UFC 144: Why Frankie ‘The Answer’ Edgar Will Defeat Benson ‘Smooth’ Henderson

On the island nation of Japan near the quiet shores of the Inland Sea, lying in a place once called Yuge, are the remains of history’s greatest warrior: Kensei Miyamoto Musashi, a veteran of six wars, who was said to have killed over 60 men in single c…

On the island nation of Japan near the quiet shores of the Inland Sea, lying in a place once called Yuge, are the remains of history’s greatest warrior: Kensei Miyamoto Musashi, a veteran of six wars, who was said to have killed over 60 men in single combat.

400 years later in Japan’s bustling Saitama Prefecture the fighting spirit of Musashi lives on as a new breed of warriors return to Japan’s shores to recapture the pride of days gone by. 

In the main event, Lightweight Champion Frankie “The Answer” Edgar once again puts his slip-and-strike to the test against No. 1 contender Benson “Smooth” Henderson in a fight that promises nail-biting tension and toss-the-popcorn action.

Without doubt, Henderson is the most comprehensive fighter Edgar has ever faced. Incredible cardio, diverse striking, strong wrestling, serpentine jiu-jitsu and—like Edgar—a quiet, adamant will: Henderson is a complete fighter.

 

 Edgar Will Defend the Takedown

One can only imagine the urgency and dedication that went into a 72 percent improvement in Edgar’s takedown defense.

Gray Maynard succeeded in nine of 10 takedown attempts in their first encounter, scoring a 90 percent takedown success. It cost Edgar the fight.

Three years later with 12 pounds of UFC gold to defend, Edgar had his takedown defense wired tight.  Gray only got him to the ground on three of 17 attempts, a 17 percent success rate.

In their rubber match, Maynard, perhaps looking to their previous fight, only shot twice and failed on both attempts. It should be noted here that Benson Henderson’s takedown accuracy per FightMetric is at 48 percent, seven percent less than Maynard’s 55 percent.

 

Edgar’s Corner Will Find the Holes in Henderson’s Game…and Edgar’s Too.

In victory, Frankie Edgar routinely credits his corner, and for good reason. Edgar has one of the best corners in combat sport.

When other cornermen would have been shouting panicked expletives ( e.g. after Edgar’s first round in Edgar/Maynard II), the champion’s corner offered up calm, nuanced advice on how to adjust to what had just happened.

They noted not only Maynard’s technique (the left hook), but also when to expect it (after Edgar threw) while pointing out the adjustments Edgar would need to stage his comeback. 

The specific advice he receives about the attacks he should look to land as well as how to nullify whatever was working for his opponent will be a key to every fight the champion has.

Similarly, his corner will be watching Henderson’s technique and will note the things Frankie will need to come out and give Henderson the look that will open holes in the challenger’s game.

 

Referee Latitude

In his second and third fights with Maynard, Edgar suffered horrific first-round beatings. Both rounds were unquestionably 10-8, and many wondered why the referee did not stop the fight in the first. 

No one wonders now.

With only one-minute’s rest between rounds, Edgar came back from two of the most lopsided first rounds in UFC history to put on heroic displays of striking, grappling and determination. 

Performing the feat twice in a row proved to the world, and every referee in it, that Frankie Edgar is not out of the fight until he is out cold. That kind of recovery is an attribute of his training, will and physiology.

This will undoubtedly play into the referee’s thinking when calling the fight. 

Henderson’s only chance at a referee stoppage is to knock Edgar clean out or submit him. 

 

This Will Be the Best Frankie Edgar We Have Seen

In fact, this will be the first title defense of Edgar’s career in which his focus will be solely on defending the title. 

In Abu Dhabi, after his hotly contested victory over then-champion BJ Penn, critics said that he did not earn the title. When he conclusively beat BJ Penn, widely regarded the greatest lightweight fighter in UFC history, those critics fell silent.

Of his vehemently disputed rematch with Gray Maynard, the only man to every defeat Edgar, critics said that the champion did not deserve the draw. When he knocked Maynard out in the third round of their rubber match, again, crickets could be heard where critics once chirped.

Coming into the third fight, one would not be surprised if Edgar were truly questioning whether he could beat Maynard. What could he, the smallest man in the division do against the largest, a man who had proved he could put leather on target and hurt the champion?

Now, however, we see a champion who has silenced his detractors, moved past the title defense jitters and can focus solely on the construction of his legacy.

 

Edgar’s Experience

Edgar’s last four fights have been against the best boxer and the strongest grappler in the division. He has spent the last two years preparing for nothing but the best. This champion has not enjoyed a steady slew of stylistically advantageous matchups.

This is a man as uncompromising as his division.

When Musashi—whose title Kensei means “Sword Saint”—fought Sasaki Kojirō, an equally feared swordsmen, in Ganryūjima, he rowed to shore late and unarmed.  

Like Musashi, Edgar may seem to be at a disadvantage; critics routinely cite his smaller size as a vulnerability, but beware to the man who underestimates him. 

Leaving his boat, Musashi beat dismayed Kojirō to death using the oar he rowed in with.   

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UFC 140 Fight Card: Breaking Down Brian Ebersole vs. Claude Patrick

Brian “Bad Boy” Ebersole vs. Claude “The Prince” Patrick could be the sleeper hit of the UFC 140 card.   Both men are skilled in each area of the sport, yet they are not mirrors.  Both men know how to strike, but go ab…

Brian “Bad Boy” Ebersole vs. Claude “The Prince” Patrick could be the sleeper hit of the UFC 140 card.  

Both men are skilled in each area of the sport, yet they are not mirrors.  Both men know how to strike, but go about it differently.  

Both men know how to grapple, but have different styles.  Both men have the ability to take opponents down. 

The winner may come down to who finds and exploits an opening. 

All statistics sourced from FightMetric.com and Sherdog.com.

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TUF 14 Finale Results: How Would Michael Bisping Fare Against Anderson Silva?

With his fight against Jason “Mayhem” Miller out of the way the question of how Michael “The Count” Bisping would fare against Anderson Silva must be addressed at once.If not, Bisping and his small but vibrant community of fans, who are on …

With his fight against Jason “Mayhem” Miller out of the way the question of how Michael “The Count” Bisping would fare against Anderson Silva must be addressed at once.

If not, Bisping and his small but vibrant community of fans, who are on a four fight win streak, will begin to convince themselves that the Count has some meager chance against Silva, arguably the greatest fighter in the world. 

Bisping falls short in a number of critical areas: standup, where Silva outclasses him; grappling, a Silva weakness he cannot create the opening to exploit; experience, also called “reality check” and resiliency come to mind.

And now to beat this dying beast before it has gasped its last.

Striking

Bisping’s striking, while technical and fluid, is not nearly fast enough or unorthodox enough to be an effective weapon against Silva.  

Regardless of the excellent striking Bisping has shown, both in his fight last night and against Jorge Rivera this past February he has demonstrated neither great speed nor unorthodoxy in his striking.  His striking comes from traditional angles and with predictable timing. 

There is nothing in Bisping’s arsenal that Silva has not bested before.  

Bisping’s movement will not be good enough to keep him clear of, or surprise Anderson Silva.  

 

 

 

 

Silva gets it.  He can run circles around the referee, he can taunt, he can dance in the Main Event in the center Octagon and keep his gold.  

Therefore, his opponents must bring the fight to him; and he has made a career out of dismantling fighters on their way in.  

Grappling

Though Anderson Silva has proven he is always dangerous, from the first minute to the end of a four round mauling, the Spider is never more dangerous when he is on his feet against a fighter, whom he believes, cannot or will not take him down.  It is at these times that fans can briefly glimpse the full-unrestrained violence of the Silva’s striking.  

Can Michael Bisping get the fight to the mat?

Bisping has a good takedown record.  In his last six fights, he has landed 11 of his last 25 attempts.  But against opponents like Dan Henderson and Yoshihiro Akiyama, who have both proven difficult to take down, Bisping has fallen short, going 0-2 in take down attempts against Henderson and 0-5 against Akiyama.

Silva, on the other hand, has been taken down in only four of the last 35 attempts; world-class wrestler Chael Sonnen landed three of which, one of the UFC’s most ferocious wrestlers; the other, was the only successful attempt of 14 by Thales Leites, whose fight with Silva ranks among the worst in UFC history.

The bottom line is that it does not matter how good Bisping is on the ground.  It is not going there unless Silva wants it to, and once there, Silva’s black belt level jiu jitsu would be too much for Bisping.

 

 

 

Experience

 

On the one hand, Bisping fans may rightfully make much ado about their fighter’s recent four-fight win streak; on the other hand, they must temper that with the reality of whom those fighters were.  Jason Miller, Jorge Rivera, Yoshihiro Akiyama and Dan Miller are all good fighters; for all that, it is difficult to imagine any of them in a nail biter against Nate Marquardt or Chael Sonnen.  

While both men hold a second round knockout over Jorge Rivera, Bisping was still a year away from his The Ultimate Fighter victory and only beat Rivera himself this year.

While Bisping has been beating middling fighters and choking on his big fights Anderson Silva has been chewing up the elite of the middleweight division to the point that he must now cannibalize the division’s common ranks for fresh challenges.  

Resiliency

It takes a strong chin to stand with Anderson Silva.  Yushin Okami couldn’t do it, Vitor Belfort;  Forrest Griffin couldn’t do it, James Irvin couldn’t do it; Rich Franklin couldn’t do it, Nate Marquardt couldn’t do it.  Indeed, it is the consensus of the middleweight division that Anderson Silva strikes extremely hard. 

To fight Silva, you need Mauricio “Shogun” Rua’s chin, not Michael Bisping.  Both men have had a Dan Henderson chin check in the last couple of years: Rua passed; Bisping did not.

Conclusion

Bisping has neither the striking nor the grappling, the experience nor the resiliency to wear gold.

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TUF 14 Finale Results: What Did Jason Mayhem Miller Do Wrong?

Jason “Mayhem” Miller’s return to the Octagon last night, six years after losing to George St. Pierre, was soured by Britain’s best, Michael “The Count” Bisping.   Miller turned in a solid first round, landing more strikes than Bisping, scoring to…

Jason “Mayhem” Miller’s return to the Octagon last night, six years after losing to George St. Pierre, was soured by Britain’s best, Michael “The Count” Bisping.  

Miller turned in a solid first round, landing more strikes than Bisping, scoring to the head and body; additionally, Miller took Bisping down and had the British scrapper trapped against the cage taking punishment like vitamins.  

Bisping struggled back to his feet and finished the round standing. 

Attempting to recover, Miller was taking massive breaths in his corner between rounds; nevertheless, he came out in the second looking winded.  As his hands began to sag, Bisping picked up the pace.  The Fight Metric analysis shows that in the first round Miller landed 28 strikes to Bisping’s 17; in the second round Bisping completely turned the tables, out striking Miller at  a 10:1 ratio, landing 64 strikes to Miller’s six.  

Miller’s take down attempts had nothing on them and Bisping defended each with ease.  The fight would remain a striking contest for duration.

Referee Steve Mazzagati pulled Bisping off of Miller, who was turtled up on the canvas taking knees, at 3:34 seconds of the third round.   What could Miller have done to win the fight?  The man himself has already told us.

In his post fight interview with Joe Rogan, Miller apologized saying, “I got tired. I can’t make any excuses.” 

Ultimately Miller fell victim to returning to the the biggest stage in sport, in a highly publicized bout after a 10-month layoff and was undone for it.  

Mayhem’s first round demonstrates that he had the tools to beat Bisping, but was so amped from his success coming out of the first round that the adrenaline dump took his mojo for the remainder of the fight.

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UFC 141: To Evolve, Brock Lesnar Must Leave Deathclutch

For a man who dislikes getting hit in the face, Brock Lesnar has made some interesting—and character building—vocational choices. One wonders if he looks in the mirror and traces the line of the still fading scar running just below his…

For a man who dislikes getting hit in the face, Brock Lesnar has made some interesting—and character building—vocational choices. 

One wonders if he looks in the mirror and traces the line of the still fading scar running just below his left eye, a souvenir from his fight against Cain Velazquez, and thinks perhaps he is in the wrong line of work.

From recoiling in horror after getting tagged by Shane Carwin to doing the Octagon ballet against Cain Velazquez, word is out on how to beat Brock Lesnar.  Hit him until he turtles up, and don’t get too tired punching his ticket, a second round may be required.

Lesnar is undoubtedly aware of this.  Just as he must be aware that the specialty of his next opponent, K-1 champion Alistair Overeem, plays directly to Lesnar’s Achilles’ heel. 

Brock must evolve too, or he runs the risk of living just outside the edge of title contention for the remainder of his career—always present but never quite relevant to the title picture.  He must be willing to make sacrifices and push through his limitations to evolve into the kind of fighter that stands a legitimate chance against fighters like Velazquez and Junior dos Santos. 

Brock needs to get away from DeathClutch for his camps. 

First, being the owner operator of DeathClutch affords Brock too many opportunities to set his own schedule and do things his own way.  It is clear that the holes in Brock’s game were not addressed after the Carwin fight, and there is little reason to believe that they will be addressed in his current training environment.

Next, Brock needs to get away from his family and immerse himself in MMA.  Champions are made doing things that they don’t like to do, like getting hit in the face.  The fact that Lesnar does not like spending time away from his family is an added bonus.

Brock needs to diversify.  He needs to add some elements to his fighting style that will complement his grappling base.  Dirty boxing would be an excellent style to immobilize the strikers that give him so much grief while working them to the ground where he can wreak his havoc on them.

DeathClutch is what is wrong with Brock Lesnar.  It symbolizes his unwillingness to sacrifice or do the things necessary to be a champion, and he will never hold the belt while he trains there exclusively.

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Carlos Condit vs. Josh Koscheck: Head-to-Toe Breakdown

Condit vs. Koscheck will be in an interesting bout.  Each fighter will test the other in weak areas of their game.  The fighter whose revisions have been the most effective is the one who will likely control the fight. This is a perfect warm-…

Condit vs. Koscheck will be in an interesting bout.  Each fighter will test the other in weak areas of their game.  The fighter whose revisions have been the most effective is the one who will likely control the fight.

This is a perfect warm-up fight for Carlos Condit.  He has been focusing on his wrestling for two straight camps.  If he wins, he fights GSP, who is going to beat Nick Diaz.

It is a great fight for Koscheck as well.  Carlos is a good fighter to have in front you if you are looking to focus on your standup.

For fans, it will be interesting to see what these modifications look like—and whose have been the most effective.

From head to toe, here it is.

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