Tag: UFC betting

Catchweight (195 lbs) bout:Robbie Lawler vs.  Renato Sobral

Odds:  (+140 Sobral / -170 Lawler )

In the main event, two high caliber UFC veterans will meet in an exciting catchweight bout, as Renato “Babalu” Sobral moves down to 195 to face “Ruthless” Robbie Lawler.  Babalu is skilled and well-rounded, while Lawler is one of the most prolific punchers in Strikeforce, so this should be a very interesting fight.

Renato “Babalu” Sobral is a very dangerous fighter who has some boxing skill that he uses to complement his excellent wrestling and submissions.  Even though he is a pretty decent striker, he is going to have to take this fight to the ground, because Lawler has much better technique and power on the feet.  On the ground though, he should be able to work Lawler over with strikes and probably submit him, so it’s clear that his game plan is going to have to be to take Lawler down.

Robbie Lawler may be one dimensional, but that one dimension is excellent.  He doesn’t have very much in the way of a ground game, although his wrestling is pretty good, but his boxing is fast, accurate, and extremely powerful.  There is no question that, if he can keep this fight standing, he will knock Babalu out.  Whether he can pull that off, though, is another matter entirely.

Ultimately, I think Sobral takes this one.  Lawler is going to land some shots, but Babalu’s standup and chin are good enough that he will be able to set up his takedowns.  On the ground he is more than good enough to control the fight, bust Lawler up, and eventually submit him.  Babalu by submission.

Prediction:  Renato “Babalu” Sobral via second round submission.

• Bet on the UnderDog Babalu @ +140 for the Win.

To add a little excitement on fight night, you can bet on this fight at Sportsbook.com Odds.  They allow you to start with as little as $20, and you can bet on all of the fights for the night. Check out my review of Sportsbook here…

Welterweight bout: Marius Zaromskis vs. Evangelista Santos

Odds:  (-220 Zaromskis / +170 Santos )

In the co-main event, skilled Lithuanian striker Marius Zaromskis will look to get back to his dominant form after a tough loss to Nick Diaz.  Standing in his way is Chute Boxe’s Evangelista “Cyborg” Santos, a formidable striker in his own right.  This promises to be a short and violent affair that you definitely don’t want to miss.

Santos, a member of the famed Chute Boxe Academy in Brazil, is something of a glass cannon.  His striking can be devastating, but his chin is extremely fragile.  He does have some submission skills, but he usually chooses to just stand and bang with opponents and either knock them out or get knocked himself.

Zaromskis, who looked very impressive before being completely picked apart by Nick Diaz, is similar to Santos in a number of ways.  His standup offense is some of the best in the sport, but his chin is questionable, and so is his defense.  Still his striking is very crisp, very technical, and very powerful, which makes him an extremely formidable opponent.

If there was a way to bet against this fight going to the ground, that would be the safest bet of the night.  Both guys like to trade, and neither can take a whole lot of punishment, so this is going to be a short but exciting standup affair.  You have to give the edge to Zaromskis, who has more power and better technique, not to mention a size advantage.  Zarmoskis by KO, Round 1.

Prediction:  Marius Zaromskis via first round KO.

To add a little excitement on fight night, you can bet on this fight at Sportsbook.com Odds.  They allow you to start with as little as $20, and you can bet on all of the fights for the night. Check out my review of Sportsbook here…

Now Open for Free Picks

We have some big news…

We’re teaming up with Bodog.com to bring you an MMA picks contest each for each major UFC fight night!

The contest is free to enter, and you can win $500 in fully funded betting accounts at Bodog for the winners.

The prizes are as follows…

• 1st place – $250 betting account at Bodog.com

• 2nd place – $150 betting account at Bodog.com

• 3rd place – $100 betting account at Bodog.com

……..

How It Works

To be eligible you MUST have or sign up for an account at Bodog (it takes less than 5 minutes and is super easy) Just go here to sign up… Bodog

Each person will have $1000 fictional dollars available for the contest. You Must bet on a minimum of 3 fights and each bet must be a minimum of $100. 

So if you bet your $500 on someone at -100 and they win, you’ll be +$500 for the contest!  Here’s another example of how you can use the betting “money”…

• Rich Franklin  – $100 at -150 = you win $66.66
• Mirko Cro Cop – $500 at +135 = you win $675
• Carlos Condit – $400 at +110 = you win $440

So in this example I bet all $1000 of my fictional money on individual fights…. And if all 3 of my bets win, I would be + $1181.66 for the night!  Pretty damn good…

If you were to parlay all three of these fights at $100 per fighter $300 total and all three won, you would be up $2,168. 

Just make sure you only use $1000.  The 3 participants with the MOST money at the end of the night will be declared the winners, and will win the 3 prizes listed above.

………….

Getting Started

As I said earlier, you need an account at Bodog.comto be eligible.  If you dont have an account you can sign up for one for FREE at Bodog.com (it takes less than 5 minutes).  If you already have an account, that is fine but we will verify that you signed up in order for eligibility.

Once you are signed up, leave your picks below in the comment section with the fighter you want to bet on, and also how much money you want to bet on him.

Here are the odds we will be using for this contest…

(While these are current odds, if you want to place real money bets you can see live odds at our sister site, MMAodds.com.)

• Chuck Liddell  (+120)

• Rich Franklin  (-150)

• Mirko Cro Cop  (+135)

• Pat Barry (-165)

• Paulo Thiago  (-195)

• Martin Kampmann  (+155)

• Ben Rothwell  (-145)

• Gilbert Yvel  (+115)

• Carlos Condit (+110)

• Rory MacDonald  (-140)

So get your account at Bodog, and leave your picks all the way at the bottom of this page in the COMMENT section (the part right below is the newsletter sign up, and the comments are right below that)… Good luck!

Remember, PLEASE register below for the newsletter to get reminded about our contest for the next UFC event, and other giveaways.

(NOTE: MMAbettingblog.com will determine the winners of this contest. Please do not contact BetUS. Once we determine the winners, we will have Bet US fund your account)