Filed under: UFC
There are a few things that most people think they’re very good at, regardless of whether they really are. Driving is one of those things. So is sex. Less titillating, but still important, is calculating probability.
Take the phenomenon known as confirmation bias, for instance. Simply put, it states that people are more likely to put undue weight on information that supports their existing beliefs than on information that refutes them. This seems especially relevant in light of the recent dust-up between MMA trainer Greg Jackson and UFC president Dana White, as well as the ensuing comment storm over it on the internet.
According to White, Jackson encourages a boring, overly conservative approach in his fighters, and this is a consistent pattern. According to Jackson, the fact that his fighters have taken home 12 bonus awards in 22 events in 2010 (and for the record, when Jackson said ‘half your bonuses went to my guys,’ we can assume that what he meant is they won a bonus half the time, not half of all bonuses handed out – he’s too smart to be that bad at math) proves that White’s assessment is completely unfounded.
So who’s right? As far as I can tell, your answer depends on what you think of the issue before you ever hear the evidence.