The UFC Octagon will be back in use this Saturday night, which means it’s time for Bleacher Report’s fantastic five to provide you with some main card predictions.
This time around, we look at a showcase headlined by the rubber match between heavyweigh…
The UFC Octagon will be back in use this Saturday night, which means it’s time for Bleacher Report’s fantastic five to provide you with some main card predictions.
This time around, we look at a showcase headlined by the rubber match between heavyweight bruisers Junior dos Santos and Cain Velasquez and rounded out with an additional four solid contests.
On the whole, the card shakes out like this:
Junior dos Santos vs. Cain Velasquez
Roy Nelson vs. Daniel Cormier
Gilbert Melendez vs. Diego Sanchez
Gabriel Gonzaga vs. Shawn Jordan
John Dodson vs. Darrell Montague
Check out the picks from Scott “Don’t Call Me Gerald” Harris, Sean “Salmon” Smith, “Rowdy” Riley Kontek, James “Ares” MacDonald and yours truly, Craig “Max” Amos.
When most guys are talking about their training camps heading into a big fight, it’s par the course to talk about how they’re feeling great. Roy Nelson is taking a different path.
And would you expect anything less from the man with a big personality t…
When most guys are talking about their training camps heading into a big fight, it’s par the course to talk about how they’re feeling great. Roy Nelson is taking a different path.
And would you expect anything less from the man with a big personality to match his beard? Nelson is claiming (per MMA Fighting) that this camp wasn’t all that great.
“This has actually probably been the crappiest camp that I’ve ever had,” Nelson said. “It is what it is.”
Nelson’s boxing coach, Jeff Mayweather, suffered a heart attack and “Big Country” was without some of his best training partners.
I lost Jeff probably about two weeks into camp. I lost (training partner Muhammed ‘King) Mo’ Lawal. I lost Ryan Martinez, because in Bellator he broke his hand. It was just one of those camps where anything possibly that could’ve happened, happened. So you just kind of deal with (it). I mean, I’ve been in the game long enough to know what I’m supposed to do and put the work in. And at the end of the day, that’s what it is.
On one hand I’m not only surprised but encouraged by Nelson’s honesty. It’s nice to hear a fighter be “real” in his pre-fight talk rather than going the simple route of hyping himself and his camp up as the greatest thing since sliced bread.
Fans aren’t the only ones who tire of politically correct lines—media members aren’t fans of it either.
However, this comes off as Nelson already making excuses for a potential loss.
Nelson and his training methods have always been questioned. We’ve seen “Big Country” gas hard and often during his UFC tenure. In his last fight against StipeMiocic, Nelson was reduced to being nothing more than a moving punching bag.
Many fans were already pegging top contender Daniel Cormier to pick up the win on Saturday night. Expect to see Cormier become even more of a favorite after this news.
UFC 166 weigh-ins will air on tape delay at 7 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 2. However, they came to us live from Houston at 5 p.m. ET.
All the important tilts came off without a hitch, as only one fighter, Andre Fili, missed weight.
Weigh-In Results:
Cai…
UFC 166 weigh-ins will air on tape delay at 7 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 2. However, they came to us live from Houston at 5 p.m. ET.
All the important tilts came off without a hitch, as only one fighter, Andre Fili, missed weight.
Weigh-In Results:
Cain Velasquez (241) vs. Junior dos Santos (240) Daniel Cormier (224) vs. Roy Nelson (249) Gilbert Melendez (156) vs. Diego Sanchez (156) Gabriel Gonzaga (257) vs. Shawn Jordan (255) John Dodson (125) vs. Darrell Montague (126) Tim Boetsch (186) vs. C.B. Dollaway (186) Hector Lombard (169) vs. Nate Marquardt (171) Jessica Eye (135) vs. Sarah Kaufman (135) K.J. Noons (156) vs. George Sotiropoulos (155) Adlan Amagov (171) vs. T.J. Waldburger (170.5) Tony Ferguson (155) vs. Mike Rio (156) Andre Fili (148.5) vs. Jeremy Larsen (145.5) Kyogi Horiguchi (135) vs. Dustin Pague (135)
The trash talk flows easily when two of the best mixed martial artists on the planet square off. Punches will soon be flying too, but first the words come at a frenetic pace.
One man blatantly mispronounces his opponent’s name, a huge insult to his pro…
The trash talk flows easily when two of the best mixed martial artists on the planet square off. Punches will soon be flying too, but first the words come at a frenetic pace.
One man blatantly mispronounces his opponent’s name, a huge insult to his proud Mexican-American heritage. The other responds with a taunt about his rival’s receding hairline. With that, the two clash, a collision of superheroes that wouldn’t be out of place in a summer blockbuster.
The catch?
Only a handful of people are watching this fight between UFC heavyweights Cain Velasquez and Daniel Cormier. And not a single one paid a dime for a fight that would conservatively draw hundreds of thousands of viewers and millions of dollars on pay-per-view. When it’s all over, the two men will smile, hug it out and go out for barbecue.
Welcome to the American Kickboxing Academy in San Jose, Calif.
“Monday, Wednesday and Friday I’ve got ringside seats for the best fight there is in the heavyweight division,” head coach Javier Mendez said. “I get to see it with my own eyes.”
Velasquez and Cormier are amazing friends. Like brothers, they say. But that doesn’t mean they intend to make things easy on one another.
When the two spar, whether it’s wrestling or MMA, action in the gym tends to stop or at least slow to a trickle as other fighters and trainers sneak looks. It’s not often, after all, that you see the greatest big men in the world duke it out for nothing, going hard for 15 minutes at a time three days a week.
“There’s definitely those days the whole gym wants to come over and watch sparring,” manager and trainer Bob Cook admits. “These two guys have been competing for so long they don’t know anything else.”
Velasquez, the UFC heavyweight champion, will defend his title against former champion Junior dos Santos Saturday in Houston, Texas, at UFC 166. Right before his teammate comes to the cage, Cormier will take on perennial contender Roy Nelson in another high-level heavyweight scrap.
Both men expect the contest in the Octagon to be the easy part of their journey.
“The hardest fights I’ve had have been in the gym, not in the cage,” Velasquez told Bleacher Report in an exclusive interview. “It keeps you motivated. One day you’ll go in and feel like you can beat anybody in the world. The next day you kind of get humbled. That’s what keeps us coming back to train more and more. I’m not at the top every day. Some days he’ll get the better of me. That makes you the best you can be.”
For Cormier, Velasquez’s mere presence at the gym is a daily wake-up call, a walking and breathing example of how hard you have to work to stay at the top and a reminder of how good his opponents in the Octagon are going to be.
“It’s kind of a priceless thing. Not many people have that,” Cormier said. “It’s good to have someone you can relate to. You’re doing the same things, you know? Just being in the gym every day with someone with goals in common is special. That’s what really ties us together: the fact that we both want to be the best in the world. When you find someone, and they see that in you and you recognize it in them, it’s easy to jell with that person.”
The beginning
In many ways, the friendship between the two men defied the odds. After all, in the talent-thin heavyweight division, it seemed obvious that the two would be pegged to compete against each other someday. For most fighters, having a potential opponent in the gym leads to reticence, to giving less than your all. To withholding information and assistance.
Cain Velasquez is not most fighters.
“Right off the bat they began sharing. Cain started showing Daniel stuff right away. And Daniel started, right away, to help Cain improve his wrestling,” Mendez said. “They were open with each other despite knowing full well that they might fight somewhere down the line. It meant a lot to Daniel that Cain opened up his arms to him and showed him everything.”
As Velasquez explained, however, there was an element of self-interest to his selflessness.
“You always try to make your teammates better,” Velasquez said. “You help out your teammates, and they help you out in return. As they get better and better, they can help you more and more. At least I’ve always seen it that way.”
The bond between the two was immediate and fierce. Manager DeWayneZinkin attributes it to an understanding forged in common experience. Both were All-American wrestlers. Each knew what the other had put in to earn those credentials, making it a relationship built on a foundation of mutual respect.
“There was such a great camaraderie right away,” Zinkin said. “They were both aware of each other and their accomplishments in the wrestling world. And they took to each other right away and helped each other out tremendously. So much of their success has come from being in the gym together everyday.
“They immediately became each other’s coaches. Cain helped Daniel get up to speed in terms of the striking. And Cain got not just a great sparring partner but also a great coach. Because Daniel was used to competing at such a high level of wrestling.”
For Cormier, that speed was of the essence. Less than a month after entering the gym for the first time, he had a fight on the docket. Already 30 after two Olympic cycles, he didn’t have much time left in his athletic prime to get up to snuff. He needed to run with the wolves immediately.
Velasquez’s support made that possible.
“I would have never gotten to this place without him,” Cormier said. “When I came into the gym, I wasn’t just some guy. I was a two-time Olympian. There was a decent chance that I’d be okay at this sport. But he never viewed me as a potential opponent down the line. He just tried to help me.
“I remember at the old gym when it was just me, him, his wife and Javier Mendez. And we would just wrestle. Trying to get better. When someone does something like that for me, it stays with me.”
It helped, of course, that Cormier was a gifted natural fighter and an athlete with an uncanny ability to quickly pick up, process and utilize any technique he came in contact with. Almost immediately he shattered the wrestler stereotype, incorporating fluid punches and even kicks into his arsenal.
“Daniel would pick up a technique and use it in sparring later that same day. Which is unheard of,” Mendez said. “More than that, Daniel would watch somebody do something and then go use it in sparring effectively. Normally it takes weeks to incorporate things like that. He’s a pupil I just kind of let go to learn on his own. Then I would help him perfect what he was learning. That’s how easy it was to train Daniel.”
“Wrestlers may make great fighters. But that doesn’t mean all wrestlers are fighters,” Cook said. “Both these guys were natural fighters. As soon as they started, you could immediately see the potential that they had to be special. From the very beginning, without really knowing anything, they had the ability to compete at a very high level. Just basically walking out of wrestling.”
On the mat
Velasquez also saw an almost immediate return on his investment in Cormier.
The Olympian became a coach as well as a sparring dummy, helping take Velasquez’s already superb wrestling to the next level. It’s the little things, he says, that separate Cormier from other wrestling coaches he’s had—including his ability to get on the mat and demonstrate the practices he preaches.
“He makes sure your hands are in the right place. That your head and body are in the right place,” Velasquez said, revealing there’s no such thing as an easy takedown when working with Cormier. “He makes sure you’re doing things the right way, not just sitting there holding the leg. He wants me in there driving, trying to get a takedown.”
The battles between the two on the wrestling mat, most often on Saturdays, have become almost as legendary as their MMA sparring. Egged on by Mendez, the two men compete with an intensity that borders on the supernatural—but never crosses the line toward unfriendly or angry.
“It started when I said to Daniel, ‘Cain’s going to take you down.’ He said, ‘No he’s not, Jav.’ And he didn’t. Not that day,” Mendez said. “They love challenges. It’s all friendly. There’s never any rivalry between them, but they are both so competitive. It’s in their nature. If one gets the takedown, the other has to get him back. They aren’t going to let it slide.”
Velasquez admits that Cormier has pushed him harder than anyone else, often getting the better of their wrestling exchanges. But it’s a positive frustration, one that has only made him improve his own game to compete. Today, he says, it’s much more even than it was a few years ago when they first started sparring.
“It’s hard for both of us. We know each other so well that it’s very hard to get one over on the other,” Velasquez said. “We’ll both get takedowns here or there, but it’s tough. My technique has to be on, and my game plan has to be on to take Daniel down. You have to set up the right technique to get that takedown. It can’t just be any shot. You have to really set it up.”
Brother vs. brother
On May 19, 2012, less than three years after taking up the sport, Cormier beat former UFC champion Josh Barnett to become the Strikeforce Heavyweight Grand Prix champion. Fellow Strikeforce champions Gilbert Melendez and Nick Diaz parlayed similar success and title accolades on Showtime into UFC title shots.
For Cormier, however, it was never an option, even if it meant leaving a fortune on the table. The champion in his division, after all, was Velasquez.
“Daniel had it in his mind that he would never fight Cain,” Mendez said. “He’s never forgotten what Cain did for him and has been planning for this move to the 205-pound division for a while. These two great warriors will never fight each other because they don’t have to. One of them can make the light heavyweight division.”
To Cormier, it’s not really much of a sacrifice. If things go perfectly, both men, and the entire team, will benefit.
“I still have a chance to be UFC champion. Just in another weight division. So I’m not giving up much, not really. I’m just not fighting my buddy,” he said.
Even the dreaded weight cut won’t be as bad as he feared. He’s already started preparing his body for a 20-pound drop, and it hasn’t been nearly as dreadful as anticipated.
“Food doesn’t necessarily have to suck in order to be healthy,” Cormier said. “It doesn’t have to be terrible to be healthy anymore.”
He’s also already laid the ground work for a future fight with light heavyweight champion Jon Jones. To Cook, it’s a move that makes sense.
“He is only 5’10”,” he said with a laugh, pointing out that Cormier‘s natural size makes him better suited for the light heavyweight division anyway. “I think Daniel is definitely one of those guys in the Randy Couture mold who is capable of fighting the best guys in both weight classes.”
Iron sharpens iron
For now, at least, both are still heavyweights, preparing side by side for fights that are among the biggest of their respective careers. For their coaches, it’s a relationship that has turned into a godsend. Rather than desperately search for someone who can keep up with them during the daily eight-week grind en route to the cage, the two can rely on each other.
“It’s fantastic. I don’t have to look for many sparring partners; I’ve already got two great ones,” Mendez said. “It’s not just having someone to fill three rounds; it’s the level. Daniel is one of the best. It would be like having Jon Jones and (UFC welterweight legend) GSP at the same weight and them sparring three times a week. That’s what I equate it to.”
“They’re sparring, grappling, wrestling, doing jiu-jitsu,” Cook said. “They’re doing it all. There’s no higher level of competition for either than each other.”
“Then they go back in the gym in the evening to do cardio together,” Zinkin added.
Cormier says it’s a partnership that pays dividends in the short and long term.
“When you have high-level guys around you, you can get good fast,” he said. “We’re here every day, even when we aren’t in fight camp. Trying to get better. Trying to learn.”
On the surface, the friends are the consummate odd couple. Cormier is outgoing and never at a loss for words. Velasquez is all business, his intensity and workouts legendary even in a sport that seems to attract people with an unhealthy drive and work ethic.
“Daniel is constantly the prankster. He’s the one always talking and joking around,” Cook said. “But, secretly, Cain has a little of that too.”
Lately, the conversation, and the ball-busting, has revolved around motorcycles, or, more specifically, what counts as a legitimate bike and what doesn’t.
“Daniel wants to be part of the motorcycle club,” Cook said. “But he wants to ride one of those three-wheelers from Eastbound & Down. Cain doesn’t think that counts.”
“My wife wanted to get one of those too,” Velasquez joked. “That shows you that they aren’t really motorcycles. I said, ‘If you get that, you’ve got to ride in the back.’ Not in the front. Not in the middle. All the way in the back. That’s not a bike. You can be in the carpool lane with that thing.”
As the fights loom, the joking is now at a minimum. The two men, connected at the hip for months, will enter their own fight-week bubbles. It’s time, now, for action. And, coaches say, when the lights are brightest, both are at their best.
“There are so many guys who are great in the workout room but can’t pull the trigger when it counts,” Zinkin said. “These are guys who both perform very well and have for years in wrestling. All of that experience, doing it when it counts, translates over to MMA. When it’s time to perform, these guys are performers. You can always count on them showing up on fight night.”
Cormier and Velasquez headline UFC 166 this Saturday on pay-per-view. Jonathan Snowden is Bleacher Report’s Lead Combat Sports Writer. All quotes were gathered firsthand.
The team of analysts for the UFC on Fox Sports 1 and Fox broadcasts have been providing the most in-depth coverage mixed martial arts has seen in its 20 years of existence.
With a collection of seasoned fight veterans and a handful of well-versed hosts…
The team of analysts for the UFC on Fox Sports 1 and Fox broadcasts have been providing the most in-depth coverage mixed martial arts has seen in its 20 years of existence.
With a collection of seasoned fight veterans and a handful of well-versed hosts at the helm, the people working the pre- and post-fight shows for the UFC have consistently raised the bar.
For the next installment of “Dropping Knowledge,” former multi-divisional contender Kenny Florian sits in to give his thoughts on the upcoming card for UFC 166.
“Ken Flo’s” resume speaks for itself, as the fighting pride of Massachusetts created his fair share of memorable performances inside the Octagon. The 33-year-old faced a collection of pound-for-pound greats throughout his career and traded leather with everyone from then-reigning lightweight king B.J. Penn to featherweight phenom Jose Aldo.
As the co-host of UFC Tonight on Fox Sports 1, Florian brings his analysis to the masses on a weekly basis. That said, he’s also a veteran of this particular series where he’s been known to kick the interview Kung Fu like nobody’s business.
This is what Florian told Bleacher Report about Saturday night’s UFC 166 in Houston.
Plenty has been made of the rivalry between current heavyweight champion Cain Velasquez and former title holder Junior dos Santos and what each needs to do in order to win their trilogy bout at UFC 166. Do you believe this fight is crucial for both because it has the potential to somewhat invalidate one of their title reigns?
It’s always better to get the two wins over just the one in a trilogy. I think both of these guys understand their vulnerabilities and what the other man can do to them now. With that comes a very healthy respect and a very serious training camp to prepare. Both of them fear the other, and both have the capability to win this fight. I believe we are going to get a good fight because of it.
We saw what the last fight did to Junior dos Santos. That was his first loss inside the Octagon, and in all of his interviews and on the Primetime specials that ran, it is obvious that fight has motivated him a tremendous amount.
Dos Santos has talked a lot about the spacing in this fight in the lead up to Saturday night. Cain is going to come forward with non-stop pressure. We know this, and JDS absolutely knows this as well. Do you believe dos Santos can still generate his knockout power moving backward, and if not, how does he change that tide?
Without a doubt it is something he can do. I think if he is able to land something big, it will probably be the left hook going backward. Those are devastating punches. The shots you don’t see are always the most dangerous ones. He’s going to have to get a funny angle—step off with a left hook—to land that power shot as Cain is coming in. But anytime you hit a guy who is coming forward with the kind of pressure Cain Velasquez brings has to be timed just right.
Velasquez moves his head a ton, and it’s going to be important that dos Santos finds the right range. If he does catch Velasquez coming in, it will be a devastating punch. With that forward momentum, it becomes almost like a head-on collision when two cars collide. That will probably be the case if dos Santos can connect as Cain comes forward. So, it is possible, it just takes a hell of a lot of timing.
The co-main event between Daniel Cormier and Roy Nelson is serious business, as these two men have a score to settle. Yet, there is somewhat of a strange feel surrounding the bout. While a victory could launch the winner into potential title contention, both fighters seem to be heading into different waters. Cormier is looking to drop down to light heavyweight after this fight, and “Big Country” has also suggested he will do the same. What do you make of the unusual spin that seems to be surrounding this fight?
It is a little bit different, but it’s still an important fight nonetheless. Daniel Cormier wants to stay undefeated. This is a guy who has not lost a single round in his mixed martial arts career. That is tremendously impressive. He wants to continue with that momentum and go into the 205-pound division undefeated. He wants to put everyone in that division on notice…especially Jon Jones. It is always interesting when a guy is undefeated and drops down into a division he probably should have been fighting in all along. I think it makes him that much more dangerous.
This is also a very important fight for Nelson. He can’t afford setback here against Cormier, and if there is any pressure in this fight, it has to be on Roy Nelson. He is kind of in a lose/lose situation here in some ways. If he beat Cormier, he beats a guy who was on his way down to 205-pounds and was focused on that drop. If he loses, it clearly puts him in a bad spot in the heavyweight division. He would really have to work his way back up in a bigger way than he’s ever done before.
Cormier’s wrestling is an undeniable strength, but Nelson is a different type of animal. When he doesn’t have to worry about being submitted, or even in cases like his fight against Frank Mir where that threat was certainly possible, he’s been able to get up when taken down. Do you believe Cormier can keep Nelson on the ground, and if not, what does he have to do on his feet to get the victory?
I think he does have the ability to keep him down. It is going to be a difficult thing because Nelson is way more athletic than people give him credit for. I always compare him to the Kung Fu Panda because he’s flexible, very strong and deceptively fast. Cormier is going to have to work for it, but what I think is more important will be his ability to just take him down and get some respect in that department.
If Cormier can score some points with his takedowns, it is going to open up his hands and vice versa. He’ll have to play off of that in a similar way as to what Cain Velasquez had to do against Junior dos Santos in their rematch. It’s definitely going to be important that Cormier gets in and gets out without taking too many shots because Nelson can obviously end the fight with just one.
The lightweight bout between Gilbert Melendez and Diego Sanchez is building a strong amount of buzz and is almost certain to be a “knock down drag out” brand of scrap. How crucial is this fight where their title hopes are concerned?
Diego Sanchez has been very vocal about wanting to get a shot against Anthony Pettis, and beating a guy like Melendez would certainly make that much more of a possibility. I still think he’s probably one or two fights away from that, but a win would definitely provide a push.
For Melendez, he’s still trying to get his first win inside the Octagon. He understands that Diego Sanchez is a big name and to have a name like that on his resume will look very good. He wants another shot at the title, and it starts with Sanchez. It’s a great way for Melendez to get a lot more fans in the UFC, and for Sanchez, it could be a real turning point in his career.
It seems like a lot of people have forgotten about him and written him off. Especially in his last fight against [Takanori] Gomi. It wasn’t the most impressive fight for Diego. A lot of people, myself included, believe Gomi won that fight, but a win over Melendez erases all doubt.
It’s never an easy thing to cast a fighter who has competed at championship levels of the sport into limbo or irrelevancy, but do you believe Sanchez absolutely has to win this fight to keep any title hops he has alive?
I would agree with that. A loss here really hurts Diego, even more than it would hurt Melendez because he is still ranked highly in the division, whereas Diego is not. I think there is a lot more on the line in this fight for Diego Sanchez.
When a fighter goes through what dos Santos experienced against Velasquez at UFC 155 and what happened to “The Dream” against B.J. Penn at UFC 107, it seems as if a beating of that severity can change a fighter for the rest of their careers. In the aftermath of the Penn fight, Sanchez went on a downward spiral, losing fights and switching divisions, and it’s arguable if he’s ever returned to the form he was in before his bout with “The Prodigy.” What is your take on how a fighter bounces back from those circumstances?
It can have a big impact, especially when you have a guy who hasn’t experienced that before. When you are on top of the world and everyone is telling you that you are the best, then you go in there against a former champion who you’ve defeated pretty quickly and get dominated for five rounds; that can have an impact on you. In the rematch, Cain Velasquez had an answer for everything Junior dos Santos was trying to do. That can really be demoralizing for a fighter. It’s humbling.
You look at the way dos Santos responded in that beating and never gave up, those are the kind of fighters who are really going to be motivated and driven to new levels in their game, win or lose. He learned there were things he needed to change and that he wasn’t the best in the world on that night. And that is what it comes down to a lot of times. It’s not who the best fighter is. It’s who is the best fighter on that night. It made dos Santos take a hard look at his game and analyze where he went wrong. That can be a difficult thing for a fighter. It can be both negative and positive.
Another interesting fight on the card is set to go down between former heavyweight No.1 contender Gabriel Gonzaga and prospect looking to make good Shawn Jordan. In the past few years, we’ve seen a group of ex-football players look to make an impact at the highest level of MMA. Is it possible the former LSU standout could be the best of the bunch?
Jordan is a tremendously athletic guy. He’s shown heart where he’s been rocked and came back to win. I think a knockout win over an excellent striker like Pat Barry had to do wonder for his confidence. He’s with a great camp, and I think he’s leading the pack right now in that regard. A win over Gonzaga would probably cement that.
With UFC 166 being a 13-fight card, it wouldn’t be hard for some of this weekend’s storylines to fly under the radar. In fact, this card is so deep that I honestly think I could find 20 hidden storylines in it if I really wanted to. But instead I’ll just run down what I think are the top four hidden storylines to be aware of while watching the fights. Let me know what you think in the comments section, and be sure to come back to CagePotato on Saturday night for our liveblog of the pay-per-view broadcast.
There has never been a four- or five-fight series in UFC history, but it’s entirely possible that Cain Velasquez and Junior dos Santos will meet once or twice more after this weekend’s rubber-match at UFC 166, particularly if dos Santos wins the title back.
Let’s face it, the heavyweight talent pool in MMA is very shallow, and Velasquez and dos Santos are the cream of the crop. They are truly the only two heavyweights in the UFC without any discernable weaknesses, and with their ability to consistently produce exciting matches (particularly against one another), the UFC would have no problem having these guys fight again in the future. The fact that both fighters have broad appeal in two huge markets (Velasquez in Mexico, dos Santos in Brazil) certainly helps as well. A four-fight series would make history, and you’d better believe the UFC would hammer home that point in promoting it.
But it really comes down to how the third fight goes. If it’s a blowout for either guy, a fourth fight won’t be as intriguing, and would be unlikely to happen. But if it’s a competitive war that makes the fans go nuts, we can all look forward to Velasquez vs. Dos Santos IV. And soon.
2) Did Daniel Cormier Make a Mistake by Prematurely Announcing a Drop to 205?
(Cain Velasquez shoots in on teammate Daniel Cormier at yesterday’s open workouts in Houston. / Photo via MMAFighting)
With UFC 166 being a 13-fight card, it wouldn’t be hard for some of this weekend’s storylines to fly under the radar. In fact, this card is so deep that I honestly think I could find 20 hidden storylines in it if I really wanted to. But instead I’ll just run down what I think are the top four hidden storylines to be aware of while watching the fights. Let me know what you think in the comments section, and be sure to come back to CagePotato on Saturday night for our liveblog of the pay-per-view broadcast.
There has never been a four- or five-fight series in UFC history, but it’s entirely possible that Cain Velasquez and Junior dos Santos will meet once or twice more after this weekend’s rubber-match at UFC 166, particularly if dos Santos wins the title back.
Let’s face it, the heavyweight talent pool in MMA is very shallow, and Velasquez and dos Santos are the cream of the crop. They are truly the only two heavyweights in the UFC without any discernable weaknesses, and with their ability to consistently produce exciting matches (particularly against one another), the UFC would have no problem having these guys fight again in the future. The fact that both fighters have broad appeal in two huge markets (Velasquez in Mexico, dos Santos in Brazil) certainly helps as well. A four-fight series would make history, and you’d better believe the UFC would hammer home that point in promoting it.
But it really comes down to how the third fight goes. If it’s a blowout for either guy, a fourth fight won’t be as intriguing, and would be unlikely to happen. But if it’s a competitive war that makes the fans go nuts, we can all look forward to Velasquez vs. Dos Santos IV. And soon.
2) Did Daniel Cormier Make a Mistake by Prematurely Announcing a Drop to 205?
Despite being 34 years old, Daniel Cormier is considered the top heavyweight prospect on the planet and this weekend puts his undefeated 12-0 record on the line against veteran Roy Nelson in the co-main event of UFC 166.
Although Nelson is coming off a loss to Stipe Miocic, he’s still regarded as one of the top-10 heavyweights in the world by many, and a win over the popular “Big Country” — especially a knockout — would be huge for Cormier in the eyes of the fans, giving him the big win he needs to get a UFC title shot.
The problem is, there are two fighters blocking Cormier’s path to an immediate light heavyweight title shot against Jones: Glover Teixeira and Alexander Gustafsson. Teixeira has already been confirmed as Jones’ next challenger – the two will fight in early 2014 – while Gustafsson has been told he will get a rematch with Jones next summer if he wins his next fight.
That means that Cormier would have to wait at least a year to get a crack at the 205-pound belt, and it means he would have to fight other top fighters like Phil Davis and Rashad Evans in the meantime; a loss, of course, would eliminate him from title contention.
I understand that Cormier is Cain Velasquez’s friend and main training partner, but there’s no guarantee that Velasquez will defend the UFC heavyweight championship against Junior dos Santos. If Velasquez loses and dos Santos becomes the champ, then a fight between JDS and Cormier would be the most marketable option, and there would be no one potentially blocking Cormier’s path to an immediate heavyweight title shot (other than Fabricio Werdum, who dos Santos has already KO’d).
At the very least, Cormier should have waited until UFC 166 was over before announcing his move down to 205.
One of the top preliminary fights on the UFC 166 card is a welterweight matchup between former top-10 middleweights Nate Marquardt and Hector Lombard. Yes, that’s right, this is a preliminary fight despite the fact both of these fighters were champions of other organizations in the last two years — Marquardt with Strikeforce and Lombard with Bellator — which says a lot to me about where both these guys stand in the eyes of Dana White, Joe Silva & Co.
In fact, I think both guys have been matched up against one another because the UFC wants to cut their losses with the loser. After all, both guys might be awesome fighters but they cost a lot — Marquardt at over 40k to show/40k to win, and Lombard gobbling up a 300k base salary. And, despite both being exciting fighters, let’s be honest, neither is a huge draw at the gate.
Therefore the return on investment isn’t there, and that’s why I think the UFC will part ways with whoever loses this match. And the fact that neither have been winning much as of late — with Marquardt on a two-fight losing streak and Lombard 1-2 in his last three — certainly doesn’t help the loser’s chances of sticking around.
4) Will Andre Fili Be the Next Great Team Alpha Male Fighter in the UFC?
In one of the Facebook prelims, featherweight prospect Andre Fili makes his UFC debut when he takes on Jeremy Larsen. Fili took the fight on only 12 days’ notice after Charles Oliveira pulled out of the Larsen matchup with an injury, but knowing the conditioning that the Team Alpha Male fighters put themselves through, I think he’ll be in good shape for this fight.
I mention his camp because one of the storylines the UFC has been selling as of late has been the recent success of the Sacramento-based Team Alpha Male. With fighters like Urijah Faber, Joseph Benavidez, Chad Mendes, and TJ Dillashaw having tremendous success in the Octagon — especially ever since Duane Ludwig took over as head coach — I’m super excited any time of their better prospects is put in the spotlight, and Fili is a guy who has been highly touted for a long time.
Only 23 and already carrying a 12-1 pro MMA record under his belt (the only loss coming via injury TKO), not to mention having one of the best nicknames in the sport (“Touchy”), Fili has a very bright future in this sport and it says a lot to me about how matchmaker Sean Shelby views him that the UFC signed him before they did his more famous and decorated teammate Lance Palmer. So definitely check this fight out if you get a chance to watch the Facebook prelims.