UFC On Fuel Live Tonight

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Sponsored post: With UFC On Fuel Live tonight you gotta get your bets in. At 5 Dimes you can choose from distance, decision and draw options; odds on every single round; TKO/KO, submission and points handicap odds; and much more.

Money saving Reduced Juice options are available now on the Sanchez/Ellenberger fight – Wager now.

See our Ellenberger vs Sanchez pick and the rest of the picks for tonight’s fight card.

UFC 144 Edgar vs Henderson Japan

UFC 144 Main card Takes place at Saitama arena in Japan Sunday, February 26, 2012 Lightweight Championship: Frankie Edgar vs Ben Henderson I was such a huge fan of Frankie Edgar from way back when he took a close decision against at that time Tyson Griffin. When they fought Tyson Griffin was considered the 2nd

UFC 144 Main card

Takes place at Saitama arena in Japan
Sunday, February 26, 2012

Lightweight Championship: Frankie Edgar vs Ben Henderson

I was such a huge fan of Frankie Edgar from way back when he took a close decision against at that time Tyson Griffin. When they fought Tyson Griffin was considered the 2nd best in the division with always an exciting fight and winner of many fight of the night bonuses. Edgar beat him. The new more technical Edgar is a different fighter. I really used to enjoy his fights when he utilized his wrestling style mostly. The new Edgar is really a tactician and utilizes incredible foot work, head movement, and boxing. Ben Henderson doesn’t have the footwork or head movement to avoid Edgar’s in and out boxing style. Nor will Henderson be able to contend with his speed. However, Ben Henderson will have a power and strength advantage. The other item that Henderson will have on his side is the unbelieveable skill of submission defense.

If Ben Henderson can’t get close to Edgar, then the fight is going to go Edgar’s way. The key for Henderson here is to get Edgar up against the fence and bully him. If the fight has any kind of close fighting (unlike Edgar vs Penn) then I think Henderson has a chance to TKO Edgar on the ground. Other than that Edgar wins a decision. However, as a fan of both fighters, and always interested in seeing the underdog win, I think Henderson will find a way to win. Like he did against Jim Miller.

Light Heavyweight: Quinton Jackson vs Ryan Bader

Is this Quinton’s last fight? Quinton used to fight in Pride long before he was ever in the UFC with an up and down record. He has said before fights were fixed or massaged in that organization. Quinton Jackson is revered in Japan and is a big name there. He built his persona with the chain and howl due to Japan’s love of the fighter walkout and pre-fight extravagant introductions. Quinton has shown to have conditioning problems in the past, but looked decent in his fights with Hammil and Machida. Even in defeat against Jon Jones, Jackson, looked better than expected.

I’ve wavered on this fight several times, but I’ll go with Quinton in Japan.

Heavyweight: Mark Hunt vs Cheick Kongo

As much as Mark Hunt has been around K-1 and only MMA for a few fights, he is stepping into the cage against someone has been a title contender and has fought the heavyweight’s best. Kongo won’t be taken down in this fight, but it would be interesting to see if Kongo will take Hunt down and use his strong top game to GnP him. I have Kongo winning this fight in so many ways.

Welterweight: Yoshihiro Akiyama vs Jake Shields

Jake Shields will have his hands full with Akiyama. Yoshihiro is good with punching and rolls through fighter’s defenses. Good thing for Yoshihiro is that Shields has very little defense. What Akiyama lacks Shields is excellent at. Submissions/submission defense.

Middleweight: Yushin Okami vs Tim Boetsch

Okami via TKO.

Featherweight: Hatsu Hioki vs Bart Palaszewski

Two punchers. Palaszewski has been on fire lately and surprising.

Lightweight: Anthony Pettis vs Joe Lauzon

Awesome fight. Love the matchup of Pettis who has great striking and owner of one of the best kicks in MMA history against Joe Lauzon who is the ultimate smotherer straight to submission fighter. Pettis has excellent submission defense and a great guard as well.
Two ways this goes. 1. Pettis stays on the outside and frustrates Lauzon to where he can’t get his takedown – that will go decision/tko/submission Pettis. 2. Pettis throws a kick that Lauzon catches, takes him down and finishes with his rear naked choke.

I think Lauzon finds a way to get Pettis to the ground and win rounds.

UFC 144 Preliminary card (FX)

Lightweight: Takanori Gomi vs Eiji Mitsuoka

Gomi

Bantamweight: Norifumi Yamamoto vs Vaughan Lee

The legend that is Kid Yamamoto has been fading a bit as he’s lost 4 out of 5 of his last fights. I see Yamamoto making a comeback here as he has always fought well in Japan. Fighting in Japan is different than any other country due to the crowd being quiet. Its not like the UK, Australia, Canada, or the USA. Its different. Yamamoto is used to it, Lee isn’t.

Middleweight: Riki Fukuda vs Steve Cantwell

Cantwell has been chasing that momentum he had after beating Brian Stann in the WEC for the light heavyweight belt. He has lost his last 4 fights to decision. Some were surprising losses too. Fukuda is an experienced veteran and is no easy task for Cantwell, but he is also not that big of a threat. I see the robot getting a victory in the land of robots.

Bantamweight: Takeya Mizugaki vs Chris Cariaso

Mizugaki

UFC On Fuel Sanchez vs Ellenberger

UFC On Fuel Diego Sanchez vs Jake Ellenberger Welterweight bout: Diego Sanchez vs Jake Ellenberger Diego Sanchez is coming off two straight wins against Martin Kampmann (razor thin), and Paulo Thiago. Strength’s for Diego are his punching speed, cardio, and overall fight game. Ellenberger has only lost to Carlos Condit in his last 6 fights.

UFC On Fuel Diego Sanchez vs Jake Ellenberger

Welterweight bout: Diego Sanchez vs Jake Ellenberger

Diego Sanchez is coming off two straight wins against Martin Kampmann (razor thin), and Paulo Thiago. Strength’s for Diego are his punching speed, cardio, and overall fight game.

Ellenberger has only lost to Carlos Condit in his last 6 fights. I don’t know what Sanchez can do that Ellenberger hasn’t faced already. The wrestling advantage goes to Ellenberger. His wrestling style is actually quite good for MMA and its been demonstrated in every fight. His ability to escape is pretty damn amazing and Ellenberger’s top control is also good. Ellenberger’s cardio is always top notch. I’ve been following Ellenberger’s career since he lost to Jay Heiron in 2006. His skillset has improved tremendously.

If it sounds like I’m a fan, I am. I know MMA talent when I see it and this guy is going to be contending for the title within his next 2 fights.

I have Ellenberger winning this.

Heavyweight bout: Stefan Struve vs Dave Herman

Struve: Pretty good chin, great jiu jitsu on the ground. Struve has improved everywhere.

Herman: Really good chin, power, has an unorthodox weirdness that allows himself to get out of situations. Very similar to Brian Ebersole.
Herman’s weaknesses has been his conditioning. However, his conditioning hasn’t cost him any victories. Herman is an up and comer in the UFC (they are starting him out slowly), however, Herman has a lot of experience fighting in other organizations like Sengoku.

Herman has a lot of potential. I think Herman is going to win and he’s going to make it look like he doesn’t care that he won either.

Middleweight bout: Aaron Simpson vs Ronny Markes

I’m not familiar with Markes so this is a pass.

Heavyweight bout: Stipe Miocic vs Philip De Fries

I don’t know either of these two guys.

Preliminary Card

Bantamweight bout: T.J. Dillashaw vs Walel Watson

Bantamweight bout: Ivan Menjivar vs John Albert

Featherweight bout: Jonathan Brookins vs Vagner Rocha

I don’t think there is much Rocha brings here to stop Brookins. Brookins is pretty good at avoiding the submission. This fight is going to the judges, and I see Rocha mostly fighting off his back due to Brookins’ wrestling. Brookins via decision.

Middleweight bout: Buddy Roberts vs Sean Loeffler

Pass

Lightweight bout: Anton Kuivanen vs Justin Salas

Pass

Lightweight bout: Tim Means vs Bernardo Magalhaes

Pass

Condit Wins Interim Title

In one of the most irritating fights I’ve seen in quite some time. Carlos Condit employed a game plan that included leg kicks, and scoring points. Most people thought and wanted to see a war. What they got was a bore. At least to me it was a boring fight. Nick Diaz chased Carlos Condit

In one of the most irritating fights I’ve seen in quite some time. Carlos Condit employed a game plan that included leg kicks, and scoring points. Most people thought and wanted to see a war. What they got was a bore.

At least to me it was a boring fight. Nick Diaz chased Carlos Condit around the octagon for 5 rounds. However, Condit did land plenty of strikes, but never stood still. He didn’t win in the eyes of the fans and he didn’t win in terms of beating up Nick Diaz. Carlos won inside the confines of the rules using savvy. It sucked to watch.

Diaz really couldn’t get his routine going as he was chasing the entire time and Carlos used excellent circling off the cage both ways left and right. Like I said, the fight sucked to watch. The judges must have loved it because it was similar to a boxing match.

The judges had some whacked out scoring. One judge scored the fight 49-46 for Condit which seemed a little outlandish considering Diaz won 1, 2, and 5.

At the post fight interview Diaz claimed he “didn’t need this $hit,” referring to losing the fight on leg kicks and not sure what the judges saw.

Condit was classy the whole time. Gotta respect it, but that fight plan for a fan, sucked.

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Bovada sportsbook is essentially the same as Bodog. Recently Bodog Sportsbook closed its doors to US customers. However, Bovada was opened under a .lv domain so that it can accept US customers and not worry about their domain being shutdown.

Common Questions About Bovada

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Why Did Bovada Change From Bodog?
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UFC 143 Nick Diaz vs Carlos Condit

UFC 143 Main Card Predictions Interim Welterweight Championship: Nick Diaz vs Carlos Condit Not only is this the toughest test that Condit has ever faced, but this might be the toughest test that Nick Diaz has ever faced. Carlos Condit has improved his overall game from being a primarily submission ace when he first started

UFC 143 Main Card Predictions

Interim Welterweight Championship: Nick Diaz vs Carlos Condit

Not only is this the toughest test that Condit has ever faced, but this might be the toughest test that Nick Diaz has ever faced. Carlos Condit has improved his overall game from being a primarily submission ace when he first started in the WEC, to having excellent standup. We saw it in the Dan Hardy fight, when he TKO’d uber rising star Rory MacDonald, the Martin Kampmann fight, and beat the always tough as nails Dong Hyun Kim.

Equally as impressive has been Nick Diaz. After losing to a TKO against KJ Noons, Diaz hasn’t lost since winning 11 straight fights. A major point of contention is the competition level. Its not been subpar, but it hasn’t been top flight competition. However, the way Diaz has dominated this competition has been unbelieveably impressive. In his rematch against KJ Noons he absolutely owned every round. Diaz beat Penn into a bloody pulp like noone has ever done forcing him into retirement. The only time Nick Diaz has ever really been beat was in his 5th fight against Jeremy Jackson which he avenged later in the UFC. Even the losses Diaz has faced at the hands of the judges, they have been close. I thought that the Riggs fight he got robbed, the Diego Sanchez fight he clearly lost, but that fight taught him how important take down defense is to winning a fight. Diaz went on a famous rant regarding takedowns after that fight. The Sean Sherk fight was also razor thin close, Sherk won on being busier. These two losses have changed Diaz as a fighter. Takedown defense currently is superb. Also the punching output of Diaz now compared to the fight back then is night and day. Currently Diaz outstrikes his opponents something like 4 to 1.

This fight is going to be tremendous as Condit and Diaz are both big welterweights. However, I think in the end, Diaz is likely to win. The odds should be very close on this fight. If you can find Diaz as an underdog, buy with both hands. My bet is placed with Diaz.

Heavyweight Roy Nelson vs Fabricio Werdum

Roy Nelson has KO power, but its rarely been demonstrated in the UFC. Both Roy Nelson and Werdum are Brazilian Jiu Jitsu blackbelts and although Nelson is good on the ground, this also has rarely been demonstrated. Werdum is in another league in terms of jiu jitsu. His accolades in BJJ competition is rather legendary. Recently, Werdum finished Fedor via triangle choke.

With Werdum favored slightly I like that play and placing my cash with Werdum.

Welterweight Josh Koscheck vs Mike Pierce

This might be one of Koscheck’s toughest fights. Pierce is a bull and one of my favorite fighters. Koscheck leaves himself open for strikes when he goes for his haymakers. The best aspect of Koscheck is his wrestling, but what really works for him is his aggression. There are only a few fighters in MMA that are as aggressive and as fast as he is. Kos likes to swarm opponents early and finish early. He won’t be able to do that with Pierce as he hasn’t been finished ever.

Pierce has had two notable losses on his record. John Fitch, Koscheck’s teammate, and Johnny Hendricks. While Koscheck has lost to GSP twice, and Thiago Alves as well as Paulo Thiago.

Between Koscheck’s agression, wildness, and ability to take fights more often to the distance than not (barring recent KO’s), Mike Pierce has the sustainability to go the distance with Koscheck.

The best bet here might be the fight going past the 2.5 round mark. Moreover, I also like Mike Pierce here at a near 2-1 underdog.

Bantamweight Renan Barão vs Scott Jorgensen

Pass

Middleweight Ed Herman vs Clifford Starks

Pass

Preliminary card (FX)

Featherweight: Dustin Poirier vs Max Holloway

Pass

Welterweight: Matthew Riddle vs Henry Martinez

Pass

Bantamweight: Alex Caceres vs Edwin Figueroa

Pass

Welterweight: Matt Brown vs Chris Cope

Pass

Preliminary card (Facebook)

Welterweight bout Dan Stittgen vs Stephen Thompson

Pass

Middleweight Rafael Natal vs Michael Kuiper

Pass