The UFC Middleweight division has long been ruled by the most feared and successful striker in MMA history, champion Anderson Silva. And perhaps more so than in smaller divisions, striking has been a good predictor of success at Middleweight. So examining this division in core striking performance metrics should provide good insight to how fighters will fare against each other in standup. A full explanation of the chart and variables is included at the end of this post.
But first, let’s see how the whole division stacks up against each other, and look at the winners and losers.
The Winners
Sniper Award: Two fights into his UFC career, cross-trained Dutchman Michael Kuiper has landed 49% of his power head strikes. We’ll see if he can maintain this in his upcoming matchup with veteran brawler Tom Lawlor in Sweden. Honorable mention must be given to Anderson Silva who has maintained 40% accuracy over his lengthy and dominant career. And also noteworthy is Italian boxer, Alessio Sakara, currently on the bench for health reasons.
Energizer Bunny Award: Strikeforce veteran Roger Gracie has been almost doubling the striking output of opponents on his way to a string of submission wins in typical Gracie fashion. Some grapplers use strikes to set up their mat-work, others don’t. Honorable mentions go to former champ Rich Franklin, and Strikeforce champ and crossover contender Luke Rockhold, who each tend to outpace their opponents by over 80%.
Biggest Ball(s) Award: The UFC record holder for knockdowns is Anderson Silva. He is literally the best in the business at dropping dudes. Statistically, when Silva lands a power head strike, there’s a 27% chance it will result in a knockdown, which is just ridiculous. These skills have won him Knockout of the Night honors seven times in the UFC.
(Click chart for full-size version. For previous Databombs, click here.)
The UFC Middleweight division has long been ruled by the most feared and successful striker in MMA history, champion Anderson Silva. And perhaps more so than in smaller divisions, striking has been a good predictor of success at Middleweight. So examining this division in core striking performance metrics should provide good insight to how fighters will fare against each other in standup. A full explanation of the chart and variables is included at the end of this post.
But first, let’s see how the whole division stacks up against each other, and look at the winners and losers.
The Winners
Sniper Award: Two fights into his UFC career, cross-trained Dutchman Michael Kuiper has landed 49% of his power head strikes. We’ll see if he can maintain this in his upcoming matchup with veteran brawler Tom Lawlor in Sweden. Honorable mention must be given to Anderson Silva who has maintained 40% accuracy over his lengthy and dominant career. And also noteworthy is Italian boxer, Alessio Sakara, currently on the bench for health reasons.
Energizer Bunny Award: Strikeforce veteran Roger Gracie has been almost doubling the striking output of opponents on his way to a string of submission wins in typical Gracie fashion. Some grapplers use strikes to set up their mat-work, others don’t. Honorable mentions go to former champ Rich Franklin, and Strikeforce champ and crossover contender Luke Rockhold, who each tend to outpace their opponents by over 80%.
Biggest Ball(s) Award: The UFC record holder for knockdowns is Anderson Silva. He is literally the best in the business at dropping dudes. Statistically, when Silva lands a power head strike, there’s a 27% chance it will result in a knockdown, which is just ridiculous. These skills have won him Knockout of the Night honors seven times in the UFC.
The Losers
Swing and a Miss Award:Jason MacDonald and the aforementioned Roger Gracie only land 10% of their power head strikes. Perhaps that’s ok, since both guys are grappling specialists. It remains to be seen with Gracie, but MacDonald’s lack of standup skills has put him on the wrong end of Knockout of the Night awards in the past.
Starnes Award for Inaction: While Michael Kuiper has been very accurate so far, he also been very much a counter striker. He only had half the total striking output of his opponents to date. Some notable grapplers also show up on the far left, like Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza and Rousimar Palhares. Jacare will have his hand full with the streaking Cypriot, Costa Philippou, while Palhares is still recovering from a beatdown from bomber Hector Lombard.
Smallest Ball(s) Award: Only 12 of the fighters shown have yet to score a knockdown in the UFC. But Jason MacDonald has yet to do so despite over 80 minutes of Octagon time.
Also Noteworthy
The high frequency of the red bubbles shows how successful Southpaws have been in the UFC Middleweight division. Twelve of the 44 fighters shown in the graph are left-handed, about three times the baseline rate for the population at large.
The Middleweights also pack a punch. The fighters shown above have recorded 114 knockdowns in their time in UFC and Strikeforce cages. Amazingly, Anderson Silva owns 17 of those.
Like other divisions, Middleweights show the same tradeoff between volume and accuracy. Counter-strikers tend to be more accurate, but must sacrifice volume while evading opponents, which is dangerous on judges’ cards. And high volume, forward pressing fighters tend not to land with as high accuracy.
This weekend at UFC on Fuel TV 8, watch for a clash between the heavy-handed Hector Lombard, and seasoned counter-striker Yushin Okami. If Lombard wants to test Okami’s chin, he’ll have to improve his movement to cut off the cage and get close. The matchup will certainly have implications on the UFC rankings for the division.
Only two divisions left to look at. Next week we’ll see how Georges St-Pierre stacks up with the rest of UFC Welterweights, and then we’ll look at the big boys.
How the Analysis Works:
In order to understand standup striking performance, which is more multifaceted in MMA than it is in boxing, I need to boil down a few of the most important variables that determine success as a striker. These are fairly uncomplicated variables in isolation, but together they can summarize a fighter’s overall capabilities. Here, I’ve focused on three fundamental, offensive metrics:
Accuracy: I’ve used power head striking accuracy (as opposed to body or leg strikes, or jabs to the head), where the average for UFC Middleweights is about 26%. Certainly, great strikers can attack the body and legs, but the most likely way to end a fight by strikes is by aiming at the head. And in order to keep this comparison apples-to-apples, we can’t have a guy that throws a lot of high accuracy leg kicks skewing his accuracy stat. The accuracy of the power head strike is a great indicator of a fighter’s striking prowess, and there’s a wide range within a single division as we’ll see. This is the vertical axis, so more accurate fighters are higher in the graph.
Standup Striking Pace: Prior analysis reveals that outpacing your opponent is a key predictor of success, and certainly correlates with winning decisions as it reflects which fighter is dictating the pace of the fight. Here, I’ve used the total number of standup strikes thrown as a ratio to the same output from a fighter’s opponents. All strikes attempted from a standup position are counted, including body shots and leg kicks. This is the horizontal axis in the graph, and the average for the whole division must be 1, so fighters with superior pace appear further to the right.
Knockdown Rate: The objective of every strike thrown is to hurt your opponent, and knockdowns reflect a fighter that has connected with a powerful strike. I’ve used the total number of knockdowns a fighter landed divided by the number of landed power head strikes to see who does the most damage per strike landed. The size of the bubble for a fighter indicates their relative knockdown rate; the bigger the bubble, the higher their knockdown rate. The very small bubbles indicate fighters who have yet to score a knockdown in their Zuffa fights.
The data includes all UFC, WEC, and Strikeforce fights through 2012, including UFC 155. Some of these fighters competed in other weight classes or at catchweight, but for the purposes of this analysis, that data was still included and analyzed. Fighters with only one fight or less than 15 minutes of fight time were not included in the graph.
(Oh yeah, this guy is headed over as well. Thank God for that.)
As we reported yesterday, Jorge Gurgel’s claim that the fighters who came up short at Strikeforce: Marquardt vs. Saffiedine would find themselves out of a UFC contract was not exactly truthful. KJ Noons, Kurt Holobaugh, and Anthony Smith, for example, all suffered defeats at the event and were ironically the first names to be mentioned in the Strikeforce/UFC…migration, I guess?
On last night’s edition of UFC Tonight, the full list of Strikeforce fighters who would be making the transition to the big leagues was announced, and suffice it to say, there were a couple rather puzzling omissions and inclusions. After the jump is that full list, along with our thoughts on who some of these gentlemen should face in their UFC debuts.
(Oh yeah, this guy is headed over as well. Thank God for that.)
As we reported yesterday, Jorge Gurgel’s claim that the fighters who came up short at Strikeforce: Marquardt vs. Saffiedine would find themselves out of a UFC contract was not exactly truthful. KJ Noons, Kurt Holobaugh, and Anthony Smith, for example, all suffered defeats at the event and were ironically the first names to be mentioned in the Strikeforce/UFC…migration, I guess?
On last night’s edition of UFC Tonight, the full list of Strikeforce fighters who would be making the transition to the big leagues was announced, and suffice it to say, there were a couple rather puzzling omissions and inclusions. After the jump is that full list, along with our thoughts on who some of these gentlemen should face in their UFC debuts.
We know what you’re thinking, “WHERE’S BRANDON SALING?!”
Also notably absent from this list is that of Josh Barnett, who dispatched notable can Nandor Guelmino on the main card, and Estevan Payan, the famously dispatched Bellator veteran who also scored a win last Saturday and currently holds a 2-0 record in SF. Also heading over to the UFC but not included on this list is that of Bobby Green, who is already scheduled to face Jacob Volkmann at UFC 156.
Now, for the matchups.
Gegard Mousasi – An incredible striker with ever-improving grappling, we think a good first fight for Mousasi would be against an Igor Pokrajac-level fighter. Pokrajac has fought 9 times in the UFC, and recently suffered a loss to Joey Beltran that was overturned to a NC after Beltran tested positive for Nandrolone.
Luke Rockhold – He’s been scheduled to face Lorenz Larkin for what feels like years now, and if he can stay healthy long enough to actually fight under his new promotion, we say the UFC kills two birds with one stone with that matchup.
Tim Kennedy: It’s sink or swim time for everybody’s favorite drag queen Army Ranger, who has shown an ability to control most of his opponents on the mat while continuously appearing out of his element on the feet. A matchup against the similarly grappling-based but heavy handed Mark Munoz, who should finally be recovered from his various injuries in the near future, seems like a perfect test for both men.
Tarec Saffiedine: Throw the newly crowned welterweight champ the winner of the Rory MacDonald/Carlos Condit rematch if you’d really like to see how far his technical counter-striking game can take him. Of course, if you think he’s earned a warm up fight, give him Mike Pierce, a perennial top contender who has now collected three straight in the octagon.
Nate Marquardt: When he can walk on his own power again, we say give him Thiago Alves, who is literally one of the only upper-level guys in the welterweight division without a currently scheduled fight. If anything, it will show us whether or not Marquardt can learn to check a leg kick.
Ryan Couture: Tony Ferguson. I don’t know why, but something about where these two currently sit in the lightweight division just makes sense.
So, Potato Nation, do you like these potential matchups, and who would you suggest the remaining Strikeforce fighters square off against first?
If our past few posts are any indication, it doesn’t really matter what the subject of this article is, because you Taters will inevitably turn the comment section into a discussion on a feller who goes by dipsetkilla, whether he fucked your mom or not, and how gay you would be based on whether he fucked your mom or not. Personally, I think we should have dipset and bootystar (remember him?) engage in a winner-takes-all battle of incoherent superiority. Then again, dipset is probably hitching up his trousers and throwing a five dollar bill on my mother’s nightstand as we speak, so clearly I have a dog in this fight. Maybe I just miss bootystar and such whimsical gems as: “I bet the gladiator got asked cuz he was caught starring at the pork barrel sausage in the littereen next to his bald headed one yed jack of pades” but I digress.
Aaannnyyway…a pair of bouts have been added to Strikeforce’s stacked (LOL!) final card that will feature Luke Rockhold vs. Mr. Glass, Daniel Cormier vs. some dude, Josh Barnett vs. Imhotep, and Whoshisface vs. Whatshisname. We don’t mean to over-hype these fights, but needless to say, they will forever change your definition of the word “Superfight.”
If our past few posts are any indication, it doesn’t really matter what the subject of this article is, because you Taters will inevitably turn the comment section into a discussion on a feller who goes by dipsetkilla, whether he fucked your mom or not, and how gay you would be based on whether he fucked your mom or not. Personally, I think we should have dipset and bootystar (remember him?) engage in a winner-takes-all battle of incoherent superiority. Then again, dipset is probably hitching up his trousers and throwing a five dollar bill on my mother’s nightstand as we speak, so clearly I have a dog in this fight. Maybe I just miss bootystar and such whimsical gems as: “I bet the gladiator got asked cuz he was caught starring at the pork barrel sausage in the littereen next to his bald headed one yed jack of pades” but I digress.
Aaannnyyway…a pair of bouts have been added to Strikeforce’s stacked (LOL!) final card that will feature Luke Rockhold vs. Mr. Glass, Daniel Cormier vs. some dude, Josh Barnett vs. Imhotep, and Whoshisface vs. Whatshisname. We don’t mean to over-hype these fights, but needless to say, they will forever change your definition of the word “Superfight.”
First up, an interesting clash at lightweight between rising star Ryan Couture and falling star K.J. Noons. Currently 5-1 under the Strikeforce banner, not Randy Couture will be looking to end his SF career with four straight wins against the struggling Noons, who has dropped three of his last four in the promotion including a near death-by-wrestlefucking at the hands of Josh Thompson in his last appearance.
In other news, Roger Gracie will be looking to build on his recent victory over Keith Jardine at Strikeforce:Rockhold vs. Kennedy when he takes on Anthony “Lionheart” Smith, who recently submitted Lumumba Sayers via triangle choke at Strikeforce: Rousey vs. Kaufman to improve his SF record to 2-1.
Random fact: If Mike Kyle can make it to his fight with Gegard Mousasi this time, he will have competed on the very first and very last Strikeforce MMA cards. Cover your eyes, Gegard, because some thumbs will be comin’ your way if history is any indication.
Alright, now that we’ve got past all that boring MMA stuff, can we please get back to where the hell CAPSLOCKHAL and Xeno have been?
It’s a shame that Strikeforce is getting the Bamboo Lounge treatment, but after the entertaining main card that those of us who watched were treated to, at least the promotion is fading into obscurity with dignity.
Strikeforce Middleweight Champion Luke Rockhold earned a convincing unanimous decision over the formidable Tim Kennedy. He came forward with an aggressive striking attack throughout the fight, managing to stuff numerous takedown attempts as well. Granted, Kennedy never seemed like he was in danger of being knocked out or submitted, but that’s far more of a testament to how game Kennedy is than it is a criticism of Luke Rockhold.
“And now there’s a tree in the woods involved? Geez, throw me some more curveballs, Dana!”
It’s a shame that Strikeforce is getting the Bamboo Lounge treatment, but after the entertaining main card that those of us who watched were treated to, at least the promotion is fading into obscurity with dignity.
Strikeforce Middleweight Champion Luke Rockhold earned a convincing unanimous decision over the formidable Tim Kennedy. He came forward with an aggressive striking attack throughout the fight, managing to stuff numerous takedown attempts as well. Granted, Kennedy never seemed like he was in danger of being knocked out or submitted, but that’s far more of a testament to how game Kennedy is than it is a criticism of Luke Rockhold.
For the twenty-seven year old, the Strikeforce championship has to feel far more like a curse than an achievement. He’s arguably a top-ten middleweight, but can’t book a fight against a big enough name to prove this. He’s defeated virtually everyone that Strikeforce can offer him, yet still has to stick around to be used as a measuring stick for guys like Roger Gracie and Lorenz Larkin (more on that later). In the post-event press conference, Rockhold called for a rematch with Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza, because hey, what else can he rally for? All of the top non-Zuffa middleweights are going to be offered UFC contracts without even discussing the possibility of sending them to Scott Coker. And frankly, when the UFC is in the position to offer a top non-Zuffa middleweight a laughably bad contract, that speaks volumes about the “future plans” for Strikeforce.
On a slightly less depressing note, Nate Marquardt answered almost all of the questions that we had about him after his year-long absence from the sport in his welterweight title fight against up-and-comer Tyron Woodley. How did he look without using TRT? Pretty damn good, if you managed to catch the fight. Is he still a dynamic striker? Was he able to keep his power while dropping to welterweight? Did his cardio hold up by the end of the fight? Could he still be a top-tier fighter in a new weight class after all of the time away from competition? Yes to all of the above – just ask Tyron Woodley’s face after eating those elbows and uppercuts.
Of course, the only question that remains unanswered is can Nate “The Great” do the same thing against the UFC’s welterweights. To which, we can do nothing but speculate for the time being.
As for Roger Gracie and Lorenz Larkin, I say make them fight each other before putting them up against Luke Rockhold. Both fighters looked impressive last night, but I’m not convinced that either guy is ready for a title shot yet.
This is especially true in Roger Gracie’s case; his fight was far more of a wake-up call for Keith Jardine that he should retire than a breakout performance for Roger. This isn’t meant to disrespect either fighter, but when you manage to land only three strikes in the first round – and five total power strikes, according to the Strikeforce announcing crew – against a Gracie on your way to a unanimous decision loss, it’s time to call it a career. “The Dean of Mean” is the same fighter that had been figured out years ago, except now he’s in the twilight of his career. A prospect that’s ready for the big leagues can beat an opponent like Keith Jardine, and that’s exactly what Gracie did…
…Wait, didn’t I write the exact same thing last time Jardine got in the cage? Yeah, I did. You looked good in your middleweight debut, Roger Gracie, but failure was literally never an option against Jardine. I’ll need to see one more convincing victory before I clamor for a title shot.
Likewise, Lorenz Larkin was always small and doughy at light-heavyweight. When he decided to drop to middleweight, we all assumed it would be a good idea. Sure enough, Larkin looked convincing in his middleweight debut against Robbie Lawler. While the aging veteran managed to rock Larkin early on, Lorenz Larkin kept his composure and out-struck him for the remainder of the fight, earning the unanimous decision victory. But again, I’d like to see one more test for Larkin before Strikeforce offers him a title shot. Lawler always shows up ready to scrap, but let’s be honest with ourselves – he’s also in the final stages of his career and has lost three of his last four outings.
For the time being, I say let Rockhold have his rematch against Jacare and let Larkin fight Gracie. It may not be the best option, but it’s probably the easiest option. And the easiest option for Strikeforce is just business as usual.
Luke Rockhold vs. Tim Kennedy In the headlining fight of the night, Luke Rockhold defended his middleweight title with a unanimous 49-46 decision victory over challenger Tim Kennedy. Rockhold controlled the majority of the fight.
Luke Rockhold vs. Tim Kennedy
In the headlining fight of the night, Luke Rockhold defended his middleweight title with a unanimous 49-46 decision victory over challenger Tim Kennedy. Rockhold controlled the majority of the fight and did enough to win even if his performance wasn’t overwhelming. Kennedy was game but simply didn’t have the skills to threaten Rockhold. He struggled with the size and reach disadvantage throughout the fight and was never able to impose his gameplan.
The first round was one that could have been scored for Kennedy on the strength of one of his few takedowns. He managed to stay on top of Rockhold and maintain control but was unable to do any significant damage. Rockhold controlled most of the rest of the round pushing Kennedy against the cage and landing a few right hands. The second round saw Rockhold begin to take control of the fight. He stuffed Kennedy’s takedowns and scored one of his own. He took Kennedy’s back briefly and worked for a choke but never got close to finishing. Again, he landed several right hands and generally controlled the pace of the fight. The third round was Kennedy’s best as he gained his most dominant position by climbing to Rockhold’s back after a takedown. Again, this round could have been scored for Kennedy and was probably the one the judges gave him. The fourth round saw the most significant moment of the fight with Rockhold landing another right hand but this time landing clean enough to drop Kennedy. He attacked for the finish but Kennedy survived. The fifth round saw little action, which is a bit disappointing considering that an optimistic view could have had the fight at two rounds each. But neither fighter seemed to feel a sense of urgency and Rockhold deserved the round based mostly on cage control.
Neither fighter was overly impressive in the fight but Rockhold earned the decision and the right to retain his belt. As is the case in most divisions, Strikeforce doesn’t have much to offer in terms of competition at middleweight so we’ll have to wait and see who’s next for Rockhold. Kennedy has established himself as a quality fighter but has now lost twice in title fights and seems unlikely to ever hold the belt. A match with Lorenz Larkin would seem to make sense after his victory over Robbie Lawler earlier in the night.
Nate Marquardt vs. Tyron Woodley
Nate Marquardt made the most of his first fight in Strikeforce scoring an impressive knockout over Tyron Woodley. The fight also marked his first appearance at 170 lbs and the weight cut didn’t seem to impact his performance at all. At this weight, he’s going to be tough to deal with and shouldn’t have much competition in Strikeforce. Hopefully, he can put together one or two more performances like this and get a second chance in the UFC.
The fight started with Marquardt and Woodley both landing big right hands. Woodley’s landed on the temple and staggered Marquardt. But Marquardt was able to defend, recover and take over the fight from there. The key going in to this fight was whether or not Woodley would be able to take Marquardt down and we found out quickly that he was not able to do so. Marquardt stuffed every takedown attempt easily and the only way Woodley was ever able to get the fight to the mat was by scoring knockdowns with his punches. But Marquardt was the one landing the majority of the strikes and continuously battered Woodley with right hands. By the end of the first round, Woodley was barely able to stand and seemed to not be fully aware of where he was when the round ended. Woodley came out tentative and still hurt in the second round. Marquardt took advantage and continued to batter him with strikes. Woodley seemed to wilt as the round continued and Marquardt was in full control of the fight by the end of the round. But Woodley wasn’t done yet and showed his heart by exploding on Marquardt to open the third round. He dropped Marquardt with a flurry of punches and tried to finish but couldn’t land anything clean enough to end the fight. Marquardt recovered and was back in control of the fight by the end of the round. He then came out in the fourth wasting no time and looking to end the fight. He landed several big combinations before eventually backing Woodley against the cage and landing an impressive elbow and punch combination to score the knockout. Woodley was never going to win the fight unless he could consistently earn top position and once Marquardt established the pattern of the fight as a striking match, the outcome was inevitable.
Marquardt is clearly the best welterweight in Strikeforce and should hold the belt for as long as he wants. No one currently in the division is a threat to him. Realistically, he should be in the UFC but based on all the drama surrounding his release, who knows if that will ever happen. For Woodley, this will either be the fight that establishes his ceiling or the fight that motivates him to work harder than he ever has before. If his gutsy performance to start the third round is any indication, he will come back stronger from this loss. He has the wrestling base and athleticism to be a title contender but he simply does not have the experience to compete with someone like Marquardt. As his striking becomes more fluid and he can mix it with his wrestling, he still has the potential to become a championship caliber mixed martial artist.
Roger Gracie vs. Keith Jardine
The second fight of the night was a bit of a head scratcher. Roger Gracie completely dominated the first two rounds. But he was only able to dominate because Jardine showed an egregious lack of discipline. To start each of the first two rounds, Jardine rushed Gracie putting himself off balance and allowing Gracie to score easy takedowns. From there, Gracie completely dominated the ground game as would be expected. He repeatedly made his way into dominant positions and used them to slice Jardine’s face with elbows. He also spent a significant amount of time in the second round on Jardine’s back and was probably only prevented from locking up a rear naked choke because of all the blood pouring out of Jardine’s head making it difficult to hold on to any submissions. The fight was clearly over after the second round unless Jardine could pull off a finish. In the third round, Jardine executed the exact gameplan he should have used in the first two rounds. Instead of rushing in recklessly, he stayed on the outside and despite all the punishment he had already taken, was able to win the round. Two of the judges gave that round to Gracie but I can only assume their scoring was basically a carry over from the first two rounds. Had Jardine employed that strategy for all three rounds, he probably would have won the fight because Gracie showed nothing to indicate that he could have scored a takedown without Jardine so anxiously throwing himself off balance. Regardless, Gracie earns the victory and will likely get a tougher fight in his next appearance. Unfortunately for those who want so desperately to see a Gracie climb the MMA ranks again, he showed little improvement in his wrestling and striking. His shots lacked explosion. His chin was high and waiting to be hit. Better and smarter fighters than Jardine will exploit those weaknesses. Jardine continues to slide down the rankings and has now lost both of his fights at 185 lbs. Strikeforce’s relatively weak middleweight roster will likely ensure that he gets more fights but at this point, he can no longer be considered a serious threat.
Robbie Lawler vs. Lorenz Larkin
In the opening fight of the main card, Lorenz Larkin outstruck Robbie Lawler on his way to a decision victory. The fight went exactly the way most people thought it would. Both fighters came to the cage looking to strike. Lawler landed a solid right hand to Larkin’s temple early in the opening round but was not able to take advantage and finish the fight. After than, Larkin controlled the fight and Lawler seemed to fade as the fight continued. Larkin showed the more diverse striking game as expected and Lawler was never able to land the type of power shot that could have earned him the victory. Larkin showed no ill effects from his first cut to 185 lbs. However, he still needs to develop the rest of his game if he hopes to be a serious contender. Lawler remains essentially a gatekeeper in the middleweight decision and should continue to provide interesting matchups for Strikeforce because of his willingness to stand.
(Luckily, Scott Coker was there to break the tension with one of his trademark sauerkraut farts. I’m sorry, I usually don’t go that lowbrow, but nobody’s reading this, right? / Props: Esther Lin/Showtime)
If you’re here with us tonight, we thank you and welcome you. Tonight, Strikeforce is presenting a title fight double-bill, with Luke Rockhold attempting to make his second middleweight belt-defense against Tim Kennedy, and Nate Marquardt and Tyron Woodley throwing down for the vacant 170-pound strap. Plus, Robbie Lawler welcomes Lorenz Larkin to the middleweight division, and Keith Jardine gets a third chance to earn a win in Strikeforce, this time against BJJ scion Roger Gracie.
We’ll be giving you round-by-round results from the Showtime main card starting at 10 p.m. ET. Refresh the page every few minutes for all the latest, and feel free to discuss Gustav Klimt and Michael Clark Duncan’s heart-attack in the comments section.
(Luckily, Scott Coker was there to break the tension with one of his trademark sauerkraut farts. I’m sorry, I usually don’t go that lowbrow, but nobody’s reading this, right? / Props: Esther Lin/Showtime)
If you’re here with us tonight, we thank you and welcome you. Tonight, Strikeforce is presenting a title fight double-bill, with Luke Rockhold attempting to make his second middleweight belt-defense against Tim Kennedy, and Nate Marquardt and Tyron Woodley throwing down for the vacant 170-pound strap. Plus, Robbie Lawler welcomes Lorenz Larkin to the middleweight division, and Keith Jardine gets a third chance to earn a win in Strikeforce, this time against BJJ scion Roger Gracie.
We’ll be giving you round-by-round results from the Showtime main card starting at 10 p.m. ET. Refresh the page every few minutes for all the latest, and feel free to discuss Gustav Klimt and Michael Clark Duncan’s heart-attack in the comments section.
Robbie Lawler vs. Lorenz Larkin
Larkin’s not doing the pink-streak-in-his-hair thing tonight? I feel like I don’t know this man anymore. Ranallo and Miletich talk about how Robbie Lawler’s got his asthma under control, so look out, world.
Round 1: Larkin takes the center of the cage. Lawler throws a tentative kick to make first contact. Each man respecting the other’s power. Larkin tries a kick of his own but misses. Robbie lands a hard, short hook and Larkin is on wobbly legs already. Lawler tries to capitalize and they clinch against the cage. Larkin clears the cobwebs, scores a very slick trip takedown and gets on top of Lawler. Larkin in Lawler’s guard. Lawler on his feet. Larkin pushes him against the fence, throws a knee to the body. Nice dirty boxing from Larkin and a flying knee. Lawler gives some punches right back, but takes a stiff uppercut. Lakin throws more uppercuts in close with the help of a collar-tie clinch. More inside shots to the bell. I’d score it 10-9 for Larkin.
Round 2: Leg kick Larkin. And another. Larkin throws one high. A hard inside leg kick from Larkin. Larkin with a sharp straight right followed by a leg kick and Lawler is covering up and retreating. Larkin clinches up to work his inside game some more but Lawler punches out of it.They clinch again and Lawler drops for a leg. Larkin spins into a guillotine attempt. Lawer out. They return to the clinch against the cage. Short punch from Larkin. The ref breaks ‘em. Larkin bounces a kick off Lawler’s head that splits him open badly. The round ends and Larkin clinched it with the damage from that kick.
Round 3: Lawler stalking and throwing, trying to be aggressive and get the finish in the last round. Lawler goes for the single-leg against the fence, and Larkin is defending. Larkin gets out and gets slugged with punches. Larkin with a hook, but a follow-up spinning backfist misses. Nice head kick from Lawler. Larkin measuring. Lawler backs him up with a lead hook. They trade kicks. Larkin lands with short, straight punches. He’s outboxing Lawler now. Hook and an uppercut from Larkin. Leg kick Larkin. Lawler tries a head kick, but it’s blocked. More short, nasty punches from Larkin. Elbows from larkin. Lawler fires some Hail Mary haymakers at the bell, but they miss, and we’re going to the cards. Should be a no-brainer here; the fight was all Monsoon. And an impressive showing in his middleweight debut.
Larkin def. Lawler via unanimous decision (30-27 x 3). During the post-fight interview with Ranallo, Larkin admits that Lawler made him do the stanky-leg in round 1. After telling us that the better man will win tonight in Rockhold vs. Kennedy (insightful!), Larkin drops to his knees and begs Dana White to start giving out end-of-night bonuses in Strikeforce. Come on bro, Dana doesn’t do charity. Go ask Mr. Sauerkraut Fart.
Roger Gracie vs. Keith Jardine
Round 1: Oh yeah, there’s that herky-jerky style we’ve missed so much. Jardine’s lead hand is nowhere near his face, and he’s lunging forward with his chin. He rushes in, Gracie clinches with him, and immediately takes him down. Gracie in half guard. Gracie looking to pass, but Jardine shutting him down so far. Gracie wraps up Jardine’s neck, looking for a choke, but Jardine gets up. With a little help from a fence-grab, Gracie gets the fight back down to the mat. Gracie stuffs Jardine against the cage, slugs him in the face a couple times, then passes to mount. Short elbow from Gracie. Gracie turns Jardine away from the fence and fires some short elbows. And a couple more that have some serious sting on them. The horn sounds and Jardine walks off to his corner, bleeding as usual.
Round 2: Once again, Jardine gallops in throwing terrible-looking jabs, gets snatched up and dumped on the mat. I’m starting to think this Keith Jardine guy doesn’t have a bright future in the sport. Gracie takes Jardine’s back as the Dean tries to escape. Jardine’s face is pouring blood. Gracie looking for that rear-naked choke. Gracie sinks the hooks for a body-triangle. Jardine is in the worst position possible against a grappler of Roger’s caliber, but he’s surviving. Jardine throws some desperate punches behind himself at Gracie. Gracie transitions to the arm-triangle, but doesn’t get that either. So he goes back to mount and rides out the rest of the round. Another 10-9 for Gracie, on the Unofficial CagePotato Scorecards.
Round 3: Gracie with a push kick to the body. Gracie looking a little tired on the feet. Jardine goes to the body. Gracie makes an awkward takedown attempt (too slow, too high) and doesn’t get it. This is Jardine’s moment to turn the tables, but I guarantee he won’t. Gracie tries to clinch, Jardine pulls out. Ditto. Jardine with a 1-2. He comes in firing again, Gracie drops low and tries for another takedown to slow him down. Jardine escapes, fires more punches. Okay, Gracie is basically done here. He just needs to make it to the end of the round. Gracie lands a knee from clinch. Jardine lifts his arms in Diaz-esque fashion. Gracie with a jab. Gracie lands a front kick to the body. Jardine windmills some punches. Gracie clinches. Jardine whiffs one more by a mile before the last bell sounds. He might have taken the round on aggression, but that’s another win for Gracie, whose gas-tank failed him in the third-round.
Gracie def. Jardine via unanimous decision (29-27, 30-27, 30-26). Gracie blames his gas-out on a poorly-timed weight cut, but says he’ll be staying at 185.
Nate Marquardt vs. Tyron Woodley
Nate Marquardt still looks pretty jacked at 170. And so far, it’s been a good night for guys dropping to new weight classes. Tyron Woodley’s mom is the new Rashad Evans’s wife, volume-wise.
Round 1: Woodley comes out fast. Marquardt lands a groin kick that briefly pauses the action. Woodley smashes Marquardt with a punch coming in and Marquardt stumbles backwards. Woodley follows and takes Marquardt’s back. Marquardt turns and defends. They trade knees and separate. Now it’s Marquardt’s turn to land a huge shot that stumbles Woodley. Marquardt swarms and tries to lock in a guillotine on the mat. Woodley escapes. Nice knee to the grill from Marquardt in a clinch. They separate. Marquardt lands to the body. They clinch again and Marquardt gets in a short hook. Woodley punches out. Marquardt chases and attacks. Woodley rolls out, and Marquardt runs forward throwing punches to the bell. 10-9 Marquardt.
Round 2: Leg kick Marquardt, who starts out as the aggressor this time. Woodley throws a spinning backfist that’s mostly blocked. Hard leg kick from Marquardt. Marquardt lands a diving right hand. Brief clinch. Another leg kick from Marquardt shakes Woodley. Again. Damn, Woodley’s mom is annoying. Inside leg kick Marquardt. Woodley’s not doing much besides retreating and taking leg kicks. Great spinning back kick from Marquardt! Another long straight right from Marquardt lands. Marquardt follows it with a takedown. Woodley works to his feet. High kick Marquardt, counter right hand from Woodley. That’s the bell. Clear 10-9 for Marquardt. Woodley looked slow in that round; he’s got 15 more minutes to go and he needs to wake up.
Round 3: 1-2 from T-Wood. Woodley swarms with more punches, and knocks Marquardt to the mat! Yep, Woodley just woke up. Woodley working some ground and pound. Marquardt looks for the armbar but can’t put it together. The ref stands ‘em pretty quickly after a brief stalemate. Woodley whiffs a superman punch. Wide hook from Woodley. Heavy leg kick from Marquardt. And a nice body punch. Woodley has officially lost his momentum again. Marquardt presses him against the cage, works some knees, and an elbow. And another. One more big punch until the bell. Harder round to score; Woodley looked great early, but then let Marquardt take over again.
Round 4: Body shot by Marquardt. And a big right to the face. Leg kick. Now Marquardt lands some nasty punches to Woodley’s face. Woodley’s got some chin on him. Again, a right hand from Marquardt snaps Woodley’s head back. And BOOM: Marquardt with some dynamite elbows to Woodley’s head against the fence, then a hook and one more uppercut to Woodley’s face as his legs give out. Nate strolls off like a boss, no follow-up shots needed. Incredible knockout. Nate the Great is back, and he’s got a belt to prove it.
Marquardt def. Woodley via KO, 1:39 of round 4. Woodley’s mom is eerily quiet.
And now, the main event…
Luke Rockhold vs. Tim Kennedy
Round 1: Rockhold stalking Kennedy against the fence. Kennedy launches forward with a punch to avoid getting jammed up. Rockhold misses a high kick. They clinch. Knee from Rockhold, and they separate. Kennedy again with that long, diving punch. Rockhold presses him against the fence again, and there’s another knee. Short elbow from Kennedy. They separate. Body kick Kennedy. Rockhold makes hard contact in a flurry of punches. Rockhold pushes Kennedy against the fence, but Kennedy reverses position and slams Rockhold to the mat. Rockhold keeping Kennedy stuck in half-guard. Rockhold considering a straight armlock. He stretches Kennedy’s arm out but loses it. Rockhold gets to his feet. They slug in close from a clinch. There’s the horn. Tight round, but I might give it to Rockhold for landing more significant strikes.
Round 2: Rockhold opens with a head kick. Kennedy tries to respond with a takedown, but Rockhold takes his back in a scramble. Rockhold trying to hold the position. They trade elbows from a mutual crouching position. Kennedy bulls his way up. Wide hook from Kennedy misses. Rockhold wades in and throws hard punches. He lands a dead-on straight right, followed by a body kick. Front kick to the face by Kennedy. They go to the mat, and Rockhold briefly looks for the armlock again. They’re up, and clinched against the cage. Kennedy lands a short elbow on the way out. They exchange punches. Rockhold tries a turning side kick. Kennedy with a nice counter-punch after being tagged. Rockhold with a question-mark kick that lands. Rockhold pushes Kennedy back with punches. They both try kicks. And that’s the horn. I have the champ up two rounds to none.
Round 3: Leg kick Kennedy. He drops low and clinches, putting Rockhold against the fence. Knee to the body from Kennedy. He does it again but lands to the crotch this time. They take a break, and Rockhold is warned for shorts-grabbing. Rockhold lands flush with a right hook. Kennedy drops low to clinch again as Rockhold starts to pour it on. They break. High kick Kennedy. Rockhold with a left hand, then another hard straight left. Quick leg kick from Kennedy. Kennedy dodges and counter-punches. Rockhold tries a couple more of those Brazilian kicks. They clinch, and Kennedy scrambles and takes Rockhold’s back. Rockhold rolls and stands, but Kennedy stays on him. Rockhold with a nice escape. Rockhold tries a spinning back kick at the horn.
Round 4: Rockhold moves in, Kennedy responds with a pair of uppercuts. Rockhold following him around the cage. Kennedy sticks and moves with a leg kick and a side kick to the body. But Rockhold is still the aggressor and lands punches whenever he can find Kennedy. Hard body kick from Rockhold. High kick Rockhold, counter punch Kennedy. Rockhold goes to the body. They both land hard rights at the same time, but Rockhold’s was apparently a little harder because Kennedy falls to the mat. Kennedy tries a guillotine, Rockhold escapes it and they both return to their feet. they clinch against the fence. Rockhold tries to drag Kennedy down, Kennedy reserves him, then Rockhold reverses him, ending the round on top.
Round 5: Again, Kennedy is content to backpedal in the standup exchanges. That’s not the best strategy to win a title fight, and won’t help the Jackson camp’s reputation for that sort of thing. Nice straight left from Rockhold. Kennedy grabs on against the fence, dropping low for a takedown. A mad scramble that ends with Kennedy looking for a guillotine choke. Rockhold escapes and drives a knee to Kennedy’s ribs before escaping. Side kick to the body from Kennedy. Kennedy driving forward to clinch. Rockhold gets out. Not enough sense of urgency from kennedy, who’s clearly down on points. Knee to the ribs from Rockhold in the clinch. Dirty boxing inside. Kennedy drives forward for another clinch as the last horn sounds. Nothin’ left but to make it official.
Rockhold def. Kennedy via unanimous decision (49-46 x 3). Solid performance for the defending champ, and Rockhold credits his team for his win over Kennedy. But it just wasn’t a fight that will drastically change public opinion of either man. Will Rockhold have to face Larkin or Gracie now, or will he just fight Jacare Souza again? Who else is there? On the bright side, Nate Marquardt is back from the dead, and did it hormone-free if you believe him. So what did you think of tonight’s fights? Sleep on it, and we’ll talk more tomorrow and Monday. Sweet dreams, Potato Nation.
