UFC Live Marquardt vs Story

Welterweight bout: Nate Marquardt vs Rick Story I’m thinking Rick Story on the upset. Heavyweight bout: Cheick Kongo vs Pat Barry Everytime I pick Pat Barry he loses. I’m going to try again. Pat Barry. Welterweight bout: Matt Brown vs John Howard Only way I see Matt Brown winning this is via submission, I guess […]

Welterweight bout: Nate Marquardt vs Rick Story

I’m thinking Rick Story on the upset.

Heavyweight bout: Cheick Kongo vs Pat Barry

Everytime I pick Pat Barry he loses. I’m going to try again. Pat Barry.

Welterweight bout: Matt Brown vs John Howard

Only way I see Matt Brown winning this is via submission, I guess it could come from decision as well. I don’t think Howard will get TKO’d though. The more active Matt Brown probably wins this, but I’m feeling opposite and going with a Howard TKO.

Heavyweight bout: Matt Mitrione vs Christian Morecraft

Mitrione

Preliminary card (Facebook)

Featherweight bout: Tyson Griffin vs Manvel Gamburyan

Griffin was KO’d recently. Usually this now lends the possibility of being KO’d again. I’ll go with my Judo brudda here Gamburyan. This should be fight of the night though.

Featherweight bout: Joe Stevenson vs Javier Vazquez

Stevenson

Lightweight bout: Joe Lauzon vs Curt Warburton

Lauzon

Welterweight bout: Daniel Roberts vs Rich Attonito

Roberts

Welterweight bout: Charlie Brenneman vs TJ Grant

Grant

Lightweight bout: Nik Lentz vs Charles Oliveira

Charles Oliveira

Featherweight bout: Ricardo Lamas vs Matt Grice

I got Grice in his return.

Lightweight bout: Michael Johnson vs Edward Faaloloto

Michael Johnson

UFC 130 Predictions

This card was plagued with pre-fight injuries. So many fights have been shuffled around here. These are my picks. Rampage vs Hamill Rampage Frank Mir vs Roy Nelson I’ve got Frank Mir in this one. Thiago Alves vs Rick Story I’ve got Alves. Struve vs Browne I’ve surprisingly got Browne here. Stann vs Santiago I’ve […]

This card was plagued with pre-fight injuries. So many fights have been shuffled around here. These are my picks.

Rampage vs Hamill

Rampage

Frank Mir vs Roy Nelson

I’ve got Frank Mir in this one.

Thiago Alves vs Rick Story

I’ve got Alves.

Struve vs Browne

I’ve surprisingly got Browne here.

Stann vs Santiago

I’ve got Jorge Santiago here.

Torres vs Johnson

Torres

Grove vs Boetsch

Grove

UFC 129 St Pierre vs Shields

George St Pierre vs Jake Shields If you take the Dan Henderson vs Jake Shields fight and remember that Henderson had Jake in bad places early in that fight before tiring out and laying on the ground for a few rounds. Now imagine if Henderson had crisp clean striking, cardio for days, a game plan, […]

George St Pierre vs Jake Shields

If you take the Dan Henderson vs Jake Shields fight and remember that Henderson had Jake in bad places early in that fight before tiring out and laying on the ground for a few rounds. Now imagine if Henderson had crisp clean striking, cardio for days, a game plan, speed, and a sick ground game. If you can imagine that then you can see George St Pierre easily winning this fight.

If this fight turns into a grappling game, Shields probably has a minor edge. If this stays on the feet, Shields has no chance and I mean NONE. I like St. Pierre even with the heavy favorite roll.

Jose Aldo vs Mark Hominick

Despite me thinking Aldo will likely win, Hominick is an excellent bet at +295. He won’t have reach, he won’t have speed, and he won’t have variety that Aldo brings. However, all it takes is one punch and Hominick carries his own sack of power. I like Hominick here as a value play.

Vladimir Matyushenko vs Jason Brilz

Perfect matchup here for these two stocky brawny wrestlers. I like Matyushenko here.

Randy Couture vs Lyoto Machida

If Randy beats Machida, he should end on a high note. He is coming in as a heavy underdog against Machida on the early line of -330 over at Intertops.

Machida has problems on his back. Can Randy take him down and beat him for 3 rounds? Yes I THINK SO.

If Randy stands with Machida it will be a short night. Machida’s style tends to take awhile to unravel. Randy tends to get better over the course of multiple rounds. Both fighters styles will have them meeting and peaking near the end of the fight and should make for an entertaining matchup.

I like Randy in this fight in the heavy underdog position.

Mark Bocek vs Ben Henderson

This is such a tough one to call. I think I’m running with Bocek here in his backyard.

Preliminary card (Spike TV)

Nate Diaz vs Rory MacDonald

Awesome fight. Rory can hit and take big hits. Problem is he’s been KO’d a decent amount now and it seems to be happening easier. Not only that he doesn’t have the ground game of Nate Diaz, not even close.

I like Diaz to win at any odds.

Sean Pierson vs Brian Foster

Pass

Preliminary Card

Claude Patrick vs Daniel Roberts

Daniel Roberts

Ivan Menjivar vs Charlie Valencia

Ivan Menjivar

Jason MacDonald vs Ryan Jensen

MacDonald back in the UFC. A one time title contender taking on the up and coming Ryan Jensen. Jensen’s wrestling and ground work as well as submission defense is good. MacDonald is decent everywhere, but best on the ground. MacDonald is probably an underdog, but I don’t see it on the early lines.

I like MacDonald to win here regardless.

John Makdessi vs Kyle Watson

Pass

Yves Jabouin vs Pablo Garza

Pass

Jardine Mousasi Fight, Highway Robbery?

I don’t think so. I gave Jardine the first round plus Mousasi lost a point in addition. Mousasi won the other two rounds so it was a draw. Jardine did enough in the last 2 rounds for them NOT to be 10-8 rounds. Nowadays many people are looking for 10-8 rounds, but they should be […]

I don’t think so.

I gave Jardine the first round plus Mousasi lost a point in addition. Mousasi won the other two rounds so it was a draw. Jardine did enough in the last 2 rounds for them NOT to be 10-8 rounds. Nowadays many people are looking for 10-8 rounds, but they should be in rare occasions and these were definitely not 10-8 rounds.

Strikeforce Diaz vs Daley

Main Card Welterweight Championship bout: Nick Diaz (c) vs Paul Daley Its no secret, I’ve made it known on this blog, that the Diaz brothers are in my favorite fighters of all time list. Nick Diaz can take punches and Paul Daley can deliver them. Diaz also a puncher, but he is the kind that […]

Main Card

Welterweight Championship bout: Nick Diaz (c) vs Paul Daley

Its no secret, I’ve made it known on this blog, that the Diaz brothers are in my favorite fighters of all time list. Nick Diaz can take punches and Paul Daley can deliver them. Diaz also a puncher, but he is the kind that wears you down with a relentless pace. Frank Shamrock has said the punches hurt even though they don’t look like there is anything on them. When Jake Shields fought Paul Daley he quickly took him down and submitted him via armbar. I expect the same scenario from Nick Diaz. However, Diaz won’t take him down so quickly. The reason is because he wants to put on a show, like he always does and show Daley who the champ is.

Pretty much the only way Daley stops Diaz is by KO. Daley doesn’t have a good record going the distance and his takedown defense better have improved because imo, as good as Jake Shields is on the ground, Nick Diaz is right there with him. They train together so maybe that’s why?!

Nick Diaz can win this in the first round if he wants to, so I’m taking Diaz easily.

Lightweight Championship bout: Gilbert Melendez (c) vs Tatsuya Kawajiri

Both of these guys are straight wrestlers from the beginning of their careers. However, Melendez has a better all around game. Kawajiri hasn’t fought well on US soil and I’m thinking Melendez wins this one via decision. Kawajiri is very tough and can absorb punishment and I think he will be a sponge and absorb all Gilbert Melendez puts on him.

Light Heavyweight bout: Gegard Mousasi vs Keith Jardine

I’m going with the upset here and taking Jardine. The reasons are Mousasi hasn’t fought a guy like Jardine and he doesn’t fight guys as big as Jardine regularly. However, Jardine has fought bigger guys before and has excellent cardio. I think Jardine has enough striking and ground game to give Mousasi problems. More particularly is that this is a 3 round fight. This is important because when Mo Lawal fought Mousasi, Lawal was very aggressive and Gegard was fighting backwards and had trouble. Jardine is a very aggressive fighter and i think in 3 rounds, Gegard may not have enough time to turn the fight around.

Lightweight bout: Shinya Aoki vs Lyle Beerbohm

Shinya Aoki is a submission specialist and I’m not sure that term is enough to describe him because that is pretty much all he does. He has weak kicks and crappy punches, but his submission game is top notch. He is an expert at getting his opponents in completely vulnerable positions where he can either pound out a win or submit the guy. Lyle Beerbohm on the other hand is a wrestling specialist and a grinder. He is excellent at escaping submissions and reversals. His striking is better than Aoki’s as well.

I don’t see Aoki winning this fight and am going with the underdog Beerbohm.

Preliminary Card

Featherweight bout: Hiroyuki Takaya vs Robert Peralta

Takaya

Heavyweight bout: Brett Albee vs Virgil Zwicker

Pass

Lightweight bout: Joe Duarte vs Saad Awad

Taking the UFC vet, Duarte.

Welterweight bout: Herman Terrado vs AJ Matthews

Pass

Featherweight bout: Rolando Perez vs Edgar Cardenas

Pass

Middleweight bout: Casey Ryan vs Paul Song

Pass

UFC 128 Jones vs Rua

Light Heavyweight Championship bout: Maurício Rua (c) vs Jon Jones I’ve got Jon Jones winning this one. Rua might be the more powerful fighter here, but Jones is more dangerous in more places. Bantamweight bout: Urijah Faber vs Eddie Wineland Faber. Lightweight bout: Jim Miller vs Kamal Shalorus Miller should be able to keep this […]

Light Heavyweight Championship bout: Maurício Rua (c) vs Jon Jones

I’ve got Jon Jones winning this one. Rua might be the more powerful fighter here, but Jones is more dangerous in more places.

Bantamweight bout: Urijah Faber vs Eddie Wineland

Faber.

Lightweight bout: Jim Miller vs Kamal Shalorus

Miller should be able to keep this on the feet and out box Shalorus. This fight should be awesome as Shalorus is world class wrestler which will completely nullify Miller’s takedowns. Miller those is far superior in the boxing department where Shalorus wings bombs over and over. You know what I’m changing my pick. Shalorus via decision.

Middleweight bout: Nate Marquardt vs Dan Miller

Nate Marquardt. Better everywhere.

Heavyweight bout: Mirko Filipovic vs Brendan Schaub

Brendan Schaub. Younger fighters seem to be giving Mirko problems.

Preliminary card (Spike TV Card)

Light Heavyweight bout: Luiz Cane vs Eliot Marshall

Luiz Cane easily. Well he won’t necessarily win easily, but I think its a easy pick.

Lightweight bout: Edson Barboza vs Anthony Njokuani

No pick, but like seeing Njokuani fight.

Preliminary card (Facebook)

Welterweight bout: Ricardo Almeida vs Mike Pyle

Ricardo Almeida doesn’t want to get choked out again. I don’t think Pyle is going to get that shot. I like Almeida here.

Lightweight bout: Kurt Pellegrino vs Gleison Tibau

If Gleison fights at his best he will be too strong and big for Pellegrino who has had problems against bigger fighters.

Preliminary card

Bantamweight bout: Joseph Benavidez vs Ian Loveland

Benavidez

Featherweight bout: Erik Koch vs Raphael Assunção

Assunção

Catchweight (195 lb) bout: Nick Catone vs Costantinos Phillipou

No pick