The Question: Does the UFC Have Too Many Eggs in the Conor McGregor Basket?

Everywhere you look, there he is.
If the UFC had its own television network, The Conor McGregor Show would be running on replay all day every day. Would it be its most-watched show? We’ll find out if the rubber meets the road this Saturday ni…

Everywhere you look, there he is.

If the UFC had its own television network, The Conor McGregor Show would be running on replay all day every day. Would it be its most-watched show? We’ll find out if the rubber meets the road this Saturday night at UFC 189 in Las Vegas.

Early indications are good. Conor McGregor’s showcase fight versus Dennis Siver on Fox Sports 1 did gangbuster ratings for the fledgling sports network. On the latest installment of UFC Tonight, UFC President Dana White predicted UFC 189 was trending toward being the biggest event in UFC history. 

With all the time and money the UFC has sunk into its ambitious new company man, Jonathan Snowden and Brian Oswald, Bleacher Report’s version of Simon and Garfunkel, are here to answer the one question on everyone’s mind—does the UFC have too many eggs in one basket?

 

Oswald: McGregor is a force of nature. It didn’t even matter that the champion, Jose Aldo, was forced to pull out of the fight due to a broken rib. The UFC simply inserted perennial contender Chad Mendes and the The Conor McGregor Show appears to be rolling on better than ever.

For a fight promotion that’s seemingly fallen on hard times over the last few years—be it sagging PPV numbers or the injury bug that it can’t seem to catch a break from—the breath of fresh air that is Conor McGregor must feel like sunshine on its shoulders. 

But lest we forget, McGregor is only five fights into his UFC career. And in a division chock-full of strapping wrestlers, the flashy stand-up fighter has faced a grand total of zero. Mendes will be the first—and he’s possibly the worst stylistic matchup in the featherweight division’s stacked deck of cards.

If Mendes goes out there and stomps through McGregor like he’s a field of daisies, well that is less than ideal for his long-term marketability.

 

Snowden: The UFC took a big risk here. The show has been at the forefront of its promotional efforts since the amazing World Tour all the way back in March. Every other event, even the big UFC heavyweight title fight between Cain Velasquez and Fabricio Werdum, was given short shrift.

With that in mind, is it any wonder White was so furious in the wake of Aldo’s injury?

When the UFC brass looks at McGregor, it sees a combination of Chuck Liddell and Chael Sonnen, a charismatic knockout artist with a gift for sales. Every promoter dreams of an athlete like that. So do fans. That’s why McGregor has created such a buzz, not only in his native Ireland but around the world. We desperately want him to be everything he appears to be.

But what if he’s not?

UFC matchmakers, traditionally, employ a wrestling test. Before the promotion really gets behind a fighter, officials put him in the cage with a competent American grappler. If he passes the test, it’s full speed ahead. If not, it’s back to the drawing board.

McGregor has advanced to the top of the sport without passing that all-important test. What if Chad Mendes comes into the MGM Grand on no real notice and turns the UFC’s pleasant daydream into a nightmare?

The UFC has invested millions of dollars and months of precious promotional muscle in a fighter who might not have the ability to thrive at the highest level. That has to be a scary feeling.

 

Oswald: Scary indeed. It would be unfair to fault White for any unsavory emotions he’s holding onto in the wake of Aldo p–sing out. McGregor’s words, not mine. If only the UFC could have found a named doctor to prove beyond a shadow of a doubt Aldo’s ribs were merely bruised and not broken. But I digress.

It must be the luck of the Irish that McGregor successfully sidestepped wrestlers like Darren Elkins, Clay Guida, Nik Lentz, Dennis Bermudez, Ricardo Lamas and Frankie Edgar en route to a title shot. No offense to the guys he did beat, like Dennis Siver and Dustin Poirier, but they couldn’t take down a ceiling fan if they hung from it.

And none of those guys can hold a candle to Mendes. I was joking with our brother in arms Chad Dundas that if I were the UFC I’d think about pumping sleeping gas into Mendes’ corner between Rounds 1 and 2 for good measure. Maybe place a booby trap under his corner stool.

But seriously. When you find a guy who has the sizzle of Chael Sonnen (and then some), and possibly the steak of Chuck Liddell (and then some), how can you not try to capture that kind of lightening in a bottle? Not only that, but he packs a whole country in his suitcase every time he fights outside of his homeland of Ireland. It all comes down to whether McGregor has as much streak as he does sizzle. FYI: Mendes is a big meat eater.

One more thing before I kick it back your way: What’s up with the UFC allowing former pop star Sinead O’Connor to serenade McGregor as he makes his way out to the Octagon? I’m sure it will be a lovely moment. But has the UFC ever allowed such razzle-dazzle for any fighter in the history of the sport?

 

Snowden: “Who’s in the house? The Iceman’s in the house.”

Before there was Conor McGregor, there was Chuck Liddell, Zuffa’s original golden boy. Dana White was a manager of some renown before becoming UFC president; Liddell was his favorite client and the relationship never faltered. Pushing the “Iceman” to the top was a clear goal for the new UFC boss—but it didn’t always go smoothly.

First, White commissioned custom intro music for the rising star, concocting a bizarre entrance that included TapOut’s Mask and the the sounds of faded rap star Vanilla Ice. The already silly spectacle looked even sillier when the promotion’s chosen fall guy, Randy Couture, went out and beat Liddell on the very night the expensive song debuted.

Months later the UFC put company pride, and $250,000 of White’s money, on the line by sending Liddell to compete in rival Pride FC’s Middleweight Grand Prix. The plan was for Liddell to settle all questions about which company had the better fighters by mopping the deck with Pride kingpin Wanderlei Silva.

Instead, the UFC’s representative was eliminated in the semifinals by eventual runner-up Quinton Jackson and White very publicly threw him under the bus in the commentary booth, repeating “Chuck’s not following the game plan” over and over again like a mantra.

You have to give the UFC and White credit, though—they didn’t give up. Eventually Liddell was able to get the better of a 41-year-old Couture and secure a UFC title. In time, he became the legend White yearned for him to be. And that’s good news for McGregor. If he falters here against Mendes, he will surely get another chance or three to make it right. He’s the UFC’s guy, whether he deserves to be or not.

 

Oswald: The White-Liddell relationship raises an interesting thought. Is it possible that White never entirely gave up on the idea of “managing” fighters? 

He’s the president of a private corporation. He’s also a carnival barker and a promoter in the Don King mold. Maybe after all of this time he still fancies himself as a manager of sorts—but for his fighters, the handful of top stars like McGregor and Ronda Rousey the UFC has gotten behind. 

People think of McGregor as this brash and braggadocios rebel rouser, but really he’s the model employee for what the UFC wants. Keep in mind the UFC is not General Electric or Google; it is in the face-punching business.

So to answer the question we posed earlier: Does the UFC have too many eggs in the Conor McGregor Basket? I’d say absolutely not. Did you happen to catch the weigh-ins yesterday?

Even if he gets put on his back and pounded by Mendes, UFC 189 is still reeling in a monumental live gate and pay-per-view buy rate off of McGregor. And it’ll still be able to turn around and promote him until he’s lost enough fights that people don’t care anymore. Even after Brock Lesnar got destroyed by Cain Velasquez, people still tuned in to see him get pummeled by Alistair Overeem. They’ll be able to milk McGregor until there’s nothing left but his Irish accent.

But if he does beat Mendes? Well, then the UFC certainly has something on its hands the likes of which its brass, or its fans, have never seen.

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UFC 189: Latest Mendes vs. McGregor Fight Card Predictions and Projected Winners

Cards like UFC 189 don’t come around too often. Anchored by an interim featherweight championship bout between Chad Mendes and Conor McGregor, there isn’t a boring fight to be seen on the card. 
Co-headlining the event will be a welterweight title…

Cards like UFC 189 don’t come around too often. Anchored by an interim featherweight championship bout between Chad Mendes and Conor McGregor, there isn’t a boring fight to be seen on the card. 

Co-headlining the event will be a welterweight title fight between champion Robbie Lawler and Rory MacDonald. Somehow that bout has been overshadowed by an interim title fight. Much like the icy weigh-in staredown between the two, the violence that’s about to ensue is preceded by a much quieter intensity than the war of words between Mendes and McGregor

The card isn’t short on exciting fights leading up to the main event, either. There are plenty of quality scraps on deck. Here’s a look at the complete card with projections for the night’s biggest fights. 

 

Gunnar Nelson vs. Brandon Thatch

Brandon Thatch and Gunnar Nelson have both shown promise in the welterweight division. Both are coming off of losses for the first time as UFC fighters. Now they’ll both try to get back on track, but only one can do so successfully. 

MMA infographics compared their resumes and—as Mike Goldberg might say—they are virtually identical:

Nelson’s and Thatch’s fighting styles are anything but identical, though. Nelson is a smooth grappler. He’s earned nine of his 13 wins by submission. In addition to his experience in the UFC, he’s competed internationally in jiu-jitsu.

Meanwhile, Thatch is built for power. His modus operandi is to come forward and keep putting on the pressure until is opponent is in a heap or unable to defend a simple submission. 

It’s a clash of styles that has created a great divide in the predictions, as noted by Sean Sheehan of Severe MMA:

It feels like it’s easier to fall into the Thatch line of logic on this one. Yes, Benson Henderson forced him to submit in his last fight, but not before engaging in a scrap with the former champion that earned him Fight of the Night honors. 

Nelson’s striking defense leaves a lot to be desired. He averages 4.07 strikes absorbed per minute, per FightMetric, which is an extremely high number. It’s difficult to beat someone with Thatch’s power when taking that much punishment. 

Prediction: Thatch by third-round TKO.

 

Robbie Lawler vs. Rory MacDonald

The rematch between Robbie Lawler and Rory MacDonald is another interesting clash of styles.

On one side of the equation you have Lawler. The champion wants to stand in the pocket and keep throwing strikes until the guy across from him is no longer standing. His devastating power gives him a chance to knock out anyone if he’s able to cut off distance and fight in a phone booth. 

On the other side is MacDonald, the calculating technician. Much like Georges St-Pierre before him, the Tristar welterweight will try to fight from distance, utilize the jab and mix in some takedowns and ground control. 

The first time these two fought, it was Lawler who won out. Ruthless was just turning the corner in a career resurgence that has since led to a UFC championship. The once free-swinging brawler added some refinement to his game. 

He battered the Canadian’s legs with kicks that did just enough to force him to reset his stance and continue to look to establish his jab. According to FightMetric, 31 percent of Lawler‘s strikes landed on the legs. That makes it difficult to establish any kind of rhythm. 

This time around, MacDonald should be looking to take this one to the ground. Lawler‘s takedown defense isn’t his strong suit. He’s been taken down multiple times in each of his last five fights. Even though he’s 4-1 in those bouts, that’s not a trend that is sustainable. 

Eventually, he’s going to drop one of these close decisions he continues to win. If MacDonald comes in prepared for the leg kicks and utilizes a more wrestling-heavy approach, he will be the new champion. 

Prediction: Rory MacDonald by unanimous decision.

 

Conor McGregor vs. Chad Mendes

By the time UFC 189 is over, fans will know if Conor McGregor is really the next big thing. The brash 26-year-old has certainly showed his skills as a promoter. Now he’ll need to back up the talk. 

It’s a tall task for the Notorious One. While he might view Chad Mendes as a simple wrestler with an overhand right, Money has serious power in his hands. In fact, his knockdown rate is actually slightly higher than McGregor‘s, per Reed Kuhn of Fightnomics:

The dirty truth about this fight is no one knows for sure what’s going to happen. That’s what makes it so exciting. McGregor has all the potential in the world to be a star in the UFC. He’s exciting in the cage, knows how to promote himself outside of it and has an international presence. 

But he’s never fought someone of Mendes‘ caliber, especially in the wrestling department. It’s why a former opponent in Dustin Poirier is picking against the man who knocked him out, according to Shaun Al-Shatti MMA Fighting.

Mendes. All the way. Of course Conor can catch him and knock him out, but I just think the wrestling matters. Everybody’s talking about how Mendes took this fight on short notice, but man, this guy is always in shape. He’s been competing his whole life, he knows how to perform and compete, and I’m leaning toward him. Styles make fights. I was picking Conor in the Aldo fight, but you know styles make fights, and now I’m picking Mendes.

That’s certainly a justifiable position to take. Mendes is not just a wrestler but a plus athlete who is a tough matchup for anyone. 

However, there are two things to like about McGregor. First, his undying belief that he is the best in the division. Confidence is an underrated aspect of a fighter’s game. It’s no confidence that allows a fighter to impose his will and not panic when things go south. Second is his build. The Irishman is rangy and boasts an eight-inch reach advantage over Mendes

A rangy, creative striker who isn’t going to win a humble contest any time soon. Sound familiar? There are definitely some Jon Jones qualities to McGregor

That isn’t to say he’s reached Jones’ status. He has a long, long way to go before reaching that. But the idea that Mendes is the one to take out McGregor sounds an awful lot like the pre-fight buildup to his matchup with Rashad Evans. 

We all saw how that turned out. 

Prediction: McGregor by second-round TKO.

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UFC 189 Start Time: Card, TV Schedule, Live Stream, Mendes vs. McGregor Picks

Conor McGregor’s showdown with Chad Mendes might not be what fans wanted, but it’s what they will get Saturday in Las Vegas.
It’s a doozy, regardless.
Jose Aldo was the original fighter meant to take on UFC’s hottest commodity, but either way, fans wil…

Conor McGregor’s showdown with Chad Mendes might not be what fans wanted, but it’s what they will get Saturday in Las Vegas.

It’s a doozy, regardless.

Jose Aldo was the original fighter meant to take on UFC’s hottest commodity, but either way, fans will win when the two step into the Octagon thanks to Mendes’ heavy-hitting ways.

Never mind the fact that the rest of the card is bottom-to-top stacked with familiar faces and bouts sure to leave a lasting impact on multiple divisions.

It’s not an event to miss. Here are the details and fights to watch.

 

UFC 189 PPV Schedule

Date: Saturday, July 11

Fight Times (ET): Fight Pass at 7 p.m.; Fox Sports 1 prelims at 8 p.m.; pay-per-view at 10 p.m.

Location: Staples Center in Los Angeles

Live Stream: UFC.tv

 

UFC 189 Card 

 

Top Fights

Brad Pickett vs. Thomas Almeida

Thomas Almeida remains one of the hottest commodities in the UFC.

The undefeated 23-year-old Chute Boxe product decimates the opposition in different ways. Per FightMetric.com, he lands a ridiculous 7.82 significant strikes per minute on 51 percent accuracy. His opponent, Brad Pickett? Just 3.18 on 31 percent.

Still, Almeida refuses to take the opposition in a light manner.

Mike Bohn and Christian Stein of MMAJunkie.com caught up with him about the fight: “Brad Pickett is extremely tough; it’s an honor to fight him. He has a lot of experience fighting the best athletes in our weight class, not only as a bantamweight but also as a flyweight. If I get past him, it will be a great leap for my career.”

This looks like an easy enough pick. Pickett has lost two in a row and stands without a win since March 2014. He also has yet to enter the Octagon this year.

Still, any fight involving Almeida at this point is worth the price of admission.

Prediction: Almeida via TKO.

 

Robbie Lawler vs. Rory MacDonald

It’s an odd, odd card when a showdown between Robbie Lawler and Rory MacDonald doesn’t receive a ton of hype due to other fights.

Or just a stacked one.

For Lawler, the lack of press thanks to the Mendes-McGregor showdown isn’t a problem. In fact, it might be a bonus.

“That does not bother me at all,” Lawler said, per Sherdog.com’s Mike Sloan. “I don’t care if I’m the first fight or the last fight; I’m going to go out there and showcase my skill. … I just stick to what I do and that’s train hard and concentrate on myself. I let the UFC do the promoting.”

Sounds great, right? These two are elite fighters, and both need this one in a bad way. MacDonald is elite, but he’s not living up to the hype of Georges St-Pierre yet. Lawler needs to continue his epic roll or the 33-year-old San Diego native risks fading into obscurity.

These two are right down the middle. Both land better than 3.5 significant strikes per minute at above 43 percent accuracy. Both hit on 55 percent or better in takedown accuracy and 65 percent in takedowns defended. In 2013, they fought to a close decision in favor of Ruthless.

Look for the same result. The champion can use his experience from last time out to defend the title.

Prediction: Lawler via decision.

Chad Mendes vs. Conor McGregor

It’s odd to think Mendes is an underdog.

Sure, he lost to Aldo two fights ago, but he still hits almost 50 percent of his strikes and touts a takedown accuracy of 54 percent. He even continues to improve as a wrestler while acting as one of the division’s most dangerous strikers.

While it’s time to leave the McGregor hype behind, there’s a reason for it.

McGregor himself is pretty confident, as MMAFighting.com’s Ariel Helwani captures:

McGregor is the winner of three dating back through 2014 for good reason. He fights in a flurry, averaging 5.72 strikes per minute. He keeps opponents at bay with his unique stance and is competent when things hit the mat.

Some will point out UFC’s fastest-rising star is just like Floyd Mayweather—great at self-promotion and mowing through iffy competition. Others believe the hype.

This one is a 50-50, which makes it a major win for fans. It will reveal whether McGregor is the real deal. For now, the safest route is to think his ability to keep Mendes at range will help him eventually score a decision.

Prediction: McGregor via decision.

 

Stats and info courtesy of FightMetric.com unless otherwise specified.

 

Follow Chris_Roling on Twitter

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Mendes vs. McGregor: Final Predictions and Odds Before Start of UFC 189

Conor McGregor can talk a big game, but now it’s time for him to back it up as he battles Chad Mendes for the interim UFC Featherweight Championship at UFC 189. The winner will eventually face currently injured champion Jose Aldo to unify the belts.
Th…

Conor McGregor can talk a big game, but now it’s time for him to back it up as he battles Chad Mendes for the interim UFC Featherweight Championship at UFC 189. The winner will eventually face currently injured champion Jose Aldo to unify the belts.

The main event is one of two title bouts on the card. The other features Robbie Lawler defending the UFC Welterweight Championship against Rory MacDonald. Lawler won the previous meeting between the pair by split decision in 2013.

Let’s check out all of the important information for Saturday’s showcase, along with odds and picks for each of the bouts on the main card. That’s followed by a preview of the hyped main event.

 

Viewing Details

Where: MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada

When: Saturday, July 11 at 10 p.m. ET

Watch: Pay-per-view

Live Stream: UFC TV

Tickets: ScoreBig.com

 

Odds and Predictions

 

Main Event Preview

McGregor is the type of fighter who can generate significant mainstream attention for the UFC. His fast-paced, hard-hitting approach combined with his willingness to entertain with his verbal jabs leading up to a bout gives him plenty of star power.

He hasn’t been seriously tested since arriving in the promotion, though. Facing Mendes will show whether he’s truly ready to compete at the sport’s highest level.

One thing is for sure: The Irishman isn’t backing down despite the raised stakes. In fact, he’s doubling down on himself. Ryan McKinnell of Yahoo Sports passed along a story from UFC president Dana White about a recent conversation he had with McGregor.

“You want to know how confident this kid is?” White said. “I can’t even believe I’m going to say this, but, he told Lorenzo [Fertitta] and I the other day, ‘I’ll bet you $3 million dollars I knock [Chad Mendes] out in the second round.'”

Now it’s his job to show he can back up his big talk against a serious opponent.

Both fighters will enter the bout with different game plans. McGregor wants to push the pace, use his striking ability to wear down Mendes and score the knockout. The American must attempt to slow things down, execute some takedowns and try to win a wrestling brawl.

Numbers from Reed Kuhn of Fightnomics the differences but also the narrow gap between the fighters:

The only sure thing is McGregor won the pre-bout war of words. Ariel Helwani of Fox Sports showcased another example of that:

Of course, that means nothing once the fight gets underway.

The biggest question is whether the clash is going to live up to the hype. There are going to be a lot of eyes on this fight, mostly because of Notorious’ growing profile outside of the diehard MMA fans. He must now prove the attention is warranted.

All told, give the slight edge to McGregor thanks to his power, but either fighter coming out on top would qualify as a surprise.

 

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UFC 189 McGregor vs. Mendes: Live Results, Play-by-Play, Fight Card Highlights

UFC 189 is here. 
It’s finally here. 
After months of waiting patiently, anticipation mounting, UFC featherweight Conor McGregor steps back inside the eight-walled cage Saturday evening to take on his toughest challenge to date, former 145-po…

UFC 189 is here. 

It’s finally here. 

After months of waiting patiently, anticipation mounting, UFC featherweight Conor McGregor steps back inside the eight-walled cage Saturday evening to take on his toughest challenge to date, former 145-pound title contender Chad “Money” Mendes

While McGregor received the majority of the press and attention leading up to this fight card, the event is stacked from top to bottom. 

Besides the Ireland vs. USA showdown for the interim featherweight title at the top of the card, the UFC welterweight strap is on the line at UFC 189, as champion Robbie Lawler faces challenger Rory MacDonald in a rematch of their UFC 167 affair in 2013 (which Lawler won via decision). 

The card also showcases up-and-coming bantamweights Thomas Almeida and Cody Garbrandt and a fight that promises ultra-violence in Tim Means vs. Matt Brown. 

You don’t want to miss this one. 

Check back here at 10 p.m. ET for a live blog of all the action on the pay-per-view portion of this card as well as quick results from the night’s earlier action. 

The full card from Las Vegas is as follows:

 

UFC 189 Main Card (PPV, 10 p.m. ET)

  • Conor McGregor vs. Chad Mendes (for the interim UFC featherweight championship)
  • Robbie Lawler vs. Rory MacDonald (for the UFC welterweight championship) 
  • Dennis Bermudez vs. Jeremy Stephens 
  • Gunnar Nelson vs. Brandon Thatch
  • Thomas Almeida vs. Brad Pickett 

 

UFC 189 Prelims (Fox Sports 1, 8 p.m. ET) 

  • Matt Brown vs. Tim Means
  • Mike Swick vs. Alex Garcia
  • Cathal Pendred vs. John Howard
  • Cody Garbrandt vs. Henry Briones

 

UFC 189 Early Prelims (UFC Fight Pass, 7 p.m. ET) 

  • Neil Seery vs. Louis Smolka
  • Yosdenis Cedeno vs. Cody Pfister

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Chad Mendes vs. Conor McGregor: Keys to Victory for Each Fighter at UFC 189

The hottest fighter in mixed martial arts faces one of the best fighters in his division this Saturday night in Las Vegas, as streaking superstar Conor McGregor faces Chad Mendes for the interim UFC crown at 145 pounds. Mendes is a late replacement for…

The hottest fighter in mixed martial arts faces one of the best fighters in his division this Saturday night in Las Vegas, as streaking superstar Conor McGregor faces Chad Mendes for the interim UFC crown at 145 pounds. Mendes is a late replacement for reigning champion and current pound-for-pound king Jose Aldo. 

For the sake of dramatic storytelling, it would be best for McGregor to continue his rampage and make quick work of Mendes. That would give him a version of the title and even more to crow about when egging on a future competition with Aldo. 

But Mendes will be uninterested in advancing any part of that narrative arc. Even if he’s already lost twice to Aldo (the only two defeats of his stellar career), he’s not about to let a fresh face jump into line ahead of him, no matter how much it might advance the interests of his employer. 

If McGregor truly wants to gain the kind of superstar fighting status that was enjoyed by stars like Chuck Liddell and Georges St-Pierre, he’s going to need to earn it in the cage, against one of the elite fighters in the world today. 

These are the keys to victory for both men:

 

For Mendes: Take Away Space and Exploit the Clinch

McGregor‘s 74″ reach is tremendous for a featherweight fighter. Floyd Mayweather has a very good reach for a boxing welterweight at 72″, to give a perspective of how much of an advantage this gives McGregor competing in MMA at 145 pounds. 

Mendes is going to need to close distance quickly in order to negate McGregor‘s most pronounced tactical advantage. 

Mendes needs to cover up and feint as he advances. Tight, looping hooks from the proper angle will be good punches for him, because they will allow him to minimize the window he offers McGregor, and his follow-through should carry him into a clinch. 

The clinch is where Mendes should be able to force his kind of fight on McGregor. He’ll have the chance to daze McGregor up with dirty boxing, or else grab a quick front headlock and transition into a choke. 

McGregor will have trained to deal with Mendes in this position. He tweeted a photo of himself working the clinch last week:

But there’s a difference between training the clinch in training camp for a few months and training the clinch in wrestling rooms for years, first as a cadet All-American and then as an NCAA athlete, the way Mendes has.

Besides beating McGregor up with punches and elbows, other options for Mendes from the clinch will be to lower his level and grab a body lock or high single. If he can do this, he’ll be able to make it a very tough fight for McGregor. If Mendes gets a leg or the body, expect him to go for elevation on McGregor and bring him down hard. 

Against the cage or on the mat, Mendes needs to maintain hard, aggressive posture, while scoring with short punches, forearms and elbows. He wants to make sure he is scoring on McGregor, in order to prevent a stand-up, while inflicting damage that will take a toll on the Irishman in the championship rounds. 

 

For McGregor: Maintain the Range and Be Ready to Make Quick Transitions in the Grappling Game

If McGregor can control the distance and make Mendes spend most of the fight in danger of being suddenly in range for the big left hand, he will win this fight. He’s got the tools to impose exactly that game plan. 

But McGregor doesn’t just control the range; he aggressively asserts it. He’ll be looking to put himself directly in front of Mendes and score heavily before Mendes can get close enough to do anything to him. 

If McGregor can continually discipline Mendes before Mendes can get close enough to hit him or grab him, it might be a quick fight, with nearly every second of it painful for Mendes.

Once McGregor stops Mendes‘ advance, he’ll want to put Mendes on the defensive. Like any effective striker, McGregor has good vision, so if he can slow Mendes down a bit, he should be able to find a quick opening to land a big left hand or other fight-ending strike.

He’s a wrecking ball as a fighter, but McGregor has got to be ready with a Plan B in the likely event that Mendes is able to secure a clinch or otherwise establish a tactical advantage with his wrestling. McGregor has to be ready to grapple.

McGregor does have very good grappling for MMA. He has an educated submission game, and his athletic ability and “fight sense” make him particularly good at taking away what should be good grappling opportunities, simply by getting out of potentially bad positions before his opponents can exploit them.

McGregor throws a lot of very dangerous strikes, and he throws them from nearly every conceivable angle, with both hands and both feet. It’s what makes him so entertaining.

It’s also what makes him so dangerous. If McGregor can control the range and preserve enough space to always be ready to attack or counterattack quickly with one of his cinematic power punches or kicks, eventually he will land one, and the fight will be over.

This fight is a beautiful example of why there is no drama bigger than the drama of a big-time prizefight. There are a plethora of exciting ways that this fight could develop and chances are good that it will be a classic. 

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