UFC 173 Results: TJ Dillashaw Knocks Out Renan Barao in Masterful Performance, Daniel Cormier Puts Dan Henderson to Sleep


(Not bad, but it doesn’t quite stack up to the original. / Props: MMAFighting)

I’ll start with the good news: Tonight’s UFC 173: Barao vs. Dillashaw pay-per-view features two of the UFC’s greatest talents — bantamweight champion Renan Barao and undefeated light-heavyweight contender Daniel Cormier — and seeing those guys in action might be worth the PPV cost in itself. True, Barao and Cormier are both competing in lopsided odds-mismatches that are bordering on indefensible, but why focus on the negative?

In addition to “The Baron” defending his 135-pound title against Team Alpha Male standout TJ Dillashaw, and Cormier looking to earn a title shot with a win over legendary slugger Dan Henderson, tonight’s card will feature a high-level welterweight bout between Robbie Lawler and Jake Ellenberger (who are both coming off losses). Plus, Takeya “Teriyaki” Mizugaki and Francisco Rivera will attempt to build on their win streaks in the bantamweight division, and Jamie Varner kicks off the broadcast against fellow fan-friendly lightweight James Krause.

BG will be sticking round-by-round updates from the UFC 173 main card after the jump beginning at 10 p.m. ET / 7 p.m. PT. Refresh the page every few minutes for the latest updates, and follow us on twitter for extra analysis and yuk-yuks. Thanks for coming.


(Not bad, but it doesn’t quite stack up to the original. / Props: MMAFighting)

I’ll start with the good news: Tonight’s UFC 173: Barao vs. Dillashaw pay-per-view features two of the UFC’s greatest talents — bantamweight champion Renan Barao and undefeated light-heavyweight contender Daniel Cormier — and seeing those guys in action might be worth the PPV cost in itself. True, Barao and Cormier are both competing in lopsided odds-mismatches that are bordering on indefensible, but why focus on the negative?

In addition to “The Baron” defending his 135-pound title against Team Alpha Male standout TJ Dillashaw, and Cormier looking to earn a title shot with a win over legendary slugger Dan Henderson, tonight’s card will feature a high-level welterweight bout between Robbie Lawler and Jake Ellenberger (who are both coming off losses). Plus, Takeya “Teriyaki” Mizugaki and Francisco Rivera will attempt to build on their win streaks in the bantamweight division, and Jamie Varner kicks off the broadcast against fellow fan-friendly lightweight James Krause.

BG will be sticking round-by-round updates from the UFC 173 main card after the jump beginning at 10 p.m. ET / 7 p.m. PT. Refresh the page every few minutes for the latest updates, and follow us on twitter for extra analysis and yuk-yuks. Thanks for coming.

UFC 173 preliminary card results
– Michael Chiesa def. Francisco Trinaldo via unanimous decision (30-26 x 2, 30-27)
– Tony Ferguson def. Katsunori Kikuno via TKO, 4:06 of round 1
– Chris Holdsworth def. Chico Camus via unanimous decision (30-27 x 3)
– Mitch Clarke def Al Iaquinta via technical submission (D’arce choke), 0:57 of round 2
– Vinc Pichel def. Anthony Njokuani via unanimous decision (30-27 x 2, 29-28)
– Sam Sicilia def. Aaron Phillips via unanimous decision (29-28 x 2, 30-27)
– Li Jingliang def. David Michaud via split-decision (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

Joe Rogan throws his jacket on, signaling the transition from free prelims to fancy pay-per-view broadcast. Wait, did he just call Fedor Emelianenko “the greatest heavyweight ever” during a discussion about Dan Henderson? Does the UFC dock him 20% of his purse for that?

Jamie Varner vs. James Krause

Krause is a full six inches taller than Varner, and has a 3.5″ reach advantage. Varner is showing off his new hipster haircut tonight.

Round 1: Varner jabbing to Krause’s body. Krause using his long legs to tag Varner low. Krause lands a front kick to the face, followed by a pair of sharp punches. Varner falls to the mat after another striking exchange; there might be something wrong with his ankle, which appears swollen. He manages to get to his feet, and bounces around. Varner shoots in for a takedown and gets it, but Krause reverses him and gets on top. Now Varner reverses and lands shots from the top. He tries to take Krause’s back but Krause gets up and out. Krause kicks at Varner’s damaged ankle. He lands again and Varner drops to the mat and turtles. Krause lets him up and continues to attack the leg. Varner keeps swinging; gotta respect the heart of Varner. One more shot and Varner hits the mat again. Krause dives on as the round ends.

And it’s all over. Varner tells his corner that his ankle is broken and they call it off. The replays show that yep, Varner rolled his ankle in multiple disgusting ways. If I find a GIF of it, I’ll pass it along.

James Krause def. Jamie Varner via TKO (injury), 5:00 of round 1.

Takeya Mizugaki vs. Francisco Rivera

Round 1: Rivera lands a hard left hook right away. Then a straight right that lands. Rivera slipping punches well and returning fire. Both guys trading heavy shots. Mizugaki rocks Rivera during a striking exchange and Rivera falls to the mat. Mizugaki jumps on and tried to finish but Rivera keeps his wits about him and controls Mizugaki’s body, slowing his attack. Rivera gets to his feet and ends up with his back against the fence. Mizugaki with a knee to the body. Rivera trips Mizugaki to the mat. Mizugaki pops up and they separate. They clinch and move to the fence. Rivera with some knees in close, and a takedown, but Mizugaki escapes and swings wildly at Rivera as the round ends.

Round 2: Rivera opens with a leg kick. Rivera lands a question-mark kick upside Mizugaki’s head. Mizugaki shoots for a takedown and Rivera grabs a guillotine and drops to the mat. Mizugaki waits it out and escapes. Mizugaki lands a big punch from the top, as Rivera is stuck sitting against the fence. Another punch from Mizugaki, who then transitions to Rivera’s back. Mizugaki looking for the rear-naked, but isn’t working too hard for it. Mizugaki softening Rivera up with short punches to the body and head. The round ends.

Round 3: Body kick Rivera. Both guys land in boxing exchanges. Mizugaki doing well with counter punches. Mizugaki floors Rivera with a straight right as Rivera throws a kick, and Mizugaki gets on top. Mizugaki throwing some punches here and there; Rivera seems content to play defense. Joe Rogan wonders if Rivera came into the fight sick or injured; that’s how unimpressive he’s looking. The ref stands ‘em. Both guys swinging for the fences. Rivera eats a hard one. Last 30 seconds. Lots of haymakers, none landing cleanly. Both guys whip their arms around at the air until the last horn ends.

Takeya Mizugaki def. Francisco Rivera via unanimous decision (29-28, 30-27 x 2)

Robbie Lawler vs. Jake Ellenberger

Ellenberger comes out to Coolio’s “Gangster’s Paradise.” (Seriously.) Robbie comes out to Weird Al’s “Amish Paradise.” Just kidding, but damn, that would be epic.

Round 1: Lawler lands a hard left head kick to start the fight…and another. Then one to the body. Another high kick. Ellenberger chases and Lawler sticks a left hand while retreating. Lawler throws the high kick again. Lawler lands a knee to the body. Ellenberger whiffs an uppercuts. He comes in with a hook, Lawler fires a high kick. Lawler lands some hard punches as Ellenberger moves in. Body shot from Ellenberger, Lawler fires the high kick, and one more at the horn. 10-9 Robbie.

Round 2: Ellenberger comes in and swings a big right hand, Lawler throws a kick, lands some punches. Lawler with a nice knee against the fence. Lawler stalking forward and stinging Ellenberger with punches. Ellenberger shoots in, grabs Lawler around the waist, and half-lands a head kick as Lawler shakes out. Lawler with a straight left. And another. Lawler battering Ellenberger with power punches. Ellenberger shoots and manages to get a takedown. Lawler smiles and reverses the position, just like that. Lawler firing punches at Ellenberger’s head. Lalwer lands a knee to Ellenberger’s face as Jake gets up. Ellenberger scores another takedown and fires down an elbow, but Lawler easily kicks out and gets up. Front kick and punches from Lawler. They clinch on the fence and the round ends. 10-9 Lawler again.

Round 3: Lawler with a perfectly timed knee as Ellenberger comes in. But then Ellenberger storms forward with a series of power punches that have Lawler on his heels. Lawler scores with a knee and a sharp jab that snaps Ellenberger’s head back. Ellenberger is nursing his right hand, which might have been injured during his barrage of punches. Ellenberger with a body kick. Lawler sticks the jab. Sharp 1-2 from Lawler. Another punch and Ellenberger winces, squints. He might have taken a shot straight to the eye. Lawler blasts in with a knee to Ellenberger’s face, hitting him in the same damn eye, and Ellenberger crumples to the mat. He’s done. Lawler fires punches down until the ref jumps in.

Robbie Lawler def. Jake Ellenberger via TKO, 3:06 of round 3

Dan Henderson vs. Daniel Cormier

Cormier runs out to the cage. He wants this bad.

Round 1: Cormier opens with a left high kick. Hendo returns one to Cormier’s leg. Hendo misses on an overhand right, Cormier grabs him and rag-dolls him to the mat. I mean, it’s scary how easy that was for him. Hendo working on a weird crucifix from the bottom, but DC pulls out of it. Cormier in side control, dropping shots to Henderson’s body. Cormier tries to work to mount, but Henderson defends. He tries again and gets it for a second, but Henderson shrimps out and establishes guard. Henderson tries to kick Cormier off, Cormier dives back on, smothering Henderson on the mat. Henderson looks for a leg lock before escaping. They’re back on their feet. Cormier with a front kick. Henderson almost trips Cormier to the mat. They clinch near the fence and the round ends. 10-9 Cormier.

Round 2: Henderson jabbing, trying to set up that power right hand. He throws it, but doesn’t land. He shoots in, Cormier defends and gets on top. Cormier in side control. He transitions to back mount, Henderson scrambles away. Cormier stays on him, throwing punches to the body, elbows to Hendo’s head. Cormier roughing Hendo up, but not coming close to a stoppage yet. Henderson covering up as Cornier continues to slug him in the head. Cormier with an elbow to the ribs. Cormier beating Hendo up from every position on the ground. He holds on until the horn. The crowd boos it.

Round 3: Cormier throwing out kicks high and low, then basically throws Henderson over his head like a goddamned pro wrestler (GIF PLEASE), and kicks out Hendo’s feet when he tries to get up. Cormier back on top, scoring points with his ground and pound…but not putting Henderson away, and getting booed as a result. Cormier gets bored beating Hendo against the fence, so he pulls him away from the fence and continues to beat him. Cormier sinks his hooks for a rear-naked choke attempt, and puts Henderson face down on the mat. Cormier squeezes, and Henderson goes out before he can tap. My goodness.

Daniel Cormier def. Dan Henderson via submission (rear-naked choke), 3:53 of round 3

Cormier grabs the stick during the post-fight interview and calls out light-heavyweight champion Jon Jones, telling the champ he can’t hide from him. (“Hurry up, because I’m getting better.”) Cormier vows to take Jones down over and over again. I’d watch that. Henderson says he might compete at middleweight going forward, which isn’t a bad idea. Retiring wouldn’t be a bad idea either, but I doubt that’s in the cards.

Renan Barao vs. TJ Dillashaw

Dillashaw is a “monkey style fighter,” I guess. Neither fighter has been taken down in their UFC careers.

Round 1: Dillashaw bouncing around in Dominick Cruz-esque fashion. He lands a quick low kick, and a nice counter punch as Barao advances. Dillashaw with a head kick. Barao returns a body kick. Low kick from Dillashaw, and a big uppercut. Dillashaw tags Barao with a left hand as Barao was loading up for a kick. Barao tries a spinning kick and lands hard with a right hand. Nice switch low kick from Dillashaw. Dillashaw ducks under a Barao punch and scores with a pair of punches. Inside leg kick Dillashaw. Barao lands an outside leg kick. Dillashaw lands a punch that FLOORS Barao. Dillashaw swarms and Barao threatens with a leg lock, but Dillashaw shakes out and jumps on Barao’s back, looking for a neck crank. Barao escapes and Dillashaw fires a head kick as the round ends. Wow. That was a 10-9 for Dillashaw (!?), close to a 10-8.

Round 2: Barao keeping Dillashaw at bay with front kicks. Barao lands a punch and a knee. Okay, he’s back in the fight. Dillashaw is cut near his right temple. Dillashaw lands a sharp right, and Barao gives two right back. Barao lands a nice counter as Dillashaw charges in. Dillashaw with a leg kick, and a high kick that’s caught. Good punches from Dillashaw. Barao misses a spinning back kick but lands a follow-up right hand. Dillashaw shoots, and almost gets Barao to the mat, but Barao springs up. Barao kicks Dillashaw directly in the cup, and Dillashaw needs a break. He’s back in after a minute. Dillashaw still throwing with speed and power. He drills Barao with a right straight. They trade kicks. Body kick Dillashaw. Inside leg kick Barao. Barao lands a series of head-punches. Dillashaw digs a hook to the body. Dillashaw fires punches to the head and body as the round ends. Another 10-9 for Dilly.

Round 3: Both guys still keeping a crazy fast pace in round three. Dillashaw dodges a front kick and reappears behind Barao to punish him with punches. They trade low kicks. Barao misses a high kick. Dillashaw with a body kick, but eats a counter punch. Dillashaw lands a punch, a head kick, another punch. Barao is getting bombed on. He fires a body kick, not out of it yet. Another body kick. Dillashaw with a switch kick to the leg, and a burst of punches behind it. Great head kick from Dillashaw. Dillashaw might have been kicked in the balls again, but he slaps fists with Barao and continues fighting. Dillashaw unloads on Barao against the fence. Barao looks shaky on his feet. Oddly, Dillashaw decides to clinch instead of firing more punches, and the round expires. 10-9 Dillashaw.

Round 4: Dillashaw goes for a single-leg right off the bat. He lands his reliable left head kick. Dillashaw attacking with punches and lands a hard body kick. Dillashaw with a nasty left hand and another kick. Barao misses a spinning back kick and Dillashaw makes him pay with counter punches. Barao lands a good punch in a striking exchange, but Dillashaw resets and goes back to his domination on the feet. They clinch against the fence. Barao rolls out, but slips during a firefight and Dillashaw gets on top of him. Barao tries to grab a leg when he gets a chance, but no dice. Elbows from the top from Dillashaw. There’s the horn. It’s 4-0 Dillashaw going into round 5. One more, and he’ll earn one of the most unexpected shutouts in UFC history.

Round 5: Both guys jabbing. Hook to the body from Barao, Dillashaw returns a kick to the body. Barao misses his spinning kick again, and Dillashaw pops him. Sharp leg kick from Dillashaw. More Cruz-esque footwork from TJ, and Barao is baffled. Dillashaw dodges a series of punches like a damn white Anderson Silva. He lands a head kick, follows it up with a storm of punches, and Barao is on his back after eating a point-blank left straight. Dillashaw jumps all over Barao, raining down right hands until the ref jumps in. Absolutely crazy. TJ Dillashaw is the new UFC bantamweight champion, and Renan Barao never had a chance.

TJ Dillashaw def. Renan Barao via TKO, 2:26 of round 5

Joe Rogan calls it the greatest performance he’s ever seen. Without a doubt, we just witnessed something special. Did anybody give TJ a chance here? Dillashaw came out of nowhere and became an elite-level world-beater in a single night. Good for him. He believed in himself even if few others did.

UFC 173: Barao vs. Dillashaw Round-by-Round Recap and Analysis

TJ Dillashaw entered as a big underdog at UFC 173, and he proved all his doubters wrong.
For four-plus rounds Dillashaw dominated Renan Barao en route to becoming the UFC bantamweight champion.
Dillashaw utilized speed, footwork, head movement and an u…

TJ Dillashaw entered as a big underdog at UFC 173, and he proved all his doubters wrong.

For four-plus rounds Dillashaw dominated Renan Barao en route to becoming the UFC bantamweight champion.

Dillashaw utilized speed, footwork, head movement and an unrelenting pace to outclass the champion in each round. Barao had no answer. It was an excellent performance that earns Team Alpha Male a UFC championship.

Bleacher Report had complete coverage of each round. Check out what got Dillashaw his UFC title belt.

Begin Slideshow

Barao vs. Dillashaw: Examining Each Fighter’s Path to Winning UFC 173 Main Event

Renan Barao will put his bantamweight title and historic winning streak on the line Saturday night at UFC 173, giving challenger T.J. Dillashaw a chance to stun the world in Las Vegas.
Entering Saturday’s main event, Barao has won 22 consecutive MMA fi…

Renan Barao will put his bantamweight title and historic winning streak on the line Saturday night at UFC 173, giving challenger T.J. Dillashaw a chance to stun the world in Las Vegas.

Entering Saturday’s main event, Barao has won 22 consecutive MMA fights with three successful title defenses.

Dillashaw is no slouch either, having won five of his last six bouts, with the one loss to Raphael Assuncao coming in controversial fashion. The 28-year-old challenger brings a wrestling background to the table that has been serving him well in MMA. 

According to FightMetric‘s Michael Carroll, this main event represents a first among experienced competitors.

Let’s break down each fighter’s path to victory on Saturday night.

 

UFC 173

When: Saturday, May 24 at 10 p.m. ET

Where: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

TV: Pay-per-view

 

Barao‘s Path to Victory

The champion is good enough that there’s not just one way to retain his title.

Barao is extraordinarily quick, making him one of the division’s premier defenders. He’s also a gifted striker but most notably a takedown artist who can put a fight away.

He provided a premature ending to his last two bouts, ending them with early knockouts. Four of his last nine fights concluded with his opponent tapping out, giving him 14 submission victories in total.

Each fighter excels at takedowns, but Barao offers more versatility in the stand-up game. He can outwork Dillishaw, gradually tiring him out until pouncing with a submission maneuver.

Barao told Bleacher Report’s Duane Finley, through a translator, that the striking game will lead to Dillashaw‘s downfall.

I believe T.J. (Dillashaw) thinks he is a striker now, and he isn’t. I think he will mess up and make mistakes in this fight, and this will present the chance for me to finish him. I’m very calm and ready for this fight, and I believe I will win this fight because I’m the better fighter.

He has the right strategy in mind to win a fight that is his to lose, barring a critical mistake.

 

Dillashaw‘s Path to Victory

For Dillashaw to have any chance of pulling off an upset, he must find a way to take this fight to the ground.

This is easier said than done, as Barao is a well-versed fighter who doesn’t get down. Even on the mat, he’s arguably the toughest 135-pound grappler out there.

Yet takedowns are his area of expertise, as he averages 3.08 takedowns per 15 minutes with 45 percent accuracy. With a 67 striking defense percentage, Barao is extremely difficult to damage.

Barao is too fast on his feet to successfully engage in a striking war. If they trade punches and kicks, the champion will leave with the belt secure around his waist.

Dillashaw must slow the tempo down and find a way to trap his experienced opponent into submission attempts.

On the bright side, Dillashaw can leave everything on the table with nothing to lose. In a UFC preview show, via Sports Illustrated‘s Jeff Wagenheim, he embraced the underdog role.

Barao‘s been the reigning champion. He’s been winning for the last nine years. He’s been on a crazy win streak. And it takes off some pressure for me. I get to let loose and have some fun and prove to the world that I’m a lot better than they think. It’s exciting to be the one that’s gonna shock them, you know? ‘Cause it’s gonna happen.

As a neutral observer, it’s difficult to share Dillashaw‘s confidence. But hey, you never know.

 

Note: All statistics courtesy of FightMetric

Read more MMA news on BleacherReport.com

Renan Barao vs. TJ Dillashaw: What Fight Stats Tell Us About Matchup

Mixed martial arts isn’t the first sport you think of when someone mentions statistics, but the more data that is compiled, the more the numbers have a place in the analysis of the sport.
Like any other sport, the numbers mean nothing without perspecti…

Mixed martial arts isn’t the first sport you think of when someone mentions statistics, but the more data that is compiled, the more the numbers have a place in the analysis of the sport.

Like any other sport, the numbers mean nothing without perspective.

For example, one glance at the statistical comparison between UFC bantamweight champion Renan Barao and TJ Dillashaw can be deceiving.

Dillashaw’s statistics in strikes landed per minute, striking accuracy, takedown average and takedown defense are superior to Barao’s, per FightMetric.com.

Here’s a statistical overview:

Striking (Significant Strikes)

Stats

Barao

Dillashaw

Strikes Landed per Min. (SLpM)

3.70

4.84

Striking Accuracy

36%

49%

Strikes Absorbed per Min. (SApM)

2.33

2.13

Defense

67%

63%

Grappling

Stats

Barao

Dillashaw

Takedowns Average/15 min.

1.59

3.04

Takedown Accuracy

55%

48%

Takedown Defense

95%

100%

Submission Average/15 min.

0.9

2.3

What must be understood is that the two men’s numbers were compiled against a different level of competition.

Dillashaw has built his record by beating the likes of Mike Easton, Hugo Viana, Issei Tamura and Vaughan Lee. Barao has risen to stardom on the strength of two wins over Urijah Faber, stoppages of Eddie Wineland and Michael McDonald and a decision win over Scott Jorgensen.

He also owns a 32-fight win streak.

The numbers don’t completely deceive. Dillashaw is one heck of a striker, but despite the edge in stats, Barao is better in this area. On Saturday, he seems intent on proving it. Barao told Bleacher Report: “I believe T.J. [Dillashaw] thinks he is a striker now, and he isn’t. I think he will mess up and make mistakes in this fight, and this will present the chance for me to finish him. I’m very calm and ready for this fight, and I believe I will win this fight because I’m the better fighter.”

Barao’s striking numbers are somewhat affected by the world-class competition he’s faced but also by the way he fights. He’ll throw a combination that is designed to force his opponent to react in a specific way. The moment the opponent moves to avoid a strike, the next attack is already on its way and potentially more dangerous because of the momentum created from the previous strike attempt.

From a statistical standpoint, that brings percentages down, but it’s proved to be very effective.

Listen to what MMA writers from around the globe are saying about Barao:

Dillashaw is worthy of a shot at a world title. Perhaps only Raphael Assuncao, the man who beat him in October 2013, is more deserving, but that’s another story.

That said, don’t get too preoccupied with the statistical advantages that Dillashaw appears to have over Barao. They won’t prove relevant on Saturday night. The champion is a good bet to retain his title.

 

Follow me. I dig combat sports.

@BMaziqueFPBR

Read more MMA news on BleacherReport.com

Gambling Addiction Enabler Head-to-Head: UFC 173 Edition


(Damn it, TJ. You’re supposed to hold the imaginary title belt above your head.)

UFC 173 may not be heavy on star power, but it presents some interesting opportunities for the MMA fan with a crippling gambling addiction looking to make a few bucks this weekend. Join staff writers Jared Jones and Seth Falvo as they break down their favorite fights, underdogs and the most creative ways to flush your hard earned cash down the crapper in a “versus” style edition of the gambling addiction enabler. Will Renan Barao extend his winning streak? Is Daniel Cormier a lock against the aging Dan Henderson? Read on for our picks – with odds courtesy of 5Dimes.eu– and may the winnings be yours.

The Good Dogs

Jared: I’d like to start by preemptively shaming you, Seth, as well as the Potato Nation, and truly, every last so-called “MMA fan” who isn’t giving Dan Henderson a smidgen of hope against Daniel Cormier tomorrow night. Seriously, you guys are the worst.

I don’t care if he’s fighting Fedor on Zeus’ shoulders and both can punch but only Zeus can kick, Dan Henderson should *never* be listed at anything worse than even odds. He’s defeated heavyweights, light heavyweights, middleweights, supposed Emperors, and more legends of the sport than pugilistic dementia. That he’s currently hovering around the +600 mark is not only an insult to the man, the myth, the psuedo-Native American that is “Hollywood,” but a disgrace to this sport on par with YAMMA Pit Fighting. TRT, SchmeeRT, Dan Henderson will walk through Cormier’s punches before delivering his greatest H-Bomb to date, at 2:03 of the second round, amen. Say it with me, folks: Dan. F*cking. Henderson.


(Damn it, TJ. You’re supposed to hold the imaginary title belt above your head.)

UFC 173 may not be heavy on star power, but it presents some interesting opportunities for the MMA fan with a crippling gambling addiction looking to make a few bucks this weekend. Join staff writers Jared Jones and Seth Falvo as they break down their favorite fights, underdogs and the most creative ways to flush your hard earned cash down the crapper in a “versus” style edition of the gambling addiction enabler. Will Renan Barao extend his winning streak? Is Daniel Cormier a lock against the aging Dan Henderson? Read on for our picks – with odds courtesy of 5Dimes.eu– and may the winnings be yours.

The Good Dogs

Jared: I’d like to start by preemptively shaming you, Seth, as well as the Potato Nation, and truly, every last so-called “MMA fan” who isn’t giving Dan Henderson a smidgen of hope against Daniel Cormier tomorrow night. Seriously, you guys are the worst.

I don’t care if he’s fighting Fedor on Zeus’ shoulders and both can punch but only Zeus can kick, Dan Henderson should *never* be listed at anything worse than even odds. He’s defeated heavyweights, light heavyweights, middleweights, supposed Emperors, and more legends of the sport than pugilistic dementia. That he’s currently hovering around the +600 mark is not only an insult to the man, the myth, the psuedo-Native American that is “Hollywood,” but a disgrace to this sport on par with YAMMA Pit Fighting. TRT, SchmeeRT, Dan Henderson will walk through Cormier’s punches before delivering his greatest H-Bomb to date, at 2:03 of the second round, amen. Say it with me, folks: Dan. F*cking. Henderson.

(Also, Francisco Rivera at +150 isn’t a bad pick, and Chico Camus is a proven UFC-level fighter with a wealth of experience over TUF 18 winner Chris Holdsworth, who at just 5-0, is being slightly overvalued as a 3-to-1 favorite.)

Seth: I won’t argue that I don’t deserve shame and all, but let’s not act like Henderson wasn’t getting a “$5 for Shiggles” bet out of my wallet this weekend. As for the other good dogs, Rivera upsetting Mizugaki is as safe of an underdog bet as you’ll find on this card, and far be it from me not to wager on a gritty sumbitch like Chico Camus – who holds two upset victories in his 3-1 UFC run, mind you – bullying a 5-0 TUF winner for three rounds. And since I’ve never been one to let pesky little details like “never having seen either guy fight before” stop me from throwing money at my bookie, I’ll pick Li “The Leech” JingLiang to upset the TUF washout fighting on short notice who can’t even spell “bulldog” correctly. Becuz propper spelleng, yoll.

Stay the Hell Away From

Jared: Varner vs. Krause. Becuz inconcistensee. I put good money down on Varner to beat Abel Trujillo at UFC 169, and for most of the fight, Varner was kicking “Killa’s” ass all over the octagon. Then he got cocky/tired and walked straight into a haymaker from Hell. I just so happened to fall out of  moving van that night, if you know what I mean.

Anyway, the former WEC lightweight champ has been consistent in the entertainment department since unretiring, but inconsistent everywhere else. And I’m not sure whether Krause was faking, confused, or just plain hurt by Bobby Green’s body kicks in his last bout, but I do know that I’m not placing money on either of these dudes because I can’t medically suffer another “accidental” concussion in the next 30 days.

Seth: Robbie Lawler vs. Jake Ellenberger is going to make for a great fight. And that’s the only prediction I’m willing to stake my all but nonexistent reputation on. Just sit back and enjoy this one, okay?

The Main Event

Seth: I think this will sum up the main event nicely…

Jared: Good point, Seth, but I’m thinking something more along the lines of…

 

As for my prediction…here’s some footage of TJ Dillashaw training on an airplane. It will not help him. I am done speaking on this subject.

Other Fights Worth Investing In
Anthony Njokuani (-225) vs. Vinc Pichel (+205)
Sam Sicilia (-140) vs. Aaron Phillips (+130)
Tony Ferguson (-280) vs. Katsunori Kikuno (+255)

Jared: UFC 173 doesn’t present a ton of interesting gambling opportunities in my eyes, truth be told, but Anthony Njokuani at just -225 against Vinc Pichel, a.k.a Rustam Khabilov’s ragdoll, seems like a steal to me. I don’t even know who A-A-ron Phillips is, so TUF 15 alum Sam Sicilia at -150 seems like a safe parlay bet, even though he’s dropped 3 out of 5 in the UFC. Sicilia’s likely fighting for his UFC career at this point, and will hopefully use that extra motivation to TKO this newbie in the first.

Seth: Not so fast, Jared. Aaron Phillips is part of Tim Creuder’s stable of roughneck brawlers from South Louisiana; he should be a tough opponent for Sicilia. Ain’t no way I’m betting on Sicilia to win this one, but Phillips at +130 doesn’t provide an attractive enough ROI to wager on a guy making his UFC debut. So instead I’ll advise everyone that Tony Ferguson is a safe bet against Katsunori Kikuno. “Japanese veteran on American soil” usually doesn’t end well, and Ferguson has proven to be far more competent at fighting than he is at picking out back tattoos (I mean seriously…).

Jared: You fool. Those are quite clearly Max Holloway‘s super-original angel wing tattoos. No? Ben Henderson then? Renan Barao?

Tony gon’ whoop dat ass, tho.

Suggested Stakes for a $50 Wager
Jared: $30 on a Njokuani + Sicilia + Ferguson parlay (nets $69.48)
$10 on Dan F*cking Henderson (nets $57.50)
$10 on Camus (nets $28)

Seth: $30 on Ferguson + Rivera + Njokuani parlay (nets $116.23)
$10 on Camus + Barao parlay (nets $33.35)
$5 on Dan Henderson (nets $28.75)
$5 on Jingliang + Camus + Rivera + Ferguson + Barao + Njokuani #YOLO parlay (nets $243.29)

UFC 173: Renan Barao’s Experience Will Earn Him Decisive Win over TJ Dillashaw

TJ Dillashaw may have bitten off a bit more than he can chew, as he prepares to enter the Octagon against Renan Barao for UFC 173’s main event.
Barao may be one of the best pound-for-pound fighters on the planet—even if he doesn’t quite receive a…

TJ Dillashaw may have bitten off a bit more than he can chew, as he prepares to enter the Octagon against Renan Barao for UFC 173‘s main event.

Barao may be one of the best pound-for-pound fighters on the planet—even if he doesn’t quite receive as many headlines of others, such as Jon Jones.

With a 34-1 record—his lone blemish coming when he was an 18-year-old rookie—Barao‘s dominance has been wildly visible.

Mike Chiappetta of Fox Sports tweeted a vivid example of how long it’s been since Barao lost:

Barao hasn’t seen a fight come to a decision since his first bout with Urijah Faber in 2012. Since then, he’s recorded a round-four submission against Michael McDonald, a round-two technical knockout against Eddie Wineland and a round-one technical knockout against Faber.

Need a refresher? Mike Goldberg and Joe Rogan commented on Barao‘s win following UFC 169:

This fight was a perfect example of how Barao‘s experience came into play.

Keeping a good distance from Faber, he felt his way inside with a jab and immediately saw an opening in his opponent’s defenses. What followed was an absolutely brutal right hand, which staggered Faber.

Barao took full advantage of his dazed opponent, taking him to the ground and pummeling him with a barrage of punches until the fight was stopped.

Barao‘s abilities as a striker will prove to be a daunting task for Dillashaw to overcome.

A solid wrestler and accurate striker, Dillashaw won’t back down from Barao; however, that may be his undoing.

As Dillashaw attempts to get close enough for a takedown, he puts himself in harm’s way, as Barao has the accuracy, intelligence and strength to deliver a decisive blow, which could end the fight immediately.

Bleacher Report’s Duane Finley sums it up perfectly with this tweet:

What Dillashaw must accomplish over the course of the fight is to get Barao moving backward and avoid a constant onslaught of punches. This is certainly easier said than done, as Barao has a bevy of techniques at his disposal to counter anything Dillashaw throws his way.

Should Dillashaw decide to stand up to Barao, he’s capable of doing some damage. Here’s a look at some of his greatest moments, courtesy of a tweet from Dana White:

During an interview with Brett Okamoto of ESPN.com, Dillashaw spoke of his strategy coming into the fight:

There is definitely positives and negatives to it. I’ve studied this opponent more than any other I’ve had because Urijah fought him. I don’t want to get too much into thinking, though. I want to have a reaction when I’m out there.

When I’m not thinking, I’m a faster athlete. If you start trying to think about what he’s going to do, it slows you down. I just want to have fun once I step in there and prove everyone wrong.

He’s certainly done his homework; however, it all comes down to experience.

While Dillashaw is a talented fighter, he simply isn’t refined enough to counter Barao‘s superior fighting style.

Dealing with Barao is one thing for Dillashaw, but the pressure of a title fight only adds to the odds being stacked against him in a big way.

Dillashaw has the ability to contend with Barao, but he’s not ready just yet.

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