Jose Aldo vs. Conor McGregor: Updated Odds, Predictions Before Weigh-In

An official UFC featherweight champion will be crowned Saturday night in Las Vegas when incumbent titleholder Jose Aldo and interim champ Conor McGregor clash at UFC 194.
Aldo and McGregor have just three losses between themselves, and neither of them …

An official UFC featherweight champion will be crowned Saturday night in Las Vegas when incumbent titleholder Jose Aldo and interim champ Conor McGregor clash at UFC 194.

Aldo and McGregor have just three losses between themselves, and neither of them has been defeated during his time in UFC. Both are widely regarded as two of the best pound-for-pound fighters in the world, which is why their meeting is among the most highly anticipated fights in recent memory.

Before Aldo and McGregor weigh in and eventually lock horns, here is a look at both fighters, including the current odds for whom the bookmakers expect to come out on top.

 

Where: MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas

When: Saturday, Dec. 12, at 10 p.m. ET (main card start time)

Watch: Pay-per-view

 

Updated Odds

 

What Aldo’s Saying

The 29-year-old Aldo rides an 18-fight winning streak into UFC 194, but it has been over a year since he last competed because of injury, which has caused many to question if he’ll be able to handle a fighter the caliber of McGregor.

Not surprisingly, Aldo is confident, though, and has had plenty to say about his chances leading up to the contest.

McGregor has done his best to get inside Aldo’s head, and one of his tactics was to tell the Brazilian star on UFC 194 Embedded (via Martin Domin of the Daily Mailhe had sent spies to his training camp.

Aldo turned it around on him, however, by claiming the so-called spies were watching a fighter who is primed to come out on top, per Fox Sports UFC:

There is no question that McGregor is among the top fighters in the world, but much of the publicity surrounding him comes from his outspokenness and brash attitude.

Aldo made it clear he isn’t allowing any of the outside noise to get to him as he is treating the upcoming fight like any other, according to Damon Martin of FoxSports.com:

Every fight the biggest fight of my career, the next one is always the biggest one, so I’m looking at this one as the biggest fight in my career because it’s the next one. To me he’s just the same. I’ve fought a lot of the top fighters out there, and to me he’s really just another opponent that I have to go in there and beat.

Among the two fighters, Aldo is by far the less boisterous competitor, but he has held his own in terms of not allowing McGregor to walk all over him.

Although it could be a different story in the Octagon, Aldo has proved capable of standing toe-to-toe with McGregor during the pre-fight festivities.

 

What McGregor‘s Saying

There is perhaps no bigger character in the world of mixed martial arts than McGregor, and that has been on full display in the weeks prior to his showdown with Aldo.

The 27-year-old Irishman is on an incredible roll in his own right with 14 straight wins, including four in a row by way of knockout.

Stopping his opponent is McGregor‘s preferred way to win fights, and as he told Jim Rome of CBS Sports, he doesn’t believe it will take long to do that to Aldo on Saturday:

Nobody has managed to solve Aldo over the course of his UFC career, yet McGregor doesn’t envision himself having any issues whatsoever.

According to Lance Pugmire of the Los Angeles Times, McGregor believes he is better in all areas and will knock Aldo out regardless of where the flow of the fight takes them:

If the fight stays on our feet, I’m going to finish him. If it goes to the ground, I’m going to finish him. … I’ll be a ghost. He will chase me and I’ll not be there. Jose falls into the same patterns. He moves the same. He kicks and punches the same. It’s repetition. He does the same thing over and over. He’s too predictable.

There is little doubt that much of what McGregor has been saying is a tactic meant to throw Aldo off his game, but at the same time, he has always shown a great deal of confidence in himself.

It is hard to believe that he truly thinks beating an elite fighter like Aldo will be a cakewalk; however, McGregor has mowed down everyone who has stood in his way at the UFC level.

Aldo is unlike anyone he has faced to this point, but that fact doesn’t seem to faze McGregor one bit.

 

Prediction

Aldo and McGregor are two of the best in any weight class, and there is very little separating them in terms of their skills and what they have accomplished thus far.

That is why they are essentially on equal footing from a betting perspective as well. They are evenly matched, and it is easy to envision the fight playing out in any number of ways.

Perhaps the biggest factor that sets them apart, though, is power and finishing ability. Aldo is no slouch in the power department, but he largely relies on going the distance and beating his opponents on the scorecards.

McGregor, on the other hand, is an aggressive fighter who chooses not to tempt fate. That style could get him into trouble, although it hasn’t yet.

Aldo’s long layoff is another wild card that seemingly falls in McGregor‘s favor, as it has been over a year since the Brazilian has fought anyone, let alone someone like McGregor.

Because of all those factors, McGregor will continue to make his case as the male face of UFC with the biggest victory of his career Saturday by way of a third-round knockout.

 

Follow @MikeChiari on Twitter.

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UFC 194 Aldo vs. McGregor Predictions: Main Card Staff Picks

UFC 194, scheduled for Saturday, is the final UFC pay-per-view of 2015. It seems the promotion was indeed saving the best for last because the card is stacked from top to bottom and features a main card full of headline-worthy matchups.
Jose Aldo and C…

UFC 194, scheduled for Saturday, is the final UFC pay-per-view of 2015. It seems the promotion was indeed saving the best for last because the card is stacked from top to bottom and features a main card full of headline-worthy matchups.

Jose Aldo and Conor McGregor pair up for the main event of the night. The bout marks one of the most anticipated clashes in the sport’s history and will determine the undisputed featherweight champion.

The co-main event pits middleweight champion Chris Weidman against No. 1 contender Luke Rockhold in another eagerly awaited title fight.

Throw in some Ronaldo Souza vs. Yoel Romero, a little Demian Maia vs. Gunnar Nelson and some Max Holloway vs. Jeremy Stephens, and you have one good-looking night of fights. 

In preparation of UFC 194 the Bleacher Report’s picks team has assembled to provide you with our best guesses at each main card fight. Read on for prognostications from Scott “M’Hael” Harris, Nathan “The MyrddraalMcCarter, Steven “Rahvin” Rondina, Jonathan “Shaitan” Snowden and Craig “Aginor” Amos.

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UFC 194 Betting Preview: McGregor Odds Favorite Against Aldo in MMA Bout

Two title belts will be on the line Saturday night at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, with the main event of UFC 194 pitting interim featherweight champion Conor McGregor (18-2) against champ Jose Aldo (25-1) in a unification bout.
The two fig…

Two title belts will be on the line Saturday night at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, with the main event of UFC 194 pitting interim featherweight champion Conor McGregor (18-2) against champ Jose Aldo (25-1) in a unification bout.

The two fighters were originally supposed to meet at UFC 189 on July 11, but Aldo had to pull out due to a rib injury. McGregor was then given the opportunity to fight Chad Mendes for the interim title, and his impressive win earned him favorite status versus Aldo.

The betting line opened with McGregor as a solid minus-185 favorite (bet $185 to win $100), although the odds are now closer to a pick ’em.

Aldo has not lost in more than 10 years, winning 18 in a row, with most of his time split between the WEC and the UFC. He opened as a plus-150 underdog (bet $100 to win $150) and has seen bettors back him during fight week despite not entering the Octagon since October 25, 2014, when he earned a unanimous-decision victory against Mendes at UFC 179.

The other title fight on the UFC 194 card will take place in the co-main event, as unbeaten middleweight champ Chris Weidman (13-0) will face top contender Luke Rockhold (14-2).

Weidman will be defending his belt for the fourth time and for the first time since knocking out Vitor Belfort at UFC 187 on May 23. Rockhold, the former Strikeforce middleweight champ, has won four in a row after making a disappointing UFC debut more than four years ago in Brazil, where he got knocked out by Belfort.

Like the main event, early betting action has been on the underdog Rockhold, who opened at plus-135 but was down to plus-115 as of late Wednesday night. Weidman opened as the minus-165 favorite but has since fallen to minus-145.

Rockhold has earned four consecutive performance bonuses following his loss to Belfort, with three submissions and a TKO. Weidman has knocked out four of his previous five opponents, with three of those knockouts happening in the second round, including former middleweight champ Anderson Silva twice.

He upset Silva for the middleweight title at UFC 162 on July 6, 2013.

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UFC 194 Spotlights an Aging Middleweight Division in Need of Exciting Prospects

Chris Weidman (13-0) and Luke Rockhold (14-2) will take to the cage at UFC 194 this Saturday to determine who is the top dog at 185 pounds. The MGM Grand Garden Arena plays host to the phenomenal middleweight title tilt but also features two highly ran…

Chris Weidman (13-0) and Luke Rockhold (14-2) will take to the cage at UFC 194 this Saturday to determine who is the top dog at 185 pounds. The MGM Grand Garden Arena plays host to the phenomenal middleweight title tilt but also features two highly ranked middleweights.

No. 2-ranked contender Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza (22-3, 1 no-contest) and No. 3-ranked Yoel Romero (10-1) meet on the main card.

The two fights are simply stellar, but when stepping back to look at the division as a whole, there is something very glaring. It’s old. Very old.

The champion and challenger at UFC 194 are in their prime (Weidman, the champion, is 31, as is Rockhold), but few else are in the same boat.

The co-main event participants both also have extensive wear and tear on their bodies from years and years of grappling. Before the 36-year-old Souza and the 38-year-old Romero made they transition to MMA, they were competing at elite levels, putting their bodies through rigorous training and matches. Neither man is a spring chicken.

Why is this an issue? It speaks to a larger problem the middleweight division has. Its biggest contenders and stars are aging.

The average age of the top 10 middleweights is 34, and that number is only brought down substantially by No. 8-ranked Robert Whittaker (15-4), who is 24. Everyone else in the division is 30 or older. This has to be concerning to the UFC. Where are the up-and-comers?

Jacare vs. Romero is a fight many fans are looking forward to, but looking down the line, it doesn’t appear that either man has a long future in this sport. It would be a marvel if either of them turned out to be a long-term champion. The UFC is in constant need of young stars, and other than Whittaker, there doesn’t appear to be any at 185 pounds.

It was a division ruled by Anderson Silva for nearly a decade, and as his dominance grew, so did interest in the weight class. The talent pool certainly deepened during his reign. Weidman has benefited from The Spider’s reign but still cannot break off into his own. In each of his four title defenses, including UFC 194, the UFC has paired him with another title tilt, including twice with Ronda Rousey.

The UFC continues to put Weidman, and the division as a whole, on a big stage. Given that one would have hoped that the division would have had an influx of interesting young fighters that were clear-cut, top-tier prospects. And that has not happened.

This may be a harsh realization because many of the aging fighters are fan favorites and still put on exciting performances. It’s a quality division on the whole. But there is no getting around the lack of prospects on their way up the ranks.

Enjoy UFC 194—it may be the last time you get to see two men in their physical prime compete for that title for some time. And that’s a shame because whoever comes out on top in the main event deserves to have athletes in their prime to defend their crown against each time out—and the fans deserve that too.

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Conor McGregor’s Audacious UFC Takeover Plan Nearing Completion

It was July 2014 when Conor McGregor, in front of his home country’s fans, attempted to stamp his future, barking the phrase, “We’re not here to take part, we’re here to take over.” 
At the time, it seemed just another audacious thing to say. Whil…

It was July 2014 when Conor McGregor, in front of his home country’s fans, attempted to stamp his future, barking the phrase, “We’re not here to take part, we’re here to take over.” 

At the time, it seemed just another audacious thing to say. While he had already proven himself to be intriguing and exciting, he was just 3-0 in the UFC and hadn’t beaten anyone inside of the top 10. Through his confidence, he commanded the sport’s attention, but skeptics abounded.

There was plenty of reason for doubt. The creation of a true box-office superstar requires a vast array of elements and circumstances, mixed with luck and timing. You generally need a winning fighter with a dynamic skill set, a raconteur’s verbal delivery, a compelling personal history, and the intangible ability to connect with audiences. 

 

The exclusion of any of those may be enough to torpedo a rise. To consider how many elements are necessary is to understand how many things can go wrong on the way. Maybe everything else is right but the marquee fight never comes together. Maybe there is a language barrier, or he/she simply lacks the necessary charisma. Maybe the fighter just isn’t good enough. Any single deficiency might be the one to trigger the audience to switch the channel, click on another story or otherwise ignore a worthy athlete.

What you see in McGregor is a perfect storm of personality, skills and circumstance translating into green.

For the longest time, it was accepted by many that women and lighter-weight fighters could never draw huge numbers to MMA. Ronda Rousey proved the former untrue. Now McGregor is disproving the latter. Moreover, with a win over Jose Aldo in the UFC 194 main event Saturday, he may actually soon equal or eclipse Rousey in star power.

Breaking through the walls of MMA and into the cultural zeitgeist is a rarity, but McGregor has already began to breach the niche, as evidenced by his recent profiling in The Wall Street Journal and feature appearance on Jimmy Kimmel Live!

“Hollywood is screaming for me,” McGregor said during the recent UFC 194 conference call. 

Pre-fight hyperbole? Not really. Arnold Schwarzenegger is a declared fan. So is Mike Tyson. And Jean Claude Van Damme. And The Rock

Why? It’s hard not to notice or respect the box office numbers that McGregor has put up. Facing short-notice replacement Chad Mendes at UFC 189 in July, the event drew a $7.2 million gate, setting a new record for a U.S. MMA event. While most of those tickets were sold before Aldo withdrew with a rib injury, an Aldo-headlined event had never before cracked $3 million.

Moreover, even when fans learned Aldo was out, they didn’t abandon McGregor. Instead, about 825,000 ponied up the cash to watch McGregor stop Chad Mendes on pay-per-view. At an average price point around $55, the broadcast drew around $45 million in revenue.

When McGregor and Aldo finally do face off on Saturday, the matchup delay is expected to result in even higher revenues. UFC president Dana White recently said the UFC 194  box office gate at Las Vegas’ MGM Grand Garden Arena will surpass $9 million. 

That not only would crush the mark set in July, it would also exceed the gate numbers of UFC 193 in Melbourne, Australia, which drew 56,214 fans for a gate of $6.8 million. McGregor-Aldo is also expected to threaten the 1 million buy mark on pay-per-view, a rarefied number only reached a handful of times in UFC history.

One month after Rousey lit the box office on fire, McGregor might blow her numbers away.

“We are on two different paths, and so I don’t really focus on her situation or anyone else’s situation but my own,” he said on the UFC 194 teleconference. “I’m just doing my own deal and what I’m doing, I’m carrying this whole damn game, and I love it. It feels light. The game, I’m carrying it on my shoulders, but it honestly feels light to me. I feel like they don’t see the squats with the whole game on my shoulders because it ain’t nothing.”

That’s a bit of bluster, but some braggadocio is deserved. For all of Aldo’s greatness, he’s never been a fraction of the draw McGregor has become.

 

From the moment he stepped foot in the UFC Octagon for the first time, Aldo was magic. A sinewy Brazilian with a combustible offense that always seemed on the verge of detonation, Aldo has at times seemed unbeatable, as if he could turn his performance up one level higher than any opponent on demand.

He is the first and only featherweight champion to date, with a reign that precedes the division’s entree into the UFC. For six years, he has carried the gold, and the target that comes with it. His win streak goes back a full decade. 

Despite all of his success, Aldo has been woefully short in one category of stardom: the ability to move audiences. He has never been a pay-per-view draw, and in fact, he is mostly seen and portrayed as the foil to McGregor rather than the star. McGregor-Mania is in such full swing that he was installed as the favorite, and he’s stayed there. 

Does any of this bother Aldo? 

“I mean, the guy’s working for me. He’s basically making me money so how could I be angry with him?” he said during the teleconference.

Aldo has repeatedly called McGregor a “clown,” signifying his belief that the Irishman is more entertainer than athlete, but some of that is likely with a wink to the audience. Aldo recognizes the payday, and while he may not like McGregor’s approach, his willingness to play along will indeed line his pockets, so why not play along?

 

“There is no persona,” McGregor said. “There is no act. I’m only a man, I’m telling my opponent what I’m going to do, how I’m going to do it. I’m assessing and dissecting their game, their life, their mental approach, I’m dissecting everything, and that’s it. It’s no persona, it’s no nothing. In that particular time when you’re on a world tour and doing these press conference, people ask you questions. And I’m simply running with it and telling the truth as to what I believe.”

McGregor has mostly been correct in these predictions, earning the nickname “Mystic Mac” from those who have tracked his prognostications. 

Unseating Aldo is the next one up. Then is a headlining spot at Dublin’s Croke Park. If McGregor can draw such huge numbers and money in the U.S., what could he do in his home country, in a stadium that holds over 80,000? Returning home with an undisputed championship and all the momentum that comes with it, he would likely break the all-time MMA gate record, still held by UFC 129 in Toronto ($12.075 million).

At just 27 years old, McGregor could easily weather a loss and rebuild his popularity. He can recover as long as his personality stays magnetic and his skills remain flashy. But that’s entertaining a possibility that he won’t acknowledge. So imagine if he wins. Imagine if he breaks Aldo’s 10-year win streak. Imagine if he captures the belt, steals all the headlines, and adds to his leverage and pull. One month after UFC’s biggest draw lost, the heir is poised to assume the throne and expand the empire. It’s as if he saw it coming. 

 

Mike Chiappetta is an MMA Senior Columnist for Bleacher Report. Follow him on Twitter. 

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UFC 194: Latest Aldo vs. McGregor Odds, Predictions and Pre-Weigh-in Hype

The long-awaited, much-anticipated featherweight championship bout between Jose Aldo and Conor McGregor finally happens on Saturday at UFC 194. 
The UFC originally scheduled a matchup between Aldo and McGregor at UFC 189 in July, but Aldo suffered…

The long-awaited, much-anticipated featherweight championship bout between Jose Aldo and Conor McGregor finally happens on Saturday at UFC 194

The UFC originally scheduled a matchup between Aldo and McGregor at UFC 189 in July, but Aldo suffered a rib injury in training that forced him to withdraw from the fight. McGregor kept his place on the card, knocking out Chad Mendes in the second round to win the interim featherweight title. 

Because both fighters are recognized as titleholders, the UFC is promoting this as champion vs. champion. Aldo is listed as the best pound-for-pound fighter in the world on the UFC’s official website, with McGregor at No. 12. 

McGregor doesn’t have to validate his standing in the sport, but there may not be a fighter who takes more pleasure in proving everyone wrong. He’s going to be aware of where the UFC has him ranked compared to Aldo and use it as extra motivation for the fight. 

 

Pre-Weigh-In Hype

McGregor enters the fight with all the hype because of his ability inside the Octagon, as well as his charisma on the microphone, but many are ignoring the vast body of work Aldo has built up over years of fighting. 

It’s not like Aldo is an old fighter, either. He’s just 29 years old—22 months older than McGregor—and hasn’t lost since November 2005.

Offering a prediction to Brett Okamoto of ESPN.com, Urijah Faber outlined some of the ways Aldo will give McGregor problems:

The more well-rounded guy is Jose Aldo. We saw the way Chad Mendes was able to handle Conor on the ground. He didn’t offer much from his back and didn’t offer much takedown defense. In the stand-up realm, I think it’s very close. Conor is a seasoned, fluid striker. Aldo is explosive. I think Aldo does a better job of using all his limbs — knees, elbows and kicks. I lean toward Aldo, but if it stays standing, it’s anybody’s fight.

Aldo has been more methodical since transitioning to UFC, recording just two stoppages in seven fights, but there is knockout power in his strikes when he really digs in. 

Frankie Edgar, who was on the receiving end of one of Aldo’s beatings at UFC 156, doesn’t understand why Aldo is the underdog in this bout, per MMA Noise (via MMAMania.com):

Anything can happen, McGregor has definitely been holding his own in there and doing it in pretty good fashion. But, I think Aldo is going to take it. Yeah, you just can’t talk about it if you don’t back it up because you will be forgotten about and people won’t want to hear what you’re saying. He’s been backing it up. I think he’s had some good matchups for himself and some favorable situations where Chad’s coming in on short notice, but, this is going to be the biggest test for him.

McGregor’s star is certainly on the rise, thanks in large part to four consecutive wins by TKO. He’s become one of UFC’s most marketable assets, which increases the pressure on him coming into Saturday night. 

However, speaking to Steven Marrocco and John Morgan of MMAJunkie.com, McGregor is going to take a lesson from Ronda Rousey’s recent defeat to Holly Holm to manage expectations:

Holly came out of the dark – in the shadows – and that can help a person. Have you ever seen ‘Rocky 3?’ Rocky was doing ads and doing talk shows and doing this and doing that while Clubber Lang was coming up in the shadows, hungry. I felt maybe that was a reference to that fight.

There aren’t many fighters in the world who would pull out a Rocky III reference, but McGregor certainly does have a point. He’s making the media rounds and selling this fight to anyone who will listen, so trying to balance that commitment with training and mental preparation is difficult. 

Sticking with Rocky III, Aldo is talking about McGregor like Clubber Lang was talking about Rocky Balboa before their first match, per Damon Martin of Fox Sports:

Every fight the biggest fight of my career, the next one is always the biggest one, so I’m looking at this one as the biggest fight in my career because it’s the next one. To me he’s just the same. I’ve fought a lot of the top fighters out there, and to me he’s really just another opponent that I have to go in there and beat.

While McGregor may not be “just another fighter,” there is a blueprint to defeat him. The Ireland native has two losses in his career, both by submission. Granted, his last loss came in 2010 and many things have changed since then. 

But going back to Faber’s comments, McGregor doesn’t do well on the ground or in takedown defense. Aldo is the kind of fighter who will adapt to any kind of scenario, while McGregor wants to keep things standing to utilize his striking ability. 

With very little separating Aldo and McGregor in talent, the difference comes down to the fighter who can do more. No one in mixed martial arts is better than Aldo in terms of being a chameleon. He’s coming into this title unification bout as the underdog but will walk out the undisputed featherweight champion. 

Prediction: Aldo wins by third-round submission

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