UFC on FOX: An Historic Liveblog

          When you see it…                                   PicProps: MMAJunkie.com 

Alright Nation, we are on the brink of what is possibly the most important event in human history since ever.  We stress the word “possibly” in that sentence, so no silly hate mail about Steve Guttenberg inventing the bench press, or whatever.  And please, don’t talk to us about the historic impact of the so-called “moon landing”.  Everyone knows that the whole Apollo mission was filmed on a sound stage in Arizona.

This historic event will be broadcast live on a major network to a bajillion people, so it’s not even really a contest.  Two large men will fight for money and everyone and their Nana can watch; if Jesus shows up tonight in a tuxedo t-shirt we wouldn’t be surprised in the slightest.  It’s such a huge deal that the UFC is basically giving Fox just the tip to see how it feels, airing just one fight off of a pretty sweet ten-fight lineup.

Come around and hang out with us for all the fights, because you know we’re going to have you covered, Nation.  Fights start at 4:45ET on Facebook and FoxSports.com, the big-deal television show kicks off at 9ET.

Oh, and hit “Refresh” frequently, since everyone seems to tell people to do that.

[RX]

          When you see it…                                   PicProps: MMAJunkie.com 

Alright Nation, we are on the brink of what is possibly the most important event in human history since ever.  We stress the word “possibly” in that sentence, so no silly hate mail about Steve Guttenberg inventing the bench press, or whatever.  And please, don’t talk to us about the historic impact of the so-called “moon landing”.  Everyone knows that the whole Apollo mission was filmed on a sound stage in Arizona.

This historic event will be broadcast live on a major network to a bajillion people, so it’s not even really a contest.  Two large men will fight for money and everyone and their Nana can watch; if Jesus shows up tonight in a tuxedo t-shirt we wouldn’t be surprised in the slightest.  It’s such a huge deal that the UFC is basically giving Fox just the tip to see how it feels, airing just one fight off of a pretty sweet ten-fight lineup.

Come around and hang out with us for all the fights, because you know we’re going to have you covered, Nation.  Fights start at 4:45ET on Facebook and FoxSports.com, the big-deal television show kicks off at 9ET.

Oh, and hit “Refresh” frequently, since everyone seems to tell people to do that.

Matt “Luke Duke” Lucas vs Aaron Rosa

First round is tentative, with Lucas scoring a easy takedown early.  Rosa stands up quickly, and the two spend a couple of minutes clinching.  Rosa defends and stays busy with short elbows and punches.  Lucas looks slow and tired almost immediately, and spits out his mouthpiece three minutes into the first.  With thirty seconds left in the round, Rosa starts putting knees into the mix.  No damage, but he’ll take the round.

Second and third rounds look virtually identical, right down to Lucas having issues with his mouthpiece.   Rogan has an opinion about that nonsense.  Matt Lucas drops his mouthpiece four times during the fight, and referee Big John McCarthy docks him a point in the second.  Lucas scores a few takedowns, but he can’t do anything to follow up.  Rosa is calm and professional, working offense as Lucas crowds him with knees and elbows, and he takes all three rounds with ease.

The judges have it 28-28, 30-26, and 30-26, giving Aaron Rosa a majority decision over Matt Lucas (whom you’ll not see in the Octagon again any time soon), and there’s a judge who may have a glue-sniffing habit.  What the blue hell just happened?

Paul Bradley vs Mike Pierce

These guys have fought once already in the minors, Pierce scored the unanimous decision.

Good action and much more closely contested fight between these two.  Pierce appears to get the better of the striking exchanges, and Bradley seems to be more solid in the takedown contests, stuffing Pierce’s attempts and capitalizing on his own. Pierce seems fresher and scores the more visible damage through three rounds.

The judges call it 29-28 Bradley, 30-27 Pierce, and 29-28 Pierce, giving Mike Pierce the split decision win over Paul Bradley in the rematch.  It was a close fight, so we can understand how none of the three judges see the fight the same way, but is this a bad sign of things to come?

Alex “Bruce Leroy” Caceres vs Cole “The Apache Kid” Escovedo

Alex Caceres puts on a striking exhibition in the first round, so he’s definitely getting closer to the final level.  Caceres weaves around the vast majority of Escovedo’s offense, while landing front kicks, spinning back fists, and a dope switch kick combo.  Escovedo catches a kick close to his man parts with fifteen seconds left in the round, and charges in and lands a high kick, knocking Bruce Leroy off-balance, but the round ends in a flurry before he can mount a comeback.  The second round is more of the same, with the Apache Kid looking like he’s in slow motion against the fast and flashy technique of Caceres, who has improved incredibly since last we saw him.

In the third, Caceres even manages a very fun submission chain against the grappling specialist, throwing a triangle-kimura-armbar-omaplata combo that speaks volumes about his progress as a competitor.  Escovedo puts in some groundwork, attacking with a submission series of his own, but Bruce Leroy works out of trouble handily.  Very, very impressive fight for the twenty three year old.  Taimak would be proud.

The judges finally manage to find a consensus, and score the fight 30-27 x3 for Alex Caceres in a unanimous decision win over Cole Escovedo.  Expect to see him on the main card next time.

Robbie “Problems” Paralta vs Mackens “Da Menace” Semerzier

Note: Mac Semerzier is coming off a first round RNC victory over Bruce Leroy in March.  That kid has developed a ton in six months.

Uh oh.  Controversy in the third fight.  While it appears that Robbie Paralta lays Semerzier the fuck out in an exchange in the third round, replay shows it’s a clash of heads that rocks him and sends him to his back.  Paralta swarms on Semerzier, who hangs on to a single leg and tries to clear the cobwebs.  Big John calls it, a TKO victory for Robbie Paralta over Mackens Semerzier at 1:54 into the third, who tries to stand up and protest, but he’s clearly unfit to continue.  It’s a shame, since it was a fun fight and we saw it even through the first two rounds.

Norifumi “Kid” Yamamoto vs Darren “BC” Uyenoyama

Crazy back in forth action here.  First round is all Yamamoto for four minutes on the feet, but Uyenoyama gets it to the ground with less than a minute left in the first.  BC works to back mount and a rear naked choke swiftly, and Yamamoto is within seconds of losing consciousness when the round ends. Rogan even thinks he’s out. In the second, Kid blasts Uyenoyama in the face with a nasty left, bloodying his opponent, but suffers a takedown as a result.  Yamamoto survives through almost a full round with the submission machine, fending off a serious RNC setup while catching a ton of fists to the torso.  Uyenoyama points to the camera in mid-beating.  The fight goes the distance, and Uyenoyama puts on a good performance with an aggressive ground game.  The judges agree:  30-27 x2 and 20-26 for Darren Uyenoyama over Kid Yamamoto in a unanimous decision victory.  Now, #I’mNotNamingNames, but one of these judges has opinions and he doesn’t give a mad fuck what you think.

Hey, what happened to “We’re bringing Brittney back“?  Damn you Dana for playing with my emotions!

Dick.

Clay “Heavy Metal” Harvison vs DeMarques “Darkness” Johnson

Darkness turns out the lights on Heavy Metal with the quickness, landing a left shovel hook and pounding out Harvison for the stoppage.  Johnson had time to celebrate the knock down and give ref Herb Dean a chance to stop it, but Herb is all “Dude, whatevs, LOL, kill him” so Darkness throws a few more to convince him. DeMarques Johnson defeats Clay Harvison via TKO (ref’s stoppage due to strikes) at 1:34 of the first round.

Ricardo “The Bully” Lamas vs Kevin Luke “Cub” Swanson

Swanson has a great record in the WEC, but let’s all be honest, we all remember him on the wrong end of a highlight finish vs Jose Aldo.  Injury trouble has kept him out of the UFC until tonight.  Big John in again on this one.

Swanson turns in his usual hyper-speed performance, and attacks Lamas’ neck hard in the first.  Lamas survives a deep guillotine and showboats a bit when Swanson drops it.  Lamas fires off a capoeira handspring kick, and Swanson shakes his finger and admonishes Lamas mid-fight for plagiary and swagger jackering.  Swanson comes out hard in the second on the feet, and Lamas answers in kind before ducking under for a takedown and scramble.  Swanson threatens with an omaplata, misses it, and looks to go back to the feet.  Lamas tries for a back mount, and captures Swanson’s head and arm when he tries to spin free.  It’s an arm triangle that goes from nasty to lethal as Swanson sunfishes to escape, and Cub is forced to tap.  Ricardo Lamas defeats Cub Swanson via submission (arm triangle) at 2:26 of round two.

Really?  A dubstep version of “Hotel California”?

“Diamond” Dustin Poirier vs Pablo “The Scarecrow” Garza

True story:  CP Nationer Stak40 was talking about how no one can pull off flying submissions anymore, because BJJ isn’t mysterious in modern MMA.  Then Pablo Garza did his impression of forced oral copulation (as performed by an octopus) against Yves Jabouin, and Stak changed the subject.  True story.

Larry Landless and his Nasty Boyz platinum mohawk are in to ref for this one.  (Props to Iskander Neptu.)

Another fun one here: after threatening with a leg lock option in the first round, Garza gets caught by Poirier with a beautiful D’Arce choke in the second.  Dustin Poirier defeats Pablo Garza via submission (D’Arce choke) at 1:32 of the second round.

There’s somewhere between three and six hundred UFC-related shows on television right now, and not one of them are showing these fights.  I don’t want to live in this world anymore.

Clay “The Carpenter” Guida vs Ben “Smooth” Henderson

Note:  Clay Guida is the current WEC Lightweight Champion.  Deal with it.

Herb Dean in for this one, which should have been on TV dammit.

Round 1:  Clay Guida tries to walk down Henderson right off the bat, and gets caught with a punch off balance and falls forward.  Guida pops to his feet and the two exchange 89 blows in three seconds, and Guida drops again.  Not hurt badly, Guida’s stance and movement tend top leave him susceptible to knockdowns.  They clinch against the cage, and Henderson works a few knees.  With a minute left on the clock, Guida catches Bendo with a lunging hook that unhinges Henderson’s legs, and tries to finish off with a guillotine, but Henderson works free and back to the feet.  Bendo fires off a few kicks before the buzzer.

Round 2:  More clinch work to open the round, with both guys getting their licks in with knees to the body and exchanging fruitless takedowns.  Guida narrowly misses a spinning backfist, but suffers a takedown, then fishes for a guillotine.  He locks his hands and tries to jump guard, but Henderson blocks his legs.  Henderson is no stranger to near submissions and escapes quickly, and takes Guida’s back on the way out.  The buzzer sends the fighters to the towels.

Round 3:  Guida comes out again with that popcorning boxing style, trying to confuse his opponent.  He shoots for a takedown, but Henderson, as he as been able to do for much of the fight, defends it.  They clinch against the cage again, and then break and flurry.  Henderson shoots the fight down to the canvas again.  Guida scrambles, but Henderson secures the back mount and locks a body triangle … disregard that they’re scrambling again.  Guida looks for the guilotine again, which leads to back to the scramble, and Bendo comes out over Guida and raining down bombs but the buzzer ends the fight.  Damn.  These two should keep going for at least two more rounds.

Note to the CP bosses: liveblogging these guys is HARD.

The judges see it 29-28 and 30-27 x2 for Benson Henderson, giving him a unanimous decision win over Clay Guida and setting him up for a shot at Frankie Edgar.  I’d buy that for a dollar.

 Ok, let’s see what Fox has in store for a UFC show.

*  Isn’t that NFL music?

*  Brock is asked to analyze Cain Velasquez, which starts out ok, but then they show footage from his asswhooping from Velasquez, at which point Brock asks, “Do we have to watch this?”  It’s funny, and as a TV moment, it works.

*Cue the Dos Santos hard-luck upbringing tale.

*Fox is treating this like viewers know nothing about MMA or the fighters.  Good move, and yeah, the vibe is very much different than the usual UFC-helmed broadcast.

*Cue the Velasquez hard-luck upbringing tale.

*Pretty sure Rogan shaved for this.  He and Glodie both seem to be trying really hard to not fuck up.  Or say “fuck” on television, for that matter.

*Fuck fuckity fuck fuck.

*There will be no “virtually identical” on Fox.

*Uh oh, was the “TapouT Kids” commerical a wise choice?

*Big pop for Cain Velasquez coming in, just like the weigh-ins.

*WE ARE LIVE.

Junior “Cigano” Dos Santos vs Cain Velasquez

Big John McCarthy is the referee, and Bruce Buffer is working it.

Round 1:  They come out with probing strikes: Velasquez with a leg kick,  Dos Santos tosses out a  jab.  They exhange again, nothing lands with consequence, and Cain catches a kick and tries to turn it, misses.  He snorts and resets.

They exchange jabs,  and Velasquez throws the leg kick again. Dos Santos fires off a  combo, Cain covers up. Dos Santos hurls a single overhead right and OH SHIT catches the champ behind the ear, sending him to the ground  CAIN IS DOWN Dos Santos follows up with some standing hooks and Big John calls it OH THE HUMANITY that was less than one full round and Junior Dos Santos is the new UFC champ.

Dos Santos just beat up on Brown Pride like a Texas judge, which is a joke that works two totally different ways.  Again, don’t send me hate mail, i’m illiterate.

Junior Dos Santos defeats Cain Velasquez via Knockout at 1:04 into Round 1.

Dos Santos has POWER in those hands. It messes up your eekulibium, bro.  Can’t help but point out commenter Kayo musing six hours ago if “Analise” was foreshadowing of the evening’s events.  I’m sorry, did i just blow your mind?

I can’t help but think that anyone who hadn’t watched the undercard fights would probably feel rather cheated by that one fight, but maybe that’s just me.  All in all a good night of fights.  Leave your comments below, you bastards, and thanks to everyone who hung out with us tonight.

[RX]

UFC on FOX Results: Velasquez vs. Dos Santos

Filed under: , ,

Cain Velasquez will defend his UFC heavyweight title against Junior dos Santos on Saturday night in Anaheim.MMA Fighting has UFC on FOX results for all of the Nov. 12 Velasquez vs. Dos Santos fights, plus live coverage from Anaheim, live blogs of all the fights and live UFC on FOX twitter updates.

In the main event Cain Velasquez puts his UFC heavyweight title on the line against Junior dos Santos.

Check out the full results below.




Televised Fight
Cain Velasquez vs. Junior dos Santos (live blog)

Undercard
Clay Guida vs. Ben Henderson (live blog)
Pablo Garza vs. Dustin Poirier (live blog)
Ricardo Lamas vs. Cub Swanson (live blog)
DaMarques Johnson def. Clay Harvison via first-round TKO (live blog)



Darren Uyenoyama def. Norifumi “KID” Yamamoto via unanimous decision (live blog)
Robert Peralta def. Mackens Semerzier via third-round TKO
(live blog)
Alex Caceres def. Cole Escovedo via unanimous decision (live blog)
Mike Pierce def. Paul Bradley via split decision (live blog)
Aaron Rosa def. Matt Lucas via majority decision (live blog)

%VIRTUAL-Gallery-139230%

 

Permalink | Email this | Linking Blogs | Comments

Filed under: , ,

Cain Velasquez will defend his UFC heavyweight title against Junior dos Santos on Saturday night in Anaheim.MMA Fighting has UFC on FOX results for all of the Nov. 12 Velasquez vs. Dos Santos fights, plus live coverage from Anaheim, live blogs of all the fights and live UFC on FOX twitter updates.

In the main event Cain Velasquez puts his UFC heavyweight title on the line against Junior dos Santos.

Check out the full results below.




Televised Fight
Cain Velasquez vs. Junior dos Santos (live blog)

Undercard
Clay Guida vs. Ben Henderson (live blog)
Pablo Garza vs. Dustin Poirier (live blog)
Ricardo Lamas vs. Cub Swanson (live blog)
DaMarques Johnson def. Clay Harvison via first-round TKO (live blog)



Darren Uyenoyama def. Norifumi “KID” Yamamoto via unanimous decision (live blog)
Robert Peralta def. Mackens Semerzier via third-round TKO
(live blog)
Alex Caceres def. Cole Escovedo via unanimous decision (live blog)
Mike Pierce def. Paul Bradley via split decision (live blog)
Aaron Rosa def. Matt Lucas via majority decision (live blog)

%VIRTUAL-Gallery-139230%


 

Permalink | Email this | Linking Blogs | Comments

UFC on FOX: 15 Things First-Time MMA Viewers Must Know About the Sport


(#6: Junior Dos Santos lives in fire, and has never owned a shirt.)

By Matt Saccaro

Have you seen the commercials for UFC on FOX but are new to the whole MMA thing? From rules to history to notable figures, there’s a lot that new fans need to know in order to better appreciate the sport and not sound like a complete “noob” during the fight this Saturday.

Some of this may seem complicated and intimidating, but it’s really not that hard to understand. So what do you need to know about MMA before you watch UFC on FOX?

Visit BleacherReport.com/MMA for a helpful primer on the sport and the “Velasquez vs. Dos Santos” event on FOX.


(#6: Junior Dos Santos lives in fire, and has never owned a shirt.)

By Matt Saccaro

Have you seen the commercials for UFC on FOX but are new to the whole MMA thing? From rules to history to notable figures, there’s a lot that new fans need to know in order to better appreciate the sport and not sound like a complete “noob” during the fight this Saturday.

Some of this may seem complicated and intimidating, but it’s really not that hard to understand. So what do you need to know about MMA before you watch UFC on FOX?

Visit BleacherReport.com/MMA for a helpful primer on the sport and the “Velasquez vs. Dos Santos” event on FOX.

UFC 137 Press Conference Notes: ‘TUF Brazil’, UFC’s Hawaii Debut, Silva vs. Sonnen II + More


(“Don’t call me homey, brah.” “Don’t call me brah, homey.” / For more photos from the presser, visit Lowkick.Blitzcorner.com)

A lot of interesting developments coming out of yesterday’s “UFC 137: Penn vs. Diaz” press conference…

— UFC President Dana White confirmed that the first international edition of The Ultimate Fighter will be in Brazil, not the Philippines as previously reported. White described TUF Brazil as “a done deal,” though other details, including its host and where it will take place, haven’t been locked down yet. The series will air in Brazil, and possibly on FUEL TV in North America. White also said that the UFC will be actively working on booking “as many [events] as we possibly can” in Brazil.

— Meanwhile, the UFC is also working on putting together their first event in Hawaii, which is slated for 2012, and could be held at an outdoor venue. In the past, the UFC had been hesitant to promote a show in Hawaii due to an exorbitant promoters’ tax the state required, but that situation was later “fixed”, and rumors of a UFC show at the Aloha Bowl have circulated for the past two years.

— While only the main event is guaranteed airtime during the one-hour UFC on FOX 1: Velasquez vs. Santos broadcast on November 12th, Dana White confirmed that the entire supporting card will be viewable on Facebook and FOX.com. Notably, that includes the possible #1 lightweight contender match between Clay Guida and Ben Henderson.


(“Don’t call me homey, brah.” “Don’t call me brah, homey.” / For more photos from the presser, visit Lowkick.Blitzcorner.com)

A lot of interesting developments coming out of yesterday’s “UFC 137: Penn vs. Diaz” press conference…

— UFC President Dana White confirmed that the first international edition of The Ultimate Fighter will be in Brazil, not the Philippines as previously reported. White described TUF Brazil as “a done deal,” though other details, including its host and where it will take place, haven’t been locked down yet. The series will air in Brazil, and possibly on FUEL TV in North America. White also said that the UFC will be actively working on booking “as many [events] as we possibly can” in Brazil.

— Meanwhile, the UFC is also working on putting together their first event in Hawaii, which is slated for 2012, and could be held at an outdoor venue. In the past, the UFC had been hesitant to promote a show in Hawaii due to an exorbitant promoters’ tax the state required, but that situation was later “fixed”, and rumors of a UFC show at the Aloha Bowl have circulated for the past two years.

— While only the main event is guaranteed airtime during the one-hour UFC on FOX 1: Velasquez vs. Santos broadcast on November 12th, Dana White confirmed that the entire supporting card will be viewable on Facebook and FOX.com. Notably, that includes the possible #1 lightweight contender match between Clay Guida and Ben Henderson.

— Has Chael Sonnen successfully trash-talked his way into a rematch with Anderson Silva on Super Bowl weekend? As White explained at the UFC 137 press-conference, “I am meeting with (Anderson’s camp on Saturday)…You know Chael’s position. And I think Anderson’s position is really the same as Chael’s. Anderson’s really pissed off about the stuff that Chael has said.” When asked if the fight could be set up for Super Bowl weekend, White replied, “I think it would make sense, yeah.”

— And get this: Strikeforce might actually survive into 2012. Said DW: “I met with Showtime yesterday and I had a great meeting with them. I’m jumping in [to the negotiations]. Lorenzo Fertitta and I divide and conquer. We’re both so busy and we’re working on so much stuff, so to get this deal moving we needed the kinder, gentler side of the UFC there in the beginning. Now, I’m going to go in there and close it…We had a great conversation. We moved the ball forward and we’ll see what happens. There is no deal done. I just think we had a great meeting… We have a chance that Strikeforce lives.”

Considering that Strikeforce has already been raided for its best fighters — Nick Diaz, Dan Henderson, and Alistair Overeem, with Gilbert Melendez on the way — it doesn’t seem like Strikeforce would be anything other than a feeder league. But with Bellator on the rise, diluting the MMA talent pool could be the end goal in itself.

Report: UFC Heading to San Jose for ‘Velasquez vs. Dos Santos’ in November

Cain Velasquez UFC MMA photos Junior Dos Santos
(The phrase “f*cked with the wrong Mexican” comes to mind. Photo courtesy of MMAWeekly)

Lorenzo Fertitta has revealed that Cain Velasquez‘s first heavyweight title defense against Junior Dos Santos is slated for UFC 138 (November 19th; HP Pavilion; San Jose, CA), according to a new LA Times report. It would be the UFC’s first event at the “Shark Tank,” which has been the longtime home-base for Strikeforce events. It’s a natural fit, considering Velasquez’s affiliation with San Jose’s American Kickboxing Academy.

Cain Velasquez UFC MMA photos Junior Dos Santos
(The phrase “f*cked with the wrong Mexican” comes to mind. Photo courtesy of MMAWeekly)

Lorenzo Fertitta has revealed that Cain Velasquez‘s first heavyweight title defense against Junior Dos Santos is slated for UFC 138 (November 19th; HP Pavilion; San Jose, CA), according to a new LA Times report. It would be the UFC’s first event at the “Shark Tank,” which has been the longtime home-base for Strikeforce events. It’s a natural fit, considering Velasquez’s affiliation with San Jose’s American Kickboxing Academy.

Velasquez vs. Dos Santos was previously rumored for UFC 136, October 8th in Houston, but Velasquez’s recovery from shoulder surgery has taken slightly longer than expected. UFC 136 still doesn’t have any major fights officially booked — which could be a problem, considering that the next UFC Fan Expo is pegged to the event.

Velasquez and Dos Santos have both compiled outstanding 7-0 runs in the Octagon. Velasquez has been inactive since beating the crap out of former champ Brock Lesnar last October, while Dos Santos just finished demonstrating to the world how much heart Shane Carwin has.

Attention Gamblers: Junior Dos Santos Is a Slight Favorite Over Cain Velasquez

Junior Dos Santos Cain Velasquez UFC 131
(I’m only giving this face-off a 6 out of 10, since Velasquez didn’t have his championship belt with him, and his teammates weren’t in the background throwing middle-fingers at the crowd. Props: UFC.com)

With Cain Velasquez‘s shoulder injury taking him out of action for all of 2011 (so far), Junior Dos Santos was forced to keep busy with a coaching gig on The Ultimate Fighter and a #1 contender fight against Brock Lesnar Shane Carwin. Any number of misfortunes could have befallen Cigano in the interim, but he managed to keep his spot at the front of the line, and will face Velasquez later this year in the heavyweight title fight that should have happened all along. (By the way, Velasquez’s return on October 8th in Houston isn’t guaranteed yet, due to his health status.)

Between Velasquez’s long injury layoff and Junior’s outstanding body of work in the UFC — culminating with a three-round drubbing of Shane Carwin on Saturday that saw JDS out-strike and then out-wrestle Carwin — the oddsmakers are looking very kindly upon the Brazilian challenger. At this point, Dos Santos is a -120 favorite in the fight, compared to Velasquez at -110.

Junior Dos Santos Cain Velasquez UFC 131
(I’m only giving this face-off a 6 out of 10, since Velasquez didn’t have his championship belt with him, and his teammates weren’t in the background throwing middle-fingers at the crowd. Props: UFC.com)

With Cain Velasquez‘s shoulder injury taking him out of action for all of 2011 (so far), Junior Dos Santos was forced to keep busy with a coaching gig on The Ultimate Fighter and a #1 contender fight against Brock Lesnar Shane Carwin. Any number of misfortunes could have befallen Cigano in the interim, but he managed to keep his spot at the front of the line, and will face Velasquez later this year in the heavyweight title fight that should have happened all along. (By the way, Velasquez’s return on October 8th in Houston isn’t guaranteed yet, due to his health status.)

Between Velasquez’s long injury layoff and Junior’s outstanding body of work in the UFC — culminating with a three-round drubbing of Shane Carwin on Saturday that saw JDS out-strike and then out-wrestle Carwin — the oddsmakers are looking very kindly upon the Brazilian challenger. At this point, Dos Santos is a -120 favorite in the fight, compared to Velasquez at -110.

The line is so close that you won’t get rich betting on Velasquez even though he’s technically the underdog. (For the unfamiliar, those “-” numbers are the amount of dollars you’d have to risk to bring home a $100 profit.) But it says a lot about the perception of where these guys stand in relation to each other. The champion has been out of sight, and thus, out of mind. And again, Dos Santos’s wrestling defense and late slam-takedowns against Carwin demonstrated that he’s more than just a pair of hands, and can beat a wrestler at his own game. Will Velasquez still be able to threaten JDS in that area? Because I’d give the striking edge to Dos Santos, easily.

In a related story, Michael Bisping is more than a 2-to-1 favorite over Jason Miller at the moment. Anybody think they can double their money on Mayhem?