UFC on Fox 3: Why Johny Hendricks Will Defeat Josh Koscheck

Now that UFC 144 is in the books, the most exciting welterweight matchup since Jake Ellenberger defeated Diego Sanchez at UFC on Fuel TV, will take place on May 5 at UFC on Fox 3 when former No. 1 contender Josh Koscheck takes on up-and-comer Johny Hen…

Now that UFC 144 is in the books, the most exciting welterweight matchup since Jake Ellenberger defeated Diego Sanchez at UFC on Fuel TV, will take place on May 5 at UFC on Fox 3 when former No. 1 contender Josh Koscheck takes on up-and-comer Johny Hendricks.

Koscheck is coming off his second win after losing to current welterweight champ Georges St-Pierre. While his performance against Mike Pierce was less than inspiring, he did do enough to score the “W” in the judges eyes.

He is also still riding the waves of his Knockout of the Night performance against former UFC champion and Hall-of-Famer Matt Hughes at UFC 135. Needless to say, Koscheck is on the road back to redemption, and on the short list of title contenders.

But Johny Hendricks is just the man to spoil those dreams, and he’s being given the opportunity to prove his knockout of Jon Fitch was no fluke because he’s the real deal.

Hendricks, like Koscheck, holds a split-decision win over Mike Perice, but it is his KOTN over the aforementioned Fitch that is still fresh in everyone’s minds.

Aside from dropping a decision-loss to Rick Story back at The Ultimate Fighter 12 Finale, Hendricks has been on a tear since entering the UFC, scoring four (T)KOs, three inside the first round.

By no means will this be an easy fight for Hendricks. In some ways Koscheck is an even harder matchup than Fitch was, as Koscheck can not only wrestle and drive the fight into deep waters, but he brings one-punch knockout power as well.

But Koscheck has been knocked out before, and it is possible he will be looking to play it safe against someone like Hendricks, so as not to repeat the events of UFC 95 where he was knocked out by Paulo Thiago.

So Koscheck will look to use his wrestling and experience to dictate the fight. Unfortunately, Hendricks is an evenly matched opponent in the takedown department and will look to stuff everyone of Koscheck’s attempts to take it to the ground.

Hendricks hasn’t had the best of luck when it comes to the judges. Yes, he only has one loss, but he’s had a couple close calls with his split-decision win over Pierce and a majority-decision over TJ Grant at UFC 113.

But he’s also finished four of his nine opponents inside the Octagon, and there is no doubt he will be looking to make Koscheck number five of ten, for an even .500 KO batting average.

Look for Koscheck to use his experience and cardio to carry him through this fight for a decision victory, but keep a closer eye of Hendricks pulling the upset and ending this fight in the blink of an eye as he makes his claim to face interim-UFC Welterweight Champion Carlos Condit before GSP returns to action.

I’d also look for Condit to be avoiding this fight under the guise of “waiting it out for GSP.” But that’s just one reporter’s opinion.

And that’s the bottom line.

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Follow Justin Fuller on Twitter @JustinFullerMMA or like him on Facebook for the latest and greatest in…well…whatever, that’s what. Just do it, he’s hilarious.

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UFC on Fox 3: Why Josh Koscheck Will Defeat Johny Hendricks

While all eyes will be on UFC on FX: Alves vs. Kampmann and Strikeforce: Tate vs. Rouse this weekend, UFC on Fox: Diaz vs. Miller is fast approaching and perhaps the most interesting story line to emerge from the upcoming broadcast television even…

While all eyes will be on UFC on FX: Alves vs. Kampmann and Strikeforce: Tate vs. Rouse this weekend, UFC on Fox: Diaz vs. Miller is fast approaching and perhaps the most interesting story line to emerge from the upcoming broadcast television event, besides Nate Diaz and Jim Miller squaring off in a possible No. 1 contender bout, is who will come out on top in the co-main event between former No. 1 contender Josh Koscheck and fast-rising star Johny Hendricks.

Both fighters will be looking to prove they belong at the top of the division. Koscheck is coming off a less than stellar performance against welterweight division staple Mike Pierce, and this fight is his opportunity at redemption, and a chance to climb back to the No. 1 contender position after falling short in a five-round affair against current UFC Welterweight Champion Gorges St-Pierre at UFC 124.

Hendricks, like Koscheck, also holds a split-decision victory over the aforementioned Pierce in one of his more recent bouts. However few people remember it, as Hendricks was able to silence the critics after he quickly disposed of Koscheck training partner, and close friend, Jon Fitch at UFC 141, earning his second Knockout of the Night honors, and the disclosed 75-thousand dollar bonus that came with it.

Koscheck is not without his own stellar performances, however. Just two fights ago he put former-UFC Champion, and Hall of Famer, Matt Hughes to sleep in the closing seconds of the first round at UFC 135, earning a KOTN himself, also garnering a disclosed 75-thousand dollar bonus.

While Hendricks has earned KOTN twice, as well as Fight of the Night, he has yet to get the full hat trick, unlike Koscheck who has done so with FOTN performance against GSP, and his Submission of the Night against Anthony Johnson at UFC 106.

 

There is no doubt Hendricks is on a course to do even greater things, but Koscheck is in his own search for greatness, and to him, Hendricks is the roadblock, not the trophy, on that path.

If Koscheck defeats Hendricks in convincing fashion on May 5th, then there is little doubt he will become the de facto No. 1 contender, even before Jake Ellenberger, to face current interim-Welterweight Champion Carlos Condit, because everyone loves a comeback.

For Hendricks the loss will not set him back, but steer him on the correct path. Every great fighter’s legacy is marred by stories of falling down, and getting right back up. The Hendricks we will see merge from this fight will be motivated, and determined like no other.

While some might say Hendricks has Koscheck’s number now, and now is his time to shine based on his performance against Fitch, his overconfidence coming into this fight will be exactly what makes him lose it.

Koscheck is no stranger to getting knocked out, and as such has learned what not to do against a heavy handed hitter. He’s also not one to get taken down easily, and more than capable of neutralizing Hendrick’s wrestling with his own skill and expertise.

Once Hendricks realizes that putting his hands on Koscheck is harder than he though, he’ll go for the take down. It won’t take long for him to realize getting the fight to the ground isn’t so easy, and he’ll start head hunting in desperation.

This is where Koscheck will smell blood in the water, and after having learned from his own failures that banking on the take down and one-shot knockout is never a smart move, he will use razor-sharp combos and footwork to dismantle Hendricks before choosing to take the fight to the ground in the third round and hopefully finishing it there.

That is how a true professional and veteran of the sport approaches a fight where he has little to gain and everything to lose.

Hendricks will become a better fighter from the experience, but his age and determination will drive him to work his way right back to the lime light, but that day is not today, and that winning knockout to earn a title-shot will not happen this time.

And that’s the bottom line.

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Follow Justin Fuller on Twitter @JustinFullerMMA or like him on Facebook for the latest and greatest in…well…whatever, that’s what. Just do it, he’s hilarious.

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UFC on FOX 3 Breakdown: Josh Koscheck vs. Johny Hendricks

A two-time NCAA champion wrestler, Johny Hendricks took a big step toward realizing his potential in MMA by recently knocking out long-time welterweight contender Jon Fitch. Now considered one of the top contenders in the 170-pound division, Hendricks …

A two-time NCAA champion wrestler, Johny Hendricks took a big step toward realizing his potential in MMA by recently knocking out long-time welterweight contender Jon Fitch. Now considered one of the top contenders in the 170-pound division, Hendricks will face fellow NCAA champ Josh Koscheck in a fight that could propel him to a title shot.

Although Koscheck is coming off of a controversial decision win over Mike Pierce, he will still provide a very tough test for Hendricks, who also recently fought to a narrow victory against Pierce as many have quickly forgotten.

With these heavy-hitting wrestlers set to square off on network television at UFC on FOX 3, a championship bout could be on the line. Let’s take a look at which fighter has a better chance at winning this fight and taking a big step toward tasting UFC gold for the first time.

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Nate Diaz vs Jim Miller Is the Wrong Choice for a UFC on FOX Main Event

On May 5, 2012 Jim Miller and Nate Diaz will clash at UFC on Fox 3. The bout has massive implications in the lightweight division. They are so severe that the winner may be awarded a title shot against the winner of this weekend’s battle between …

On May 5, 2012 Jim Miller and Nate Diaz will clash at UFC on Fox 3. The bout has massive implications in the lightweight division. They are so severe that the winner may be awarded a title shot against the winner of this weekend’s battle between current champion, Frankie Edgar and challenger, Benson Henderson.

Regardless of whether or not a title shot is given, this fight will cement the winner’s place among the top five lightweights in the UFC. This fight should be highly competitive—two fiery combatants are facing off. It is almost a perfect fight. The only problem? It is the night’s main event. 

The fight between Jim Miller and Nate Diaz is the wrong choice for a UFC on Fox main event. The fight will be great. It is an excellent match up against very like opponents. Both Miller and Diaz have won their fights by submission the majority of the time. Miller has submitted 12 of his opponents, winning 21 total; Diaz has submitted nine of his opponents, with 15 total victories. Combined, they have been finished by an opponent on one occasion (Diaz has been submitted).

So, it is highly probable this fight will go all five rounds. Also, both of these competitors constantly pressure their opponent, setting a fast pace and have impressive cardio. This fight could very well stay active, even into the fifth round. Still, this fight is underwhelming as Fox’s main event.

The “UFC on Fox” events are major events. There are only four every year. Rarity creates value. The events are also the only events presented on a big four network. The potential audience of a UFC on Fox event is greater than any other event. Also, having the event on a big four network allows new potential fans to view the fights easily, freely. Due to the rarity, accessibility and large platform, the UFC on Fox events are the most important events of the year. As such, they deserve the greatest main events.

The main event for the UFC on Fox should, at the very least, be on an equal level as a pay-per-view main event. For 2012 the pay-per-view main events have been and will be: Aldo/Mendes (a championship fight), Diaz/Condit (an interim championship fight), Edgar/Henderson (a championship fight), Jones/Evans (a championship fight). Overeem/Dos Santos (a championship fight), etc. Jim Miller versus Nick Diaz is not of this caliber and is certainly not a championship fight.

The future UFC on Fox 3 main event is comparable to past UFC on FX and Fuel main events. Last week’s UFC on Fuel event is a perfect example. Diego Sanchez fought Jake Ellenberger as two top ten welterweights fought in a title eliminator match. Miller and Diaz will also top ten in their division and are fighter in a title eliminator (not necessarily a number one contender bout). The comparisons continue as Sanchez and Diaz are both former The Ultimate Fighter champions. Miller versus Diaz is much more comparable to future fights on FX: Martin Kampman vs. Thiago Alves and Fuel: Alexander Gustafsson vs. Antonio Rogerio Nogueira than the previously listed main events of pay-per-views. 

A similar fight to the Nate Diaz vs. Jim Miller match is this weekend’s bout between Anthony Pettis and Joe Lauzon. The bouts are nearly identical. Both are title eliminators between top 10 lightweights. All four feature fan-friendly styles. They all push the pace of the fight. They all have similar levels of notoriety. Some may argue Diaz is the most famous, or infamous, due to his brother Nick and his winning stint on The Ultimate Fighter. However, Pettis is just as well known. He is the last WEC lightweight champion and became a viral sensation following his “showtime kick.” While the Miller/Diaz fight is slated for the main event of a Fox event, the identical Pettis/Lauzon fight will be just another main card bout on a pay-per-view. According to the UFC 144 poster, Rampage Jackson’s fight with Ryan Bader and Jake Shield’s fight with Yoshihiro Akiyama are more intriguing than the lightweight tilt. If the Diaz/Miller fight were to take place on a pay-per-view it would also not receive much promotion. How then can it be fit to headline a Fox card?

The UFC on Fox 3 main event should have been the light heavyweight title fight between bitter rivals: Jon Jones and Rashad Evans. That fight is taking place just two weeks prior. It would have been no problem at all to postpone it till the Fox event. That fight would have been perfect. It even would have offered continuity. Casual fans and prospective new fans would have seen Evans battle on the previous Fox card and been attracted to his name on the following one. There would have been an investment developed creating a desire for the next fight on Fox. Instead, this title fight was relegated to a pay-per-view and Fox was given a fight that would have merely been an also-ran on any pay-per-view.

This event deserves more. The fans deserve more. Even Fox deserves more. The UFC needs to treat UFC on Fox events like the biggest events of the year. Casual fans and prospective new fans will not tune in for just any main event. They will only be stirred away from their lives with a monumental fight worthy of their attention. That kind of event will have them wiping saliva from the corner of their lips and leave them yearning for more, willing to seek out more.

The fight between Jim Miller and Nate Diaz will be a great fight. It would be capable of winning the fight of the night award on any card. However, in relation to the event, this headliner…is underwhelming.

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UFC on FOX 3: Is Nate Diaz Destined for Gatekeeper Status?

Nate Diaz is his own worst enemy and a tougher opponent than Jim Miller, who he will face when he steps into the cage at UFC on FOX 3.While Miller may be an accomplished wrestler who knows how to win decisions and submit his competition, it is his pati…

Nate Diaz is his own worst enemy and a tougher opponent than Jim Miller, who he will face when he steps into the cage at UFC on FOX 3.

While Miller may be an accomplished wrestler who knows how to win decisions and submit his competition, it is his patience that will help him win in the end.

Diaz is a great fighter. He has all the ability of a top mixed martial artist and none of the patience. He could easily win against Miller if he decides to use his boxing to keep Miller on the outside and stop the talented wrestler from getting takedowns.

Diaz has a 76″ wingspan that extends well beyond Miller’s 71″. With that room, he could outbox him enough to get a decision win. The only problem is that Diaz would have to take a step back and make a fight without trying to finish his opponent.

That isn’t Nate Diaz.

In 15 victories, only two of them have been by decision. In seven losses, six have gone the distance.

Diaz is an impatient man, and to him an MMA bout is a fight that should have both men trying to knock out or submit their opponent.

While this is an admirable quality to have as a martial artist and something that is true in a fight, this is a sport. In a sport, there are rules and fighters get paid to be the best at adhering to the rules while beating their competition.

Diaz doesn’t accept that. He just wants to fight to the finish.

That may have worked 10 to 15 years ago when the sport was in its infancy, but now there are more and more competitors who are focused on being professional athletes instead of being fighters. They want to use MMA to make money and be successful instead of aiming to be called the best in the world.

If Diaz wants to make more money then he is going to have to deal with reality—but he won’t.

Nate Diaz has been a professional since 2004, and even if he is just 26 years old, it means his habits are now ingrained. He is his own character and doesn’t want to change for anyone.

The thing that has kept him relevant and winning in the UFC is the same thing that stops him from reaching the upper echelon. He is going to fight his style and with his demeanor, and there is nothing anyone can do about it.

Diaz has all the talent in the world, and in bouts like the one he had with Donald Cerrone, fans get to catch a glimpse of it. If Diaz would be willing to play by the rules, fans would see more than that, but since he won’t, we can’t.

That is a shame, because for all of his faults, Nick Diaz is one of the best fighters in the sport today. He just doesn’t show it, and on UFC on FOX 3 his unwillingness to adapt will cost him his shot at the top once more.

And as long as he continues to think the way he does, it always will.

 

Matthew Hemphill writes for the MMA and professional wrestling portion of Bleacher Report.  He also hosts a blog elbaexiled.blogspot.com that focuses on books, music, comic books, video games, film and generally anything that could be related to the realms of nerdom.


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UFC on FOX 3: Pat Barry vs. Lavar Johnson Breakdown

UFC on FOX 3 is headlined by a lightweight collision pitting contenders Nate Diaz and Jim Miller in the main event of the evening.However, a heavyweight clash of lethal strikers is primed and ready to steal the show.The UFC’s Pat Barry will look to der…

UFC on FOX 3 is headlined by a lightweight collision pitting contenders Nate Diaz and Jim Miller in the main event of the evening.

However, a heavyweight clash of lethal strikers is primed and ready to steal the show.

The UFC’s Pat Barry will look to derail Strikeforce transplant Lavar Johnson in a battle that pits two of the division’s most dangerous strikers opposite of one another.

Both men come from varying disciplines, though more often than not, both can produce dynamic knockouts to captivate the interests of the fans and media alike. 

 

Pat Barry/ Laron Zaugg for MMAWeekly.com

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