MMA Stock Projection for June: Whom to Bet On, Whom to Avoid

June is here, and the UFC gets set to bring us more action with two events in back-to-back weeks.The first event comes to you from Brazil. UFC on Fuel TV 10 features Fabricio Werdum vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira in a heavyweight showdown. The rematch ha…

June is here, and the UFC gets set to bring us more action with two events in back-to-back weeks.

The first event comes to you from Brazil. UFC on Fuel TV 10 features Fabricio Werdum vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira in a heavyweight showdown. The rematch has significant ramifications in the division, and should Werdum win, he could be next in line for the UFC heavyweight championship.

Twelve other fights are happening at UFC on Fuel 10. It will be a good evening of action.

UFC 161 happens one week later. After injuries have altered the card, it is less enticing, but the main event will still deliver. Rashad Evans and Dan Henderson go toe-to-toe to try and reclaim past contender status.

Other contenders and prospects will be in action on both cards. It will be another satisfying month of MMA action.

Here are the fighters to bet on, and the fighters to avoid this month.

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UFC on Fuel 10: Predicting the Fight Night Bonuses

UFC on Fuel 10 goes down this Saturday from Fortaleza, Brazil. The finale of the second season of The Ultimate Fighter: Brazil culminates when heavyweights and season coaches Antonio Rodrigo, Nogueira and Fabricio Werdum square off in the main event.Wi…

UFC on Fuel 10 goes down this Saturday from Fortaleza, Brazil. The finale of the second season of The Ultimate Fighter: Brazil culminates when heavyweights and season coaches Antonio Rodrigo, Nogueira and Fabricio Werdum square off in the main event.

Will that generate one of the event’s post-fight bonuses? Read on for predictions regarding knockouts, submissions and Fight of the Night.

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UFC on FUEL TV 10: Would a Loss This Weekend Trigger Thiago Silva’s Release?

The UFC isn’t scared to cut fighters anymore. Not sure they ever really were, but at this moment in time, it doesn’t take much for one to receive his or her walking papers. Earn a few losses and/or fail a few drug tests, and a fighter always gets sent …

The UFC isn’t scared to cut fighters anymore. Not sure they ever really were, but at this moment in time, it doesn’t take much for one to receive his or her walking papers. Earn a few losses and/or fail a few drug tests, and a fighter always gets sent packing. 

Well, almost always.

In the case of Thiago Silva, it’s apparently going to take a little more. And that last straw could come this weekend at UFC on FUEL TV 10 against Rafael Cavalcante

In his past four contests, Silva is winless, though that’s not to say he didn’t originally post wins during the stretch. He did. Twice, in fact. Both victories, however, were overturned due to failed drug tests, placing the Brazilian at an unfortunate 0-2 with two no contests between 2010 and 2012. The losses came against Rashad Evans and Alexander Gustafsson.

Fortunately for Silva, he is a strong talent with exceptional power. He also has a propensity for a brawl. It’s a weakness we saw cost him a win against Lyoto Machida at UFC 94. Sometimes it turns into a strength, especially in fights against guys like Keith Jardine. Either way, he’s valuable to the UFC, as their decision to keep him around attests. 

Also, his performances in the pair of overturned wins more than proved his ability to top mid-tier fighters in Brandon Vera and Stanislav Nedkov, though both are on the lower end of that category. 

That’s the defense of Silva, the reasoning behind the UFC keeping him around. Would a loss to Cavalcante this weekend send him out of the UFC? Would a third failed drug test?

First of all, I’m moving forward with the presumption that Silva is not unintelligent, nor careless enough to risk a third failed test in five fights. Throw that scenario out the window because he knows another failed test means the end of his UFC days. 

The other scenario is a little more intriguing. Why? Silva falls into a category similar to Dan Hardy, Leonard Garcia, and anyone else the UFC keeps around solely based on the entertainment factor. I’d like to think of him as the light heavyweight version of Mark Hominick, who lost four straight at the end of his career and wasn’t released from the UFC. Instead, he retired.

Meanwhile, Garcia lost five straight fights before being released. Hardy, like Hominick, also lost four-straight fights, though he survived the stretch. 

Silva’s in a similar situation. He’s too fun for the UFC to let him go just yet. And fun was the only reason Garcia somehow stuck around as long as he did. 

Silva’s also too talented. I’d argue, pound-for-pound, he’s more talented than Hardy and Hominick, and he’s obviously more talented than Garcia. But talent coupled with entertainment is the exact reason the UFC never let Hardy or Hominick go, and it’s the same reason Silva’s too great a commodity to be released.

A loss to Cavalcante on the main card of UFC on FUEL TV 10 would be a crippling blow to Silva, who would be winless in five straight contests. Guys have been cut for far less. Add in the failed tests, and it would seem a miracle the powerful Brazilian is still around. 

But as quick as the UFC is to cut fighters nowadays, the company is just as quick to commend those who seem unworthy of commendation. Winning isn’t everything in this sport, and a lengthy skid doesn’t guarantee an eviction.  

Hardy, Hominick and Garcia already taught us that. 

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UFC on Fuel 10: Info and Predictions for Nogueira vs. Werdum

The UFC is kind of interested in establishing itself in Brazil. Easily the world’s third-hottest MMA bed at the very least, Brazil has become the apple of the Octagon’s eye.That’s why you have UFC on Fuel TV 10 going down this Saturday from a city call…

The UFC is kind of interested in establishing itself in Brazil. Easily the world’s third-hottest MMA bed at the very least, Brazil has become the apple of the Octagon’s eye.

That’s why you have UFC on Fuel TV 10 going down this Saturday from a city called Fortaleza. It’s the third Brazilian locale to host a UFC event so far in 2013. This one doubles as the finale of the second season of The Ultimate Fighter: Brazil.

The cornerstone fight this weekend pits the season’s two coaches against each other. It’s an old Brazilian lion in Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (arguably the nation’s most popular non-Anderson Silva combatant) against a not-exactly-young-but-definitely-still-highly-viable lion in Fabricio Werdum. 

Here are information capsules and predictions for all 13 fights going down from Fortaleza, from Facebook to finale. 

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UFC on Fuel 10 Video Preview: Rafael Cordeiro Breaks Down Nogueira vs. Werdum

The hot topic of the moment is who will step in to face Mauricio Rua in the co-main event of UFC 161. That drama is stealing some of the thunder from the fight card that is taking place this weekend, UFC on Fuel 10.  True, the June 8 card doesn&rs…

The hot topic of the moment is who will step in to face Mauricio Rua in the co-main event of UFC 161. That drama is stealing some of the thunder from the fight card that is taking place this weekend, UFC on Fuel 10.  True, the June 8 card doesn’t have the name recognition that the June 15 event does, but it does have a very important main event between heavyweight competitors Fabricio Werdum and Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira.

Werdum enters the fight as the No. 3-ranked fighter in the UFC’s heavyweight division, while Nogueira is ranked eighth in the division.  Despite Werdum’s high ranking in the division, when there is talk about who is on the short list to face the winner of the yet-to-be-booked bout between champion Cain Velasquez and former champion Junior dos Santos, Werdum’s name is rarely, if ever mentioned.

A win over Nogueira, a former Pride and UFC interim champion, may result in Werdum gaining some traction in the title shot conversation.  For Nogueira, a win over Werdum, a fighter he has defeated in the past, means he will remain, at 37 years of age, a top-10 fighter in the heavyweight division.

The first meeting between the two took place in Pride. Nogueira had his hand raised after a three-round battle in the quarterfinal round of the 2006 Pride openweight tournament.

Rick J. Lee recently spoke to Werdum’s coach at King’s MMA, Rafael Cordeiro. Cordeiro, who was voted 2012 MMA Coach of the Year at the Fighter’s Only awards, broke down Werdum’s upcoming fight with Nogueira and also discussed when he thinks Werdum will be ready to fight for UFC gold.

UFC on Fuel 10 will take place on June 8 in Fortaleza, Brazil.

Read more MMA news on BleacherReport.com

Bold MMA Predictions for the Month of June

When the temperature heats up, so does the MMA action around the globe. Heading into the summer of 2013, fight fans have a lot to look forward to, and it all kicks off this month.On Saturday night, the UFC gives us their first of two important offering…

When the temperature heats up, so does the MMA action around the globe. Heading into the summer of 2013, fight fans have a lot to look forward to, and it all kicks off this month.

On Saturday night, the UFC gives us their first of two important offerings for the month. Plus, with the return of Bellator, World Series of Fighting and some riveting independent cards, the Zuffa boys certainly don’t have a monopoly on the action this time around.

Here is a look at 10 bold MMA predictions for the month of June.

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