agrees that much of what happens in the cage may not come across to fan’s more comfortable with a Mark Hunt slobber-knocker.

I think a lot of people can get discouraged watching us because they don’t understand. People get lost in what’s actually going on,” Johnson said. “A lot of the skill sets flyweights bring to the UFC can be lost in translation. Everyone is so evenly matched and we have a lot of skills that heavyweights or light heavyweights don’t get to use. There’s a lot more moving around, cardio and constant motion.”  

The UFC doesn’t seem convinced fans are ready to support the little guy. In its ads for the show, the promotion never mentions the weight class at all, simply stating the two will fight for the “world championship.”

It’s as if the UFC is trying to keep the fact that these guys only weigh 125 pounds a secret. Like Dana White knows if he broadcasts it, people won’t watch.

Benavidez, for his part, doesn’t think much is likely to change. Either fans will get it, or they won’t. The sport, in the meantime, will continue to grow, with techniques and strategies implemented first by the little guys eventually finding their way to the big guys.

As fighters have gotten better and the sport has evolved, finishing rates have gone consistently down. You can’t be a fan of either technique or bludgeoning—increasingly, technique is winning that battle in the Octagon.

You’re on board, or you’re not.

“It’s always going to be the most technical division because everyone’s smaller,” Benavidez said. “If you don’t understand the sport, what can we do? You don’t understand the sport. Everyone can understand two guys standing there and throwing one punch at each other. But not every fan is going to understand the footwork and the movement and the combos and the scrambles. Even the takedowns and the ground work aren’t understood by most fans, in any division.

“They can’t necessarily see and appreciate everything that’s going on. But as the UFC becomes more popular, people are starting to understand more. And as that happens, they’re also going to appreciate the division more.”

For fans already drinking the flyweight Kool-Aid, the rematch between Benavidez and Johnson has long been circled on calendars. Much has changed in the two years since the first fight, Benavidez believes in his favor. 

“It’s a different fight. Watch my last two fights. I’m a different fighter,” Benavidez said. “It’s easy to say ‘I’ve been working hard.’ But what are you doing differently? We actually flipped our system upside down. It’s not every day that somebody gets a whole new coach and 180-degree flip and revamp of their system like we have at Team Alpha Male. And I think you can tell and you’ve seen the improvements in the fights. It’s been an amazing year for the team. The fact that it’s all coming to a head, a culmination, here in Sacramento, it’s just the way it’s supposed to be, man.”

Johnson, of course, doesn’t intend to give Benavidez his storybook ending. All he’ll say is that the first fight, a split decision in his favor, makes it easier to step into the cage with Benavidez again.

Benavidez welcomes the challenge.

“The great thing about this sport is that you have to prove it,” he said. “There’s no lying out there. You can’t hide from anything. It’s all truth in there. I don’t just get to say I’ve gotten better. You get to prove you’ve gotten better and test yourself. He’s the best guy in the world. I think I’m better. It’s awesome because I get to prove it.”

 

Joseph Benavidez challenges Demetrious Johnson for the UFC’s flyweight title Saturday on Fox in his adopted hometown of Sacramento. Jonathan Snowden is Bleacher Report’s lead combat sports writer. Unless otherwise noted, all quotes were acquired firsthand. 

Read more MMA news on BleacherReport.com

UFC on Fox: 5 Reasons to Watch on Saturday Night

The UFC returns to the Fox airwaves Saturday night, offering its ninth show on the big network. The flyweight title will be on the line as Demetrious Johnson defends against Joseph Benavidez for the second time in a little over a year, and Urijah Faber…

The UFC returns to the Fox airwaves Saturday night, offering its ninth show on the big network. The flyweight title will be on the line as Demetrious Johnson defends against Joseph Benavidez for the second time in a little over a year, and Urijah Faber will slug it out with Michael McDonald in the co-main event.

With that in mind, here are five reasons to tune in for a little pre-holiday mayhem this weekend.

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UFC on Fox 9: Demetrious Johnson vs. Joseph Benavidez Head-to-Toe Breakdown

Only two successful title defenses into his championship reign, UFC flyweight titleholder Demetrious Johnson is already looking at a rematch with Joseph Benavidez, whom he defeated to become the first 125-pound king.
Since beating Benavidez in a close …

Only two successful title defenses into his championship reign, UFC flyweight titleholder Demetrious Johnson is already looking at a rematch with Joseph Benavidez, whom he defeated to become the first 125-pound king.

Since beating Benavidez in a close decision in September 2012, Johnson has held onto his strap by beating John Dodson and John Moraga. Currently sitting at No. 7 in the UFC pound-for-pound rankings, Johnson will try to close in on the Top Five by beating Benavidez again at UFC on Fox 9 on Saturday.

If he’d campaigned hard enough, Benavidez might have convinced the UFC to give him this rematch much earlier. However, he wanted to be sure he’d made the improvements necessary to beat Johnson before a second meeting with the champion.

With wins over Ian McCall, Darren Uyenoyama and Jussier Formiga since his loss to Johnson, Benavidez has more than earned another shot at a UFC championship.

As Johnson and Benavidez get set to meet again, here is a closer look at how the elite flyweights match up in all areas.

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