Tag: MMA Betting Picks

Demetrious Johnson vs. John Dodson

Awesome fight. The joke is people refer to this as the kids division. So much speed and agility going on at this weight class its amazing. I’ve got Dodson in the underdog position here. Mainly due to the ability to KO people in this division, while Mighty Mouse is more of that take it to the 5th round fighter. Its very difficult to finish guys in this division compared to other divisions, so expect this to go into deep rounds, but Dodson has that KO power in his back pocket so I think its a good bet here.

Quinton “Rampage” Jackson vs. Glover Teixeira

Teixeira is a favorite in this fight. Jackson has been getting discounted the last few fights, but the spread tends to tighten up closer to fight time due to Rampage fans dropping money on him. I think Rampage has a shot here as Teixeira hasn’t fought someone of Rampage’s caliber. The problem has been Quinton’s cardio has been garbage for I don’t know how long and Glover looked fantastic against Teixeira. If Moldanado’s punches were Rampage’s there is a good chance Glover would have been KO’d in this fight. As Fabio is technically a weight class lower and should be there instead.

Anthony Pettis vs. Donald Cerrone

This is going to be a good fight, both fighters will put a pounding on each other. Pettis is more dynamic, faster, but smaller than Cerrone. Cerrone takes hits while Pettis will avoid when needbe.

Pettis is slight favorite here, I think thats fair. This one goes to decision in Pettis favor.

Erik Koch vs. Ricardo Lamas

T.J. Grant vs. Matt Wiman

TJ Grant is probably a little more grindier (sic) while Wiman is more active. I’m leaning towards Grant here.

Clay Guida vs. Hatsu Hioki

Guida.

Ryan Bader vs. Vladimir Matyushenko

Bader is a heavy favorite, I wouldn’t take Bader in a bet here, due to the risk, but he will probably win. If I was going to place, it would be with Vlady.

David Mitchell vs. Simeon Thoresen

None.

Mike Russow vs. Shawn Jordan

Mike Russow is going to win this. Old vs new, but I got the old guy. Some might play Jordan here in the underdog position, but I still like Russow to win this.

Pascal Krauss vs. Mike Stumpf

None.

Rafael Natal vs. Sean Spencer

None.

Junior dos Santos vs Cain Velasquez

In the first fight Cain was injured and do Santos just threw one overhand right that ko’d Cain. Cain is going to want to take this fight to the ground and do his ground work which includes great top control and GnP. Dos Santos will keep the fight standing and use his reach and power to hurt Cain. Junior has proven to be incredible tough to take down. He has rarely been on his back. Roy Nelson couldn’t do it, but Cain is on another level in the takedown department. However, I think Dos Santos power will be too much again and win the fight.

Jim Miller vs Joe Lauzon

The jits of Lauzon will be neutralized by Miller’s experience. On the feet Miller is better and has way more output. Lauzon is more powerful for sure.

Tim Boetsch vs Constantinos Philippou

Phillippou will win, because Boetsch doesn’t protect his chin enough. Expect a teeping good time though from Boetsch.

Yushin Okami vs Alan Belcher

Okami is bigger, Belcher is craftier. I think Okami is going to get his decision win.

Chris Leben vs Derek Brunson

Leben just cause.

Brad Pickett vs Eddie Wineland

Might be FON. Pickett is back.

Erik Perez vs Byron Bloodworth

Perez

Melvin Guillard vs Jamie Varner

Guillard. He is now too well rounded and too powerful for Varner imo. The issue will be the wrestling of Varner and if he can keep Melvin on the mat.

Michael Johnson vs Myles Jury

Going with Jury here.

Todd Duffee vs Philip De Fries

Duffee – he’s back.

John Moraga vs Chris Cariaso

Max Holloway vs Leonard Garcia

Anderson Silva vs Stephan Bonnar

Ah shit you know who I’m picking don’t you? Stephan Bonnar. He wants to be remembered as the fighter who beat Anderson not the guy who lost to Forrest. At +800 its too juicy.

Glover Teixeira vs Fabio Maldonado

This is going to be FOTN. Both these fighters have such high talent in their boxing. Glover is a beast and I don’t see who can beat him right now, but Maldonado is pretty awesome fighter as well. Less the power puncher than Glover, but still. Underdogs in these type of fights are good plays.

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira vs Dave Herman

Big Nog is old at this point and is very battered. Herman who imo has a lot of potential, but has looked out of shape in a few of his last fights. I know he is going to breakout and the UFC have given him a huge name to go against. However, this is more for Big Nog in his hometown than it is for Herman to win. I’m leaning towards Big Nogueira winning this fight. Herman presents no danger on the ground and only in the standup. Nog has better cardio, and his boxing is on par with Hermans. If this gets past the 1st round then Nog’s odds go up as favorite to win.

Jon Fitch vs Erick Silva

Such an interesting fight. Will Fitch’ grinding wrestling tight to the body style neutralize Erick Silva’s dynamite power and speed? I think it might. Fitch if he gets a hold of Silva could potentially take him down and grind out a win or possibly even submit. I like Fitch here as a deserved underdog.

Phil Davis vs Wagner Prado

Phil Davis

Demian Maia vs Rick Story

This fight slight favorite toward Maia and I think that is about right. With story’s wrestling essentially nulled by way of not wanting to go to the ground with Maia, that leaves each fighter’s standup game. Maia’s isn’t bad anymore. Story’s is ok too. Advantage Maia. I think he will win. This will be a huge feather in Story’s cap if he can win.

Rony Mariano Bezerra vs Sam Sicilia

Fun, but pass.

Gleison Tibau vs Francisco Trinaldo

Pass

Diego Brandao vs Joey Gambino

Pass

Sergio Moraes vs Renee Forte

Pass

Luiz Cane vs Chris Camozzi

Luiz Cane

Reza Madadi vs Cristiano Marcello

Pass

Travis Browne vs Antonio Silva

Browne is a KO monster and Silva kinda does his thing sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn’t. Fedor being one of the times it works. For some reason I’m feeling the upset here with Silva winning. I think there is a chance that Browne gets tired and Silva takes over. The guy can take a beating and Browne hasn’t been in a war yet.

Jussier da Silva vs John Dodson

Dodson, nobody can beat him. The guy he is facing is a straight up submission fighter. Dodson is a slippery worm and won’t get caught in a choke. Aside from that Dodson is an excellent striker with incredible agility. He could secretly be a member of the X-men.

Josh Neer vs Justin Edwards

Neer. The aggressor and now Stockton trained will win.

Jeremy Stephens vs Yves Edwards

Stephens has gotten really good at dealing with the ground guys. Yves is good everywhere. Edwards is likely going to dance a lot and not play into Stephens game. Looking for a decision in this one. Stephens is favored, and I’m ok with it, but not big.

Danny Castillo vs Michael Johnson

Have to go with Johnson here. He’s shown up lately. These two fighters are very inconsistent with their performances, but Johnson is the more relentless of the two and the much better takedown artist.

Thiago Tavares vs Dennis Hallman

Tavares. This will be a test of ground games. Tavares is quite good as is Hallman in their respective grappling disciplines. In fact the ground game is everything to Hallman and Tavares is very good there. Hallman hasn’t fought a guy with this much ground talent in awhile. I think Tavares will be able to fend off the RNC and win a decision.

Jacob Volkmann vs Shane Roller

Roller is the better puncher. I lean that way here. Although I tend to like betting with Volkmann, Roller I think is equal in the wrestling or better, has better improved striking, and better ground game. Volkmann is more relentless and probably better conditioning. I like Roller as an underdog.

Diego Nunes vs Bart Palaszewski

Nunes will do enough to not get hit, take Bart down and grind a deece out.

Darren Uyenoyama vs Phil Harris

Pass

Carlo Prater vs Marcus LeVesseur

Pass

Mike Pierce vs Aaron Simpson

Awesome fight. Could be FOTN. I lean towards Mike Pierce here as he is more conditioned, younger, and crisper. Where Simpson will walk into damage willfully get tired, but have enough energy to not get taken down as much as he should be.