UFC 181: Can Robbie Lawler Do Enough to Win Rounds 6 Through 10?

Five minutes flies by in a flash, at least in most contexts. It’s the length of time it takes to heat a standard microwave dinner.
Five minutes is fleeting. Five minutes is transitory. What’s five minutes?
But for UFC challenger Robbie Lawler, five min…

Five minutes flies by in a flash, at least in most contexts. It’s the length of time it takes to heat a standard microwave dinner.

Five minutes is fleeting. Five minutes is transitory. What’s five minutes?

But for UFC challenger Robbie Lawler, five minutes on March 15, 2014 was ultimately unforgettable.

For four rounds at UFC 171, Lawlerin the midst of an inexplicable and improbable comeback after seemingly falling right off the MMA mapbattled Johny Hendricks in thrilling even-Steven fashion. On every scorecard, the two were even going into the final frame.

Lawler, in no uncertain terms, didn’t get the job done.

With 300 seconds separating him from fulfilling what once seemed like his destiny, he simply stopped performing. When it mattered most, it was Hendricksafter taking a drubbing in Round 4who picked himself up and earned a shiny gold belt. He joined the immortals.

Lawler did what he’s done throughout his career—he failed to rise to the occasion when the stakes were at their highest.

“Johny is a competitor and Johny knows how to win,” Lawler told UFC.com’s Duane Finley. “That’s what I need to do. I need to figure out a way to win rounds and dominate the fight so that it’s my hand that is raised at the end. I worked on a lot of things since our first fight and I’m physically and mentally ready to go. I’m coming in fully ready to dominate.”

It’s become a pattern in Lawler‘s career. Every time he reaches a turning point, that moment that could send him careening toward a new level of success and glory, he can’t quite pull it off.

It happened first against Pete Spratt way back at UFC 42, a three-fight winning streak stopped in its tracks, the first loss in a backslide that saw him fall right out of the promotion. In the midst of his second act, it happened again, with Jason Miller and Jake Shields choking off his ambitions in brutal losses three years apart.

And then there was Hendricks.

“I should’ve done more in the fight and thrown more punches, thrown more kicks and took him out,” he said immediately following the fight, dejection written on his face at a press conference streamed to the world. “I don’t know. It’s easy to look back now and look at the things you should’ve done.”

Counting him out, however, seems a fool’s game. Over the years, he’s developed his craft in countless ways, evolving from a frenetic and frantic puncher as a kid to a surprisingly sophisticated striker in his latter years.

“Stubborn is not giving up and coming back every day when stuff is rough and not easy. I guess I want to be stubborn,Lawler told me earlier this year. “I’m a grinder. You just wake up every day and get after it. I was banged up here and there. There was a time it felt like I just couldn’t get healthy. But I kept learning. It would have been easy to give up and do something else. It would have been easy to give up. To say, ‘This is hard. Maybe I shouldn’t do this anymore.’ What I thought was, ‘I’m in it. And I’m going to stay in it until I can’t do it anymore.’ Everything I’ve been through, it’s just made me a stronger individual, plain and simple.”

Bloody Elbow’s striking expert Connor Ruebusch explains what makes him such a difficult challenge for opponents:

The real key to the effectiveness of these punches is Lawler‘s manipulation of rhythm. By throwing slow, predictable strikes first, Lawler establishes a rhythm–a tempo that is subconsciously picked up by his foe. This makes the follow-up punches very difficult to predict or defend, as they are thrown completely off rhythm, shooting in at three times the speed. …

Lawler uses his constant slow, rhythmic movements to coerce his opponent into matching his rhythm, at which point he abruptly changes the tempo and surprises them with his deceptive speed and power.

There’s little doubt Lawler has the tools to win any fight in the welterweight division. He can hit Hendricks—and hurt him. That isn’t conjecture. We’ve all seen it.

The question, then, is whether he can do it mentally. Can Lawler reach inside himself and give his best performance on the biggest night of his life?

Most fighters never get a shot at the UFC title. Lawler went nearly 13 years, toiling as a journeyman at shows big and small to arrive at that moment. This time, just nine months separate his greatest failure from a second opportunity at redemption.

There may not be another.

With all that swirling around in his head, Lawler has seemingly maintained his equilibrium. Yes, Saturday’s UFC 181 fight matters. It matters a lot. But all he can do is what he does. It’s a simple philosophy, but one that has carried him a long distance in one of the world’s most difficult sports.

“I just go out there and do what I do best, and that’s fight,” Lawler told Bleacher Report’s Finley. “I let my hands and feet go and try to finish fights. I guess fans appreciate that, and that’s what I always looked up to when I watched martial arts and boxing growing up. I always appreciated guys who went out there looking to finish and gave it their all. That’s what I’m looking to do every time I go out there.”

Read more MMA news on BleacherReport.com

Hendricks vs. Lawler 2: Latest Predictions Before Anticipated UFC 181 Main Event

Few highly anticipated bouts live up to the hype, but the first Johny Hendricks-Robbie Lawler bout that took place in March was everything it was made out to be.
On Saturday, the two men will again battle for the UFC welterweight title in the main even…

Few highly anticipated bouts live up to the hype, but the first Johny Hendricks-Robbie Lawler bout that took place in March was everything it was made out to be.

On Saturday, the two men will again battle for the UFC welterweight title in the main event of UFC 181 from the Mandalay Bay Events Center in Las Vegas.

If fans are lucky, we’ll get to see another spirited battle between these two elite fighters at 170 pounds. Hendricks eked out a win last time with a late takedown, but who has the edge this time?

 

Why Hendricks Might Win

Chances are, Hendricks won’t want to stand toe-to-toe with Lawler again. He survived the firefight last time, but trying it again might get him burned. His biggest advantage is in wrestling. That’s how he secured the win, and that could be the direction in which he goes early on in this fight.

Taking Lawler off his feet is the best approach for any opponent—even one with powerful punches like Hendricks.

 

Why Lawler Might Win

Sometimes, a guy loses a tough fight, but he emerges looking like the stronger fighter. That almost seemed to be the case for Lawler after the first bout with Hendricks. 

That fight was a slugfest in which the win set unwritten rules in a stand-up affair. Lawler appeared to win that part of the battle. Hendricks tapped into his grappling background to save his title.

The question remains: Did Lawler break the champion’s spirit? We haven’t seen Hendricks in the Octagon since the first fight with Lawler.

Where is he mentally and physically after recovering from surgery to repair a torn bicep? All of those uncertainties could give Lawler the edge. He hasn’t stopped fighting since he narrowly lost to Hendricks.

Lawler has taken down Jake Ellenberger and Matt Brown to set himself up for another shot. This will be his fourth fight in a little less than nine months. The rhythm, timing and momentum could be on his side.

 

Prediction

Few fighters have improved as much as Lawler since we first saw him back in 2002. His will, striking prowess and takedown defense will push him past Hendricks in the rematch. The more rested fighter will have less in the tank late, and Lawler will become the new champion via unanimous decision.

 

Follow Brian Mazique on Twitter. I dig boxing and MMA.

Follow <spandata:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==

Read more MMA news on BleacherReport.com

UFC 181: Bleacher Report Main Card Staff Predictions

Even the UFC’s most loyal supporter would likely concede that stacked cards are rare in the current MMA climate. Relatively speaking, UFC 181 is quite a treat for the fans, then.
With two titles fights and a stellar supporting cast, there’s…

Even the UFC’s most loyal supporter would likely concede that stacked cards are rare in the current MMA climate. Relatively speaking, UFC 181 is quite a treat for the fans, then.

With two titles fights and a stellar supporting cast, there’s a lot to look forward to on Saturday night.

Johny Hendricks and Robbie Lawler will go at it again for the welterweight crown. Anthony Pettis returns after a lengthy layoff to defend his lightweight title against Gilbert Melendez. Brendan Schaub takes on Travis Browne, and there’s much more besides.

As ever, Bleacher Report’s MMA team is on hand to guide you through the event. Read on for the views of Scott Harris, Craig Amos, Sean Smith, Riley Kontek and me, James MacDonald.

Begin Slideshow

Johny Hendricks vs. Robbie Lawler II: Keys to Victory for Each Fighter

Johny Hendricks and Robbie Lawler are going to do it again.
The two met for the vacant UFC welterweight title at UFC 171 earlier this year. They put on a show in that main event. The fight was back-and-forth, competitive and very exciting. It is on the…

Johny Hendricks and Robbie Lawler are going to do it again.

The two met for the vacant UFC welterweight title at UFC 171 earlier this year. They put on a show in that main event. The fight was back-and-forth, competitive and very exciting. It is on the Fight of the Year shortlist for many.

Hendricks has not defended his title since, but Lawler jumped right back into the fray by defeating Jake Ellenberger and Matt Brown to earn his rematch.

This will be a different fight. Both men learned a lot from their first encounter, and both men will try to make the necessary adjustments to finish their opponent. Each man got rocked by heavy shots in their first fight.

This fight is all about who can make the slight adjustment to win. Here are each man’s keys to victory for the upcoming UFC 181 main event.

 

Lawler‘s Keys to Victory

 

Stuff Takedowns

Hendricks grabbed the final round in large part due to a final takedown. His wrestling is far superior than Lawler‘s, but Lawler has quality takedown defense. He needs to stuff the takedowns on Saturday.

One of Lawler‘s best attributes is his ability to quickly stand. However, the problem with that is the takedown still scores points on the judge’s scorecards. He needs to remain upright.

After eating heavy blows from Lawler in the first fight we may see Hendricks go for more takedowns in the rematch. Lawler needs to be ready.

 

Avoid the Cage

If Hendricks forces Lawler against the fence, he can make his takedowns easier, or imitate a clinch battle that won’t benefit Lawler.

Cirlce away. Get to the center.

Both men are aggressive and come forward, but when Lawler is on his heels he can’t put his back against the fence. Hendricks will try to cut off the cage and put Lawler right in front of him. Lawler‘s best bet is to keep the fight at a distance away from the cage.

 

Make It Dirty

Drag Hendricks into a dogfight like the fight at UFC 171.

If Lawler can make Hendricks brawl, his chances of catching him with a KO shot go up significantly.

Hendricks’ striking is mostly a danger because of his power. He is not nearly as proficient as Lawler on the feet. Lawler can win the grimy slugfests. This is where Lawler can take rounds even if he is unable to finish.

 

 

Hendricks’ Keys to Victory

 

Be Methodical

While Lawler should try to turn this into an ugly brawl, Hendricks should take his time.

It is a 25-minute fight, and he holds the edge in the grappling department. He does not need to throw caution to the wind on the feet nor does he need to go all-out right away for takedowns. Hendricks can take a methodical approach to the early portions of the fight.

Picking his spots for offense early will pay off late.

 

Position, Position, Position

It is almost a guarantee Hendricks will take this fight to the mat at some point, and when he does he needs to control position.

This isn’t the most crowd-pleasing advice, but this is for the title. He should not make stupid mistakes trying to be exciting.

Lawler is great off his back. He gets back to his feet quickly. Hendricks needs to take his time after a takedown to keep Lawler on his back. The judges will reward him even with minimal offense. We have seen that time and again.

Hendricks needs to control position on the mat before trying to find ground-and-pound.

 

Go Back To Your Roots

Wrestle.

Simple.

Hendricks likes to throw haymakers and get into a fun scrap, but that isn’t the best style for a long career. Or a successful title run. Hendricks should get back to his wrestling, and in turn that will open up striking when Lawler lowers his defenses to stop a takedown.

Hendricks waited until the final two rounds at UFC 171 to implement his wrestling. He needs to threaten with it earlier on Saturday. Even if unsuccessful, he makes Lawler think about the takedowns which can lead to success standing. It also makes Lawler work harder early to make him less of a threat deeper in the fight.

Hendricks has to wrestle to win. It’s that simple. He had to rely on it late at UFC 171, and he has to rely on it early at UFC 181.

Read more MMA news on BleacherReport.com

UFC 181: Hendricks vs. Lawler 2 Fight Card, TV Info, Predictions and More

UFC 181 is a pretty big deal. Saturday night’s card at the Mandalay Bay in Las Vegas is stacked. At the head of the 12-fight event are two world-title bouts. Anthony “Showtime” Pettis returns to the Octagon for the first time since winning the UFC ligh…

UFC 181 is a pretty big deal. Saturday night’s card at the Mandalay Bay in Las Vegas is stacked. At the head of the 12-fight event are two world-title bouts. Anthony “Showtime” Pettis returns to the Octagon for the first time since winning the UFC lightweight title in Aug. 2013.

A knee injury has kept Showtime on the shelf, but he’s back and ready to defend his title against Gilbert “El Nino” Melendez.

The former Strikeforce champion has only had two bouts in the UFC, but he’s made an impression. He lost a close split decision to Benson Henderson, and out-slugged Diego Sanchez in a classic bout in Oct. 2013. On Saturday, he’ll get the first crack at post-injury Pettis.

In the marquee matchup, another champion returns from injury. Johny “Bigg Rigg” Hendricks rematches “Ruthless” Robbie Lawler. Hendricks won the vacant UFC welterweight title by narrowly defeating Lawler in March.

After the bout, he had to undergo surgery to repair torn bicep. The rematch with Lawler will mark his return to the Octagon.

Since the tough loss, Lawler hasn’t taken time off. He’s beaten Jake Ellenberger and Matt Brown to thrust himself right back to the head of the line of contenders for Hendricks’ title. 

Lawler is confident and ready for another war. B/R’s Jeremy Botter is hyped for this one:

Here’s a look at the full card, viewing information and predictions for every bout. Just beneath the table is a closer look at the three biggest fights on the card.

 

Browne’s Elbows Will Stop Big Brown

What can Browne do for you?

Depending on how you spell it, it could be everything in this bout. Travis “Hapa” Browne will try to rebound from a lopsided loss to Fabricio Werdum against Brendan “Big Brown” Schaub.

Big Brown lost a controversial decision to Andrei Arlovski in his last bout, but there’s little chance his bout with Hapa goes the distance.

Only four of Browne’s 19 professional fights have been decided by judges. Schaub’s best method of attack will be to try and take Browne down to the mat. That’s easier said than done.

The 6’7″ Browne has defended 85 percent of the takedowns attempted against him in the UFC. What’s worse than simply thwarting the takedowns are the elbows Browne reigns down on opponents as they attempt to take his legs.

Both Gabriel Gonzaga and Josh Barnett felt the brunt of Browne’s elbow attack while going for the takedown. Schaub is a better athlete than both of those guys, but he’s probably not as physically strong. He’ll get caught in the same danger zone and Browne’s elbows will be Schaub’s undoing.

 

Pettis is Too Athletic and Versatile

There’s always a chance a fighter can be rusty after such a long layoff, but after watching the way Dominick Cruz exploded back onto the scene with his decimation of Takeya Mizugaki, we know how good world-class fighters can still be after injuries.

Pettis is a hard worker and one of the smartest in-Octagon competitors in the sport. There’s no doubt in my mind he’ll be physically and mentally prepared to face Melendez. At his best, Pettis is too fast for El Nino.

The fact that Pettis has such a wide range of attacks to throw at Melendez only makes the champion’s advantages more pronounced. As a striker, Pettis should be able to consistently get off first. Melendez is smart, and he’ll be looking to counter. However, there’s very few equalizers in the stand-up game for a man who is flat out quicker.

If the fight goes to the ground, Pettis has a plethora of submission finishes, and his dexterity off his back makes him dangerous even if an opponent has top position. Pettis seems to be looking to finish Melendez:

A KO or TKO finish is possible, but I see it going another way.

Showtime will pick Melendez apart early with strikes from the outside, and he’ll submit him in the third round to complete his triumphant return to the Octagon.

 

Lawler Will Break Hendricks

It wouldn’t be crazy to suggest that because Hendricks hasn’t fought since March, and Saturday’s clash will be Lawler‘s fourth in 2014, that the champion will be the fresher fighter.

That logic makes sense. Only I don’t subscribe to it in this situation.

Hendricks hasn’t been fighting and a good portion of the time away has been spent rehabbing an injury. When you consider Hendricks initially missed weight before the first bout and the fact that he’s returning from a layoff, conditioning could be a concern.

Meanwhile, Lawler has never fallen out of fighting shape. He’s remained focus and dominant while Hendricks has been away.

After beating Ellenberger and Brown and coming within a late takedown of besting Hendricks, Lawler‘s confidence should be sky high.

He’ll need to avoid Hendricks’ attempts to take the rematch to the ground sooner than later. If Lawler can keep the fight standing, he can out-box Hendricks. He’s tasted Bigg Rigg‘s power, and while still formidable, Lawler proved it’s nothing he need be intimidated by.

Late in the fight, Lawler‘s conditioning will take over and he’ll have more energy than Hendricks. This is a tough fight for a guy like Hendricks to take after a layoff, and it’ll show in the last two rounds.

Based on more consistent striking in what will be another great fight, Lawler will win a unanimous decision and the UFC welterweight title.

 

Follow Brian Mazique on Twitter. I dig boxing and MMA.

Follow <spandata:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==

Read more MMA news on BleacherReport.com

Anthony Pettis vs. Gilbert Melendez: Keys to Victory for Each Fighter

Gilbert Melendez is legit.
With good boxing, a hard-nosed approach to the fight game and the ability to exchange in close quarters, he’s as good as a contender can be.
But opposite a polarizing champion and in-cage whirlwind like Anthony “Showtime” Pet…

Gilbert Melendez is legit.

With good boxing, a hard-nosed approach to the fight game and the ability to exchange in close quarters, he’s as good as a contender can be.

But opposite a polarizing champion and in-cage whirlwind like Anthony “Showtime” Pettis, Melendez needs to be extra special when the two meet this weekend at UFC 181.

Slightly overshadowed by the welterweight rematch between champion Johny Hendricks and top-threat Robbie Lawler, Pettis and Melendez have a chance to steal the show.

And with explosive striking and long-lasting cardio they could turn in one of the best fights of 2014.

It’s going to be up to Melendez to close the gap on the feet, limit Pettis‘ offense and inflict damage early to make this the unforgettable collision everyone is hoping it will be.

Here are the keys to victory for each fighter as we enter Saturday’s titanic co-main event:

 

Keys to victory for Pettis

 

Stay away from the cage 

Pettis is at his best when he’s in the middle of the Octagon and timing his strikes.

The second his back goes to the cage Melendez is going to benefit and make up for a loss in quickness.

That’s why Showtime needs to implement some worthwhile combinations on-the-go and potentially time a knee when Melendez moves in.

The champ has excellent balance and the scrambling ability to push off the cage and bring the fight back to the epicenter, but he needs to do damage in the process or Melendez will dictate this fight.

 

Implement early body kicks

Well-known for a nasty kick game, Pettis is always one liver strike away from dropping opponents like Donald Cerrone.

For him to get in a groove early and let Melendez know he means business, landing one or two solid body kicks will do wonders for his cause.

It could be a good way for Melendez to close the distance and shoot for a takedown, so Pettis must be diligent in his attacks.

If his kicks find their home early then it could be all she wrote.

 

Keys to victory for Melendez

 

Come out aggressive

Like many other fighters who strike with precision and time their attacks, Pettis is better as the fight draws on.

In order for Melendez to throw him through a loop and delay his in-fight comfort level, he needs to come out aggressive.

As an in-your-face lightweight who is no stranger to pushing the pace, this shouldn’t be too difficult of a task for the former Strikeforce kingpin. But he must be willing to eat some punches in order to land his own.

Needless to say, he better bring his chin come Saturday night.

 

Gain leverage inside

As it was alluded to before, Pettis is more than likely going to try to keep this fight in the middle of the cage.

It gives him the best area to work in, whether it be his circus-like kicks or timely offensive output.

Knowing this, Melendez has to be willing to fight his way through the champ’s iron-clad defense and wiggle inside. It’s really the only way he’s going to be able to catch Pettis and exchange in succession.

Not to mention he can score valuable points in the process and potentially set up a takedown.

 

For more UFC news and coverage, .

Read more MMA news on BleacherReport.com