UFC 153 Preview: 3 Things to Watch for at Silva vs. Bonnar

An Upset for the AgesMake no mistake about it: I’m not predicting that Stephan Bonnar is going to beat Anderson Silva. Only the most foolhardy among us media types would do such a thing. If you picked Bonnar, you’re one of those types who will routinel…

An Upset for the Ages

Make no mistake about it: I’m not predicting that Stephan Bonnar is going to beat Anderson Silva. Only the most foolhardy among us media types would do such a thing. If you picked Bonnar, you’re one of those types who will routinely pick the underdog simply because you’ll look brilliant if he somehow pulls it off. I know the type, because I’ve done it.

I’m not doing it this time, though. I’m taking Silva, and it’s pretty easy to see why. I’ve picked against Silva in the past (where I was attempting to look like a genius in case the underdog pulled out the win), but no longer. Until he starts looking human in the cage, I’ll continue to treat him like a god from another world. 

But what if? That’s the big question, right?

What happens if Bonnar somehow pulls off the impossible, the implausible and the improbable, all in one night? What if he uses the size advantage he’ll have going into the cage to nullify Silva and smother him on the ground for three rounds without being caught in a miraculous submission? What if Bonnar and Silva get into a punching exchange, only Silva is the one to go down this time? Or what if Silva just suddenly gets old, like so many other fighters before him have done?

That would be something. And again, I’m not saying it’s likely, because it certainly isn’t. I give Bonnar a much better shot to win this thing than most people—and I think he’s going to put on a good showing for himself in the final fight of his career—but a good showing is not the same thing as beating the greatest fighter in the history of the sport. 

A good showing is good enough, and Bonnar can go back to Vegas on Sunday morning resting comfortably in the knowledge that he gave a legend all he could handle. But boy, oh boy, if Bonnar pulls out the win? You’ll never forget where you were the moment it happened, and that’s why we watch this sport. 

 

The Ascension of Erick Silva

You could tell from watching Erick Silva’s first two fights in the UFC that he was something special, or that he had the look of something special. And by that, I’m not referring to the fact that he’s a doppelganger of Taylor Lautner, the (fairly terrible) actor who plays a werewolf in the Twilight movie franchise.

(By the way, I must give credit to UFC flyweight Ulysses Gomez for pointing out the Silva/Lautner comparison to me.)

What I’m referring to is the ease with which Silva fights in the cage. When he fights, Silva looks like he’s supremely confident on his feet, against the cage, on the ground—anywhere the fight goes, really. He has the look of someone going for a stroll in the park instead of a guy being threatened with punches, kicks and submissions. Which, if you think about it, is a whole lot like the other Silva—you know, the one that is headlining this very same event.

I’m not saying Erick Silva is Anderson Silva. I’m saying he has the look of someone who could be a welterweight version of Anderson Silva.

But Erick has never faced anyone quite like Jon Fitch before, either. It was believed that Charlie Brenneman would provide a stern wrestling test for Silva, and he passed that one with flying colors. But there’s a major difference between Fitch and Brennenam, both in wrestling and the fact that Fitch has simply been one of the better welterweights in the UFC over the past five years. 

If Silva beats Fitch with ease, then it’ll be time to consider him a top welterweight contender, perhaps even THE top welterweight contender. If he struggles and still scores a win, then he still gets elevated near the top of the division. 

But if he loses? The Silva hype train won’t go away completely, but it’ll certainly start moving at a more reasonable pace. Fitch is a big step up in competition, and how Silva handles this fight on Saturday night will go a long way towards telling us exactly where he stands in 2013.  

 

Maia, Story at Crossroads

The PPV opener between Demian Maia and Rick Story is a lot more important than most people realize. 

I say this not because the winner will be an immediate title contender or anything of that nature, but because the loser will be edging ever closer to a precipice that could lead to a massive downward spiral. 

Both fighters won their last bouts, but if we’re being honest, neither was all that impressive. Maia won his welterweight debut because Dong Hyun Kim was injured, and Story beat Brock Jardine, a fighter most notable for sharing names with two other notable fighters. 

Maia and Story still have the skills to compete with anyone in the division; we know this to be true. But Maia has seemingly tried to fashion himself into a striker over the past two years, with predictably disastrous results. If he’s ever going to compete at the highest level again, he’ll need to focus on using that striking game to set up his bread and butter; his grappling skills are still among the best in mixed martial arts. 

The winner of this fight will earn a bit of redemption and likely a fight with another big-name welterweight. The loser? He won’t be cut from his UFC contract, but he’ll be closer to irrelevance than ever before.

Read more MMA news on BleacherReport.com

UFC 153 Preliminary Card B/R MMA Staff Predictions

UFC 153 goes down Saturday night from the HSBC Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil and a number of Brazilian fighters will have the opportunity to showcase their skills on the preliminary card. Kicking off the Facebook fights, highly-touted Brazilian …

UFC 153 goes down Saturday night from the HSBC Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil and a number of Brazilian fighters will have the opportunity to showcase their skills on the preliminary card. 

Kicking off the Facebook fights, highly-touted Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu technician Cristiano Marcello takes on another high-level grappler in Reza Madadi in a lightweight scrap. 

Next up, hard-hitting striker Luiz Cane makes his middleweight debut against a very game Chris Camozzi, while two Brazilian prospects clash in the form of Sergio Moraes vs. Renee Forte. 

At featherweight, one of the few Americans on the card, Joey Gambino, will have his hands full with The Ultimate Fighter winner Diego Brandao. 

In a classic new school vs. old school battle, UFC veteran, the hulking Gleison Tibau, takes on surging prospect Francisco Trinaldo. 

Headlining the preliminary card, the first The Ultimate Fighter: Brazil winner Rony Mariano Bezerra takes on the dangerous Sam Sicilia. 

Predicting the action this week are Bleacher Report MMA Featured Columnists Vince Carey, Matt Juul, and myself, John Heinis. 

Take a look inside to see whose picking up the “W” this weekend.

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UFC 153: Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira and a Great Career Shaped by Adversity

There’s much to be learned from Jean Jacques Rousseau, even for the fashionable, rugged and ‘Merican cage fighting set.At first glance, there is little to connect Rousseau, an 18th century philosopher, and the men who enter a cage to do the dirtiest wo…

There’s much to be learned from Jean Jacques Rousseau, even for the fashionable, rugged and ‘Merican cage fighting set.

At first glance, there is little to connect Rousseau, an 18th century philosopher, and the men who enter a cage to do the dirtiest work imaginable. But Rousseau, Parisian dandy that he was, believed man was happiest and at his best as a savage.

Everything else we learn, all the constructs of civilization, simply served to weaken the race. Rousseau believed, though, that a man was shaped in his childhood, that the events that unfolded there would very much decide who he would become.

“Plants are fashioned by cultivation, man by education,” he wrote in his book Emile. And if a man is formed by the experiences of his childhood, is there any wonder that Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira became a cage fighter? That he was so good at it? That he shrugged off, routinely, the kind of blows that would fell a bull elephant, let alone a man?

Nogueira’s is a fascinating history, a researcher or philosopher’s dream. After all, one of the 10 best MMA fighters of all time has a twin brother. Rogerio, who also competes in the UFC, is Rodrigo’s double in all ways that matter genetically. One went on to a first-ballot Hall of Fame career. The other a respectable, but ultimately forgettable one.

Physically, the two were the same man. So any differences in their performance and career trajectory are a matter very much of nurture, not nature. And that brings us back to Rousseau, Jean Jacques and a truck that shaped a legend.

Rodrigo Nogueira, perhaps, was driven to greatness, and his brother Rogerio content to stay on the margins because of the events that unfolded in an instant. It was 1986, a birthday party. Eleven kids playing in the street, carefree, laughing. None of them saw the truck until it was too late.

“The tires went over me. My brother, he tried to pull me out, to escape from under there, but I couldn’t get out,” Rodrigo told me in a 2007 interview. He spent four days in a coma, clinging to life. The remembrances a blur, likely shaped by what he heard later from others. But some things he still recalls.

“A lot of pain. A lot of pain in my legs. The tires going over me. My belly. My shoulder. The pain. I thought  I was going to die.”

The accident wrecked his liver when a broken rib punctured the organ. Both legs were broken, his left Achilles in shreds. He could breathe only with the help of machines, his diaphragm crushed. According to doctors, he might never recover.

Rodrigo spent 11 months in the hospital. Eleven months with only his thoughts and a doting grandmother. They were 11 months that shaped a man.

“It was the hardest time of my life,” Nogueira said. “But I think this is what makes me strong today. Nothing that happens in a fight could ever be as bad. It can not be worse than that time.”

Pain and adversity became a part of Rodrigo’s life that day. He mastered them, slowly but surely, over the course of those 11 months. Many men fear pain. Even the toughest cage fighters fear being struck.

Nogueira looks at oncoming blows differently than most. He knows it is in his bones, that he can take it. To him, an opponent’s punches aren’t obstacles. They are opportunities.

I asked him that day, in 2007, about his contention that sometimes being punched is the better course of action for a fighter, even better than landing blows of his own. To me it was nonsensical. For most people, I suspect. But if you’d lived Rodrigo’s life, what is a punch really? It’s certainly not a truck.

Again, that day defines him.

“Getting punched is less exhausting than to (throw) your own punch,” Nogueira said, explaining how he uses his own legendary granite chin and endurance to bait the man across the cage from him. “Sometimes I let my opponent hit me. Not because I like it. To get him tired.”

He’s no masochist. Nogueira went on to detail how he uses discrete movement, especially on the ground, to diminish the effect of his opponent’s punches. He doesn’t like getting hit. He just knows he can take it. It’s the story, not just of his life, but of his career.

Against Bob Sapp, he survived. Tim Sylvia hit him with his best shot. He walked away with the interim title. Cro Cop, the great Fedor—he’s faced them all and lived to tell the tale.

“If you watch closely a highlight of my fights, you will see armbars and everything,” he said in a UFC promotional video. “But if you really watch, what you’ll see most of all is me getting back up. The power of getting back up. And to try again. It’s all about overcoming.”

At 36, Nogueira knows his time in the sport is coming to an end. There are only so many times he can get back up and keep coming forward. Though he told me fighting is a mental game, not a physical one, at some point, the limits of the human body come into play. He’s already faced serious back issues, hip surgery and most recently a broken arm courtesy of Frank Mir.

For now, though, he’s content just to face Dave Herman, a young fighter insistent that Nogueira’s brand of human chess, Brazilian jiu-jitsu, won’t work against him.

“I know it works. I believe it works. Some of my last fights I tried to fight standing more, but for this fight especially I trained lots of BJJ. If I have a chance of getting a submission on the ground, I’ll go for it,” he said in a recent UFC conference call. “…I’m feeling good. I’m feeling strong in my arms. I feel totally recovered in the shoulder and ready to go. I’m hungry to fight and I’ve been asking the UFC to fight in Brazil, and now I have the chance to represent and fight in Brazil.”

It’s possible that Herman is right. The aging legend may not be able to impose his will, his game, on the younger fighter. But Herman should beware. Anyone can knock Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira down. It’s the rebound, what happens next, that should concern him.

Read more MMA news on BleacherReport.com

UFC 153 Fight Card: 5 Bold Predictions for Silva vs. Bonnar

UFC 153 is happening this Saturday in Brazil. Maybe you’ve heard a little something about the main event situation?See, first, there were these guys, Jose Aldo and Quinton Jackson. They were going to fight, but they got hurt. Long story short, the new …

UFC 153 is happening this Saturday in Brazil. Maybe you’ve heard a little something about the main event situation?

See, first, there were these guys, Jose Aldo and Quinton Jackson. They were going to fight, but they got hurt. Long story short, the new main event features these other guys, Anderson Silva and Stephan Bonnar.

It’s been a bit of an unpredictable event. So why not think that the craziness will continue once the actual fighting begins? 

Here are five bold predictions for UFC 153.

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UFC 153 Fight-Picking Contest: Win This Utterly Gangster ‘Blacktalians MMA’ T-Shirt!

South Florida has its Blackzilians, and New York has its Blacktalians. The incredible t-shirt you see above is a collaboration between Longo/Serra MMA and East Coast MMA Fight Shop, and features the famous “Ray Longo as a younger, suprisingly handsome man” photo that the acclaimed trainer proudly hangs in his gym, and proudly uses as his twitter avatar. You can buy one of these shirts right here for $26.

Of course, we wouldn’t even mention this if we weren’t giving you a chance to win one for free. Yes, ladies and gentlemen, it’s fight-picking time. And we’re going to keep it real simple this time. On Saturday night, Anderson Silva will meet Stephan Bonnar in the main event of UFC 153 in Rio. You’re going to tell us who will win and how. Your entry should be in this format:

South Florida has its Blackzilians, and New York has its Blacktalians. The incredible t-shirt you see above is a collaboration between Longo/Serra MMA and East Coast MMA Fight Shop, and features the famous “Ray Longo as a younger, suprisingly handsome man” photo that the acclaimed trainer proudly hangs in his gym, and proudly uses as his twitter avatar. You can buy one of these shirts right here for $26.

Of course, we wouldn’t even mention this if we weren’t giving you a chance to win one for free. Yes, ladies and gentlemen, it’s fight-picking time. And we’re going to keep it real simple this time. On Saturday night, Anderson Silva will meet Stephan Bonnar in the main event of UFC 153 in Rio. You’re going to tell us who will win and how. Your entry should be in this format:

– Anderson Silva def. Stephan Bonnar via TKO (cut), 2:36 of round 2
or
– Anderson Silva def. Stephan Bonnar via unanimous decision (30-24 x 3)
or
– Stephan Bonnar def. Anderson Silva via submission (monkeys flew out of butt), 4:54 of round 3

Please include the judges’ scores if you think a fight will end in a decision, in case we need them for a tie-breaker; keep in mind that Silva vs. Bonnar is only scheduled for three rounds. The most accurate prediction will win a fresh new Blacktalians t-shirt, though we may award more than one in case of a tie. Entries must be in by Saturday at noon ET, and we’ll announce the winner on Monday. One entry per person, please. Any other questions, let us know. Good luck!

Bonus video: Ray Longo teaches The Fight Nerd how to hold focus mitts in 2009, with the help of some kid named Chris Weidman.

UFC 153: Jon Fitch vs. Erick Silva Head-to-Toe Breakdown

Jon Fitch vs. Erick Silva is one of the most intriguing matchups scheduled for UFC 153 this Saturday.One is a veteran trying to reinvent himself within an evolving division, the other is a vastly talented prospect trying to solidify his championship wo…

Jon Fitch vs. Erick Silva is one of the most intriguing matchups scheduled for UFC 153 this Saturday.

One is a veteran trying to reinvent himself within an evolving division, the other is a vastly talented prospect trying to solidify his championship worthiness.

Whether Fitch is able to break Silva or Silva is able to keep the fight standing, this welterweight showdown is going to be a hard-nosed battle of attrition.

Here’s how the head-to-toe breakdown plays out. Enjoy, and don’t miss this fight.

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