Dropping Knowledge: Kenny Florian Gives His Breakdown of UFC 166

The team of analysts for the UFC on Fox Sports 1 and Fox broadcasts have been providing the most in-depth coverage mixed martial arts has seen in its 20 years of existence.
With a collection of seasoned fight veterans and a handful of well-versed hosts…

The team of analysts for the UFC on Fox Sports 1 and Fox broadcasts have been providing the most in-depth coverage mixed martial arts has seen in its 20 years of existence.

With a collection of seasoned fight veterans and a handful of well-versed hosts at the helm, the people working the pre- and post-fight shows for the UFC have consistently raised the bar.

For the next installment of “Dropping Knowledge,” former multi-divisional contender Kenny Florian sits in to give his thoughts on the upcoming card for UFC 166.

“Ken Flo’s” resume speaks for itself, as the fighting pride of Massachusetts created his fair share of memorable performances inside the Octagon. The 33-year-old faced a collection of pound-for-pound greats throughout his career and traded leather with everyone from then-reigning lightweight king B.J. Penn to featherweight phenom Jose Aldo.

As the co-host of UFC Tonight on Fox Sports 1, Florian brings his analysis to the masses on a weekly basis. That said, he’s also a veteran of this particular series where he’s been known to kick the interview Kung Fu like nobody’s business.

This is what Florian told Bleacher Report about Saturday night’s UFC 166 in Houston.

 

Plenty has been made of the rivalry between current heavyweight champion Cain Velasquez and former title holder Junior dos Santos and what each needs to do in order to win their trilogy bout at UFC 166. Do you believe this fight is crucial for both because it has the potential to somewhat invalidate one of their title reigns?

It’s always better to get the two wins over just the one in a trilogy. I think both of these guys understand their vulnerabilities and what the other man can do to them now. With that comes a very healthy respect and a very serious training camp to prepare. Both of them fear the other, and both have the capability to win this fight. I believe we are going to get a good fight because of it.

We saw what the last fight did to Junior dos Santos. That was his first loss inside the Octagon, and in all of his interviews and on the Primetime specials that ran, it is obvious that fight has motivated him a tremendous amount.

 

Dos Santos has talked a lot about the spacing in this fight in the lead up to Saturday night. Cain is going to come forward with non-stop pressure. We know this, and JDS absolutely knows this as well. Do you believe dos Santos can still generate his knockout power moving backward, and if not, how does he change that tide?

Without a doubt it is something he can do. I think if he is able to land something big, it will probably be the left hook going backward. Those are devastating punches. The shots you don’t see are always the most dangerous ones. He’s going to have to get a funny angle—step off with a left hook—to land that power shot as Cain is coming in. But anytime you hit a guy who is coming forward with the kind of pressure Cain Velasquez brings has to be timed just right. 

Velasquez moves his head a ton, and it’s going to be important that dos Santos finds the right range. If he does catch Velasquez coming in, it will be a devastating punch. With that forward momentum, it becomes almost like a head-on collision when two cars collide. That will probably be the case if dos Santos can connect as Cain comes forward. So, it is possible, it just takes a hell of a lot of timing.

 

The co-main event between Daniel Cormier and Roy Nelson is serious business, as these two men have a score to settle. Yet, there is somewhat of a strange feel surrounding the bout. While a victory could launch the winner into potential title contention, both fighters seem to be heading into different waters. Cormier is looking to drop down to light heavyweight after this fight, and “Big Country” has also suggested he will do the same. What do you make of the unusual spin that seems to be surrounding this fight?

It is a little bit different, but it’s still an important fight nonetheless. Daniel Cormier wants to stay undefeated. This is a guy who has not lost a single round in his mixed martial arts career. That is tremendously impressive. He wants to continue with that momentum and go into the 205-pound division undefeated. He wants to put everyone in that division on notice…especially Jon Jones. It is always interesting when a guy is undefeated and drops down into a division he probably should have been fighting in all along. I think it makes him that much more dangerous.

This is also a very important fight for Nelson. He can’t afford setback here against Cormier, and if there is any pressure in this fight, it has to be on Roy Nelson. He is kind of in a lose/lose situation here in some ways. If he beat Cormier, he beats a guy who was on his way down to 205-pounds and was focused on that drop. If he loses, it clearly puts him in a bad spot in the heavyweight division. He would really have to work his way back up in a bigger way than he’s ever done before.

 

Cormier’s wrestling is an undeniable strength, but Nelson is a different type of animal. When he doesn’t have to worry about being submitted, or even in cases like his fight against Frank Mir where that threat was certainly possible, he’s been able to get up when taken down. Do you believe Cormier can keep Nelson on the ground, and if not, what does he have to do on his feet to get the victory?

I think he does have the ability to keep him down. It is going to be a difficult thing because Nelson is way more athletic than people give him credit for. I always compare him to the Kung Fu Panda because he’s flexible, very strong and deceptively fast. Cormier is going to have to work for it, but what I think is more important will be his ability to just take him down and get some respect in that department.

If Cormier can score some points with his takedowns, it is going to open up his hands and vice versa. He’ll have to play off of that in a similar way as to what Cain Velasquez had to do against Junior dos Santos in their rematch. It’s definitely going to be important that Cormier gets in and gets out without taking too many shots because Nelson can obviously end the fight with just one.

 

The lightweight bout between Gilbert Melendez and Diego Sanchez is building a strong amount of buzz and is almost certain to be a “knock down drag out” brand of scrap. How crucial is this fight where their title hopes are concerned?

Diego Sanchez has been very vocal about wanting to get a shot against Anthony Pettis, and beating a guy like Melendez would certainly make that much more of a possibility. I still think he’s probably one or two fights away from that, but a win would definitely provide a push.

For Melendez, he’s still trying to get his first win inside the Octagon. He understands that Diego Sanchez is a big name and to have a name like that on his resume will look very good. He wants another shot at the title, and it starts with Sanchez. It’s a great way for Melendez to get a lot more fans in the UFC, and for Sanchez, it could be a real turning point in his career.

It seems like a lot of people have forgotten about him and written him off. Especially in his last fight against [Takanori] Gomi. It wasn’t the most impressive fight for Diego. A lot of people, myself included, believe Gomi won that fight, but a win over Melendez erases all doubt.

 

It’s never an easy thing to cast a fighter who has competed at championship levels of the sport into limbo or irrelevancy, but do you believe Sanchez absolutely has to win this fight to keep any title hops he has alive?

I would agree with that. A loss here really hurts Diego, even more than it would hurt Melendez because he is still ranked highly in the division, whereas Diego is not. I think there is a lot more on the line in this fight for Diego Sanchez.

 

When a fighter goes through what dos Santos experienced against Velasquez at UFC 155 and what happened to “The Dream” against B.J. Penn at UFC 107, it seems as if a beating of that severity can change a fighter for the rest of their careers. In the aftermath of the Penn fight, Sanchez went on a downward spiral, losing fights and switching divisions, and it’s arguable if he’s ever returned to the form he was in before his bout with “The Prodigy.” What is your take on how a fighter bounces back from those circumstances?

It can have a big impact, especially when you have a guy who hasn’t experienced that before. When you are on top of the world and everyone is telling you that you are the best, then you go in there against a former champion who you’ve defeated pretty quickly and get dominated for five rounds; that can have an impact on you. In the rematch, Cain Velasquez had an answer for everything Junior dos Santos was trying to do. That can really be demoralizing for a fighter. It’s humbling. 

You look at the way dos Santos responded in that beating and never gave up, those are the kind of fighters who are really going to be motivated and driven to new levels in their game, win or lose. He learned there were things he needed to change and that he wasn’t the best in the world on that night. And that is what it comes down to a lot of times. It’s not who the best fighter is. It’s who is the best fighter on that night. It made dos Santos take a hard look at his game and analyze where he went wrong. That can be a difficult thing for a fighter. It can be both negative and positive.

 

Another interesting fight on the card is set to go down between former heavyweight No.1 contender Gabriel Gonzaga and prospect looking to make good Shawn Jordan. In the past few years, we’ve seen a group of ex-football players look to make an impact at the highest level of MMA. Is it possible the former LSU standout could be the best of the bunch?

Jordan is a tremendously athletic guy. He’s shown heart where he’s been rocked and came back to win. I think a knockout win over an excellent striker like Pat Barry had to do wonder for his confidence. He’s with a great camp, and I think he’s leading the pack right now in that regard. A win over Gonzaga would probably cement that.

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Gambling Addiction Enabler: ‘UFC 166: Velasquez vs. Dos Santos’ Edition

By Dan “Get Off Me” George and Jared Jones

This weekend, the be all end all title fight between Junior Dos Santos and Cain Velasquez is going down at UFC 166, so to ring in this special occasion, we’ve decided to switch things up for this edition of the Gambling Addiction Enabler. Not only will you be receiving the trusted, well-researched advice of Dan “Get Off Me” George, but additionally, CagePotato staff writer (and former GAE master-picker) Jared Jones will be jumping in to deliver the onslaught of gifs and contradictory advice that you all know and love.

Without further ado, let’s get to the fights in question…

Stay the Hell Away From:

Hector Lombard (-185) vs. Nate Marquardt (+155)

DG: This fight should be at pick’em odds — proposing either fighter as a clear favorite is simply reckless and ignorant of the fact that both fighters have been prone to shockingly inconsistent performances as of late. On any given night, these guys can end a fight in spectacular fashion. Does Nate “The Great” show up and fight the Lombard we saw against Okami and Boetsch, or does he meet the man they call Shango and fight like he did against Saffiedine and Ellenberger? I’ll tentatively pick Marquardt here.

JJ: Well, if it’s “reckless and ignorant” that you want, you’ve come to the right source. (*sets fully-loaded revolver on table and spins it*)

I’m surprised you neglected to mention that Lombard will be fighting at welterweight for the first time in his UFC career, in what is one of the most transparent “Dropping a weight class to save your career” bouts in MMA History. Also, Lombard’s weight cut is going so poorly that he’s already talking about moving back up to middleweight. He’s assuming, of course, that the UFC won’t sever their ties with someone as overpaid as him following this weekend, which is wishful thinking in my opinion. Lombard is basically Rousimar Palhares + striking and since Marquardt already beat Palhares, MMAMath predicts a dominant victory for Marquardt 9.9 times out of 10. Reckless? Yes. Ignorant? Yes.

By Dan “Get Off Me” George and Jared Jones

This weekend, the be all end all title fight between Junior Dos Santos and Cain Velasquez is going down at UFC 166, so to ring in this special occasion, we’ve decided to switch things up for this edition of the Gambling Addiction Enabler. Not only will you be receiving the trusted, well-researched advice of Dan “Get Off Me” George, but additionally, CagePotato staff writer (and former GAE master-picker) Jared Jones will be jumping in to deliver the onslaught of gifs and contradictory advice that you all know and love.

Without further ado, let’s get to the fights in question…

Stay the Hell Away From:

Hector Lombard (-185) vs. Nate Marquardt (+155)

DG: This fight should be at pick’em odds — proposing either fighter as a clear favorite is simply reckless and ignorant of the fact that both fighters have been prone to shockingly inconsistent performances as of late. On any given night, these guys can end a fight in spectacular fashion. Does Nate “The Great” show up and fight the Lombard we saw against Okami and Boetsch, or does he meet the man they call Shango and fight like he did against Saffiedine and Ellenberger? I’ll tentatively pick Marquardt here.

JJ: Well, if it’s “reckless and ignorant” that you want, you’ve come to the right source. (*sets fully-loaded revolver on table and spins it*)

I’m surprised you neglected to mention that Lombard will be fighting at welterweight for the first time in his UFC career, in what is one of the most transparent “Dropping a weight class to save your career” bouts in MMA History. Also, Lombard’s weight cut is going so poorly that he’s already talking about moving back up to middleweight. He’s assuming, of course, that the UFC won’t sever their ties with someone as overpaid as him following this weekend, which is wishful thinking in my opinion. Lombard is basically Rousimar Palhares + striking and since Marquardt already beat Palhares, MMAMath predicts a dominant victory for Marquardt 9.9 times out of 10. Reckless? Yes. Ignorant? Yes.

Daniel Cormier (-600) vs. Roy Nelson (+450)

JJ: Roy Nelson is coming off one of the worst beatdowns of his career and the self-admitted “crappiest camp of his career.” The latter statement might just be “Big Country’s” way of lamenting his recently instilled Whopper-free diet, but in any case, you’d have to be a fool to place an outright bet on either of these guys.

DG: -165 that this fight goes to decision is the only action this fight merits. Cormier should be able to keep Roy guessing, and when Roy’s guessing he’s losing fights. When Roy loses fights, he loses by decision, as weapons are still not allowed inside the cage. Cormier is the heavy favorite but Roy has only lost by decision in the UFC so far and should keep that stat alive this weekend.

The Good Dogs:

T.J. Waldburger (+130) vs. Adlan Amagov (-160)

DG: Amagov is coming off a successful UFC debut as the favorite here, but T.J. Waldburger is a live dog as many believe Adlan will look to take this fight to the ground. Waldburger has managed to receive a SOTN bonus in 2011 and 2012….2013 is almost over and T.J. may be able to keep his streak alive by finding a way to catch Amagov from his guard. Waldburger will not go away easily in his own backyard and if the fight goes to decision, those who took the plus money option may be pleasantly surprised.

JJ: Who in their right mind thinks Adlan Amagov is going to take this fight to the ground? Against a grappling wizard like Waldburger?! With two SOTN bonuses in his past four fights?!!

Amagov by spinning shit, round 1. Moving on…

Gabriel Gonzaga (+175) vs Shawn Jordan (-210)

DG: Pop quiz time: Who is the only fighter (other than Vitor Belfort) to have all of their UFC wins come inside the distance? It’s none other than +300 to win inside the distance on Saturday night, Gabriel Gonzaga. The prospective profit almost doubles simply picking Gonzaga to win inside the distance vs. simply winning the fight, risk reward makes this a good dog pick by default.

JJ: Wait, so all of Gonzaga’s wins have come inside the distance, yet he’s facing 3-to-1 odds to beat Shawn Jordan inside the distance? Prop bets are for the weak: All my monies on Gonzaga by Grape Ape Rape inside the first. Joke, you are a bad.

Gilbert Melendez (-800) vs. Diego Sanchez (+550)

JJ: Dan is going to suggest that you place your money on Sanchez or some weird-ass prop bet that most of our bookies don’t even offer. Just watch. My reaction to this advice is as follows:

DG: This bout is far more competitive than the line suggests (Ed note: TOLD YOU SO). That line is Jones vs. Sonnen territory and while Melendez is the right favorite, he pays next to nothing as an outright pick (even to win by decision at -175 is a worthwhile pick but still not a plus money option). So where can you find the opportunity to make over 4-to-1 on your investment in this fight without predicting a winner or loser? Melendez vs. Sanchez for FOTN. Looking at the fights on paper, this fight stands out above the rest and should be selected at the end of the night by Dana for the honors.

Cain Velasquez (-200) vs. Junior dos Santos (+170)

DG: Cain put on a clinic during his second bout with Dos Santos to take back the HW title, surprisingly out-striking the man who KO’d him only five months prior. The belief that the real Cain was not available for Zuffa’s FOX debut was supported with every jab and overhand right that the champ landed against JDS the second time around. Regardless of what the Brazilian will tell you, overtraining was most likely not the culprit for Dos Santos losing the rematch — it is far more likely that Velasquez is simply better in the long run. That said, JDS is a live dog because he is fighting an opponent he has beaten before and his price tag is paying out the highest return in his career. The prop that JDS wins via KO/TKO at +255 is the good dog pick, as it is rather clear Junior will not win any cardio races with Cain or steal any rounds along the way to a decision win. It’s all or nothing and it’s 2.5x your money if Cain gets caught again.

JJ: How quickly you forget UFC 90, Dan. Had any of us predicted that Dos Santos would treat Fabricio Werdum‘s face like a door on the TUF set at that event, we would have made 8 times our wager back. But you’re right about one thing, Dos Santos needs to catch Velasquez in the opening rounds if he hopes to hear a Brazilian mariachi version of “Gonna Fly Now” upon his return trip home. His takedown defense, however, is going to have to be impeccable for this to happen. I see this fight going down a lot like the second incarnation, with Velasquez wearing JDS down and potentially finishing him with GnP sometime in the championship rounds. But hey, there’s always the Klitschko’s, right Junior?

Dan’s Parlay Picks
Parlay 1: Dodson-Boetsch
Parlay 2: Jordan-K.J. Noons-Ferguson
Parlay 3: Waldburger-Fili-Kaufman

Jared’s Parlay Pick:
Parlay 1: $20 on Velasquez-Dodson-Boetsch returns $41.66

Roy Nelson Will Not Have to Shave His Beard for Fight with Daniel Cormier

It appears Roy Nelson has already defeated Daniel Cormier in one aspect of their upcoming grudge match at UFC 166, as his signature beard will be in full effect this Saturday night in Houston.
“Big Country’s” facial hair became a target of the undefeat…

It appears Roy Nelson has already defeated Daniel Cormier in one aspect of their upcoming grudge match at UFC 166, as his signature beard will be in full effect this Saturday night in Houston.

“Big Country’s” facial hair became a target of the undefeated former-Olympian-turned-mixed martial artist, Cormier, who filed a complaint with the Texas Athletic Commission requesting the former TUF winner be forced to shave or trim his beard before their co-main event tilt this weekend.

The 34-year-old Louisiana native cited a bit of gamesmanship in his attempt to throw Nelson off in the pregame buildup, but those efforts have been stamped out.

On Wednesday night’s edition of UFC Tonight on Fox Sports 1, Ariel Helwani reported Nelson will not be forced to shave or trim his beard due to the athletic commission not regulating such matters. Cormier had filed an official complaint, but with the issue not falling under a category the governing body covers, the commission has no grounds to impose action on Nelson.

Bleacher Report reached out to the bearded heavyweight to get his thoughts on the matter. To no great surprise, the scrappy veteran was indifferent to the entire situation as he refused to feed into the distraction and put his focus on more important matters, such as the hospitalization of his trainer Jeff Mayweather.

“Some times there are situations where people have to listen, but I had more important things on my mind,” Nelson said. “I had the worst camp of my career for this fight. I was more worried about Jeff Mayweather’s health and him being in the hospital than Daniel and his bull crap. I’m a people person.”

Nelson and Cormier have been trading barbs for the past several months, with each fighter landing jabs via interviews and social media.

The 37-year-old knockout artist publicly poked the former Oklahoma State wrestling standout for apparently turning down a potential matchup back in June—a charge Cormier deemed out of context, and the bout passed him by due to an injury he was dealing with at the time.

While Cormier couldn’t sign on the dotted line to face Nelson back in the summer and was eyeing a drop down to light heavyweight, the situation provided the motivation for “D.C.” to stick around the heavyweight ranks for one more go.

Nelson and Cormier will settle their differences on Saturday night at UFC 166 in a highly anticipated heavyweight showdown. 

 

****Story updated with Roy Nelson’s reaction to the Texas Athletic Commission’s decision not to intervene.

 Duane Finley is a featured columnist for Bleacher Report. All quotes are obtained firsthand unless noted otherwise.

Read more MMA news on BleacherReport.com

Velasquez vs. Dos Santos 3: Complete Guide to UFC 166 Fight Card

Not all MMA rivalries are created equal—some are mild and fueled by ongoing verbal spats, whereas others arise as the result of top-tier athletes clashing inside the confines of the cage.
On Saturday October 19, Cain Velasquez and Junior dos Sant…

Not all MMA rivalries are created equal—some are mild and fueled by ongoing verbal spats, whereas others arise as the result of top-tier athletes clashing inside the confines of the cage.

On Saturday October 19, Cain Velasquez and Junior dos Santos will look to conclude their back-and-forth title exchange with a trilogy fight for the history books.

Believe the hype—this is the third (and possibly final) act to the most significant rivalry in UFC heavyweight history.

It wasn’t forged by crafty pre-fight salesmanship. Instead, the exciting history shared by these two men is punctuated by the respective skills, pedigree and raw performances that redefined the expectations of a No. 1 heavyweight facing off against No. 2.

Will dos Santos regain his former title with the same swiftness he exhibited in his first outing against Velasquez, or will he walk away even more battered and defeated than the last attempt?

There’s no denying that, thus far, they’ve split the fights evenly. But when the lights drops inside the Houston’s Toyota Center, MMA fans worldwide will bear witness to the rubber match of what is sure to become an iconic Octagon rivalry.

Just think, that’s the finale to a night prefaced with names like Daniel Cormier, Gilbert Melendez, Diego Sanchez and many more.

Just in case you’re not at the edge of your seat already, Bleacher Report has you covered with a dynamic guide to UFC 166‘s stacked fight card.

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UFC 166: Daniel Cormier vs. Roy Nelson Full Head-to-Toe Breakdown

Daniel Cormier and Roy Nelson will meet at heavyweight on Saturday, but UFC 166 could preview a light heavyweight move for both men.
While Cormier has said he’ll be dropping to 205 pounds regardless of the outcome over the weekend, Nelson recently post…

Daniel Cormier and Roy Nelson will meet at heavyweight on Saturday, but UFC 166 could preview a light heavyweight move for both men.

While Cormier has said he’ll be dropping to 205 pounds regardless of the outcome over the weekend, Nelson recently posted a picture to his Facebook page of him looking much trimmer than usual. Due to the magnitude of their matchup at UFC 166, the winner could be an immediate title contender in the light heavyweight division.

Of all the heavyweights on the UFC roster, only Mark Hunt is shorter than both Cormier and Nelson. At 5’11” Pat Barry stands at an equal height with Cormier. With Cormier and Nelson both having a little extra girth around the midsection, it’s unsurprising that they’d be considering a move to a lower weight class.

Which heavyweight will set up a potential light heavyweight title run on Saturday?

Here is a closer look at how Cormier and Nelson match up against one another in all areas.

 

Begin Slideshow

Roy Nelson Says He Will Beat Cormier, Possibly Go for Title Shot at 205 Lbs

Back in July, Daniel Cormier discussed how he planned to call for a light heavyweight title fight against Jon Jones after he was done roughing up Roy Nelson at UFC 166. Nelson, though, is looking to steal his thunder in more ways than one.
Speaking wit…

Back in July, Daniel Cormier discussed how he planned to call for a light heavyweight title fight against Jon Jones after he was done roughing up Roy Nelson at UFC 166. Nelson, though, is looking to steal his thunder in more ways than one.

Speaking with Bloody Elbow, Nelson discussed his desire to do the same.

My goal is just to beat Daniel. My goal is to fight the champ. Right now, Daniel is in front of me, so I’m trying to beat him…in everything he does. I’m hearing that if he beats me, he’s supposed to get a title shot at 205; he gets to jump to the front of the line. I’m all about jumping to the front of the line. My mode of thinking is that he’s number 2, and if I beat him, my next step after that would be to fight for the belt, in either division.

Nelson, twice now, has gotten very close to title contention in the heavyweight division. He dropped a top contender bout to eventual champion Junior dos Santos at UFC 117, and most recently, he had an impressive three-fight streak of knockouts ended by an ugly decision loss to Stipe Miocic. Nelson, though, hasn’t taken his eye off the prize.

“Big Country” recently posted a photo of himself looking shockingly lean and in-shape. He has long been chastised by UFC president Dana White for his weight and disheveled appearance.

Commentator Joe Rogan has long rambled that Nelson would be best served by fighting at light heavyweight. However, that has seemed to be a pipe dream, given Nelson’s age (he is currently 37 and didn’t join the UFC until he was 33 years old) and the fact that he has spent his entire MMA and Brazilian jiu-jitsu career at heavyweight.

That said, Nelson’s recent weight loss, depending on the actual number on the scale at the weigh-in, makes that seem like a legitimate possibility.

Even with the weight loss, Nelson is a big underdog against Daniel Cormier. Cormier has had remarkable success against some serious UFC competition and has beaten three top-10 heavyweights in his 12-fight career. He is a world-class wrestler who, on paper, seems more than capable of outclinching and outgrappling Nelson without difficulty.

Still, Nelson has shown himself to be capable of knocking out anybody in the business. 

They will meet at UFC 166 on October 19. Make sure to keep an eye out for more updates about the fight card as they become available.

Read more MMA news on BleacherReport.com