UFC Fantasy Matchmaker: February 2015 Edition

There is an art to matchmaking in combat sports.
While some fights come together with natural ease, most bouts are formed through a hectic process of evaluation. Several aspects need to be graded on each side of the table before committing to the match…

There is an art to matchmaking in combat sports.

While some fights come together with natural ease, most bouts are formed through a hectic process of evaluation. Several aspects need to be graded on each side of the table before committing to the matchup.

Whether or not a fight makes sense in the divisional scheme, timing and making sure both fighters stand to gain similar rewards are the most pressing issues that come to mind. Then, of course, there is the most important aspect of a potential fight: Will both competitors be willing to mix it up and put on a show?

The unfortunate part of the process comes when all of these criteria are met, but the fight fails to deliver. That said, the UFC showcases far more exciting tilts than flat fights these days, which goes to show just how good the matchmakers, Joe Silva and Sean Shelby, are at their jobs.

When last month’s installment of this series was published, there was an ominous shadow cast over MMA due to pound-for-pound great Jon Jones having tested positive for cocaine metabolites prior to his bout with Daniel Cormier at UFC 182.

But hey…there was no time to really worry about drugs and all that mess because Anderson Silva was on deck to make his return in a highly anticipated (wink) bout with Stockton’s finest bad boy Nick Diaz at UFC 183.

There was going to be some good, old-fashioned violence to be had, and The Spider vs. Diaz was bound to lift dark clouds hovering over the sport. What could possibly go wrong?

My colleague, Jeremy Botteraddressed those matters in a great column earlier this week, therefore let’s get back to what this column is about. There are plenty of great slobber-knockers and dust ups that could be put together and here are a few potential matchups that could put the focus back on face-punching for a minute.

 

Frankie Edgar vs. Urijah Faber

There is a strange phenomenon that happens from time to time when divisional title races begin to heat up and take shape. Occasionally there will be a fighter who is worthy of title contention, yet there simply isn’t a fight that makes sense for them to take.

This predicament has befallen two competitors at a time when they should be within striking distance of a championship opportunity in their respective divisions, but there isn’t a logical opponent for either one of them to face.

That being said, the timing may finally be right for Frankie Edgar and Urijah Faber to step into the Octagon and let the chaos ensue.

While The Answer and The California Kid are currently competing in two different divisions, both have been cast in the odd-man-out position. Irish sensation Conor McGregor leapfrogged the entire group of potential contenders ahead of him in the rankings to earn a showdown with featherweight king Jose Aldo this summer in Las Vegas.

As for Faber, the Team Alpha Male leader was slated to face Raphael Assuncao next month in Brazil, but the Brazilian’s broken ankle didn’t heal properly, and the bout was scratched.

This left Faber without an opponent and put him in the perfect position to face Edgar at UFC on Fox 15 in New Jersey on April 18.

The fighting pride of Toms River turned the tides of a career-worst, three-fight skid and bounced back to reclaim his place as one of the best in the 145-pound ranks on the strength of a three-fight winning streak. Victories over Charles Oliveira, B.J. Penn and Cub Swanson put the former lightweight champion back in a position of prominence, with a big-name opponent in his next fight all but guaranteed.

Nevertheless, Chad Mendes would be booked to face Ricardo Lamas at Fight Night 63, and that left the New Jersey native without a dance partner.

With Faber’s schedule opening up, a showdown with Edgar would be an action-packed bout that would certainly register in the fan-friendly department. With his teammate, T.J. Dillashaw, currently holding the bantamweight strap, there is no room for Faber to go up in the 135-pound ranks, therefore a trip back to the featherweight fold would be a logical detour.

Both Edgar and Faber are known to be two of the gamest fighters in the business, and a potential matchup between the two former champions would make a perfect co-main event for the UFC’s return to Newark in April.

 

Ryan Bader vs. Alexander Gustafsson

It is a strange state of affairs on the current landscape of the UFC light heavyweight division.

With resurgent juggernaut Anthony Johnson’s drubbing Alexander Gustafsson to earn the next shot at Jon Jones, that leaves a bit of a mess where the rest of the pack in the elite tier of 205 is concerned. Both Daniel Cormier and The Mauler are coming off losses, where former champion Rashad Evans and Ryan Bader are currently sitting on winning streaks.

Those circumstances would seem to favor a Gustafsson vs. Cormier and Bader vs. Evans scenario, but UFC President Dana White recently stated the Swedish striker and the former Olympian would not be facing one another in their next outings. That leaves only a few options available, and it’s anyone’s guess as to where the chips fall on this one.

That said, the former Arizona State University wrestling standout squaring off with the former title challenger from Stockholm would be a suitable pairing. With D.C. and Evans originally slated to punch one another at UFC 170 before Suga was forced out with injury, re-making that fight would be an easy route to travel.

Granted, they are friends outside of the cage, but that didn’t prevent the fight from being made the first time around, and it’s doubtful that would affect it from being signed once more.

That leaves Bader and Gustafsson as a solid choice, and it would be an interesting stylistic matchup as well. The Ultimate Fighter Season 8 winner works behind a power-wrestling attack that he backs up with a heavy overhand right. The Power MMA leader also has a solid gas tank that would allow him to push the pace against Gustafsson and take the rangy Swede into deep waters.

On the flip side, Gustafsson has done well against past opponents who choose to blitz him with offense (Vladimir Matyushenko, Jimi Manuwa)—a trait Bader has been known to employ.

Furthermore, coming off a stunning first-round TKO loss to Rumble in his own backyard at UFC on Fox 14 is certainly a memory Gustafsson would love to make some distance with. A fight with Bader this summer would allow him to do just that. 

Losing his long-awaited rematch with Bones and doing it in front of his hometown was undoubtedly a heartbreaker for Gustafsson, and he will want to get things headed back in that direction again. A bout with Bader would be a high-risk, high-reward situation, but it’s necessary if Gustafsson is hungry to regain his position in the light heavyweight divisional hierarchy.

The same rings true and even more so where Bader is concerned. The Arizona-based fighter has struggled to breakthrough into the championship level of the division. A victory over Gustafsson would be his key to accomplishing that task. And while pairing a fighter coming off a win with one coming off a loss is typically to be avoided, it’s passable in this setting.

 

Myles Jury vs. Norman Parke

The lightweight division is a shark tank of talent where breaking through into the upper ranks is a difficult task to accomplish. Both Myles Jury and Norman Parke had high-profile bouts as of late, and each were turned back in their respective efforts to climb the 155-pound divisional ladder.

The Team Alliance representative failed to hit the mark against Donald Cerrone at UFC 182 last month and Stormin‘ Norman was bested by savvy veteran Gleison Tibau at Fight Night 59 on Jan. 18. Neither fighter looked impressive in their biggest fights to date, and a pairing of the two would provide at least one of them to correct things in swift fashion.

Although his loss to Cowboy was the first of his professional career, the setback and lackluster performance in that fight cost him some serious momentum, which is an unfortunate turn since he beat up Diego Sanchez and knocked out Takanori Gomi to get there. That leaves the Michigan native in a position where regaining his traction is a must. A bout with Parke would present an interesting matchup to do so.

While The Ultimate Fighter: Smashes lightweight winner is yet to crack the top 10 in the lightweight collective, he was on his way to climbing the divisional ladder before being edged out by Tibau via split-decision in Boston.

Although Jury was a bit further up the lightweight hierarchy than Parke was before their respective losses, both need not only an opponent with a solid name but a fight that will pump some blood back into their respective styles. 

Jury and Parke have both proven to be versatile fighters with the ability to finish wherever the fight takes place. Furthermore, each man can push a fast pace, and that would make a potential pairing of the two a bout where exciting exchanges—on the feet or the ground—are likely.

A fight between Jury and Parke would also give the winner a chance to resume his quest for bigger things in the lightweight collective while pushing the loser further back for more development. 

 

Duane Finley is a featured columnist for Bleacher Report. All quotes are obtained firsthand unless noted otherwise. 

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4 Fights for Ryan Bader to Take Next

At UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Johnson, Ryan Bader narrowly defeated Phil Davis in a methodical, slow-paced fight that wasn’t exactly fan-friendly.
The two negated each other’s grappling, and the fight was primarily contested on the fee…

At UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Johnson, Ryan Bader narrowly defeated Phil Davis in a methodical, slow-paced fight that wasn’t exactly fan-friendly.

The two negated each other’s grappling, and the fight was primarily contested on the feet. Neither fighter really got after it by trying to finish the other or throw any strikes with significant power or intent. It was a close fight, and Bader left with the victory by split-decision, notching his fourth straight win.

The UFC light heavyweight division isn’t the most talent-rich. The fighter Bader faces next depends on what path the UFC decides to take him on. There aren’t a lot of light heavyweights to start with, and there is a noticeable drop-off in the level of competition outside of the top six-to-10 fighters.

Bader can either take a fight with someone ranked above him, such as Rashad Evans or Daniel Cormier, or he could go up against some of the rising talent in the division like Patrick Cummins or the winner of the upcoming Jan Blachowicz vs. Jimi Manuwa bout in April.

Let’s take a look at four fighters that would be good options for Ryan Bader’s next fight.

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Phil Davis vs. Ryan Bader: What We Learned from Light Heavyweight Tilt

Alexander Gustafsson and Anthony “Rumble” Johnson aren’t the only light heavyweights on Saturday’s UFC on Fox 14 card. Phil Davis and Ryan Bader also faced off to determine which longtime gatekeeper would make a run at the strap. Both men are know…

Alexander Gustafsson and Anthony “Rumble” Johnson aren’t the only light heavyweights on Saturday’s UFC on Fox 14 card. Phil Davis and Ryan Bader also faced off to determine which longtime gatekeeper would make a run at the strap. Both men are known for their wrestling, but as we often see, that makes for a striking-heavy endeavor.

The fight was slow and methodical, with neither fighter establishing (or even attempting) a great deal of offense. In the end, Bader would get the better end of a split decision.

So what did we learn from this yawn-inducing fight? 

 

Neither of These Men Would Challenge Jon Jones

Davis and Bader entered the cage with, potentially, a title shot on the line. Such is the nature of shallow divisions with longtime champions. That said, any question regarding how either man would do against Jones was answered.

He would beat the heck out of either one of them and probably could beat them both at the same time.

That’s mean, sure, but it’s true. Neither man wowed in any given facet of his game. Wrestling? Striking? Grappling? “Meh” across the board. This was a huge opportunity for both men, and neither managed to take advantage.

 

That Doesn’t Mean Ryan Bader Won’t Challenge for the Belt in 2015

Despite the utter mediocrity Bader displayed, there is a good chance he will still contend for the belt sooner than later. While the winner of Gustafsson vs. Johnson will get first crack…who the heck else is there after that?

Rising contenders Patrick Cummins and Jan Blachowicz could hypothetically jump the line, but neither has enough name value to pull it off. An old favorite like Rashad Evans could technically do it, but where he goes from here is actually quite unclear. That pretty much means Bader by default.

That’s not a great thing, guys.

 

Phil Davis’ Lack of Progression Is Profound

Davis is big. He’s is strong. He has good wrestling. He has somewhat decent striking. 

That was all true in 2009. It was as true then as it is now. And that’s not a good thing. Davis stormed onto the scene in a big way when he beat Gustafsson, but the skills he showed back then won’t necessarily take him far today. 

Davis is still a UFC-caliber light heavyweight, sure. He is still going to win the majority of his fights. But it doesn’t feel as though he will ever make it to that next level.

 

Nobody Cares About Iffy Decisions if the Fight Stunk 

Bad MMA judging has come back under the spotlight in recent weeks. Cathal Pendred vs. Sean Spencer, on one hand, whipped up a furor on Twitter because of the perceived favoritism displayed toward the crowd’s preferred fighter. Donald Cerrone vs. Benson Henderson 3 had many questioning how “Cowboy” could have come out the winner.

Ryan Bader vs. Phil Davis, though? Yawn.

I scored Davis vs. Bader in favor of Davis. Could it have gone the other way? Sure. 

Either way, the lack of outcry here is telling and says a lot when it comes to how fans approach judging on a fight-by-fight basis.

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UFC on FOX 14: Gustafsson vs. Johnson — Live Results & Commentary


(Alexander Gustafsson, Anthony Johnson, and DMX in the camouflage, ready to ask some hard-hitting questions./Photo via Getty)

The UFC showcase on FOX returns tonight for its 14th installment, featuring a huge light heavyweight title eliminator on deck. Alexander Gustafsson will be looking to book his rematch against Jon Jones, as he dukes it out against rising contender Anthony Johnson in the five-round main event inside Tele2 Arena in Stockholm, Sweden. The winner of this bout will most likely square off against the champion later this year.

In the co-main event, Dan Henderson will try to prove he’s not way over the hill like most of us think he is, as he faces Gegard Mousasi. Both combatants are coming off submission losses, looking to storm back into the win column. Also on the card, Phil Davis battles Ryan Bader, and kicking off the FOX action will be Akira Corassani vs. Sam Sicilia.


(Alexander Gustafsson, Anthony Johnson, and DMX in the camouflage, ready to ask some hard-hitting questions./Photo via Getty)

The UFC showcase on FOX returns tonight for its 14th installment, featuring a huge light heavyweight title eliminator on deck. Alexander Gustafsson will be looking to book his rematch against Jon Jones, as he dukes it out against rising contender Anthony Johnson in the five-round main event inside Tele2 Arena in Stockholm, Sweden. The winner of this bout will most likely square off against the champion later this year.

In the co-main event, Dan Henderson will try to prove he’s not way over the hill like most of us think he is, as he faces Gegard Mousasi. Both combatants are coming off submission losses, looking to storm back into the win column. Also on the card, Phil Davis battles Ryan Bader, and kicking off the FOX action will be Akira Corassani vs. Sam Sicilia.

Our man Alex Giardini will be providing round-by-round UFC on FOX 14 results from the FOX main card, after the jump beginning at 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT. Refresh the page every few minutes for all the latest, and hit us up on twitter to share your own thoughts.

UFC on FOX 14 Preliminary Card Results:
Albert Tumenov def. Nico Musoke via unanimous decision (29-28×3)
Kenny Robertson def. Sultan Aliev via TKO (strikes) at 2:42 of R1
Makwan Amirkhani def. Andy Ogle via TKO (strikes) at 0:08 of R1
Nikita Krylov def. Stanislav Nedkov via submission (guillotine) at 1:24 of R1
Mairbek Taisumov def. Anthony Christodoulou via knockout (strikes) at 0:38 of R2
Mirsad Bektic def. Paul Redmond via unanimous decision (30-27 x2, 30-25)
Viktor Pesta def. Konstantin Erokhin via unanimous decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Neil Seery def. Chris Beal via unanimous decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)

Alright, Nation … it’s been a rough week, so let’s try to have some fun tonight. After all, the majority of us aren’t in an arena watching MMA at 2 a.m. right now (much love to our readers from Sweden, as always).

Akira Corassani vs. Sam Sicilia

Round 1: No glove touch, and we’re off. Akira looking faster than usual, bouncy and light on his feet. Both guys trying to feel each other out, and it’s Sicilia that lands a nice hook. They jostle against the fence after both land hard shots in a flurry. Good leg kicks from Akira, and he gets nailed with a left hook shortly after throwing wildly. Akira catches a leg kick, and puts the hands on Sicilia. Akira comes in with an uppercut, but Sicilia stays out of the way. Akira looking agile, working on the outside, but not really troubling his opponent, either. Sicilia throws a counter, and both guys land on the chin. Akira comes in, they exchange and then he gets flattened by a humongous right hand. Akira hits the mat hard, out like a light. Very much like an H-Bomb…sign of things to come?

Sam Sicilia def. Akira Corassani via knockout (strikes) at 3:26 of R1

Phil Davis vs. Ryan Bader

Round 1:

UFC on Fox 14 Bold Predictions: Who Gets a Date with Jon Jones? Rumble or Gus?

Even as the UFC light heavyweight champion finds himself mired in the flat spin of a drug scandal, the division rolls on around him.
Saturday’s UFC on Fox 14 features two potentially meaningful 205-pound scraps. Alexander Gustafsson and Anthony Johnson…

Even as the UFC light heavyweight champion finds himself mired in the flat spin of a drug scandal, the division rolls on around him.

Saturday’s UFC on Fox 14 features two potentially meaningful 205-pound scraps. Alexander Gustafsson and Anthony Johnson battle for likely No. 1 contender status, while perennial contenders Ryan Bader and Phil Davis continue to search for the signature win that will put them on the fast track.

In addition, all-time great Dan Henderson returns to the middleweight division, looking to break out of a 1-4 slump dating back to Feb. 2013.

The fact that it all goes down inside a stadium-sized arena in Stockholm, Sweden and will air live on network television in the U.S. only adds to the grandeur.

As always, there are predictions to be made. Boldly, if possible.

Here, Bleacher Report lead MMA writers Chad Dundas (that’s me) and Jonathan Snowden give it the old college try. OK, fine, junior college.

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Phil Davis vs. Ryan Bader: Will the Real Gatekeeper Please Stand Up?

If mixed martial arts had a Mount Rushmore, the chiseled faces of Anderson Silva, Georges St-Pierre and Randy Couture would be etched in it forever, watching over the legions of fighters who one day hope to have their likeness immortalized. 
To be…

If mixed martial arts had a Mount Rushmore, the chiseled faces of Anderson Silva, Georges St-Pierre and Randy Couture would be etched in it forever, watching over the legions of fighters who one day hope to have their likeness immortalized. 

To become a UFC champion, it not only takes skill but intangibles: the charisma, the intelligence, the grit that sets you apart from other would-be contenders. Top-ranked light heavyweights Phil “Mr. Wonderful” Davis and Ryan Bader face off in Stockholm, Sweden, at UFC on Fox 14 with one goal in mind: prove that they’re not just another idle contender.

Davis and Bader possess a similar history. Both were in their mid-20s and undefeated when they entered the Octagon for the first time, and both were NCAA Division I All-American wrestlers, grappling at Penn State (Davis) and Arizona State (Bader). 

“He’s a good, solid athlete. [He’s] strong, with knockout power,” Davis told Sherdog.com about Bader. “It’s a must-win, I’ll tell you that.”

The hype that surrounded the pair five years ago hasn’t changed; only their records. Plaguing Bader and Davis has been their inability to nab that one career-defining win. 

Each man has slipped up just as he began to build momentum. In 2011, Bader was finished by then-rising star Jon Jones and future Hall of Famer Tito Ortiz. Bader‘s opponent, Mr. Wonderful, allowed himself to be outwrestled by former light heavyweight champion Rashad Evans in a title eliminator in January 2012. 

While they have not quite made it over the hump yet, what we do know is that each fighter is supremely talented. However, only one has shown that he has evolved and that any weakness has been eliminated. 

Davis’ record speaks for itself. The former Nittany Lions wrestling standout has racked up nine wins and just two losses. His victims include then-up-and-comer Alexander Gustafsson, Lyoto Machida and Glover Teixeira. Subsequently, Davis has dubbed himself the “Brazilian Killer” due to his 3-0 record over Brazilians in their home country. 

In his last two wins, decisions over Top 10 opponents Machida and Teixeira, Davis emerged victorious partly due to a tenacious wrestling game and improved striking. His striking, which had looked elementary in Davis’ first few fights, appeared to be at its best against Teixeira, a former title contender. 

His hands will hardly improve to where they match his technique on the mat, but Davis made good use of them in his grudge match with Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt Vinny Magalhaes at UFC 159. 

Their fight began with Davis looking to stick-and-move, something that became a theme throughout the larger contest,” wrote Bleacher Report’s Craig Amos in April 2013. “The jab-cross technique isn’t the most thrilling to behold, but Davis kept at it and Magalhaes had no answer.”

It also helps for Davis to make use of the significant reach advantage he typically has over opponents, something that will come into play against the heavy-handed Bader

Knockouts haven’t been as forthcoming as they used to be for Bader, who recorded three in his first six fights. Bader‘s last knockout victory came against Jason Brilz in November 2011. 

Bader has drudged through three straight decisions, including wins over Rafael Cavalcante and Ovince Saint Preux in 2014. 

Furthermore, if we compare his track record against that of Davis, a couple of things are clear. Bader‘s most recent and most devastating losses have come against foes who Davis has dispatched. That includes Machida and Teixeira, whom Davis landed a staunch nine takedowns against in October.  

In both losses, Bader played right into the styles of Machida and Teixeira. The two heavy hitters picked him apart when the All-American neglected to even attempt to make it a wrestling match, which is precisely where Bader and Davis differ. 

Rather than engage with one of world’s most accomplished jiu-jitsu aces, Davis stood and exchanged with the less experienced boxer in Magalhaes

“Though scoring a crushing knockout or out-dueling Magalhaes on the mat would have made a grander statement, the intelligence Davis displayed ultimately asserts him as even more dangerous in the long run,” wrote Amos.

While Davis’ confidence is at an all-time high, he did slip up in April against the returning Anthony “Rumble” Johnson. Throughout the entire three-round affair, Davis had no answer for the jabs and uppercuts of Rumble. 

Five years ago, Davis and Bader were burgeoning MMA prospects sitting on a dream. Each has plotted an eerily similar course that has them knocking on the doorstep of what may soon be title-shot territory. 

On January 24, one man will be left as a pretender and the other a title-worthy candidate. 

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