Nine Ways of Looking at UFC 134

Filed under: UFCUFC 134 in Brazil promises to be memorable for a variety of reasons. Here are just a few of them, in no particular order or importance.

I. “Yushin Okami is not only the biggest middleweight I’ve ever fought,” Mike Swick told me once, “…

Filed under:

UFC 134 in Brazil promises to be memorable for a variety of reasons. Here are just a few of them, in no particular order or importance.

I. “Yushin Okami is not only the biggest middleweight I’ve ever fought,” Mike Swick told me once, “He might be the biggest middleweight I’ve ever seen.” In fact, it was a decision loss to Okami that convinced Swick he was in the wrong weight class, since he just could compete with Okami’s size and strength. It may not always come across on TV, but Okami isn’t just a good wrestler — he’s a powerhouse. He’s the kind of fighter who can, if he has to, take you down and lay on you until the judges declare him the winner. For a champion whose biggest weakness is his takedown defense, that’s a legitimate problem.

II. But how much time will Okami get to work on the ground, anyway?
Let’s be honest here: if Okami tries to go all human blanket on Silva for five full rounds, the Brazilian crowd is going to let him have it. No referee is going to admit it, but a continuous stream of boos has hastened more than one ref stand-up in MMA history. It shouldn’t, of course. The third man in the cage should remain oblivious to everything outside of it. That’s easier said than done, however. Sure, Bob Dylan had the fortitude to get booed every night when he went electric, but does Mario Yamasaki have that same iron will that Dylan had? Could Herb Dean power through “Like a Rolling Stone” even as the hate poured down on him? I’m not so sure. Let Okami get a couple rounds of takedowns and ground control under his belt, and we may find out.




III. There are two ways to beat
Mauricio “Shogun” Rua. One is to be a vastly superior fighter, as Jon Jones was. The other is to deal with his bull rush in the early going, absorbing and/or deflecting his aggression as best you can, then turn it up in the later rounds when he’s burned through his jetpacks. The latter is what Forrest Griffin did the first time they met, whether intentionally or unintentionally, and it’s his best chance in the rematch. He’s bigger, stronger, and if he can make Rua carry some of that weight and wear himself out, that’s when Griffin can put him away. Skill-for-skill, Rua is probably the more gifted fighter, but Griffin has a way of just hanging around. Some nights, that’s enough.

IV. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira hasn’t fought in a year and a half. During that time, he also had knee and hip surgery. Now he’s coming back to fight Brendan Schaub, who’s looking to continue the legend-slaying tour he began with a knockout of Mirko “Cro Cop” Filipovic in March. Anybody else seeing disaster in the works for Big Nog? He’s the kind of fighter who seems to have crammed three careers worth of action into the last decade, and now he’s not looking quite so spry or resilient anymore. Schaub is a big, young, hungry heavyweight. Unless Nogueira can pull off a hail mary submission off his back — possibly after being knocked there by a Schaub right hand — it’s hard to see how he wins this.

V. If you’ve been looking for a chance to get to know more Brazilian fighters, you’re in luck.
In all, fourteen Brazilians are competing on this card, ranging from ones you might know (ever hear of this Anderson Silva guy?) to ones you might not (Erick Silva and Luis Ramos, for instance, who will be debuting in the UFC against one another). In other words, even though he’ll be there to corner his buddy Okami, this might not be the night for Chael Sonnen to regale the boys backstage with his particular brand of cultural insult comedy.

VI. Once more unto the breach for Ross Pearson. The British lightweight was on his way up the ladder until that surprising loss to Cole Miller, then he bounced back with a decision over Spencer Fisher. The time for gradual build-ups is apparently over, because now he gets the Brazilian buzzsaw, Edson Barboza, who’s been known to make audience members cry just from witnessing his brutal leg kicks in person. Okay, so that last part is just a rumor I’m trying to start, but the point is it could be true. Pearson has a seriously tough night ahead of him against Barboza. Even if he pulls off the upset, chances are he’ll be hobbling through the airport in the morning.

VII. How good is Dan Miller‘s leglock defense?
We’re about to find out. Miller’s never been submitted in his MMA career, but he’s also never fought an enemy of knee ligaments everywhere quite like Rousimar Palhares. “Toquinho” has won three of his last four with submissions below the waist. As long as he can keep his head in the game and avoid another costly mental lapse like the one he suffered against Nate Marquardt, he has the potential to be a real problem for Miller, who could really use a win right about now.

VIII. Pity poor Ian Loveland and Yves Jabouin.
Theirs is the only fight on the card that doesn’t feature at least one Brazilian. Will that make it a novelty for the Rio fans, or just the perfect moment to visit the concessions stand? It is on the prelims, and early on in the night, too. If the crowd is operating on Brazilian time, they may miss it entirely.

IX. There’s just no way Anderson Silva will be anything but one hundred percent serious while fighting in his home country, right? I mean, it’s one thing to screw around in Abu Dhabi, but Rio? No chance he decides to samba for five rounds here. Not in front of family and friends, not to mention his big time corporate sponsors and his reactionary boss. Not on your life, right? Right?

 

Permalink | Email this | Linking Blogs | Comments

UFC 134 Predictions

Filed under: UFCWill Anderson Silva improve to 14-0 in the UFC, or will Yushin Okami pull off one of the biggest upsets in MMA history? Can Shogun Rua avenge his loss to Forrest Griffin, or does Griffin have Rua’s number? Does Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira …

Filed under:

Anderson SIlva will face Yushin Okami in the main event of UFC 134.Will Anderson Silva improve to 14-0 in the UFC, or will Yushin Okami pull off one of the biggest upsets in MMA history? Can Shogun Rua avenge his loss to Forrest Griffin, or does Griffin have Rua’s number? Does Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira have anything left, or is Brendan Schaub going to knock Big Nog into retirement? Those are the questions I’ll answer as I predict the winners at UFC 134.

What: UFC 134: Silva vs. Okami

When: Saturday, the Spike TV preliminaries begin at 8 PM ET and the pay-per-view starts at 9.

Where: HSBC Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Predictions on the five pay-per-view fights below.




Anderson Silva vs. Yushin Okami
Okami is the last man to defeat Silva: On Jan. 20, 2006, the two fought in the first round of a Rumble on the Rock tournament, and Silva was disqualified when he kicked Okami in the head on the ground. To the extent that their first meeting is relevant to their rematch, however, it should give Silva more confidence than it gives Okami: Silva was in control of the bout during all the stand-up exchanges until that unfortunate illegal kick the first time the fight went to the ground.

So what would Okami have to do to pull off the historic upset? The key for Okami would be to fight Silva the way Chael Sonnen fought Silva — except for the part where Sonnen got caught in a submission in the fifth round. Okami is a powerful grappler who has good takedowns and might just be able to do some of the same things to Silva that Sonnen did.

But Okami’s wrestling isn’t on the same level as Sonnen’s, and even if Okami is able to take Silva down, he’s going to have a hard time keeping Silva down. And Okami isn’t anywhere near Silva’s class as a striker. Is it possible that Okami could grind out a decision and become the new middleweight champion? Yes. Is it likely to happen? No. I think Silva wins by TKO.
Pick: Silva

Maurício Rua vs. Forrest Griffin
The co-main event is also a rematch, of Griffin’s upset victory over Rua at UFC 76. Going into that fight, most people thought Rua — a Pride wrecking machine making his UFC debut — would run through Griffin, who was very popular but known mostly for his stint on The Ultimate Fighter. Instead it was Griffin who finished Rua with a rear-naked choke in the third round.

Rua is again a big favorite this time around, as most people seem to think that Rua is healthier now than he was then, and that Griffin, at age 32, isn’t quite the fighter he once was. But I’m not convinced. I think Griffin’s size and strength is going to be tough for Rua to handle on the ground, and Griffin’s use of leg kicks will be very important to slowing Rua down. I see Griffin winning a hard-fought decision.
Pick: Griffin

Brendan Schaub vs. Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira
Nogueira has had a long and honorable MMA career spanning more than a decade, and he’s finally fighting in his native Brazil for the first time. So it would be great to see him put on a phenomenal performance.

Unfortunately, there’s not much reason to believe Nogueira has any phenomenal performances left in him. He’s been inactive for a year and a half, so ring rust may be a problem, and in his last fight he was knocked cold by Cain Velasquez. Nogueira was once legendary for his chin, but that knockout loss to Velasquez — as well as Nogueira’s TKO loss to Frank Mir at UFC 92 — has me thinking Schaub could put him to sleep.

Schaub is a former football player who only started fighting three years ago, so he’s got nothing close to the experience of Nogueira, but he’s strong as a bull and hits like a Mack truck. I expect Schaub to handle Nogueira, and as a longtime Minotauro fan, I just hope it’s not an ugly loss.
Pick: Schaub

Ross Pearson vs. Edson Barboza
Pearson won Season 9 of The Ultimate Fighter and has shown since then a real propensity for landing effective punches and putting on exciting fights. But Barboza is a different kind of striker, a guy whose leg kicks are legendary and who is capable of finishing opponents with his hands, his elbows or his knees. The 25-year-old Barboza is 8-0 and a rising star in the lightweight division, and he should earn his biggest victory to date against Pearson.
Pick: Barboza

Luiz Cane vs. Stanislav Nedkov
Win or lose, Cane’s fights usually end quickly: He’s been to the second round just twice in his 14-fight career. The 11-0 Nedkov is also a finisher, with five wins by technical knockout and four by submission, so don’t expect this fight to go the distance. I think Cane will welcome Nedkov to the UFC with a TKO win.
Pick: Cane

 

Permalink | Email this | Linking Blogs | Comments

UFC 134 FIght Card Predictions: Randy Couture Predicts Barboza vs. Pearson

On Saturday, August 27 the UFC will return to Brazil for the first time since October 16, 1998. That event, “Ultimate Brazil” was headlined by a middleweight title bout between Frank Shamrock and John Lober, but it is perhaps best remembered for…

On Saturday, August 27 the UFC will return to Brazil for the first time since October 16, 1998. That event, “Ultimate Brazil” was headlined by a middleweight title bout between Frank Shamrock and John Lober, but it is perhaps best remembered for the 44 second beating Vitor Belfort gave to Wanderlei Silva. 

The promotion will bring UFC 134 to the HSBC Arena in Rio next Saturday and the event, like the first UFC Brazil event, will be headlined by a middleweight title fight as Anderson Silva defends his title against Yushin Okami.  The co-main event will feature Mauricio “Shogun” Rua facing Forrest Griffin. In all, 14 Brazilian fighters will be competing on the 12 fight card. Only one contest will be without a Brazilian fighter.

A lightweight bout between Ross Pearson and Edson Barboza will take place on the main card of UFC 134. Barboza has a record of 8-0 in his MMA career and judging from the comments that Tom Atencio makes in the below video he is criminally under appreciated for a fighter that has been compared to Jose Aldo.

Pearson comes into the fight with a record of 12-4 with his last win being against Spencer Fisher.

UFC 134 Fight Card: Can Yushin Okami Beat Anderson Silva?

If you have read any story about this weekend’s UFC 134 event that will take place in Brazil you have undoubtedly learned that almost each and every story has begun with the same exact focus, Yushin Okami being the last fighter to score a victory …

If you have read any story about this weekend’s UFC 134 event that will take place in Brazil you have undoubtedly learned that almost each and every story has begun with the same exact focus, Yushin Okami being the last fighter to score a victory over Anderson Silva. While some would consider the introduction to be lazy writing, it’s not, it’s a way to focus on how impressive a feat Silva’s 14 fight winning streak is and if not for the illegal upkick that cost him the first Okami fight, his streak could possibly be at 17 consecutive victories. When the two do meet in the main even at UFC 134, that fight which took place in January 2006 will surely be in the minds of both fighters.

The oddsmakers are not giving Okami much of a chance, listing Silva at -525 and Okami at +375.  Translated to a percentage, those numbers put Silva as an 84 percent favorite, which judging from MMA fan commentary may actually be on low side of things. The odds are not a reflection on Okami as much as they are a statement on how dominant a fighter Silva has become since his loss to Okami.

13 of Silva’s 14 straight wins have come in the UFC.  Eight of those wins have been in defense of the UFC middleweight title he captured in October 2006 when he defeated Rich Franklin via first round TKO.  The 13 straight wins and the eight consecutive title defenses are both UFC records.

In the words of UFC president Dana White, “He hasn’t lost a fight in five years. He’s never lost in the UFC. The last time he lost was to Yushin Okami in October 2006. He’s got the most title defenses ever, with eight. He’s got the longest (UFC) win streak ever, at 13-0. And in my opinion, he’s the greatest mixed martial artist ever. Ever, period.”

To say that Okami, who has quietly gone 12-3 since his win over Silva, is being given little chance to defeat Silva, is an understatement. But Okami is not just a bump in the road to another UFC record victory for Silva. The man the White recently called “The best fighter ever to come out of Japan,” does stand a chance in this fight.

If Okami follows the blueprint of his current training partner and the man that was within 110 seconds of taking Silva’s title at UFC 126, Chael Sonnen, he could lay claim to being the only fighter to score two victories over Silva.

Sonnen came out at UFC 117 and took the fight to Silva, something that many opponents of Silva have failed to do. Sonnen showed zero fear, using his wrestling to dominate Silva for most of the five round battle.  The end came for Sonnen when Silva capitalized on an opening that was given to him, grabbing the submission win via a triangle/arm bar with less than two minutes remaining in the fifth and final round. At the time he tapped out, Sonnen was ahead on all three judges scorecards and would have been declared the new UFC middleweight champion if he had not submitted.

Okami is a better wrestler than Silva and has strong ground and pound. He also has never been submitted in 31 professional fights.  If Okami can secure takedowns and stay in top position he may, however unlikely it seems, earn a decision victory, especially when one considers MMA judges propensity for scoring in favor of fighters that hold top position.

UFC 134 News: Forrest Griffin Says He Isn’t Getting Better

“It quit being fun when I realized I wasn’t getting better. I’m plateauing or almost getting worse sometimes,” said Forrest Griffin, when speaking of his career as a fighter. “One of the essential elements to have in this is your perceive…

“It quit being fun when I realized I wasn’t getting better. I’m plateauing or almost getting worse sometimes,” said Forrest Griffin, when speaking of his career as a fighter. “One of the essential elements to have in this is your perceived expectation of the future, and I’m a painful realist, so I realized that I’m not going to get better; this is it.”

Griffin recently took to Yahoo! Sports, blogging about his training and preparations for UFC 134, his perspective of himself as a fighter, and his life outside of mixed martial arts.

The former UFC Light Heavyweight Champion has fought once already this year, defeating Rich Franklin at UFC 126, and now he’s scheduled to rematch Mauricio Rua this Saturday in Rio. The two met for the first time at UFC 76, with Griffin winning the fight by rear-naked choke in the third round.

Before the Franklin fight, Griffin had a long lay off and he seems happy to be fighting on a regular basis again.

“This camp is definitely easier coming off a fight, as opposed to my last camp before the fight against Rich Franklin, which came after almost 15 months off. Anytime you think about ring rust and travel and camps back-to-back, it helps not having any bad injuries and being able to train consistently.”

Elaborating on that point, Griffin went on to talk about his training camps in a more general sense.

“I’ve been in the UFC for more than six years, but I ain’t got it figured out when it comes to training and training camps. In fact, I think I’m doing everything wrong and I think for my next fight I’m gonna go somewhere for five or six weeks and see what they do.”

As far as training camps he would like to try out, Griffin mentioned the American Kickboxing Academy as one he would like to look into.

From there, the blog took a bit of a dark turn, as Griffin shared some of his feelings about being a fighter.

“You’d think me not having stuff figured out yet would keep it exciting. Not really. It ain’t been exciting, fresh or fun since 2008. It’s a job, it’s money, and I have a great job, I realize that. Just because it’s work doesn’t mean I’m not gonna do it. You man up and you do your job.”

That might seem like a depressing way of looking at things, but Griffin also made a point of saying that there are perks to competing in the UFC that he really does enjoy.

“I make a lot of money doing this, and I love money and I love the freedom and ability money gives you. I’m having a kid and my kid ain’t gonna ever want for anything. My little brother wants to go to college, so he’s going to college. The only thing that gives my mom pleasure in life is buying stuff off QVC, and I’m gonna pay those bills. I paid my mom’s house off. My wife’s family needs help? I’m gonna take care of that.”

It seems that the take away point of this blog is that Griffin’s heart is no longer in the fight game, or, at the very least, he doesn’t have the same love for it that he used to.

Will Griffin’s apparent lack of motivation have any effect on his performance this weekend against Mauricio Rua?

Tune into UFC 134: Silva vs Okami this Saturday and find out.

Read more MMA news on BleacherReport.com

UFC: The 10 Most Anticipated Upcoming Non-Title Fights the Rest of 2011

Championship fights. They’re what every fighter wants to be in, they’re what every fan wants to watch. But that doesn’t mean that non-title fights deserve any less respect. So far this year, fighters like Donald Cerrone, Brian Ebersole, Chris Lytle, Di…

Championship fights. They’re what every fighter wants to be in, they’re what every fan wants to watch. But that doesn’t mean that non-title fights deserve any less respect. So far this year, fighters like Donald Cerrone, Brian Ebersole, Chris Lytle, Diego Sanchez, Martin Kampmann, Brian Stann, Rashad Evans, and Tito Ortiz have put on amazing performances in non-title fights.

With all 7 UFC Championships scheduled to be defended between now and Thanksgiving, many fights with title implications that would normally be Main Event-level fights are now getting 2nd and 3rd billing to the championship fights.

Here’s 10 non-title fights everybody should be watching out for the rest of the year.

And, here we go:

Begin Slideshow